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Aritzia (TSE:ATZ)
TSX:ATZ
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Aritzia (ATZ) AI Stock Analysis

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Aritzia

(TSX:ATZ)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$85.00
▲(14.90%Upside)
Aritzia demonstrates strong financial performance and growth potential, particularly in the U.S. market and e-commerce segments. Despite a premium valuation and overbought technical indicators, the company's strategic initiatives and robust earnings call insights support a positive outlook. Careful management of tariffs and macroeconomic factors will be crucial for sustained success.
Positive Factors
Digital Investments
Paid search traffic increased significantly in both Canada and the U.S., reflecting management's effective digital investments.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth was strong in both the U.S. and Canada, driven by new boutiques and e-commerce.
U.S. Growth Opportunity
Aritzia is well-positioned to execute on its significant U.S. growth opportunity, reflecting its strong momentum, growing brand affinity, and Everyday Luxury positioning.
Negative Factors
Mobile Engagement
Mobile average pages per visit and mobile average visit duration declined in both Canada and the U.S.
Search Traffic in Canada
Direct and Organic Search traffic declined in Canada, which are indicators of high intent users.

Aritzia (ATZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aritzia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAritzia Inc. is a Canadian fashion retailer known for its exclusive brands and high-quality women's clothing and accessories. The company operates in the retail sector, catering primarily to fashion-forward women through its network of boutiques and an online platform. Aritzia offers a variety of in-house brands, each with its own aesthetic, targeting different segments within the women's fashion market.
How the Company Makes MoneyAritzia makes money primarily through the sale of its branded women's clothing and accessories. The company generates revenue through its network of physical retail stores located in North America, supplemented by its e-commerce platform that extends its reach globally. Key revenue streams include sales from its diverse range of exclusive brands, which are designed in-house and cater to various consumer preferences. Aritzia's strategic retail locations, effective marketing campaigns, and strong brand identity contribute significantly to its earnings. The company's partnerships with suppliers and a focus on customer experience further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Aritzia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 10, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -0.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with impressive revenue growth, particularly in the U.S. market, and successful expansion in retail and e-commerce channels. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and macroeconomic uncertainties remain. The company's strategic initiatives in digital marketing and international expansion are promising for future growth.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Net Revenue
Aritzia achieved a net revenue of $663 million, marking a 33% increase over the previous year, exceeding the top end of their guidance range.
Significant Growth in the U.S. Market
Net revenue in the United States increased by 45% to $413 million, driven by new and repositioned boutiques and strong e-commerce demand.
Retail Channel Expansion and Success
The company's retail channel saw a 34% increase in net revenue, with 13 new and 3 repositioned boutiques contributing to growth.
E-commerce Growth
Net revenue from e-commerce rose by 30%, supported by a nearly 50% increase in U.S. e-commerce traffic and enhancements to their digital presence.
Gross Profit Margin Expansion
Gross profit margin expanded by 320 basis points to 47.2%, driven by leverage on store occupancy costs and lower warehousing costs.
Inventory Optimization
Inventory levels were optimized, contributing to a strong financial position and supporting demand fulfillment.
Digital Marketing Success
Increased investments in digital marketing have resulted in significant traffic growth and increased brand awareness.
International Expansion Plans
The company plans to launch international e-commerce and a mobile app later in the fiscal year, aiming to enhance client engagement.
Negative Updates
Impact of U.S. Tariffs
Despite a decrease in U.S. reciprocal tariffs on Chinese goods, tariffs continue to have a significant impact on gross margin.
Macro Uncertainty
Uncertain macroeconomic conditions, including potential consumer spending slowdowns, pose challenges for future growth.
FX Headwinds
The company faced FX headwinds, impacting financial performance and projections.
Company Guidance
During Aritzia's First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call, the company reported robust financial performance exceeding their initial outlook. Net revenue reached $663 million, marking a 33% year-over-year increase, with comparable sales growing an impressive 19%. The growth was consistent across retail and e-commerce channels, with the United States market driving a 45% surge in net revenue. The company also expanded its retail footprint by 25% over the past year, contributing to a 34% increase in retail net revenue. The digital segment saw a 30% rise in net revenue, fueled by a 50% increase in U.S. e-commerce traffic. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 77%, reaching $95 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.4%. Aritzia plans to continue its growth trajectory with the opening of new and repositioned boutiques and enhancements to its digital platforms, including the launch of international e-commerce and a mobile app. The fiscal 2026 outlook reflects adjustments for U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports, with efforts underway to diversify supply chains and mitigate tariff impacts.

