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Boyd Group Services Inc (TSE:BYD)
:BYD

Boyd Group Services (BYD) AI Stock Analysis

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Boyd Group Services

(OTC:BYD)

Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
C$214.00
▲(0.48%Upside)
Boyd Group Services has shown strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability and leverage. Technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, while valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. Despite positive corporate events and strategic initiatives, the company's financial health and market conditions pose risks, resulting in a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Growth Opportunities
Opportunities to grow were highlighted during the Capital Markets Day.
Market Share
BYD continues to take market share, with same-store sales improving quarter-over-quarter.
Organic Growth
Reaccelerating organic growth makes it one of the best smidcap ideas.
Negative Factors
Claims Volume Pressure
Management called out SSS headwinds have generally continued into 2025, with claims volumes declining due to general macro uncertainty and insurance inflation.
Moderate Growth Expectations
Do not expect a material multiple re-rating to occur until there is a clear line of sight for Boyd to return to a mid-single-digit growth rate.
Near-term Challenges
Management continues to sound cautious around near-term claims volume given consumer/macro headwinds.

Boyd Group Services (BYD) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boyd Group Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoyd Group Services Inc. is a leading operator in the automotive collision repair industry, primarily operating under the Boyd Autobody & Glass and Gerber Collision & Glass brands across North America. The company provides comprehensive collision repair services, including bodywork, painting, and glass repair for both individual consumers and commercial fleets. With a strong presence in both Canada and the United States, Boyd Group Services has established itself as a trusted name in the automotive repair sector, recognized for its high-quality service and customer satisfaction.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoyd Group Services generates revenue primarily through its network of collision repair centers, which service vehicles needing bodywork and glass repair due to accidents or other damage. The company makes money by charging customers for repair services, which are often covered by insurance claims. Boyd Group Services has strategic partnerships with insurance companies, which refer clients to their repair centers, ensuring a steady stream of business. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale due to its extensive network of locations, which allows it to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers and optimize operational efficiencies, further enhancing profitability.

Boyd Group Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Boyd Group showed resilience with market share gains and gross margin improvements despite facing challenges such as declining same-store sales and increased operating expenses. Project 360 is showing early success with potential cost savings. However, the company is dealing with a net loss and reduced adjusted EBITDA, reflecting ongoing market headwinds.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Market Share Gains
Boyd posted same-store sales declines of only 2.8% in a market where declines in repairable claims were estimated to be down 9% to 10%.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross profit increased by $6.7 million, with a gross margin of 46.2%, up 140 basis points from the prior year.
Project 360 Early Success
Early signs of success from Project 360, including an indirect staffing model expected to save $30 million annually.
Five-Year Growth Strategy
Boyd aims to grow revenue to $5 billion and double adjusted EBITDA to $700 million by 2029.
Negative Updates
Decline in Same-Store Sales
Same-store sales excluding foreign exchange decreased by 2.8% in the first quarter.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for the first quarter were $278.7 million, representing 35.8% of sales, up from 34.4% in the prior year.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $80.5 million, a decrease of 1.4% from the prior year.
Net Loss
Boyd reported a net loss of $2.6 million compared to net earnings of $8.4 million in the same period of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Boyd Group Services Inc. First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, several key metrics and business updates were discussed. Same-store sales declined by 2.8%, which was better than the estimated industry decline of 9% to 10% in repairable claims. Gross profit increased by $6.7 million, with a gross margin of 46.2%, up 140 basis points from the previous year, driven by internalization of scanning and calibration services and improvements in performance-based pricing. Operating expenses for the quarter were $278.7 million, representing 35.8% of sales, up from 34.4% in the same period of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 1.4% to $80.5 million. Net loss was $2.6 million, compared to net earnings of $8.4 million in Q1 2024. The company continues to focus on its long-term growth strategy, aiming to grow revenue to $5 billion and double adjusted EBITDA to $700 million by 2029, with initiatives like Project 360 expected to drive significant cost savings. Boyd Group plans to open eight new start-up sites in the second quarter and 16 more throughout the rest of the year.

