tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Cresco Labs OTC (TSE:CL)
OTHER OTC:CL

Cresco Labs (CL) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
202 Followers

Top Page

TSE:CL

Cresco Labs

(OTC:CL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.50
▲(10.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/08/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue contraction, continued net losses, and worsening leverage despite positive cash flow). Technicals are mixed with soft momentum, while the earnings call adds modest support through margin/cash-flow progress and improved maturity profile but is tempered by near-term revenue and margin headwinds. Valuation is difficult to support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt refinancing improved flexibility
Refinancing that reduces debt size and extends maturities is a durable improvement to liquidity and refinancing risk. It strengthens the company's ability to fund capex, store rollouts and targeted M&A over the next several quarters without forcing distressed asset sales or urgent refinancing.
Leading branded share in key states
Top branded share positions and quarterly wholesale growth indicate durable distribution scale and brand strength. Market leadership in multiple states supports pricing power, channel access and capacity utilization, underpinning steadier revenue and margin recovery over ensuing quarters.
Stable operating profitability metrics
Positive adjusted gross profit and EBITDA demonstrate core operations can generate cash despite headline losses. Combined with a moderate gross margin (48.42%) and operating cash flow generation, this suggests operational efficiency that can sustain reinvestment and improve earnings quality over several quarters.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.36 with negative ROE (-11.54%) signals material financial leverage that limits flexibility. Elevated leverage increases interest and covenant risk, reducing room to absorb demand shocks or fund expansion without further refinancing or equity raises in the medium term.
Declining revenue and net losses
Negative revenue growth and a persistent net loss margin undermine scale economics and cash generation. Without consistent top-line increases, the company faces pressure to convert operational improvements into sustainable net profits and free cash flow over coming quarters.
Price compression & higher cost inventory
Structural price compression and inventory sold at higher production cost are direct threats to margin sustainability. Exiting low-return markets like California reduces distraction but also highlights margin pressure and the need to restore unit economics across core markets over the next several quarters.

