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Boyd Group Services (TSE:BYD)
TSX:BYD
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Boyd Group Services (BYD) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BYD

Boyd Group Services

(TSX:BYD)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$239.00
▲(7.31% Upside)
Boyd Group Services' overall stock score is driven by strong operational improvements and strategic milestones highlighted in the earnings call. However, concerns about profitability, high leverage, and potential overvaluation weigh on the score. The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend, but the high P/E ratio suggests caution. The company's strategic initiatives and market expansion efforts are promising, but financial health and valuation concerns need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
Opportunities to grow were highlighted during the Capital Markets Day.
Market Share
BYD continues to take market share, with same-store sales improving quarter-over-quarter.
Organic Growth
Reaccelerating organic growth makes it one of the best smidcap ideas.
Negative Factors
Claims Volume Pressure
Repairable claims volumes were down more over the first two months of the first quarter than during the fourth quarter.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Management called out SSS headwinds have generally continued into 2025, with claims volumes declining due to general macro uncertainty and insurance inflation.
Near-term Challenges
Management continues to sound cautious around near-term claims volume given consumer/macro headwinds.

Boyd Group Services (BYD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boyd Group Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoyd Group Services Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates non-franchised collision repair centers in North America. The company operates its locations under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Assured Automotive names in Canada; and Gerber Collision & Glass name in the United States. It also operates as a retail auto glass operator under the Gerber Collision & Glass, Glass America, Auto Glass Service, Auto Glass Authority, and Autoglassonly.com names in the United States. In addition, the company operates a third-party administrator, Gerber National Claims Services that offers glass, emergency roadside, and first notice of loss services. It serves insurance companies and individual vehicle owners. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Winnipeg, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoyd Group Services generates revenue primarily through its automotive collision repair services, which include bodywork and paint services for vehicles damaged in accidents. The company earns money from insurance claims as many repairs are covered by insurance policies. Key revenue streams include direct payments from customers, insurance reimbursements, and ancillary services such as glass replacement and detailing. Additionally, BYD benefits from partnerships with major insurance companies that direct business to its shops, enhancing customer acquisition and retention. The company's focus on expanding its network and optimizing operational efficiencies further contributes to its profitability.

Boyd Group Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a positive sentiment with Boyd Group Services showcasing strong operational improvements and strategic milestones, despite facing industry challenges and a decline in same-store sales. The company demonstrated strong gross margin and adjusted EBITDA performance, driven by successful execution of Project 360 initiatives. However, challenges remain with declines in same-store sales and net earnings, as well as increased operating expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Margin Expansion
Boyd Group Services expanded its gross margins by 120 basis points to 46.8% in Q2 2025, due to internalization of scanning and calibration, improved performance-based pricing, and increased parts margins.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Achievement
The company's adjusted EBITDA margins increased to 12%, the highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin performance since 2023, reflecting a 4.7% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA.
Project 360 Initiatives
Successful execution of the indirect staffing model as part of Project 360, expected to generate $30 million in annual run rate savings starting in Q2 2025, with further savings expected.
Milestone in Location Growth
Achieved the 1,000th location milestone and closed the first MSO acquisition since 2021, with plans to open an average of 8 to 10 new start-up locations per quarter going forward.
Positive Signs in Same-Store Sales
Modest same-store sales growth observed in July, with improvement continuing into the third quarter despite ongoing industry challenges.
Negative Updates
Decline in Same-Store Sales
Same-store sales, excluding foreign exchange, decreased by 2.1% in Q2 2025, despite a 0.2% increase in overall sales to $780.4 million.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for Q2 2025 were $271.7 million, representing 34.8% of sales, up from 34.1% in the same period of 2024, due to lower same-store sales and increased facility maintenance costs.
Decline in Net Earnings
Net earnings for Q2 2025 were $5.4 million, down from $10.8 million in the same period of 2024, impacted by increased depreciation and finance costs.
Challenging Industry Volumes
Industry volumes continued to be challenged, with Boyd Group’s sales growth offset by a decline in same-store sales and industry volumes down 6% to 8%.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Boyd Group Services, Inc. demonstrated significant progress in its operational and financial performance, as reported in their recent earnings call. The company expanded its gross margins by 120 basis points to 46.8% and increased its adjusted EBITDA margins to 12%, marking the highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA margin performance since 2023. Boyd also achieved a 0.2% increase in sales to $780.4 million, despite a 2.1% decrease in same-store sales, which was offset by the addition of 53 new locations. Boyd's Project 360 initiative was a key driver of these improvements, helping the company realize $30 million in annual run rate savings from an indirect staffing model and aiming for $40 million in incremental savings from procurement spending by the end of 2026. Additionally, Boyd surpassed its 1,000th location milestone, reflecting its strategic focus on new location growth and market share gains. The company plans to open an average of 8 to 10 new start-up locations per quarter going forward, leveraging a more strategic approach to its go-to-market strategy. Although industry volumes in the second quarter were challenged, Boyd saw a modest improvement in same-store sales growth in July, driven by better customer relationships and an enhanced focus on insurance company clients’ unique performance metrics.