Boyd Group Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boyd Group Services shows impressive revenue growth, but declining profitability margins suggest rising costs or inefficiencies. The balance sheet indicates high leverage risks, while strong cash flows demonstrate effective cash management. Improvement is needed in profitability and leverage metrics.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Boyd Group Services demonstrates a consistent revenue growth trajectory with a notable increase from $1.87 billion in 2021 to $3.07 billion in 2024, reflecting robust business expansion. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly from 2.94% in 2021 to 0.80% in 2024, indicating rising costs or inefficiencies. The gross profit margin remains strong, averaging around 45%, but the EBIT margin has dropped to 0% in 2024, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.51 in 2024, which could indicate potential leverage risks. However, the return on equity has decreased from 3.24% in 2021 to 2.95% in 2024, suggesting limited returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio has shown slight improvement, indicating a stable asset base backed by equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Boyd Group Services maintains strong operating cash flows, with a slight decline from $357.5 million in 2023 to $313.3 million in 2024. The free cash flow has also decreased, impacting the free cash flow to net income ratio. Despite these challenges, the operating cash flow to net income ratio remains robust at 12.77 in 2024, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.07B2.95B2.43B1.87B1.64B
Gross Profit1.40B1.34B1.09B839.26M754.36M
EBITDA325.89M364.09M353.65M267.75M298.31M
Net Income24.54M86.66M40.96M23.54M44.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.46B2.38B2.10B2.03B1.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.00M22.51M15.07M27.71M60.95M
Total Debt1.25B1.14B978.10M985.42M598.62M
Total Liabilities1.63B1.55B1.36B1.30B858.54M
Stockholders Equity830.86M828.33M746.60M726.43M710.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.87M298.38M230.62M160.32M213.88M
Operating Cash Flow313.32M357.55M264.25M196.71M240.74M
Investing Cash Flow-207.74M-244.40M-47.92M-354.10M
Financing Cash Flow-106.88M-105.93M-228.37M124.37M

Boyd Group Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price212.98
Price Trends
50DMA
205.87
Positive
100DMA
216.04
Negative
200DMA
215.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.12
Negative
RSI
61.35
Neutral
STOCH
90.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BYD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 212.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 204.84, above the 50-day MA of 205.87, and below the 200-day MA of 215.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BYD.

Boyd Group Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSLNR
71
Outperform
C$3.77B14.924.66%2.52%2.26%-54.00%
TSMRE
67
Neutral
$612.87M5.65-3.98%2.38%-9.36%-145.18%
TSNFI
66
Neutral
C$2.04B-0.03%15.99%99.83%
66
Neutral
€8.71B14.015.85%3.23%3.86%-31.71%
TSACQ
63
Neutral
C$510.69M9.31%-18.16%-275.09%
TSBYD
59
Neutral
C$4.56B248.181.63%0.29%4.70%-81.62%
TSDOO
58
Neutral
$4.81B19.6626.57%1.31%-22.34%-110.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BYD
Boyd Group Services
212.59
-43.70
-17.05%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
64.10
-0.55
-0.85%
TSE:DOO
BRP
65.85
-19.93
-23.24%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
8.51
-2.80
-24.74%
TSE:NFI
NFI Group Inc
17.15
1.53
9.80%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
22.06
2.49
12.72%

Boyd Group Services Corporate Events

Dividends
Boyd Group Services Declares Q2 2025 Cash Dividend
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced a cash dividend of $0.153 per common share for the second quarter of 2025, payable on July 29, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders, while non-resident shareholders will be subject to withholding taxes. The dividend declaration underscores Boyd Group’s stable financial position and its strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Boyd Group Services Announces Election of Directors
Positive
May 15, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced the election of its directors as per the management proxy circular dated March 25, 2025, during the Annual General and Special Meeting held on May 14, 2025. The election results indicate strong support for the nominated directors, reflecting confidence in the company’s leadership and potentially impacting its strategic direction positively. This development is significant for stakeholders as it reinforces the company’s governance structure and may influence its future operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boyd Group Services Reports Q1 2025 Results with Strategic Expansion and Improved Margins
Positive
May 14, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. reported a slight decrease in sales by 1.0% to $778.3 million for the first quarter of 2025, with same-store sales declining by 2.8%. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a gross profit increase of $6.7 million, or 1.9%, attributed to internal improvements and strategic initiatives. The company also expanded its operations by adding nine new collision repair locations and two glass business acquisitions. Boyd’s implementation of a new indirect staffing model is expected to generate significant cost savings, indicating a positive outlook for future financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BYD) stock is a Buy with a C$350.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boyd Group Services stock, see the TSE:BYD Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Boyd Group Services to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Boyd Group Services Inc. announced it will release its fiscal 2025 first quarter results on May 14, 2025, followed by a conference call hosted by its management team. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025