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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:AP.UN)
TSX:AP.UN

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AP.UN

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

(TSX:AP.UN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
C$14.50
▲(3.20% Upside)
Allied Properties REIT shows mixed performance with significant financial challenges. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which is under pressure due to profitability issues and increased leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while the valuation is somewhat supported by a high dividend yield. The earnings call provides a mixed sentiment with positive leasing and liquidity developments but also highlights financial pressures. Overall, the stock score reflects the need for improved profitability and financial stability.
Positive Factors
Leasing momentum & conversion
Sustained strong leasing activity and a high tour-to-deal conversion indicate durable tenant demand across Allied’s urban office portfolio. This supports predictable rental income, reduces vacancy risk over time, and underpins cash flow stability needed to fund operations and development through economic cycles.
Strong liquidity and unencumbered assets
A large liquidity cushion and mostly unencumbered assets give Allied structural flexibility to refinance, fund development, or execute asset dispositions without urgent distress. That optionality materially lowers refinancing risk and supports execution of strategic deleveraging over the medium term.
Development progress with marquee tenants
Progressing developments leased to high-quality, strategic tenants strengthens long-term cash flow and asset values. Anchor tenants enhance building desirability, attract complementary tenants, and lower leasing risk, supporting durable rental growth and value creation from completed projects.
Negative Factors
Severely negative profitability
Deeply negative margins reflect persistent operating losses and weak earnings conversion. Over months, sustained negative profitability undermines internal capital generation, forces reliance on external financing or asset sales, and raises the risk of reduced reinvestment or distributions.
Elevated leverage trends
Rising leverage increases sensitivity to rate moves and constrains financial flexibility. Elevated debt levels can necessitate asset monetizations or cost controls to meet covenants, limiting growth investments and elevating refinancing risk if credit markets tighten over the next several quarters.
Interest expense pressure & distribution risk
Growing interest costs and management’s consideration of distribution cuts indicate structural cash-flow stress. Persistent interest burdens reduce free cash available for payouts and capex, weakening investor income reliability and possibly necessitating ongoing balance-sheet repair via lower distributions or asset sales.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllied is a leading owner, manager and developer of (i) distinctive urban workspace in Canada's major cities and (ii) network-dense urban data centres in Toronto that form Canada's hub for global connectivity. Allied's business is providing knowledge-based organizations with distinctive urban environments for creativity and connectivity.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllied Properties REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office and commercial spaces to tenants. The company signs long-term leases with businesses, which provide a stable and predictable income stream. Additionally, Allied benefits from rental escalations, which increase lease revenues over time. The REIT also earns money through property management fees and ancillary services related to its real estate holdings. Strategic partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance tenant relationships and attract high-quality tenants. Moreover, Allied's focus on sustainable development and energy-efficient buildings can lead to lower operational costs and increased demand for its properties, further contributing to its revenue.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity, financial liquidity, and development progress, but faced challenges with increased interest expenses, occupancy rates, and potential distribution cuts. The sentiment is mixed with optimism for future improvements based on current initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Leasing Momentum and Occupancy Stability
882,000 square feet of leasing activity completed, with a conversion rate of 81%. Maintained stable operating fundamentals with a slight increase in leased area from 87.2% to 87.4%.
Strong Financial Liquidity
Liquidity remained strong at $903 million, up $168 million from the prior quarter. About 89% of the portfolio is unencumbered.
Green Financing and Debt Issuance
Issued $450 million in Series N debenture, which was 5x oversubscribed, under a green financing framework. Total issuance for the year reached $1.3 billion.
Development Progress
Projects like M4 in Vancouver are 90% leased with Netflix expansion. KING Toronto heading towards completion by the end of 2026 with Whole Foods as an anchor.
Negative Updates
Increased Interest Expenses
Higher interest expenses due to timing of dispositions and debt levels, impacting quarterly results negatively.
Occupancy Challenges
Nonrenewals, including Entertainment One's consolidation, impacted occupancy. Overall leased area target of 90% not expected to be achieved by year-end.
Potential Distribution Cut
Considering a distribution cut in 2026 to strengthen the balance sheet, reflecting ongoing financial pressures.
Company Guidance
In the recent Allied Properties REIT Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. The company reported leasing 882,000 square feet across its rental and development portfolios, achieving an 81% conversion rate from tours to signed deals. The leased area increased slightly from 87.2% to 87.4%. Significant development milestones included M4 in Vancouver reaching 90% leased, driven by Netflix's expansion, and progress at KING Toronto with Whole Foods secured as an anchor tenant. Financially, the company faced pressure from higher interest expenses and slower lease finalizations but maintained strong liquidity at $903 million. The balance sheet is expected to strengthen further through asset dispositions, aiming for $500 million from sales and the 150 West Georgia loan monetization. The target is to achieve a 10x debt-to-EBITDA ratio and 90% occupancy in leased areas by the end of 2026.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company faces challenges with profitability and increasing leverage, as reflected in the income statement and balance sheet. While revenue growth is positive, significant losses and declining margins raise concerns about operational efficiency. The balance sheet shows increased debt levels, which could impact financial stability. On the positive side, cash flow metrics indicate effective cash management, providing some resilience.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance with declining profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a negative net profit margin of -92.77% and a negative EBIT margin of -53.48%, reflecting significant losses. Revenue growth is positive at 22.4%, indicating some top-line growth, but the negative EBITDA margin suggests operational challenges. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth and declining margins, highlighting potential instability in earnings.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87 in the TTM period, which is higher than previous years, indicating increased financial risk. The return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced capital structure. The increasing debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend in free cash flow growth at 17.33% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.12, reflecting challenges in converting earnings to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting effective cash management despite profitability issues. Historical data shows fluctuating cash flow metrics, highlighting potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue598.73M592.04M563.98M519.47M568.89M560.50M
Gross Profit325.65M328.47M317.03M295.21M329.39M319.01M
EBITDA-353.33M-227.84M-440.00M299.00M276.08M311.97M
Net Income-573.44M-342.53M-425.71M103.80M443.15M500.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.38B10.60B10.61B11.91B10.38B9.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.21M73.92M211.07M20.99M22.55M45.51M
Total Debt4.70B4.42B3.71B4.26B3.61B2.88B
Total Liabilities5.31B5.04B4.47B4.78B3.96B3.22B
Stockholders Equity5.07B5.56B6.14B6.58B6.43B6.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow200.52M146.88M319.05M320.33M240.78M355.48M
Operating Cash Flow201.66M147.84M320.89M321.19M241.11M356.26M
Investing Cash Flow-193.00M-381.46M659.85M-654.35M-695.80M-960.68M
Financing Cash Flow36.65M96.48M-790.66M331.60M431.72M441.02M

