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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:AP.UN)
:AP.UN
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Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AP.UN

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

(OTC:AP.UN)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$19.00
▲(2.15% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects a mixed outlook. The most significant factor is the company's financial performance, which is challenged by declining revenues and profitability. However, technical analysis shows positive momentum, and the earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic initiatives to improve operations. The valuation is mixed, with a high dividend yield but negative earnings. These factors combined result in a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Leasing Activity
Positive leasing spreads drive same-property NOI growth, with the second consecutive quarter of organic growth.
Market Fundamentals
A recovery in fundamentals is likely to show greater traction as the office market has bottomed.
Tenant Retention
The retention ratio improved to 75.1%, compared to 69.3% in the previous year, indicating better tenant retention.
Negative Factors
Debt and Financial Flexibility
The REIT’s financial flexibility is limited with a large volume of debt maturities and no visibility on improvement in the office market.
Financial Performance
FFO per unit drops 12% due to greater interest expense from refinancing debt at higher interest rates and dilution from the Westbank transaction.
Occupancy Challenges
Allied's results leave little to be encouraged about and reaching guidance of 90% occupancy in 2025 appears a stretch.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (AP.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllied is a leading owner, manager and developer of (i) distinctive urban workspace in Canada's major cities and (ii) network-dense urban data centres in Toronto that form Canada's hub for global connectivity. Allied's business is providing knowledge-based organizations with distinctive urban environments for creativity and connectivity.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllied Properties REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing office and retail spaces to a diverse range of tenants, including businesses from technology, media, and other professional service sectors. Rental income forms the core of its revenue stream. The company also benefits from property management fees and development projects, where they enhance the value of existing properties or develop new ones, increasing potential rental income. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships further contribute to revenue by expanding their portfolio and leveraging economies of scale in property management.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook with strong leasing activity, progress in development projects, and effective debt refinancing. However, challenges like lower retention ratios, short-term FFO pressure, and extended deal timelines were acknowledged. The company remains optimistic about future growth and market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Activity
Leased over 588,000 square feet, including 75,000 square feet of expansion from existing users. Leased area is now at 87.2%.
Positive NOI Growth
NOI of the rental portfolio grew by 1.1%, driven by the successful transition of development completions into the rental portfolio.
Development Progress
Only 3 ground-up projects remaining, with development projects expected to contribute $90 million to $103 million in stabilized NOI on completion.
Successful Disposition Program
9 assets under sale contracts totaling $200 million, with proceeds allocated to debt reduction.
Increased Rental Rates
Average rental rate up 3.1% when comparing the ending to starting base rent and up 13.2% when comparing average to average.
Strong Liquidity
Liquidity remained strong with $635 million available on the unsecured credit facility.
Debt Refinancing
Issued $850 million in unsecured debentures, refinancing 20% of outstanding debt with only a marginal increase in interest expense.
Negative Updates
Lower Retention Ratio
Year-to-date retention ratio sits at 69%, modestly below historical average.
Short-term FFO Pressure
Short-term pressure on FFO and AFFO per unit, mainly due to higher interest costs from the 2024 acquisition.
Challenges in Vancouver
In Vancouver, addressing acquired vacancy remains a challenge despite strong leasing market.
Extended Deal Timelines
Deals continue to take longer to complete due to macroeconomic disruptions and availability of options.
High Payout Ratio
Payout ratio is higher than targeted, although management remains confident in sustainability.
Company Guidance
In the Allied Properties REIT Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for the remainder of the year and beyond. They emphasized their focus on delivering long-term value, with a strategy that includes improving leasing and operational results, completing developments, and strengthening the balance sheet. Key metrics highlighted in the call included a positive same-asset NOI and a 1.1% growth in NOI of the rental portfolio. The leased area was reported at 87.2%, with a year-to-date retention ratio of 69%. The company is targeting a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of under 10x by the end of 2025, with plans to further reduce it to under 9x by the end of 2026. They also noted $200 million in noncore asset sale contracts and a liquidity of $635 million available on their unsecured credit facility. Additionally, Allied Properties aims to achieve a 90% occupancy rate by year-end 2025, with development projects expected to add $90 million to $103 million in stabilized NOI upon completion.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allied Properties REIT exhibits stable cash flows and a balanced capital structure, despite negative net income and profitability pressures. Revenue growth is modest, and the balance sheet is leveraged but resilient, indicating potential for recovery with strategic financial management.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement reflects a challenging period for Allied Properties REIT, with a negative net income for the TTM, indicating profitability issues. Revenue showed a modest growth of 1.2% in TTM compared to 2024, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -72%, primarily due to significant net losses. The EBIT margin remains positive at 36.1%, suggesting some operational efficiency. However, the negative EBITDA margin indicates increased expenses or restructuring costs, impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a stable yet leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, reflecting moderate financial leverage. The equity ratio stands at 51.5%, indicating a balanced capital structure and decent asset backing. Return on equity is currently not favorable due to negative net income, but the company maintains a strong equity base, which offers potential for recovery.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals stable operating cash flow, with the operating cash flow to net income ratio being positive despite net losses, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow is also stable, although growth has stagnated due to increased capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, reflecting solid cash management despite recent financial losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue597.39M592.04M563.98M519.47M568.89M560.50M
Gross Profit328.80M328.47M317.03M295.21M329.39M319.01M
EBITDA-393.04M-227.84M-440.00M299.00M276.08M311.97M
Net Income-554.23M-342.53M-425.71M103.80M443.15M500.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.42B10.60B10.61B11.91B10.38B9.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.83M73.92M211.07M20.99M22.55M45.51M
Total Debt4.58B4.42B3.71B4.26B3.61B2.88B
Total Liabilities5.17B5.04B4.47B4.78B3.96B3.22B
Stockholders Equity5.24B5.56B6.14B6.58B6.43B6.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.91M146.88M319.05M320.33M240.78M355.48M
Operating Cash Flow171.87M147.84M320.89M321.19M241.11M356.26M
Investing Cash Flow-213.83M-381.46M659.85M-654.35M-695.80M-960.68M
Financing Cash Flow33.63M96.48M-790.66M331.60M431.72M441.02M

