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Cargojet Inc (TSE:CJT)
TSX:CJT
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Cargojet (CJT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CJT

Cargojet

(TSX:CJT)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$82.00
▲(3.22% Upside)
Cargojet's strong financial performance and strategic positioning for future growth are offset by technical weaknesses and challenges in global trade. The company's valuation is attractive, but managing debt and cash flow remains crucial.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Cargojet's strong domestic revenue growth, driven by e-commerce and pricing adjustments, indicates a robust market position and adaptability to demand shifts.
Leadership Transition
The leadership transition to Pauline Dhillon as CEO suggests strategic continuity and potential for new initiatives, supporting long-term growth.
Debt Refinancing
Refinancing debt at a lower interest rate extends maturity and reduces costs, enhancing financial flexibility and long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
Increasing Debt Levels
Rising debt levels, if not managed, could strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential cash management challenges, impacting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Global Trade Uncertainty
Global trade uncertainties can affect demand for air cargo services, posing risks to revenue stability and requiring strategic adjustments.

Cargojet (CJT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cargojet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCargojet Inc. (CJT) is a leading provider of air cargo services in Canada, specializing in overnight air cargo delivery solutions. The company operates a fleet of dedicated freighter aircraft, offering time-sensitive delivery options to various sectors including e-commerce, healthcare, and automotive. With a focus on efficiency and reliability, Cargojet has established a robust network that connects major cities across Canada and provides international services to the United States and other global markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCargojet generates revenue primarily through its air cargo services, which include overnight express delivery and charter services. The company's revenue model is built on long-term contracts with major clients, including e-commerce giants and retailers, which provide a stable income stream. Key revenue streams include scheduled cargo flights, charter services for specific customer needs, and dedicated fleet services for businesses requiring consistent transportation solutions. Additionally, partnerships with logistics companies and freight forwarders enhance Cargojet's service offerings and expand its market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings. The company also benefits from seasonal demand spikes, particularly during peak shopping periods, which further bolsters its financial performance.

Cargojet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong domestic growth and strategic leadership transitions, as well as new route expansions that position Cargojet for future growth. However, these positives are balanced by significant challenges in ACMI and charter revenues due to global trade disruptions and uncertainties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Domestic Network Performance
Domestic network grew by more than 6% year-over-year and over 12% year-to-date, driven by e-commerce volumes and inflation-based price increases.
Leadership Transition
The transition of Pauline Dhillon as CEO effective January 1, 2026, with continued strategic guidance from Jamie Porteous.
New Route Expansion
Announced scheduled service to Liege, Belgium, linking domestic network with Europe's leading cargo gateway.
Debt Refinancing Achievement
Redemption of 5.25% senior unsecured notes using proceeds from a new offering at 4.599%, extending debt maturity profile and reducing interest costs.
Negative Updates
Decline in ACMI Revenue
Year-over-year decline due to disruptions in transatlantic trade routes and shift to more north-south focused operations.
Charter Business Decline
Year-over-year decline in charter business due to disruptions in transpacific trade, with a reduction from 5 to 3 flights per week between China and Canada.
Global Trade Uncertainty
Impact of seismic shifts in global trade, including removal of U.S. de minimis exemption, creating near-term demand uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the Cargojet Canada Limited conference call, the company provided guidance emphasizing resilience and discipline amid global trade disruptions and uncertainties in demand. The domestic network showed strong growth, with revenues increasing by over 6% year-over-year and more than 12% year-to-date, primarily driven by rising e-commerce volumes and inflation-based pricing adjustments. Despite challenges in transatlantic trade routes leading to a decline in ACMI revenue due to shifts in operations toward North-South routes, the company maintained robust partnerships and forecasted stabilization in air cargo corridors. Additionally, Cargojet's charter business experienced a year-over-year decline, operating three flights per week versus five in the previous year, with expectations of recovery in Q4 due to the holiday peak season. The company's dedication to flexible fleet management and cost discipline resulted in an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 32%, consistent with historical trends in the low 30% range.

Cargojet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cargojet demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with solid operating cash flows. However, increasing debt levels and negative free cash flow in the TTM period highlight areas for improvement in financial management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Cargojet has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 72.6% increase. The company maintains healthy profit margins, with a TTM net profit margin of 12.15% and an EBIT margin of 19.90%. However, there has been some fluctuation in margins over the years, indicating potential volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 in the TTM, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is solid at 16.88%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains strong, with a TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.80. However, the negative free cash flow in the TTM period is a concern, despite a significant growth rate of 203.34%. This suggests potential challenges in cash management and capital expenditure.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.03B1.00B877.50M979.90M757.80M668.50M
Gross Profit238.30M225.80M138.10M247.50M232.40M250.50M
EBITDA283.70M274.60M219.80M292.30M270.00M228.00M
Net Income145.70M108.40M37.30M190.60M167.40M-87.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B1.93B2.04B1.99B1.49B1.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.00M1.50M31.80M6.10M94.70M3.70M
Total Debt959.70M755.10M799.20M707.00M398.60M572.80M
Total Liabilities1.34B1.19B1.25B1.15B813.40M1.05B
Stockholders Equity731.70M737.70M784.50M831.50M676.40M175.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-108.90M78.60M-73.90M-328.70M-32.60M146.00M
Operating Cash Flow292.60M328.60M192.80M282.50M245.00M292.60M
Investing Cash Flow-394.30M-142.70M-127.50M-615.10M-280.40M-127.70M
Financing Cash Flow102.10M-216.20M-39.60M244.00M126.40M-162.80M

