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Ceres Global Ag Corp (TSE:CRP)
TSX:CRP
Canadian Market

Ceres Global (CRP) AI Stock Analysis

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Ceres Global

(TSX:CRP)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.50
▲(7.08%Upside)
Ceres Global's overall stock score is driven primarily by a stable financial performance and strong technical indicators, though it faces challenges in valuation due to a high P/E ratio. Positive corporate events provide additional upside potential, but the lack of earnings call data limits further insights into future guidance and sentiment.

Ceres Global (CRP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Ceres Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCeres Global Partners Inc. (CRP) is a North American agricultural, energy, and industrial products supply chain company. The company focuses on the procurement, storage, handling, and merchandising of agricultural commodities and value-added products. It operates through key segments including grain storage facilities, logistics centers, and a network of supply chain assets that connect producers with end-users across the continent.
How the Company Makes MoneyCeres Global generates revenue primarily through the trading and merchandising of agricultural commodities such as grains, oilseeds, and other related products. The company owns and operates various grain storage and handling facilities that provide storage and logistical solutions for producers and consumers, generating storage fees and service charges. Additionally, Ceres Global benefits from its strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the agricultural sector, enhancing its ability to deliver efficient supply chain solutions and expanding its reach in the market. Revenue is also driven by leveraging its logistics assets to optimize the transportation and distribution of goods, ensuring timely delivery and meeting market demands.

Ceres Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 140.87%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several operational achievements and cost reductions, offset by significant declines in revenue, profit, and trading margins. The company demonstrated growth in certain segments but faced challenges in others, especially in income and net income metrics.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Volumes Handled
The company set new record volumes handled with a 5.5% increase compared to last year, driven by strong trading and risk management practices.
Supply Chain Services Growth
Achieved record volumes and near-record revenues in the Supply Chain Services segment, with a 15.4% increase in revenue due to higher third-party storage and elevations.
Soybean Crush Volume and Margin Growth
The Seed Retail and Processing segment achieved record quarterly soybean crush volumes and margins, increasing by 4% and 14% respectively, over the same period last year.
Reduction in General and Administrative Expenses
General and administrative expenses decreased by 21.2% due to lower insurance expense, legal fees, and incentive accruals.
Interest Expense Reduction
Interest expense was reduced from $1.3 million last year to $737,000, attributed to lower average borrowings and proceeds from asset sales.
Negative Updates
Revenue and Profit Decline
Revenue fell by $13.9 million to $202.1 million, and gross profit decreased from $14.2 million to $7 million compared to the same period last year.
Income and Net Income Decrease
Income from operations decreased from $9 million to $2.9 million, and net income dropped from $6.2 million to $1.8 million compared to Q1 of last year.
Decline in Trading Margins
Net trading margin decreased by 46.6% from the prior year due to lower trading margins across core commodities.
Impact of Weather on Grain Segment
Flooding in Thief River Falls, Minnesota affected crop yields and quality, resulting in a 2% decline in volumes handled in the Grain segment.
Challenges with Soybean Crush Project
The company is still seeking partners for a soybean crush project, with uncertain prospects due to changing incentives for renewable diesel.
Company Guidance
During the Ceres Global Ag earnings call for Q1 2025, the company reported robust operational achievements alongside a few financial challenges. Operating income reached $2.9 million, and net income was $1.8 million, reflecting a decrease from the previous year due to the impact of benign weather conditions on trading opportunities. However, volumes handled increased by 5.5%, with significant gains in the Seed Retail and Processing segment, where soybean crush volumes and margins rose by 4% and 14%, respectively. The Supply Chain Services segment reported a 15.4% increase in revenue, driven by enhanced rail logistics and the Northgate facility's performance. Despite a revenue decline to $202.1 million and a drop in gross profit to $7 million, the company successfully reduced general and administrative expenses by 21.2% and interest expenses by nearly 43%. Ceres remains focused on strategic growth, including expanding partnerships in regenerative agriculture and monitoring global market conditions to optimize asset utilization and shareholder value.

Ceres Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ceres Global exhibits a mixed financial performance with moderate scores across the board. The income statement reflects challenges in revenue growth and profitability, but there is potential for recovery. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, and cash flows are robust, supporting operational needs. Overall, the company is on a recovery trajectory, yet significant improvements in profitability and revenue growth are needed.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ceres Global's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows challenges in revenue growth and profitability. The revenue declined compared to the previous annual period, and both gross and net profit margins are relatively low. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, indicating operational challenges. Nonetheless, there has been improvement from past losses, highlighting potential for recovery.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) is low due to constrained profitability, but the equity ratio indicates a stable asset structure with a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability but with room for enhanced profitability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Ceres Global demonstrates improving cash flow management with positive free cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, and the operating cash flow comfortably covers net income, indicating efficient cash operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests some constraints in translating profits into free cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
843.92M920.09M1.04B1.06B748.20M581.71M
Gross Profit
23.93M35.16M22.77M55.88M24.92M27.32M
EBIT
6.53M16.76M-2.71M23.97M8.87M9.62M
EBITDA
13.37M22.83M5.62M9.19M13.91M16.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.94M9.36M-7.91M-8.82M12.04M4.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.68M4.59M6.82M18.00M5.02M1.44M
Total Assets
291.75M259.38M263.63M333.95M338.59M254.99M
Total Debt
75.37M58.10M63.36M105.32M113.49M64.44M
Net Debt
71.70M55.35M57.33M88.11M109.28M63.74M
Total Liabilities
139.72M108.42M120.97M184.44M181.67M110.00M
Stockholders Equity
152.02M150.95M142.66M149.50M156.92M144.99M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
9.79M2.31M29.23M51.25M-35.55M6.07M
Operating Cash Flow
11.48M3.30M30.62M54.46M-25.94M7.86M
Investing Cash Flow
957.00K-621.00K792.00K-33.30M-18.03M-25.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-12.71M-5.97M-42.59M-8.16M47.48M16.47M

