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Algoma Central Corp (TSE:ALC)
TSX:ALC

Algoma Central (ALC) AI Stock Analysis

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Algoma Central

(TSX:ALC)

73Outperform
Algoma Central's overall score reflects a robust valuation and solid financial foundation, mitigated by revenue growth challenges and neutral technical indicators. The outlook is positive due to strategic fleet expansion and market segment growth, though market volatility remains a concern.

Algoma Central (ALC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Algoma Central Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlgoma Central Corporation (ALC) is a leading Canadian shipping company specializing in the transportation of bulk cargo across the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway. The company operates a diverse fleet of dry-bulk carriers, product tankers, and self-unloading vessels, providing essential marine transportation services to industries such as agriculture, construction, and energy. Algoma Central is committed to delivering reliable and efficient shipping solutions, leveraging its extensive experience and robust infrastructure to meet the evolving needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlgoma Central Corporation generates revenue primarily through its marine transportation services. The company earns money by transporting bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal, grain, and petroleum products across the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Seaway. Key revenue streams include freight fees charged to clients for transporting their goods, charter services where vessels are leased to customers, and long-term contracts with major industrial clients that provide stable and predictable income. Algoma Central's earnings are bolstered by its strategic partnerships with key clients in the mining, agriculture, and energy sectors, as well as its ability to optimize fleet efficiency and reduce operating costs through technology and innovation.

Algoma Central Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Algoma Central demonstrates a solid financial structure with strong profit margins and reasonable leverage. However, challenges such as declining revenue and negative free cash flow need attention to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Algoma Central shows a mixed income statement performance. The gross profit margin is strong at 89.85% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 13.02% from 11.49% in 2023. Revenue growth is negative, down by 2.46% from the previous year, signaling a decline that could be concerning. Despite this, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, demonstrating operational resilience.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.46, signifying a reasonable leverage level. Return on Equity (ROE) is healthy at 10.18%, showing good returns on shareholder investments. However, the equity ratio is 59.04%, slightly down from previous years, suggesting a gradual increase in liabilities relative to assets. The company maintains a stable equity position but should monitor debt levels closely.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates challenges in cash generation. Free cash flow has turned negative in 2024 at -10.22 million, raising concerns over cash reserves. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.70, reflecting robust cash flow generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential issues in covering capital expenditures from operational cash. Improving free cash flow is essential for long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
703.44M721.22M677.94M598.87M545.66M
Gross Profit
632.09M116.08M612.51M531.02M470.51M
EBIT
75.14M74.53M102.30M93.31M74.09M
EBITDA
147.21M155.51M186.26M162.72M154.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
91.64M82.87M84.47M63.77M45.85M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.54M32.83M141.97M108.94M103.91M
Total Assets
1.52B1.34B1.37B1.20B1.22B
Total Debt
412.59M377.37M402.79M392.22M391.15M
Net Debt
409.04M344.54M260.82M283.27M287.25M
Total Liabilities
624.11M565.85M639.67M559.80M662.48M
Stockholders Equity
899.85M778.31M726.02M640.28M560.62M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-10.22M4.96M62.26M130.50M81.87M
Operating Cash Flow
155.39M124.21M133.13M162.38M157.06M
Investing Cash Flow
-183.75M-127.78M-65.87M-16.23M-87.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.55M-105.76M-42.37M-141.02M16.32M

Algoma Central Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.99
Price Trends
50DMA
14.72
Positive
100DMA
14.70
Positive
200DMA
14.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
54.69
Neutral
STOCH
54.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.93, above the 50-day MA of 14.72, and above the 200-day MA of 14.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALC.

Algoma Central Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCP
78
Outperform
$98.39B26.988.36%0.76%15.86%-5.49%
TSWTE
74
Outperform
C$1.52B14.4214.67%6.09%12.35%11.77%
TSALC
73
Outperform
C$602.84M6.5010.92%5.18%-2.46%4.75%
TSCNR
71
Outperform
$86.25B20.2221.72%2.55%1.30%-18.15%
66
Neutral
$9.95B17.2216.05%2.03%13.32%-13.75%
62
Neutral
$8.17B12.830.26%3.07%3.83%-16.44%
TSNFI
59
Neutral
C$1.29B-3.46%20.56%94.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ALC
Algoma Central
14.99
0.90
6.39%
TSE:TFII
TFI International
119.68
-82.45
-40.79%
TSE:CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City
106.52
-14.08
-11.67%
TSE:CNR
Canadian National Railway
138.48
-31.16
-18.37%
TSE:WTE
Westshore Terminals
24.21
0.46
1.94%
TSE:NFI
NFI Group Inc
10.99
-1.19
-9.77%

Algoma Central Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Algoma Central Corporation Reports Strong Fiscal 2024 Results and Optimistic Outlook for 2025
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Algoma Central Corporation reported strong financial results for fiscal 2024, with net earnings increasing to $91,638 from $82,870 in 2023, despite a slight decline in overall revenue. The company experienced growth in its Ocean Self-Unloaders and Product Tankers segments, driven by increased fleet utilization and expanded capacity. Looking ahead to 2025, Algoma plans to introduce nine new vessels and anticipates stability and growth, although it remains cautious of potential market disruptions.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Algoma Central Reports Strong Fiscal 2024 Results Amid Market Growth
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Algoma Central Corporation reported strong financial results for fiscal 2024, driven by renewed market demand and expanded capacity. The company achieved higher net earnings and EBITDA compared to the previous year, despite a slight decrease in overall revenue. The Ocean Self-Unloaders and Product Tankers segments showed significant growth, with increased operating earnings and fleet utilization. Looking forward to 2025, Algoma remains optimistic yet cautious, anticipating stability and growth with the introduction of nine new vessels, while being mindful of potential market disruptions.

Financial Disclosures
Algoma Central to Announce Fiscal 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Algoma Central Corporation has announced its plan to issue its fiscal 2024 financial results on February 27, 2025. The release of these results is significant for stakeholders as it will provide insights into the company’s performance and progress toward its emissions reduction targets, reflecting its commitment to sustainability and its potential impact on industry positioning.

Algoma Central Boosts Quarterly Dividend by 5%
Jan 17, 2025

Algoma Central Corporation announced a 5% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.20 per common share, payable on March 3, 2025. This increase reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders, with dividends having more than doubled since 2018. This move further solidifies Algoma’s position in the marine transportation industry and demonstrates its continued financial growth and investor confidence.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.