Cresco Labs (CL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cresco Labs Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCresco Labs Inc., together with its subsidiaries, cultivates, manufactures, and sells retail and medical cannabis products in the United States. It provides cannabis in flowers, vape pens, live resins, disposable pens, and extracts under the Cresco brand; vape carts, vape pens, flower, popcorn, shake, pre-rolls, shorties, and concentrates under the High Supply brand; vapes and gummies under the Good News brand; vapes and edibles under the Wonder Wellness Co. brand; and tinctures, capsules, salves, and sublingual oils under the Remedi brand, as well as cannabis products under the Reserve brand. The company also offers cannabis flowers under the FloraCal brand; and chocolate and toffee confections, fruit-forward gummies, hard sweets, and taffy under the Mindy's Edibles brand, as well as licenses the Kiva brand, which produces cannabis infused edibles, including chocolate confections, gummies, mints, and tarts. In addition, the company offers cannabis-infused edibles under the Sunnyside brand. As of December 6, 2022, it owned and operated 55 dispensaries. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCresco Labs generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cannabis products across various states where it operates. The company holds licenses for cultivation and retail operations, allowing it to produce its own products and sell them directly to consumers through its dispensaries. Key revenue streams include wholesale sales of cannabis flower and processed products to other dispensaries, retail sales from its own dispensaries, and partnerships with other cannabis brands for product distribution. Additionally, Cresco Labs benefits from strategic partnerships that enhance its market reach and expand its product offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Cresco Labs Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasizes sustained operational progress: meaningful margin expansion, consistent cash generation, a strengthened balance sheet, and market leadership in core states. Management also flagged near-term headwinds including modest revenue softening, a ~6% wholesale decline, an expected high single-digit sequential revenue drop in Q1 (driven by Michigan tax changes and the California exit), non-recurring margin items, competitive price compression, and a New York impairment. Overall, the company appears structurally stronger and focused on disciplined capital allocation and selective M&A, with near-term challenges that management believes are manageable and transitory.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Profitability
Reported Q4 revenue of $162,000,000, adjusted gross profit of $84,000,000, adjusted EBITDA of $40,000,000 and operating cash flow of $27,000,000, demonstrating positive cash generation and profitability in the quarter.
Full-Year Financial Results
Delivered full-year revenue of $656,000,000, adjusted EBITDA of $157,000,000 and operating cash flow of $73,000,000, while materially strengthening the balance sheet over 2025.
Margin Expansion
Adjusted gross margin expanded to 52.2% in Q4, up from 48.8% in Q3 (a +3.4 percentage point improvement). Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 25.0% of revenue in Q4, up from 24.1% in Q3 (+0.9 percentage point).
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Improvements
Ended the year with $94,000,000 in cash, no near-term debt maturities after refinancing and extending debt maturities to 2030, and demonstrated disciplined capital allocation and cash generation.
Operational Execution and Cost Control
Maintained tight expense controls with adjusted SG&A of $49,000,000 (30.5% of revenue); reduced bad debt reserves in Q4 which contributed to favorable expense leverage; invested modestly ($9,000,000 capex in Q4).
Retail and Wholesale Market Leadership
Maintains #1 branded market share in Illinois, Pennsylvania and Massachusetts (per Headset); leading retail positions in Illinois and among leaders in Ohio and Pennsylvania; Sunnyside network holds a 4.9 average Google rating.
Digital and Loyalty Strength
Over 500,000 loyalty members and ~75% of sales routed through digital gateway, enabling data-driven assortment, pricing and promotion strategies and reduced customer acquisition costs for new product launches.
Strategic Footprint Actions and International Pilot
Exited California to reallocate capital to higher-return markets; Germany pilot sold out ahead of schedule, with management reinvesting pilot profits and increasing scale in a measured, capital-light way.
M&A Pipeline and Strategic Options
Management reports a robust pipeline of tuck-in acquisition opportunities; focus on selective, disciplined M&A that meets strict return and integration thresholds to build density and operating leverage.
Negative Updates
Modest Revenue Softening and Wholesale Decline
Management acknowledged modest revenue softening in Q4 and disclosed wholesale revenue declined approximately 6% quarter over quarter as the company prioritized first-party retail over lower-margin wholesale volumes.
Q1 Revenue Headwinds Expected
Company expects a high single-digit sequential revenue decline in Q1 driven primarily by Michigan excise tax changes and the exit from California, plus normal seasonality and ongoing price compression.
Margin Benefits Partly Non-Recurring
Quarterly gross margin benefited from certain favorable discrete items that may not repeat, and management expects gross margin normalization from Q4's elevated level due to seasonal mix shifts and competitive pricing.
Competitive Pressure and Price Compression
Ongoing price compression and competition across core markets, partly exacerbated by intoxicating hemp availability which management says is a lower-price substitute; relief from hemp restrictions would be needed for meaningful pricing tailwind.
New York Impairment and Structural Concerns
Management took an impairment charge related to New York operations and indicated structural challenges in that market which muted the company's appetite for additional investment there absent clear improvement.
One-Time Expense Levers May Not Repeat
Reduction in bad debt reserves and other quarter-specific expense benefits contributed to favorable expense leverage in Q4 but management noted these are not expected to repeat in Q1, limiting near-term upside to margins.
Short-Term Growth Tradeoffs From Footprint Optimization
Exiting California and reallocating capital to higher-return markets strengthens the long-term position but creates near-term revenue headwinds and transitional disruption as markets are rebalanced.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Q1 should see a high-single-digit sequential decline in revenue (mostly from Michigan excise tax changes and the California exit) after reporting Q4 revenue of $162M and FY2025 revenue of $656M; Q4 adjusted gross profit was $84M (adjusted gross margin 52.2% vs. 48.8% in Q3), adjusted EBITDA was $40M (25.0% of revenue, up from 24.1%), adjusted SG&A was $49M (30.5% of revenue), operating cash flow was $27M in Q4 and $73M for the full year, capex was $9M in Q4, year-end cash was $94M with no near‑term maturities and debt maturities extended to 2030. Management expects gross margin to normalize from Q4’s elevated level as seasonal mix shifts and ongoing price compression continue, anticipates SG&A will remain generally consistent with recent run rates (i.e., no repeat of the prior-period bad-debt reserve benefit), reiterated that Q1 is not a change in direction, and said performance should build through 2026 as cultivation efficiencies, mix improvements and disciplined M&A/tuck‑in activity drive operating leverage.

