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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:AP.UN)
TSX:AP.UN
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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AP.UN

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:AP.UN)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.50
▲(8.16% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability, which weigh heavily on the score. Despite these issues, the company has a positive cash flow and a strong dividend yield, which provide some support. The earnings call highlighted positive developments and future growth potential, but technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, contributing to a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Activity
Strong leasing activity indicates robust demand for Allied's properties, enhancing revenue stability and supporting long-term growth through increased occupancy rates.
Development Progress
Ongoing development projects will significantly boost income upon completion, solidifying Allied's market position and enhancing its property portfolio.
Positive NOI Growth
Positive NOI growth reflects effective asset management and operational efficiency, contributing to Allied's financial health and long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue poses a risk to Allied's financial stability, potentially impacting its ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive advantage.
Lower Retention Ratio
A lower retention ratio indicates potential tenant turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and pressure on rental income.
Short-term FFO Pressure
Short-term FFO pressure from increased interest costs may limit Allied's financial flexibility, affecting its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllied is a leading owner, manager and developer of (i) distinctive urban workspace in Canada's major cities and (ii) network-dense urban data centres in Toronto that form Canada's hub for global connectivity. Allied's business is providing knowledge-based organizations with distinctive urban environments for creativity and connectivity.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllied Properties REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office and commercial spaces to tenants. The company signs long-term leases with businesses, which provide a stable and predictable income stream. Additionally, Allied benefits from rental escalations, which increase lease revenues over time. The REIT also earns money through property management fees and ancillary services related to its real estate holdings. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance tenant relationships and attract high-quality tenants. Moreover, Allied's focus on sustainable development and energy-efficient buildings can lead to lower operational costs and increased demand for its properties, further contributing to its revenue.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong leasing activity, progress in development projects, and effective debt refinancing. However, challenges like lower retention ratios, short-term FFO pressure, and extended deal timelines were acknowledged. The company remains optimistic about future growth and market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
Leased over 588,000 square feet, including 75,000 square feet of expansion from existing users. Leased area is now at 87.2%.
Positive NOI Growth
NOI of the rental portfolio grew by 1.1%, driven by the successful transition of development completions into the rental portfolio.
Development Progress
Only 3 ground-up projects remaining, with development projects expected to contribute $90 million to $103 million in stabilized NOI on completion.
Successful Disposition Program
9 assets under sale contracts totaling $200 million, with proceeds allocated to debt reduction.
Increased Rental Rates
Average rental rate up 3.1% when comparing the ending to starting base rent and up 13.2% when comparing average to average.
Strong Liquidity
Liquidity remained strong with $635 million available on the unsecured credit facility.
Debt Refinancing
Issued $850 million in unsecured debentures, refinancing 20% of outstanding debt with only a marginal increase in interest expense.
Negative Updates
Lower Retention Ratio
Year-to-date retention ratio sits at 69%, modestly below historical average.
Short-term FFO Pressure
Short-term pressure on FFO and AFFO per unit, mainly due to higher interest costs from the 2024 acquisition.
Challenges in Vancouver
In Vancouver, addressing acquired vacancy remains a challenge despite strong leasing market.
Extended Deal Timelines
Deals continue to take longer to complete due to macroeconomic disruptions and availability of options.
High Payout Ratio
Payout ratio is higher than targeted, although management remains confident in sustainability.
Company Guidance
In the Allied Properties REIT Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for the remainder of the year and beyond. They emphasized their focus on delivering long-term value, with a strategy that includes improving leasing and operational results, completing developments, and strengthening the balance sheet. Key metrics highlighted in the call included a positive same-asset NOI and a 1.1% growth in NOI of the rental portfolio. The leased area was reported at 87.2%, with a year-to-date retention ratio of 69%. The company is targeting a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of under 10x by the end of 2025, with plans to further reduce it to under 9x by the end of 2026. They also noted $200 million in noncore asset sale contracts and a liquidity of $635 million available on their unsecured credit facility. Additionally, Allied Properties aims to achieve a 90% occupancy rate by year-end 2025, with development projects expected to add $90 million to $103 million in stabilized NOI upon completion.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces significant challenges with declining revenues and profitability, as indicated by a negative revenue growth rate and deteriorating net profit margin. While the balance sheet shows manageable leverage, the negative return on equity and operational difficulties are concerning. Cash flow is a relative strength, with positive free cash flow growth, but profitability issues need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -28.5% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin remains stable around 55%, but net profit margin has significantly deteriorated to -92.8% in the TTM period, indicating substantial losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 in the TTM period, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a balanced asset structure, but the declining equity value is a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 20.2% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting the impact of net losses. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient cash management despite profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue597.39M592.04M563.98M519.47M568.89M560.50M
Gross Profit328.80M328.47M317.03M295.21M329.39M319.01M
EBITDA-393.04M-227.84M-440.00M299.00M276.08M311.97M
Net Income-554.23M-342.53M-425.71M103.80M443.15M500.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.42B10.60B10.61B11.91B10.38B9.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.83M73.92M211.07M20.99M22.55M45.51M
Total Debt4.58B4.42B3.71B4.26B3.61B2.88B
Total Liabilities5.17B5.04B4.47B4.78B3.96B3.22B
Stockholders Equity5.24B5.56B6.14B6.58B6.43B6.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.91M146.88M319.05M320.33M240.78M355.48M
Operating Cash Flow171.87M147.84M320.89M321.19M241.11M356.26M
Investing Cash Flow-213.83M-381.46M659.85M-654.35M-695.80M-960.68M
Financing Cash Flow33.63M96.48M-790.66M331.60M431.72M441.02M

