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Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners (TSE:BEP.UN)
:BEP.UN

Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Brookfield Renewable Partners

(NYSE:BEP.UN)

47Neutral
Brookfield Renewable Partners demonstrates strong operational capabilities and strategic planning, as evidenced by revenue growth and recent corporate initiatives like green bond issuance. However, significant financial risks, including negative net income and high leverage, weigh heavily on the stock's overall score. While the high dividend yield offers some investor appeal, the stock's technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Overall, the company needs to address its financial structure and profitability to improve its stock performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
BEP has a deep pool of capital, which helps to support its investment strategy without the need for equity issuance.
Growth and Development
Management reiterates FFO per unit growth of 10%, with a robust outlook supported by a development pipeline to bring 7GW in new capacity.
Renewable Energy Expansion
Renewable demand outlook remains robust with BEP’s 10.5GW Microsoft renewable built-out agreement exceeding expectations.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Risks
Key risks include rising interest rates, with BEP’s high leverage and a relatively low EBITDA interest coverage of 2.4x, which is below peers’ median of 4.6x.
Storage Competitiveness
Storage is still a long way from being able to compete with nuclear baseload, and project risks associated with greenfield renewables are less able to contract at such a large premium.

Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Brookfield Renewable Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrookfield Renewable Partners (BEP.UN) is a global leader in renewable power, owning and operating a diverse portfolio of renewable energy assets across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. The company primarily focuses on hydroelectric, wind, solar, and energy storage facilities, with a commitment to providing sustainable energy solutions. Brookfield Renewable Partners is part of Brookfield Asset Management, a leading global alternative asset manager.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrookfield Renewable Partners generates revenue through the sale of electricity produced by its renewable energy assets. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities, governments, and corporations, ensuring stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, BEP.UN benefits from government incentives for renewable energy generation and participates in energy trading markets. The company's earnings are also influenced by its strategic investments and acquisitions aimed at expanding its renewable infrastructure and optimizing its asset portfolio. Brookfield Renewable Partners leverages its global scale and operational expertise to enhance the efficiency and profitability of its renewable energy assets.

Brookfield Renewable Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brookfield Renewable Partners shows revenue growth and operational efficiency but faces challenges with profitability and financial leverage. The negative net income and absence of stockholders' equity highlight significant financial risks. Positive operational cash flows and strategic investments may support future performance, yet the current financial instability and high leverage are concerns. Sustainable profitability improvements and capital structure rebalancing are crucial for long-term success.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown growth, with the TTM total revenue rising by 16.6% compared to the previous year. However, the net income has been negative for the TTM, indicating challenges in profitability. The gross profit margin for the TTM is 56.1%, showing a strong ability to cover production costs, but the net profit margin is negative at -3.7%, reflecting issues in managing other expenses. The EBIT margin for the TTM is 5.9%, and the EBITDA margin is robust at 60.6%, suggesting operational efficiency but potential concerns in financial or other non-operational areas.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a significantly high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio being undefined due to zero stockholders' equity for the TTM, a potential risk. The equity ratio is 0% for the TTM due to the same reason. The return on equity is not meaningful due to negative net income and zero equity, indicating financial instability. Although total assets have grown, the lack of equity presents a structural risk.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Brookfield Renewable Partners exhibits a decline in free cash flow, which is negative for the TTM. However, the operating cash flow remains positive at $1.274 billion, suggesting operational stability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not useful due to negative net income, while free cash flow to net income is also not applicable in this scenario. The significant investment in capital expenditures could be a strategic move for future growth but currently pressures cash flow.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.88B5.04B4.71B4.10B3.81B
Gross Profit
3.30B3.10B3.28B2.73B2.54B
EBIT
0.002.90B1.49B836.00M657.00M
EBITDA
3.80B4.06B2.96B2.44B2.16B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-218.00M-50.00M138.00M-66.00M-45.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.20B1.36B998.00M764.00M431.00M
Total Assets
94.81B76.13B64.08B55.87B49.72B
Total Debt
35.55B30.47B27.48B21.99B18.08B
Net Debt
32.72B29.58B26.48B21.23B17.65B
Total Liabilities
58.35B46.15B37.80B31.87B27.95B
Stockholders Equity
0.0010.53B26.29B24.00B21.77B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-2.46B-944.00M-478.00M-1.23B849.00M
Operating Cash Flow
1.27B1.86B1.71B734.00M1.30B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.80B-4.36B-5.07B-2.50B-426.00M
Financing Cash Flow
7.65B2.60B3.49B2.14B-792.00M

Brookfield Renewable Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.28
Price Trends
50DMA
31.89
Negative
100DMA
32.42
Negative
200DMA
33.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
43.88
Neutral
STOCH
8.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BEP.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.65, below the 50-day MA of 31.89, and below the 200-day MA of 33.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BEP.UN.