Cresco Labs Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operational metrics show progress with positive EBIT/EBITDA and positive free cash flow, but the company remains loss-making with a -21% net margin and a steep revenue decline (~43% in 2025). Balance-sheet risk is elevated as leverage worsened (debt-to-equity ~2.31) alongside a sharp drop in equity.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Profitability has improved versus earlier years (positive EBIT and EBITDA in 2024–2025), and gross margin remains solid at ~46% in 2025. However, the business is still loss-making with a -21% net margin in 2025, and revenue is shrinking (down ~43% in 2025 after a ~6% decline in 2024), which puts pressure on scale and the path to sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
33
Negative
Leverage is elevated and worsening: debt-to-equity rose to ~2.31 in 2025 from ~1.35 in 2023–2024, driven by a sharp decline in equity (from ~475M in 2024 to ~252M in 2025). With continued net losses, return on equity remains deeply negative in 2025, leaving the balance sheet more vulnerable if profitability or revenue does not stabilize.
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: operating cash flow was positive in 2025 (~74M) and free cash flow remained positive (~38M). That said, cash flow weakened versus 2024 (free cash flow down sharply and negative growth), and operating cash flow covers less of accounting earnings quality than in 2024, suggesting less cushion if operating conditions soften further.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue667.33M724.34M770.88M842.68M821.68M
Gross Profit324.57M364.45M362.37M407.01M406.35M
EBITDA20.34M114.28M-13.97M-10.66M-159.63M
Net Income-137.78M-74.44M-175.52M-212.05M-319.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.36B1.36B1.58B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments90.92M137.56M103.43M119.34M223.54M
Total Debt583.10M639.64M682.76M670.17M624.74M
Total Liabilities943.08M967.18M930.40M996.01M982.73M
Stockholders Equity339.83M474.85M505.69M627.04M755.55M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow38.41M108.99M681.00K-67.39M-82.57M
Operating Cash Flow74.17M132.48M58.56M18.74M14.49M
Investing Cash Flow-41.42M-25.23M-44.59M-36.58M-163.93M
Financing Cash Flow-83.52M-71.48M-26.91M-86.64M235.00M

Cresco Labs Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.36
Price Trends
50DMA
1.48
Negative
100DMA
1.47
Negative
200DMA
1.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
49.52
Neutral
STOCH
47.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.33, below the 50-day MA of 1.48, and below the 200-day MA of 1.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CL.

Cresco Labs Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
C$2.08B16.236.29%6.18%-28.69%
56
Neutral
C$1.67B-13.95-9.71%4.27%3.41%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
C$2.45B-8.05-28.58%-3.38%-31.35%
48
Neutral
C$2.17B-1.75-30.10%-4.58%-141.91%
45
Neutral
C$601.92M-1.18-33.00%-6.48%22.63%
40
Neutral
C$18.10M-0.080.63%-31.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CL
Cresco Labs
1.28
0.26
25.49%
TSE:CURA
Curaleaf Holdings
3.01
1.73
135.16%
TSE:AYR.A
Ayr Wellness
0.16
-0.07
-31.11%
TSE:GTII
Green Thumb Industries
8.50
>-0.01
-0.12%
TSE:TRUL
Trulieve Cannabis
8.23
2.43
41.90%
TSE:VRNO
Verano Holdings
6.32
0.00
0.00%

Cresco Labs Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cresco Labs Grows Cash Flow and Margins Despite 2025 Impairment Charges
Positive
Mar 5, 2026

Cresco Labs reported full-year 2025 revenue of $656 million, gross profit of $325 million and adjusted EBITDA of $157 million, while generating $73 million in operating cash flow and $38 million in free cash flow. The company reduced adjusted SG&A, maintained leading market share in key states, and ended the year with $91 million in cash and $330 million in debt on its balance sheet.

