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Bombardier (TSE:BBD.B)
TSX:BBD.B

Bombardier (BBD.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BBD.B

Bombardier

(TSX:BBD.B)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$253.00
▲(3.54% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving operating performance and a sharp rebound in cash generation, tempered significantly by balance-sheet risk from high debt and negative equity. Technical indicators are neutral-to-mixed, and valuation appears moderate based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
A meaningful step-up in operating and free cash flow provides durable capacity to fund service network investment, working capital and selective capex without immediate reliance on new external financing. Strong cash conversion supports deleveraging and long-term operational resilience.
Stronger revenue and EBIT trends
Sustained top-line growth and a multi-year improvement in EBIT signal better operational execution and model mix. Higher recurring profitability enhances ability to cover fixed costs and invest in product/support capabilities, improving durable margin sustainability versus prior years.
Aftermarket services durability
A sizable services business creates steady, higher-margin revenue tied to the installed fleet, smoothing cyclicality from new-aircraft sales. Long service lives and recurring MRO, parts and upgrades create customer stickiness and predictable cash flows over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
High leverage and negative equity
Material indebtedness and negative equity constrain financial flexibility, increasing refinancing and covenant risk during downturns. Even with deleveraging from prior years, this capital-structure weakness limits capacity for growth investments and raises the cost of capital over time.
Historical earnings volatility
Pronounced multi-year swings in profitability complicate forecasting and weaken creditworthiness. Volatility implies results depend heavily on one-off items, cycle timing and execution, reducing confidence that recent improvements will be sustained without consistent operational control.
Cyclicality and supply-chain execution risk
Revenue and margins remain exposed to the business-jet cycle, customer financing availability, and production/supply-chain execution. These structural dependencies can compress margins and delay cash generation in downturns or if supplier disruptions re-emerge.

Bombardier (BBD.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bombardier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBombardier Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of business aircraft in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It provides new aircraft, specialized aircraft solutions, and pre-owned aircraft. The company also offers aftermarket services, including parts, smart services, service centers, training, and technical publications. It serves multinational corporations, charter and fractional ownership providers, governments, and private individuals. The company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Dorval, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBombardier primarily generates revenue through the sale of aircraft and rail transport equipment, along with after-sales services and maintenance contracts. The aerospace division earns income from the manufacturing and delivery of business jets and regional aircraft, with significant contributions coming from high-margin aftermarket services, including spare parts and maintenance. In the transportation sector, Bombardier makes money by selling rail vehicles and systems, as well as providing ongoing support and service contracts. Key partnerships with governments and private sector clients for infrastructure projects also enhance its income stream. Additionally, the company may benefit from strategic alliances and joint ventures that expand its market reach and innovation capabilities.

Bombardier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong achievements in securing significant aircraft orders, growth in services revenue, and improvements in the financial strategy through debt refinancing and credit rating upgrades. However, these positives were somewhat offset by the year-over-year revenue decline, ongoing supply chain challenges, and negative free cash flow. Overall, the positive aspects seem to outweigh the negative ones, but the challenges still present notable concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Aircraft Order
Bombardier secured a firm order for 50 aircraft in one transaction, which significantly contributed to the backlog jump and resulted in a unit book-to-bill ratio of 2.3.
Strong Services Revenue Growth
Services revenue reached $590 million, up 16% year-over-year, contributing 29% of total revenue for the quarter.
Growing Backlog
The backlog grew to $16.1 billion, supported by the strong book-to-bill ratio.
Debt Refinancing and Credit Rating Upgrades
Completed $500 million debt refinancing, reducing the average coupon by 11 basis points, and received credit rating upgrades from S&P Global and Moody's.
Global 7500 Achievements
The Global 7500 achieved its 135th speed record, setting the bar for the industry with the most city pair speed records of any business jet type.
Negative Updates
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Total revenues reached $2 billion, representing an 8% decline year-over-year due to delivering 3 fewer aircraft compared to last year.
Supply Chain Challenges
Continued supply chain disruption costs impacted operations, including tariff-related costs, though these were reflected in the guidance.
Free Cash Flow Usage
Free cash flow usage in the quarter totaled $164 million, driven by a $280 million investment in inventory and cash interest of $125 million.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Bombardier reported strong financial performance, with revenues reaching $2 billion, featuring a notable 16% year-over-year increase in service revenues to $590 million. The company achieved a unit book-to-bill ratio of 2.3, thanks in part to a significant order for 50 aircraft, contributing to a backlog of $16.1 billion. Bombardier delivered 36 aircraft in the quarter, maintaining the same level as the previous year, and plans to deliver over 91 aircraft in the second half of the year. Adjusted EBITDA stood at $297 million, with an EBITDA margin of 14.6%. The company successfully refinanced $500 million of senior notes, reducing its average long-term debt coupon by 11 basis points, and received credit rating upgrades from S&P Global Ratings and Moody's. Bombardier anticipates generating more than $1 billion in EBITDA in the second half of the year, supported by a favorable delivery mix and strong demand for its aircraft, including the upcoming first delivery of the Global 8000.