Brookfield Renewable Partners Risk Analysis

Brookfield Renewable Partners disclosed 104 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brookfield Renewable Partners reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brookfield Renewable Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSFTS
73
Outperform
$32.96B20.267.47%3.75%-0.08%4.76%
TSNPI
73
Outperform
$4.84B17.986.48%6.61%5.08%
TSINE
70
Outperform
C$2.73B265.291.44%2.68%2.60%
65
Neutral
$11.67B15.526.23%4.52%5.50%-9.06%
TSBLX
64
Neutral
C$2.66B74.022.23%2.54%-16.54%-53.85%
TSAQN
51
Neutral
$5.29B1.65%7.19%-6.72%-6766.85%
47
Neutral
C$19.41B-4.87%6.98%22.01%-183.73%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
29.28
-0.09
-0.31%
TSE:FTS
Fortis
65.71
14.61
28.60%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
18.56
-2.47
-11.72%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
6.89
-1.16
-14.42%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
25.93
-1.47
-5.36%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.45
5.66
72.66%

Brookfield Renewable Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 31, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.45% | Next Earnings Date: May 2, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong start to the year with record funds from operations, a landmark agreement with Microsoft, and robust capital recycling and growth initiatives. While challenges in the interest rate environment and solar panel trade actions were noted, the company's strong financial position and strategic agreements position it well for future growth.
Highlights
Record Funds from Operations
Generated record funds from operations in Q1 2024, with FFO of $296 million, up 8% year-over-year, positioning well to deliver on a 10%-plus FFO per unit growth target for the year.
Landmark Agreement with Microsoft
Signed a renewable energy framework agreement with Microsoft to deliver over 10.5 gigawatts of new renewable energy capacity in the US and Europe between 2026 and 2030.
Strong Capital Recycling
Targeting to generate $3 billion of proceeds or $1.3 billion net to BEP in 2024 from asset recycling, with strong traction in launched sales processes.
Robust Growth Pipeline
Pipeline of attractive growth opportunities remains robust with access to scale capital and strong operating business, enabling strategic market entry and capital deployment.
Strong Financial Position
Executed almost $6 billion in financing and ended the quarter with $4.4 billion of available liquidity, supporting growth and unit repurchases.
Lowlights
Interest Rate Environment Challenges
Renewable power developers unprepared for higher interest rate environment face business model disruptions, impacting overall market conditions.
Tariffs and Trade Actions on Solar Panels
Trade actions on solar panel imports from China and Southeast Asia could impact project economics, though BEP claims to be well-positioned to manage these challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP.UN.TO), significant guidance was provided around their strategic growth initiatives and financial performance. The company reported record funds from operations (FFO) of $296 million, an 8% increase year-over-year, translating to $0.45 per unit. They emphasized their robust development pipeline, targeting a 10%-plus FFO per unit growth for the year. A landmark agreement with Microsoft was highlighted, wherein Brookfield will deliver over 10.5 gigawatts of new renewable energy capacity between 2026 and 2030. The company also plans to generate $3 billion in proceeds from asset recycling, with $1.3 billion net to BEP, while maintaining strong liquidity with $4.4 billion available to deploy significant capital into growth. Furthermore, Brookfield expressed confidence in delivering a 12% to 15% long-term total return for investors, leveraging their extensive development pipeline, which now approaches 160 gigawatts globally.

Brookfield Renewable Partners Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brookfield Renewable Sets Dividend Rates for Series 1 and 2 Preference Shares
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

Brookfield Renewable Partners announced the fixed and floating dividend rates for its Series 1 and Series 2 Class A Preference Shares. The Series 1 Shares will have a fixed annual dividend rate of 5.203% for five years starting May 1, 2025, while the Series 2 Shares will have a floating rate based on the yield of three-month Canadian treasury bills plus 2.62%. Shareholders have the option to convert between the two series under certain conditions. This announcement provides clarity on returns for investors and highlights the company’s strategic financial planning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Brookfield Renewable to Issue C$450 Million in Green Bonds
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Brookfield Renewable announced the issuance of C$450 million in green bonds, due in 2035, with a 4.542% interest rate. The proceeds will fund eligible investments under their Green Financing Framework, enhancing their position in sustainable finance. The bonds, rated BBB+ by major agencies, are part of Brookfield’s ongoing commitment to renewable energy and sustainable solutions, potentially impacting stakeholders by reinforcing the company’s financial strategy and market presence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.