In the fourth quarter, Cresco Labs delivered $162 million in revenue, a 52.2% adjusted gross margin and $40 million in adjusted EBITDA, alongside $27 million in operating cash flow. Despite a net loss driven largely by non-cash impairment charges tied to its New York and California operations, management emphasized improved margins, strengthened cash generation and a strategy to capitalize on industry consolidation and potential federal reforms.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CL) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresco Labs stock, see the TSE:CL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cresco Labs Sets March 5 Date to Report Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
Neutral
Feb 23, 2026

Cresco Labs announced it will release its full-year and fourth-quarter 2025 financial results on March 5, 2026, before the market opens, followed by an earnings conference call and webcast for investors. The planned disclosure underscores the company’s ongoing communication with the market and offers stakeholders insight into its operational performance and brand strategy execution in the competitive U.S. cannabis sector.

The call will provide key business highlights and will be accessible live and via an archived webcast on the Cresco Labs investor relations website for one year. This extended access is intended to increase transparency and engagement with shareholders and analysts, potentially informing views on Cresco’s growth trajectory, retail footprint under the Sunnyside brand and its positioning among leading multi-state cannabis operators.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CL) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresco Labs stock, see the TSE:CL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cresco Labs Launches US$100 Million At-the-Market Equity Program
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

Cresco Labs has established an at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program that will allow it to issue and sell up to approximately US$100 million (C$140 million) of subordinate voting shares from time to time through Haywood Securities on Canadian marketplaces. Management says the program adds flexible, opportunistic access to capital to support general corporate purposes and potential acquisitions, with any use of the facility guided by market conditions, the company’s valuation and the availability of accretive opportunities that can enhance profitability and strengthen the balance sheet, underscoring a disciplined capital allocation approach as the cannabis sector matures and regulatory reform advances.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CL) stock is a Hold with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresco Labs stock, see the TSE:CL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cresco Labs Expands Florida Footprint With New Sunnyside Tamarac Dispensary
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Cresco Labs has opened a new Sunnyside dispensary in Tamarac, Florida, its 31st location in the state and 72nd nationwide, expanding its medical cannabis retail footprint in what it describes as the largest medical market in the U.S. The Sunnyside Tamarac store, located on North University Drive, offers a broad range of Cresco Labs’ branded cannabis products and accessories, supports both in-store and online ordering, and underscores the company’s strategy of deepening patient access, brand presence and customer education across Florida’s growing medical marijuana market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CL) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresco Labs stock, see the TSE:CL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cresco Labs Hails U.S. Cannabis Rescheduling as Watershed Moment for Industry
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Cresco Labs has welcomed the U.S. federal government’s decision to move cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III, calling it the most consequential milestone in the history of the American cannabis sector. CEO Charlie Bachtell said rescheduling recognizes cannabis as medicine, narrows the gap between federal law and widespread state-level legalization, and is expected to ease punitive tax treatment, enable more robust medical research, and lay the foundation for future reforms in banking access and capital markets. The company argues the policy shift will validate state regulatory frameworks, support the roughly 450,000 workers in the regulated cannabis industry and help normalize cannabis as a mainstream U.S. industry, reinforcing Cresco’s strategy of building respected national brands and expanding its operational footprint in a more accommodating federal environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CL) stock is a Hold with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cresco Labs stock, see the TSE:CL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 08, 2026