Ceres Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.07
Price Trends
50DMA
4.21
Positive
100DMA
3.47
Positive
200DMA
3.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Positive
RSI
86.99
Negative
STOCH
90.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CRP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.04, above the 50-day MA of 4.21, and above the 200-day MA of 3.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 86.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CRP.

Ceres Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSKBL
74
Outperform
C$443.83M20.159.69%4.74%16.35%3.98%
TSDXT
72
Outperform
C$556.43M17.7115.03%3.92%-10.24%-23.79%
TSGDI
71
Outperform
C$736.30M19.347.93%1.49%152.09%
TSDCM
71
Outperform
C$102.32M14.2021.19%2.79%-5.30%
64
Neutral
$8.53B10.304.25%5.88%4.06%-12.76%
TSCRP
63
Neutral
C$189.10M53.621.65%-4.70%-64.54%
TSCGY
58
Neutral
C$527.90M12,545.950.01%3.30%3.03%-99.78%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CRP
Ceres Global
6.07
3.09
103.69%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
8.93
3.79
73.74%
TSE:KBL
K-Bro Linen
34.37
2.80
8.87%
TSE:GDI
GDI Integrated
31.25
-0.43
-1.36%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.79
-0.63
-26.03%
TSE:CGY
Calian Group
46.42
-7.58
-14.04%

Ceres Global Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Ceres Global Ag Corp. Announces Shareholder Meeting for Acquisition by Bartlett Grain
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Ceres Global Ag Corp. has announced the filing and distribution of its management information circular related to a proposed plan of arrangement with Bartlett Grain Company. This transaction involves Bartlett Grain acquiring all outstanding common shares of Ceres for US$4.50 per share. The Ontario Superior Court of Justice has granted an interim order allowing Ceres to proceed with the shareholder meeting to vote on this arrangement. The independent committee and board of Ceres have unanimously recommended that shareholders vote in favor of the transaction, deeming it in the best interest of the corporation and fair to shareholders.

M&A Transactions
Ceres Global Ag Corp. to be Acquired by Bartlett Grain Company
Positive
May 20, 2025

Ceres Global Ag Corp. has entered into a definitive arrangement agreement to be acquired by Bartlett Grain Company for US$4.50 per share, representing a significant premium over its recent trading prices. This acquisition, unanimously approved by Ceres’ board and supported by major shareholders, is expected to enhance Bartlett’s supply chain capabilities and expand its agricultural portfolio. The transaction is subject to customary approvals and is anticipated to close by late Q2 or early Q3 2025.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ceres Global Ag Corp. Reports Increased Q3 Income Amid Market Volatility
Positive
May 14, 2025

Ceres Global Ag Corp. reported a net income of $1.6 million for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, an increase from the previous year’s $985 thousand. The company adapted to market volatility caused by U.S. trade policies, leveraging its assets and expertise to manage risks and deliver solid results. Ceres amended its revolving credit and term loan facilities, enhancing financial flexibility and linking sustainability initiatives to potential interest rate reductions. Looking forward, Ceres aims to navigate ongoing trade uncertainties and capitalize on market opportunities during the planting season, maintaining a focus on core strategy execution to deliver shareholder value.

Financial Disclosures
Ceres Global Ag Corp. to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results
Neutral
May 9, 2025

Ceres Global Ag Corp. announced it will release its fiscal 2025 third quarter financial results on May 14, 2025, with a conference call scheduled for the same day. The call will be co-chaired by Interim President and CEO Tom Coyle and CFO Blake Amundson, providing stakeholders an opportunity to engage with the company’s leadership. This announcement is significant for investors and stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ceres Global Ag Corp. Enhances Credit Facility to Support Regenerative Agriculture
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Ceres Global Ag Corp. has announced an amendment to its credit facility, which is now a sustainability-linked loan offering a reduced interest rate if certain regenerative agriculture performance indicators are met. This initiative, part of Ceres’ OREGEN™ program, strengthens its relationships with farmers and millers by meeting the growing demand for regenerative agriculture products, positioning Ceres as a leader in this field and supporting its business growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.