Cargojet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.44
Price Trends
50DMA
82.13
Negative
100DMA
91.51
Negative
200DMA
90.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
54.12
Neutral
STOCH
88.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CJT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.22, below the 50-day MA of 82.13, and below the 200-day MA of 90.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CJT.

Cargojet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$1.22B12.839.33%5.76%5.53%-21.87%
72
Outperform
C$640.22M18.6414.38%3.04%-0.73%221.74%
70
Outperform
C$4.20B28.919.88%3.32%15.47%9.40%
67
Neutral
$1.15B9.6316.75%1.76%7.71%3170.43%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$5.63B-10.66%-0.09%-109.21%
60
Neutral
15.64%0.86%0.34%10.40%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CJT
Cargojet
79.44
-36.13
-31.26%
TSE:AC
Air Canada
19.09
-5.81
-23.33%
TSE:EIF
Exchange Income
79.85
25.28
46.33%
TSE:DXT
Dexterra Group
11.93
4.87
68.98%
TSE:MTL
Mullen Group
14.58
-0.11
-0.75%
TSE:AND
Andlauer Healthcare Group
54.97
12.41
29.15%

Cargojet Corporate Events

Cargojet Reports Resilient Q3 Amid Economic Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Cargojet Inc., a prominent Canadian air cargo carrier, specializes in time-sensitive premium air cargo services across North America, operating a fleet of 41 freighter aircraft. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Cargojet showcased its resilience amidst economic challenges, with a notable increase in domestic network revenue by over 6% year-over-year, despite a decline in total revenues due to macroeconomic impacts on its ACMI and Charter services.

Cargojet’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Trade Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Cargojet’s recent earnings call painted a picture of balanced optimism and caution, with strong domestic growth and strategic leadership transitions at the forefront. The company is poised for future expansion with new routes, yet faces challenges from global trade disruptions impacting ACMI and charter revenues.

Executive/Board Changes
Cargojet Announces Retirement of Co-CEO Jamie B. Porteous
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Cargojet announced the retirement of Co-CEO and Founding Member Jamie B. Porteous, effective December 31, 2025. Jamie, who has been pivotal in transforming Cargojet into a premier air cargo carrier, will remain as a Strategic Advisor until the end of 2026 to ensure a smooth transition. His leadership has been instrumental in building strong customer partnerships and fostering a culture of service excellence. The company acknowledges his significant contributions and looks forward to his continued guidance in his advisory role.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cargojet Appoints Pauline Dhillon as New CEO to Lead Global Expansion
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Cargojet has announced that Pauline Dhillon will become the Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2026. Dhillon, who has been with the company since its inception, has played a pivotal role in its growth and development. Her leadership is expected to drive Cargojet’s expansion into European and Asian markets, leveraging its strong business model and customer relationships to tap into high-growth opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cargojet Reports Strong Domestic Growth Amidst Macroeconomic Challenges
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Cargojet Inc. reported its third-quarter financial results, showcasing a strong performance in its domestic network with a 6% increase in revenue year-over-year, despite facing macroeconomic challenges that affected its ACMI and Charter services. The company achieved a robust EBITDA margin of 32% and a significant increase in free cash flow, demonstrating effective cost and capital management. However, total revenues decreased by 10.5%, and net earnings fell by 70.4%, primarily due to declines in ACMI and Charter revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cargojet Expands Direct Air Cargo Service to Europe
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Cargojet Inc. is expanding its operations by launching a direct air cargo service connecting Canada with Europe, starting November 1, 2025. This new service will enhance Cargojet’s global network by linking Liege Airport, a key European cargo hub, with Canada’s major cargo centers. The initiative aims to strengthen transatlantic trade, offering faster transit times and greater flexibility for shippers, and is part of Cargojet’s long-term expansion strategy to solidify its position in the global logistics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cargojet Renews IATA Operational Safety Registration
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Cargojet Inc. has successfully renewed its International Air Transport Association (IATA) Operational Safety Audit (IOSA) registration, underscoring its commitment to maintaining high safety and compliance standards. This achievement reinforces Cargojet’s reputation for operational excellence and reliability in the air cargo industry, highlighting the dedication of its team to uphold these standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cargojet Completes Redemption of $115 Million Debentures
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