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.05
Price Trends
50DMA
13.42
Positive
100DMA
15.59
Negative
200DMA
15.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
53.81
Neutral
STOCH
41.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AP.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.08, above the 50-day MA of 13.42, and below the 200-day MA of 15.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AP.UN.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
C$856.02M-10.04-4.93%7.28%-20.06%19.27%
55
Neutral
$1.96B-3.42-10.26%13.67%1.86%1.84%
55
Neutral
C$441.78M-9.69-4.91%3.85%-5.37%13.86%
53
Neutral
C$18.46M-0.13-141.77%-6.21%65.52%
53
Neutral
$356.93M-2.35-14.98%5.65%-1.06%-20.07%
52
Neutral
C$2.84B-6.88-8.74%7.05%-0.83%-56.21%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AP.UN
Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
14.05
-1.27
-8.29%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
10.75
2.07
23.81%
TSE:MRT.UN
Morguard Real Estate ate
6.65
1.36
25.78%
TSE:RPR.UN
Slate Office REIT
0.22
-0.34
-60.91%
TSE:AX.UN
Artis Real Estate Investment
8.92
2.64
42.02%
TSE:D.UN
Dream Office Real Estate Investment
18.80
1.90
11.27%

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Allied Properties REIT Schedules Call on Fourth-Quarter 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has scheduled a conference call and live audio webcast for February 11, 2026, to discuss its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, which will be released after markets close on February 10, 2026. The event underscores the REIT’s ongoing engagement with investors and stakeholders as it updates the market on its financial performance and operational progress in its portfolio of urban workspaces across Canada’s major cities.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares January 2026 Monthly Distribution
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Allied Properties REIT has declared a cash distribution of $0.06 per unit for January 2026, equivalent to $0.72 per unit on an annualized basis, payable on February 17, 2026 to unitholders of record as of January 30, 2026. The announcement underscores Allied’s ongoing income distributions to investors, reflecting its continued operations as an income-focused urban workspace REIT in Canada’s major city markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsPrivate Placements and Financing
Allied Properties REIT Reduces Distributions Amid Debt Reduction Efforts
Negative
Dec 1, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust announced a significant reduction in its monthly distribution to unitholders by 60% starting December 2025, following a strategic move to reduce debt through the sale of non-core assets and successful bond offerings in 2024 and 2025. This decision reflects Allied’s ongoing efforts to improve its financial position by lowering indebtedness and interest expenses, which could impact stakeholders by altering expected returns and signaling a shift in the company’s financial strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied and RioCan Announce Major Leasing Deal at The Well
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Allied Properties and RioCan have announced a significant office leasing agreement at The Well in Toronto, where a Canadian company will lease over 124,000 square feet of office space, enhancing the area’s appeal as a core office hub. This leasing activity reduces the available sublease space to 10%, signaling strong demand and contributing to the transformation of King West Village into a bustling urban office node, which is expected to attract thousands of new knowledge workers and boost the local economy.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Allied Properties Reports Q3 Results Amid Strategic Portfolio Optimization
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported its third-quarter results, highlighting a strengthening debt profile and ongoing property sales. Despite improvements in urban office fundamentals, the company faced slower-than-expected lease finalizations, impacting occupancy targets and financial results. Allied made significant progress in its portfolio optimization strategy, closing sales of non-core properties for substantial proceeds and planning further sales in major cities. The company also focused on balance-sheet management, raising $1.3 billion from the bond market to retire various debts, aligning with its strategic objectives for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Hold with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025