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.33
Price Trends
50DMA
19.12
Negative
100DMA
18.03
Negative
200DMA
16.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.03
Positive
RSI
19.49
Positive
STOCH
7.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AP.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.24, below the 50-day MA of 19.12, and below the 200-day MA of 16.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AP.UN.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$3.58B16.794.60%5.78%7.23%20.37%
69
Neutral
C$1.77B26.006.52%5.64%26.88%77.26%
66
Neutral
C$2.88B-747.83-0.21%6.02%6.86%92.60%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
C$3.08B-31.73-1.99%6.63%-5.67%54.92%
50
Neutral
$2.00B-10.26%12.56%1.86%1.84%
49
Neutral
$579.70M-3.37%10.00%-21.40%71.00%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AP.UN
Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
14.33
-2.18
-13.19%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
14.83
0.70
4.95%
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
12.10
-0.11
-0.90%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
11.19
1.36
13.84%
TSE:AX.UN
Artis Real Estate Investment
6.00
-1.30
-17.75%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.23
0.23
1.53%

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Allied Properties REIT Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 31, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is a prominent owner and operator of urban workspaces in Canada’s major cities, focusing on sustainable and wellness-oriented environments for knowledge-based organizations. In its latest earnings report for the third quarter of 2025, Allied highlighted its efforts to strengthen its debt profile and progress in property sales, although it faced challenges with slower-than-expected lease finalizations and increased interest expenses. Key financial metrics revealed a slight decline in rental revenue and operating income, with a notable increase in interest expenses and general administrative costs. The company also reported a decrease in net income and comprehensive loss compared to the previous year. Looking ahead, Allied remains committed to optimizing its portfolio and improving its financial position, despite anticipating a contraction in funds from operations and adjusted funds from operations per unit by the end of the year.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Reports Q3 Results Amid Strategic Portfolio Optimization
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported its third-quarter results, highlighting a strengthening debt profile and ongoing property sales. Despite improvements in urban office fundamentals, the company faced slower-than-expected lease finalizations, impacting occupancy targets and financial results. Allied made significant progress in its portfolio optimization strategy, closing sales of non-core properties for substantial proceeds and planning further sales in major cities. The company also focused on balance-sheet management, raising $1.3 billion from the bond market to retire various debts, aligning with its strategic objectives for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Allied Properties REIT Announces Leasing Successes and Leadership Appointments
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has announced significant leasing achievements in Montréal and Vancouver, with notable expansions by existing tenants and new long-term leases. Despite these successes, the company has not met its year-end target for occupied and leased areas, particularly in Toronto. Additionally, Allied has strengthened its leadership team by appointing J.P. Mackay as Senior Vice President & Chief Operating Officer and Gord Oughton as Senior Vice President, National Leasing, to enhance its operational capacity and capitalize on improving office fundamentals in Canada’s major cities.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Achieves High GRESB Score, Reinforcing Sustainability Commitment
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced its 2025 GRESB score, achieving a score of 87 for its standing investments, reflecting continuous improvement. This score was bolstered by exceeding environmental reduction targets for GHG emissions, energy, and water consumption, setting science-based emissions reduction targets, and increasing the percentage of its portfolio certified to LEED or BOMA BEST. These results underscore Allied’s commitment to long-term sustainability and its strategic focus on embedding sustainability into its operations, thereby enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allied Properties Schedules Q3 Financial Results Conference Call
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced a conference call and webcast scheduled for October 30, 2025, to discuss its third-quarter financial results, which will be released the previous day. This announcement is part of Allied’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engage with stakeholders, reflecting its commitment to sustainable urban development and its strategic positioning in the real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Allied Properties Acquires Full Interest in Vancouver’s M4 Building