Aritzia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aritzia has shown strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and improving profitability metrics. The company maintains a healthy balance sheet and effective cash generation. However, rapid growth poses potential challenges in sustaining margins and managing debt levels.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Aritzia has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a CAGR of approximately 22% over the past five years. The gross profit margin is robust, improving from 41% to 43% in the latest year. The net profit margin has also significantly improved from 3% to 8%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also show positive trends, indicating strong operational efficiency. However, the rapid growth may present challenges in sustaining these margins as the company scales.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has a solid equity base with stockholders' equity growing from $332 million to over $1 billion in five years. The debt-to-equity ratio has remained stable around 0.8, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. An increase in total assets also supports a higher equity ratio. However, the substantial increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, supporting the company's expansion and capital expenditure needs. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, the fluctuation in free cash flow growth rates could signal potential volatility in future cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.74B2.33B2.20B1.49B857.32M
Gross Profit1.18B898.98M913.99M654.95M312.50M
EBITDA525.60M331.74M428.97M357.43M159.77M
Net Income207.79M78.78M187.59M156.92M19.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.46B1.95B1.84B1.42B1.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments285.63M163.28M86.51M265.25M149.15M
Total Debt919.22M805.89M772.01M503.79M569.69M
Total Liabilities1.36B1.14B1.15B893.77M780.47M
Stockholders Equity1.09B807.50M685.79M530.81M360.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow178.52M182.16M-50.67M271.33M83.10M
Operating Cash Flow455.64M358.82M74.91M338.35M133.95M
Investing Cash Flow-277.12M-182.96M-131.21M-99.58M-50.85M
Financing Cash Flow-60.37M-98.67M-122.54M-124.09M-48.91M

Aritzia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.98
Price Trends
50DMA
68.15
Positive
100DMA
59.86
Positive
200DMA
57.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.99
Positive
RSI
63.04
Neutral
STOCH
23.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ATZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.59, above the 50-day MA of 68.15, and above the 200-day MA of 57.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ATZ.

Aritzia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSATZ
79
Outperform
$6.92B35.7523.27%22.57%197.68%
TSPET
78
Outperform
C$2.32B26.4499.31%1.41%4.61%3.95%
77
Outperform
$1.84B19.8619.34%1.20%60.11%
TSGIL
71
Outperform
C$10.46B20.3424.40%1.82%6.30%-10.10%
63
Neutral
$16.78B10.88-7.08%3.04%1.73%-25.15%
60
Neutral
C$123.88M30.45-19.69%2.63%-3376.73%
TSRET
58
Neutral
C$102.38M27.751.29%-3.33%-78.69%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ATZ
Aritzia
73.98
27.09
57.77%
TSE:GIL
Gildan Activewear
73.07
19.96
37.57%
TSE:GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings
19.40
2.61
15.54%
TSE:ROOT
Roots Corporation
3.09
1.04
50.73%
TSE:RET
Reitmans (Canada)
2.02
-0.68
-25.19%
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
34.00
7.15
26.63%

Aritzia Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aritzia Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Financial Results with 33% Revenue Growth
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

Aritzia Inc. reported a robust financial performance for the first quarter of Fiscal 2026, with net revenue reaching $663 million, marking a 33% increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by double-digit increases across all channels and geographies, particularly in the United States where revenue surged by 45%. The company’s strategic marketing investments, optimized inventory, and successful Spring/Summer product lines contributed to this success. Aritzia also achieved significant gross profit margin expansion and improved SG&A leverage, resulting in a remarkable adjusted EPS growth of over 90%. The company remains optimistic about its future growth prospects, focusing on geographic expansion, digital growth, and increased brand awareness.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATZ) stock is a Buy with a C$84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aritzia stock, see the TSE:ATZ Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aritzia Announces Board Changes and Auditor Reappointment at 2025 AGM
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

Aritzia held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, announcing changes to its Board of Directors. Doug Mack and Nick Drake were appointed as new directors, replacing Aldo Bensadoun and Daniel Habashi, who did not seek re-election. The reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company’s auditor was also approved. The new board members are expected to enhance Aritzia’s strategic direction and growth, leveraging their extensive experience in the retail and marketing sectors to bring Everyday Luxury to a broader audience.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATZ) stock is a Buy with a C$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aritzia stock, see the TSE:ATZ Stock Forecast page.

Stock Buyback
Aritzia Launches Automatic Share Purchase Plan to Support Share Buyback
Positive
May 27, 2025

Aritzia Inc. has implemented an automatic share purchase plan (ASPP) as part of its normal course issuer bid to buy back up to 4,226,994 subordinate voting shares over the next year. This move allows Aritzia to purchase shares during periods when it would typically be restricted due to regulatory or blackout periods, potentially stabilizing its share price and demonstrating confidence in its market value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ATZ) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aritzia stock, see the TSE:ATZ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aritzia Achieves Robust Growth in Q4 and Fiscal 2025
Positive
May 1, 2025

Aritzia reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, with a notable net revenue growth of 38% in Q4 and a 26% increase in comparable sales. The company’s success was largely driven by its performance in the U.S., where net revenue surged by 56%. Aritzia’s strategic investments in eCommerce, real estate expansion, and marketing have bolstered its market position, and the company remains confident in navigating future economic conditions with a robust balance sheet.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 12, 2025