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Transat AT V & VV (TSE:TRZ)
TSX:TRZ

Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) AI Stock Analysis

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Transat AT V & VV

(TSX:TRZ)

45Neutral
Transat AT V & VV's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and a leveraged balance sheet. Technical indicators show downward momentum, while valuation concerns persist with a negative P/E ratio. While the earnings call and corporate events indicate some operational improvements and enhanced financial stability, these positive developments are outweighed by broader financial and market challenges.

Transat AT V & VV (TRZ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Transat AT V & VV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTransat AT V & VV (TRZ) is a Canadian company primarily engaged in the holiday travel industry. It operates in the tourism and hospitality sectors, offering a range of services including air transportation, vacation packages, hotel accommodations, and travel-related products. Transat AT V & VV is recognized for providing comprehensive travel experiences tailored to leisure travelers seeking destinations in Europe, the Americas, and the Caribbean.
How the Company Makes MoneyTransat AT V & VV generates revenue through a diversified business model centered around its core operations in the travel and tourism industry. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of vacation packages, which bundle flights and accommodations, and the operation of its airline, Air Transat, which provides scheduled and charter flights. Additional income is derived from hotel operations, travel agency services, and the sale of ancillary travel products and services. Key partnerships with tourism boards, hotels, and other travel-related entities enhance its offerings and contribute to its earnings. Seasonal demand, competitive pricing strategies, and a focus on popular travel destinations are significant factors impacting its revenue.

Transat AT V & VV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transat AT V & VV faces significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and a heavily leveraged balance sheet, despite slight revenue growth and improved cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Transat AT V & VV has shown some revenue growth with a 1.34% increase in total revenue over the TTM period. However, profitability is a concern as both EBIT and net profit margins remain negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Gross profit margin stands at 11.01%, which is relatively low for the industry, reflecting cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, indicating significant financial leverage and potential risk. The return on equity is negative, which is concerning for shareholders. Negative stockholders' equity suggests financial instability, potentially due to accumulated losses.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved over the TTM, showing a positive trend. The cash flow to net income ratios are favorable, indicating good cash generation relative to reported losses. However, the free cash flow growth is modest, and capital expenditures remain a constraint.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.33B3.28B3.05B1.64B124.82M1.30B
Gross Profit
366.51M347.67M415.68M-92.26M-138.79M51.49M
EBIT
-10.34M-12.73M89.73M-303.42M-401.22M-325.12M
EBITDA
207.95M251.55M288.97M-191.23M-148.91M-235.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-175.59M-114.03M-25.29M-445.32M-389.44M-496.76M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
389.36M260.34M435.65M322.54M433.19M426.43M
Total Assets
3.02B2.75B2.57B2.27B1.90B2.02B
Total Debt
2.18B2.15B1.89B1.75B1.42B903.89M
Net Debt
1.79B1.89B1.45B1.43B986.34M477.45M
Total Liabilities
4.03B3.64B3.35B3.02B2.21B1.95B
Stockholders Equity
-1.01B-889.08M-779.04M-750.18M-315.11M66.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
40.26M-43.90M264.18M-210.38M-524.04M-107.56M
Operating Cash Flow
152.55M94.67M321.75M-177.85M-518.44M-46.14M
Investing Cash Flow
5.03M-31.45M-7.93M-33.78M4.54M-60.41M
Financing Cash Flow
-224.89M-240.29M-203.02M99.69M522.07M-33.37M

Transat AT V & VV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.52
Price Trends
50DMA
1.65
Negative
100DMA
1.76
Negative
200DMA
1.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
35.07
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TRZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.51, below the 50-day MA of 1.65, and below the 200-day MA of 1.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TRZ.

Transat AT V & VV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEIF
72
Outperform
C$2.44B18.659.13%5.55%6.46%-5.54%
TSAC
68
Neutral
$4.49B2.86112.28%1.93%-24.67%
59
Neutral
$11.38B10.18-0.84%4.04%1.25%-16.04%
56
Neutral
C$6.15B15.973.54%0.46%-17.78%-41.13%
TSCHR
46
Neutral
C$495.41M-1.28%-12.40%-529.26%
TSTRZ
45
Neutral
C$59.49M12.83%5.10%-484.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TRZ
Transat AT V & VV
1.52
-1.86
-55.03%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
13.68
-4.74
-25.73%
TSE:CHR
Chorus Aviation
18.46
3.48
23.23%
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
89.48
-6.94
-7.20%
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
48.19
4.74
10.91%

Transat AT V & VV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -8.98% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with revenue growth and operational improvements on one side and challenges like grounded aircraft and macroeconomic uncertainties on the other. While there were significant achievements in terms of revenue growth and operational efficiency, the increase in net loss and grounded aircraft issues highlighted ongoing challenges.
Highlights
Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 5.6% to $830 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by positive yields and reduced fuel costs.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA reached $20 million compared to negative $3 million in the same quarter last year.
Efficiency Gains from Technology
The Elevation program initiatives are on track to generate $100 million in adjusted EBITDA by mid-2026, with significant efficiency gains and cost savings achieved through technology and AI.
Operational Performance
On-time performance improved by more than four percentage points year-over-year, marking the third consecutive quarter of significant progress.
Cash Flow Improvement
Cash flow from operating activities totaled $169 million, up from $111 million in the first quarter last year.
Lowlights
Grounded Aircraft Impact
The number of grounded aircraft due to Pratt and Whitney GTF engine issues has fluctuated between six and seven, introducing cost escalation and operational volatility.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss amounted to $123 million in the first quarter of 2025, compared to $61 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Macroeconomic Uncertainties
Potential impact of U.S. tariffs and Canadian dollar depreciation on costs and consumer confidence, affecting travel demand.
Company Guidance
During the Transat conference call for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Annick Guerard, President and CEO, highlighted a 5.6% increase in revenue to $830 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, driven by positive yield developments, reduced fuel costs, and tight control over operating expenses. Revenue passenger miles grew by 1%, and yield improved by 1.7% year-over-year, despite a stable load factor. Available seat miles increased by 0.5%, indicating strategic capacity planning. The Elevation program is expected to contribute an annualized adjusted EBITDA of $37 million, aiming for $100 million by mid-2026. Despite engine issues with Pratt & Whitney GTF, the fleet remains at 44 aircraft for winter and 43 for summer. Network expansions include new routes to Berlin and Valencia, and a partnership with Air Europa. Operational improvements were noted, with on-time performance up by over four percentage points. The company remains focused on refinancing debt and enhancing financial stability amidst economic uncertainties, with ongoing negotiations for a new collective agreement with its pilot union.

Transat AT V & VV Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Transat A.T. Inc. Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Progress in Q1 Fiscal 2025
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. reported a 5.6% increase in first-quarter revenues for fiscal 2025, reaching $829.5 million, driven by higher traffic and disciplined capacity management. Despite a net loss of $122.5 million, the company saw improvements in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, attributed to reduced fuel costs and operational efficiencies. The Elevation Program, aimed at optimizing long-term growth, is on track to achieve significant cost savings and efficiency gains, with a target of $100 million by mid-2026. The company is also focused on refinancing its debt and strengthening its balance sheet, extending the maturity dates of its financing agreements to provide greater flexibility in ongoing discussions with stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Transat A.T. Inc. Extends Maturity of LEEFF Financing for Enhanced Stability
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

Transat A.T. Inc. has successfully extended the maturity of its $312 million unsecured financing through the Large Employer Emergency Financing Facility (LEEFF) from April 2026 to April 2027. This extension, along with changes to its revolving and secured credit facilities, provides the company with enhanced financial stability, potentially benefiting its operations and stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.