Positive
Sep 26, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in the M4 building at Main Alley Campus in Vancouver, achieving full ownership of the property. This strategic move enhances Allied’s portfolio and strengthens its position in the urban workspace market, potentially offering increased value to stakeholders by expanding its presence in a key Canadian city.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Completes $450 Million Green Bond Offering
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has successfully completed a $450 million green bond offering through a private placement in Canada. The proceeds from this issuance, under Allied’s Green Financing Framework, will be used to finance or refinance eligible green projects, as well as repay existing loans, thereby strengthening Allied’s financial position and commitment to sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Announces $450 Million Green Bond Offering
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced a $450 million green bond offering through a private placement in Canada. The proceeds will be used to finance or refinance eligible green projects, repay a construction loan, and reduce other debts. The debentures, rated ‘BBB’ with a negative trend by Morningstar DBRS, highlight Allied’s commitment to sustainable financing, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties REIT Advances Non-Core Property Sales to Enhance Portfolio
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced updates on its non-core property sales, aiming to enhance its competitive positioning by reallocating resources towards strategic acquisitions and improving access to debt capital markets. The company has made significant progress in selling non-core properties across Canada, with anticipated proceeds of over $300 million by early 2026. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Allied’s portfolio, focusing on high-quality office and retail spaces, and expanding its presence in key urban areas.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Sell with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Nears Completion of Major Urban Developments
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced the nearing completion of two major developments: M4 of Main Alley Campus in Vancouver and KING Toronto in Toronto. These projects are expected to significantly enhance Allied’s portfolio, with M4 being largely leased to Netflix and KING Toronto securing Whole Foods Market as a key tenant. The developments are set to strengthen Allied’s position in urban neighborhoods, providing diverse workspace options and contributing to the ongoing evolution of these areas.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares August 2025 Distribution
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has announced a distribution of $0.15 per unit for August 2025, amounting to $1.80 per unit annually. This distribution will be paid on September 15, 2025, to unitholders recorded by August 29, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to delivering consistent returns to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Allied Properties Reports Steady Progress in Q2 2025
Jul 31, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is a prominent Canadian owner-operator specializing in urban workspaces, offering sustainable environments for knowledge-based organizations. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Allied announced steady operational progress, with slight increases in leased areas and stable average net rent per square foot. The company also accelerated its non-core property sales and continued to manage its balance sheet effectively. Key highlights from the report include a total of 588,373 square feet leased in the quarter, with significant renewals and expansions by existing users. Allied also reported a 1.0% increase in average in-place net rent per occupied square foot and continued efforts to optimize its portfolio through property sales. Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, Allied remains committed to its strategic goals, including reaching a 90% occupancy rate and selling non-core properties to strengthen its financial position. The company anticipates a contraction in FFO and AFFO per unit due to higher interest costs but remains optimistic about achieving its operational targets by year-end.

Allied Properties REIT Earnings Call: Optimism Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

The latest earnings call from Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) paints a picture of cautious optimism. The company is experiencing strong leasing activity and making significant progress in its development projects, which are providing positive momentum. However, short-term financial pressures and extended timelines for deal completions pose challenges. The market demand, particularly in urban centers, remains robust, indicating potential for future growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025