Bombardier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow show a material turnaround (revenue growth into 2025, EBIT rising to 1.107B, and operating cash flow up to 1.225B with 1.071B free cash flow). However, the balance sheet is a major constraint with high debt (~5.15B) and persistently negative shareholders’ equity (-0.889B), keeping financial risk elevated.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Operations have improved materially versus 2020–2022: revenue grew steadily into 2025 (annual growth of ~6.5% in 2025 and ~7.7% in 2024) and profitability strengthened with EBIT rising from 471M (2022) to 1.107B (2025). Net income also accelerated to 928M in 2025 from 370M in 2024. Offsetting this, margins have shown some variability over the cycle (including losses in 2020 and 2022), and the 2021 profit appears unusually high relative to the rest of the series, suggesting earnings volatility/non-recurring impacts.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage remains a key overhang: total debt is still high at ~5.15B in 2025, and while it has come down meaningfully from ~10.29B in 2020, the capital structure is constrained by persistently negative shareholders’ equity (improving to -0.889B in 2025 from -1.99B in 2024 and -9.31B in 2020). Total assets are relatively stable (~13.6B in 2025), but the negative equity position limits financial flexibility and increases balance-sheet risk despite the deleveraging trend.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation strengthened significantly in the most recent year: operating cash flow increased to 1.225B in 2025 from 0.386B in 2024, and free cash flow improved to 1.071B (up sharply year over year). The multi-year picture is more mixed—cash flow was negative in 2020–2021 and free cash flow declined in 2023–2024—so execution consistency is still a watch item, but 2025 reflects a clear step-up in cash performance.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.55B8.66B8.05B6.91B6.08B
Gross Profit1.91B1.78B1.63B1.26B924.00M
EBITDA1.75B1.07B933.00M608.00M336.00M
Net Income928.00M370.00M445.00M-148.00M5.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.56B12.66B12.37B12.44B12.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.25B1.65B1.58B1.30B1.66B
Total Debt5.15B5.96B6.01B6.49B7.25B
Total Liabilities14.45B14.65B14.76B15.23B15.70B
Stockholders Equity-889.00M-1.99B-2.39B-2.79B-3.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.09B220.86M261.17M695.66M-517.17M
Operating Cash Flow1.25B385.55M633.10M1.04B-284.15M
Investing Cash Flow-192.31M-137.09M119.91M-315.33M2.46B
Financing Cash Flow-520.96M-193.25M-445.10M-1.10B-2.92B

Bombardier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price244.34
Price Trends
50DMA
254.96
Negative
100DMA
236.45
Positive
200DMA
196.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.23
Positive
RSI
49.25
Neutral
STOCH
42.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BBD.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 244.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 262.26, below the 50-day MA of 254.96, and above the 200-day MA of 196.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BBD.B.

Bombardier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$1.27B18.445.52%0.93%8.84%131.58%
71
Outperform
C$5.84B30.518.88%57.77%57.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$24.20B18.12-61.55%6.60%-1.71%
58
Neutral
C$12.15B30.697.50%9.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BBD.B
Bombardier
244.34
158.74
185.44%
TSE:CAE
CAE
37.75
2.60
7.40%
TSE:MAL
Magellan Aerospace
22.17
11.14
101.00%
TSE:MDA
MDA Space Ltd
46.16
18.52
67.00%

Bombardier Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bombardier Completes Turnaround as 2025 Results Beat Targets and Backlog Surges
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Bombardier reported 2025 revenue of $9.55 billion, up 10% year-over-year, fueled by record services revenue, stronger defense performance, and 157 aircraft deliveries, while adjusted EBITDA rose 15% and net income surged, underscoring improved profitability. The company expanded its backlog to $17.5 billion with a unit book-to-bill of 1.4, reduced debt and improved leverage ratios, and declared its five-year turnaround plan complete as it issued 2026 guidance aimed at sustaining top-line growth, margins, and free cash flow.

Management highlighted that consistent execution since 2021 has transformed Bombardier into a more resilient, customer-centric business with a reinforced competitive position. The stronger balance sheet, robust demand across its aircraft portfolio, and expanding services and defense lines suggest enhanced financial flexibility and industry standing heading into 2026, with implications for continued deleveraging and potentially greater shareholder value over time.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:BBD.B) stock is a Buy with a C$294.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bombardier stock, see the TSE:BBD.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026