Cargojet Inc. has successfully redeemed its outstanding $115 million 5.25% senior unsecured hybrid debentures due in 2026, using proceeds from a previous offering of 4.599% senior unsecured notes. This strategic financial move reflects Cargojet’s proactive management of its debt obligations, potentially enhancing its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$135.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Cargojet Schedules Third Quarter Financial Results Announcement
Neutral
Oct 1, 2025

Cargojet Inc. announced it will release its third-quarter financial results on November 4, 2025, after market close. A conference call to discuss these results will be held on November 5, 2025, led by the company’s co-CEOs and CFO, which may provide insights into the company’s operational performance and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$149.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Cargojet Declares Quarterly Dividend, Strengthening Shareholder Value
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

Cargojet Inc. has announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.35 per common and variable voting share for the period from July 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025. This move reflects the company’s commitment to providing shareholder value and may impact its financial positioning positively, reinforcing its status as a key player in the air cargo industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Hold with a C$109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cargojet to Redeem 5.25% Senior Debentures Early
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

Cargojet Inc. announced its plan to redeem all outstanding 5.25% senior unsecured hybrid debentures on October 9, 2025, ahead of their original maturity date in 2026. This strategic financial move will be funded by proceeds from a recent offering of 4.599% senior unsecured notes, potentially enhancing Cargojet’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Buy with a C$116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cargojet Retains ISO 9001:2015 Certification for 23rd Year
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Cargojet has successfully retained its ISO 9001:2015 Quality Standard Accreditation for the twenty-third consecutive year, reinforcing its commitment to high-quality, safe, and reliable service. This achievement highlights the dedication of Cargojet’s team and the effectiveness of its quality management systems, solidifying its position as the only air cargo carrier in Canada with this consistent certification.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Hold with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Cargojet’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 13, 2025

Cargojet’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust domestic growth and successful charter business operations, despite facing challenges such as global economic uncertainty and softness in European routes. The company expressed optimism about future growth and improvements, underpinned by long-term client contracts and operational resilience.

Cargojet Reports Q2 Revenue Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Cargojet Inc., a leading provider of time-sensitive premium air cargo services across North America, operates a fleet of Boeing aircraft and offers dedicated, ACMI, and international charter services. In its second quarter financial results for 2025, Cargojet reported total revenues of $238.2 million, marking a 3.2% increase from the previous year, driven by a 14% rise in domestic revenues and a 22% growth in charter revenues. Despite a net loss of $3.2 million, the company achieved a record on-time arrival performance of 99.5% and improved its adjusted EBITDA by 1.4% to $80.2 million. Key highlights include a significant reduction in net loss by 87.2% compared to the previous year and an adjusted earnings per share increase to $1.02. The company also noted a 42.3% decrease in net cash from operating activities. Looking ahead, Cargojet’s management remains focused on delivering shareholder value through cost management and productivity initiatives, while anticipating new opportunities from the EU-US trade deal.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cargojet Reports Revenue Growth and Operational Efficiency in Q2 2025
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Cargojet Inc. reported a 3.2% increase in total revenues for the second quarter of 2025, driven by significant growth in domestic and charter revenues. Despite a net loss of $3.2 million, the company achieved record on-time performance and improved adjusted EBITDA margins, highlighting effective cost management and productivity initiatives. The EU-US trade deal is expected to open new opportunities in the coming quarters, potentially enhancing Cargojet’s position in the air cargo market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Hold with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cargojet and DHL Extend Strategic Partnership to 2033 with C$3.2 Billion Revenue Target
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Cargojet has extended its strategic partnership with DHL until 2033, with potential extensions to 2037, aiming for a revenue target of up to C$3.2 billion. This agreement solidifies Cargojet’s position as a key player in global logistics, offering a comprehensive range of air-transportation services to support DHL’s global network. The partnership includes a minimum monthly block hours guarantee and opportunities for Cargojet to expand its routes. Additionally, Cargojet will issue warrants to DHL, aligning interests and strengthening their long-term relationship.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Hold with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cargojet and DHL Extend Strategic Partnership to 2033 with C$3.2 Billion Revenue Target
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Cargojet Inc. has extended its strategic agreement with DHL Network Operations until 2033, with potential extensions to 2037, aiming for a revenue target of up to C$3.2 billion. This agreement strengthens Cargojet’s position as a key player in global logistics, offering a comprehensive range of air transportation services to support DHL’s logistics network. The partnership will see Cargojet providing preferred opportunities for additional routes and includes a new warrant agreement tied to business volume delivery, reflecting a deepened commitment between the two companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CJT) stock is a Hold with a C$120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cargojet stock, see the TSE:CJT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025