Boyd Group Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boyd Group Services demonstrates solid financial performance with consistent revenue growth and efficient cash management. However, high leverage and variability in net profit margins indicate areas for improvement.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Boyd Group Services has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2021 to 2025. The gross profit margin is healthy, reflecting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has seen variability, indicating challenges in controlling costs beyond the gross level. EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest solid operational performance but with room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company maintains a balanced equity ratio, indicating a stable financial structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, which could pose risks if leverage is not managed properly. Return on equity has been inconsistent, reflecting fluctuations in net income.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Boyd Group Services exhibits strong operating cash flows, consistently covering capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust, signifying effective cash generation relative to earnings. While there has been some variability in free cash flow growth, the overall cash flow position remains strong.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.06B3.07B2.95B2.43B1.87B1.64B
Gross Profit1.41B1.40B1.34B1.09B839.26M754.36M
EBITDA318.11M325.89M364.09M353.65M267.75M298.31M
Net Income8.12M24.54M86.66M40.96M23.54M44.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.49B2.46B2.38B2.10B2.03B1.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.69M20.00M22.51M15.07M27.71M60.95M
Total Debt1.26B1.25B1.14B978.10M985.42M598.62M
Total Liabilities1.65B1.63B1.55B1.36B1.30B858.54M
Stockholders Equity839.30M830.86M828.33M746.60M726.43M710.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow252.29M232.87M298.38M230.62M160.32M213.88M
Operating Cash Flow321.95M313.32M357.55M264.25M196.71M240.74M
Investing Cash Flow-150.43M-207.74M-244.40M-47.92M-354.10M
Financing Cash Flow-172.35M-106.88M-105.93M-228.37M124.37M

Boyd Group Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price222.71
Price Trends
50DMA
208.02
Positive
100DMA
206.45
Positive
200DMA
214.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.51
Negative
RSI
66.78
Neutral
STOCH
80.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BYD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 222.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 205.50, above the 50-day MA of 208.02, and above the 200-day MA of 214.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BYD.

Boyd Group Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$4.78B432.390.97%0.27%3.65%-86.07%
61
Neutral
$17.75B12.51-5.49%3.06%1.43%-14.10%
$3.21B21.063.61%1.44%
$508.52M5.32-4.10%2.08%
$4.20B18.6226.57%1.06%
57
Neutral
C$783.64M20.23%-20.36%50.19%
53
Neutral
C$2.19B-26.25%9.12%-182.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BYD
Boyd Group Services
222.71
-0.08
-0.04%
LIMAF
Linamar
53.81
8.12
17.77%
MRETF
Martinrea International
7.17
-1.24
-14.74%
DOOO
BRP
56.81
-13.44
-19.13%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
33.85
18.93
126.88%
TSE:NFI
NFI Group Inc
18.36
-0.63
-3.32%

Boyd Group Services Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boyd Group Services Reports Q2 2025 Results, Surpasses 1,000 Locations
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. reported a slight increase in sales for the second quarter of 2025, driven by new location growth despite a decline in same-store sales. The company achieved margin expansion through profitability initiatives, including the internalization of scanning and calibration services, and cost reductions from a new indirect staffing model. Boyd’s location count surpassed 1,000, reflecting its strategic growth efforts. The appointment of Brian Kaner as CEO and ongoing cost transformation plans are expected to further enhance profitability, with a target Adjusted EBITDA margin of 14% by 2029.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$295.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Boyd Group Services to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced it will release its fiscal 2025 second quarter results on August 13, 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by top executives to discuss the financial outcomes. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$285.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Boyd Group Services Declares Q2 2025 Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.153 per common share for the second quarter of 2025, payable on July 29, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, while non-resident shareholders will be subject to withholding taxes. The dividend declaration underscores Boyd Group’s stable financial position and its strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Boyd Group Services Announces Election of Directors
Positive
May 15, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced the election of its directors as per the management proxy circular dated March 25, 2025, during the Annual General and Special Meeting held on May 14, 2025. The election results indicate strong support for the nominated directors, reflecting confidence in the company’s leadership and potentially impacting its strategic direction positively. This development is significant for stakeholders as it reinforces the company’s governance structure and may influence its future operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025