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.60
Price Trends
50DMA
17.47
Positive
100DMA
16.22
Positive
200DMA
16.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
71.24
Negative
STOCH
76.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AP.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.78, above the 50-day MA of 17.47, and above the 200-day MA of 16.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AP.UN.

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$3.49B16.404.60%5.71%7.23%20.37%
75
Outperform
C$1.61B25.813.26%5.69%23.01%-50.29%
69
Neutral
C$2.79B-0.21%5.92%6.86%92.60%
61
Neutral
C$2.60B-9.62%9.68%3.06%-5.77%
55
Neutral
C$3.19B-1.99%6.10%-5.67%54.92%
53
Neutral
$1.21B2.73-5.63%5.80%-3.40%-78.11%
$508.72M-3.37%8.18%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AP.UN
Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
18.60
3.37
22.14%
TSE:CRR.UN
Crombie Real Estate ate
15.04
1.03
7.35%
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
12.26
-0.74
-5.69%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
12.16
2.35
23.96%
ARESF
Artis Real Estate Investment
5.25
0.32
6.49%
TSE:PMZ.UN
Primaris Real Estate Investment Trust
15.02
0.91
6.45%

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Corporate Events

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares August 2025 Distribution
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has announced a distribution of $0.15 per unit for August 2025, amounting to $1.80 per unit annually. This distribution will be paid on September 15, 2025, to unitholders recorded by August 29, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to delivering consistent returns to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Allied Properties Reports Strong Q2 Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust reported encouraging second-quarter results with a slight increase in leased area and stable net rent per square foot. The company is progressing with its balance-sheet management and non-core property sales, aiming to strengthen its financial metrics. Allied is in the final stages of a multi-city development pipeline, with significant leasing progress in its properties, including 400 West Georgia and 19 Duncan. The company plans to sell additional non-core properties to fund its developments and improve debt metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares July 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has announced a distribution of $0.15 per unit for July 2025, amounting to $1.80 per unit annually. This distribution reflects Allied’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its unitholders and reinforces its position as a leading provider of urban workspace solutions in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Allied Properties REIT Schedules Q2 Financial Results Call
Neutral
Jun 27, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has announced a conference call and live audio webcast scheduled for July 30, 2025, to discuss its second-quarter financial results, which will be released on July 29, 2025. This announcement underscores Allied’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, as it continues to solidify its position in the urban workspace market in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Releases 2024 ESG Report, Showcasing Sustainability Achievements
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has released its 2024 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Report, highlighting its commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions in line with the Science Based Targets initiative. The company has increased its portfolio certification to LEED and BOMA BEST standards and improved its Net Promoter Score significantly. Allied’s efforts in Equity, Diversity, and Inclusion have been well-received, with high user satisfaction ratings. This report aligns with global standards and showcases Allied’s dedication to sustainability and operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Allied Properties Commits to Net-Zero Emissions by 2050
Positive
May 22, 2025

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust has announced that its greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets have been validated by the Science Based Targets initiative. The company aims to achieve net-zero emissions across its value chain by 2050, with significant reductions in scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions by 2030 and 2050. This commitment aligns with a 1.5°C decarbonization pathway and reflects Allied’s dedication to sustainability and environmental responsibility, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Allied Properties REIT Declares May 2025 Distribution
Positive
May 15, 2025

Allied Properties REIT has declared a distribution of $0.15 per unit for May 2025, amounting to $1.80 per unit on an annualized basis. This announcement reflects Allied’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its unitholders and underscores its stable financial performance in the real estate investment sector.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:AP.UN) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust stock, see the TSE:AP.UN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025