Andrew Peller A NV (TSE:ADW.A)
TSX:ADW.A
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Andrew Peller A NV
(TSX:ADW.A)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(12.57% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (better profitability and leverage) and supportive valuation (low P/E and strong dividend yield). The earnings call adds confidence via positive guidance and operational progress, while neutral technical indicators and weaker recent free-cash-flow momentum keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Improved margins and profitability
Sustained gross-margin expansion and positive TTM net income reflect structural improvement in cost controls and product mix. Higher margins increase resilience to input cost swings and support durable operating cash flow, making earnings less reliant on volume growth alone.
Negative Factors
Modest underlying revenue growth
Underlying top-line growth is limited, meaning future earnings gains must rely more on mix, pricing or cost cuts than broad volume expansion. Low organic growth increases sensitivity to competitive pressure and makes long-term margin and cash-flow improvement harder to sustain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved margins and profitability
Sustained gross-margin expansion and positive TTM net income reflect structural improvement in cost controls and product mix. Higher margins increase resilience to input cost swings and support durable operating cash flow, making earnings less reliant on volume growth alone.
Read all positive factors
Andrew Peller A NV (ADW.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$255.22M
Dividend Yield4.71%
Average Volume (3M)22.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.4
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth-2.52%
EPS Growth317.18%
CountryCA
Employees1,367
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryBeverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.18
Shares Outstanding35,874,370
10 Day Avg. Volume22,711
30 Day Avg. Volume22,394
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.16
Price to Book (P/B)0.68
Price to Sales (P/S)0.43
P/FCF Ratio7.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.55
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$395.35M
Andrew Peller A NV Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Andrew Peller Limited engages in the production, bottling, and marketing of wines and craft beverage alcohol products in Canada. The company offers products under Peller Estates, Trius, Thirty Bench, Wayne Gretzky, Sandhill, Red Rooster, Black Hil...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by selling beverage alcohol—mainly wine—through a mix of wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) branded product sales to provincial liquor boards, distributors, and retail chai...
Andrew Peller A NV Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 10, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple financial and operational positives: Q3 revenue growth (+3.3%), higher gross margins (41.8% Q3; YTD 43.3%), EBITDA growth (+6% Q3; ~16% YTD), declining net debt and lower interest expense, and successful product innovation (LayLow, Better-for-You and Sparkling investments). Weakness was limited to company-owned retail and wine kit softness, higher S&A spending to support growth, and more modest year-to-date revenue growth when normalized for a prior strike. Management expressed confidence in execution, continued innovation, and a healthy balance sheet while noting that further margin gains will be incremental after delivering most of the cost-savings program.Positive Updates
Top-line growth in Q3
Q3 revenue increased 3.3% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Western Canada (BC replacement program), momentum in Ontario channels (big box, grocery, liquor board), and Wine Club growth (new members, improved retention, higher average spend).
Negative Updates
Softness in owned retail stores and wine kit business
Management reported partial softness in the company's owned retail store network and the wine kit business as consumers adjust to the evolving distribution landscape in Ontario.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-line growth in Q3
Q3 revenue increased 3.3% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Western Canada (BC replacement program), momentum in Ontario channels (big box, grocery, liquor board), and Wine Club growth (new members, improved retention, higher average spend).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said the company is on track to deliver a strong fiscal 2026 and ongoing growth into fiscal 2027, expecting margins to rise further into F'27—albeit at a slower pace now that the bulk of a $25 million cost‑savings program has been realized. Key metrics cited: Q3 sales +3.3% YoY; normalized year‑to‑date revenue growth of 1.5–2% (adjusting for the LCBO strike); Q3 gross margin $45.5M (41.8% of revenue) vs 40.2% prior year and YTD margin 43.3% vs 40.4%; Q3 EBITDA $19.7M (+6% vs $18.5M) and YTD EBITDA $57.1M (+~16%); interest expense down 26% in Q3; net debt ~ $164M (from $182M at fiscal year‑end) with a rolling 12‑month debt/EBITDA of ~2.3x; inventory $156M (down from $170M). They also highlighted growth opportunities—Better‑for‑You wine segment growing ~60% YoY—and recent innovation like the national LayLow launch as drivers of the outlook.Andrew Peller A NV Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
68
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 389.04M | 385.86M | 382.14M | 373.94M | 393.04M | 382.31M |
| Gross Profit | 161.18M | 140.27M | 132.10M | 129.88M | 146.38M | 156.19M |
| EBITDA | 69.47M | 36.89M | 34.84M | 47.77M | 63.72M | 58.33M |
| Net Income | 20.66M | -2.85M | -3.35M | 12.47M | 27.79M | 23.49M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 532.98M | 553.20M | 566.75M | 558.07M | 542.52M | 513.92M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 11.42M | 0.00 | -14.73M | 1.30M | 2.74M | -17.82M |
| Total Debt | 192.96M | 226.51M | 227.76M | 208.33M | 192.36M | 183.06M |
| Total Liabilities | 273.23M | 311.76M | 313.11M | 292.67M | 276.95M | 268.40M |
| Stockholders Equity | 259.75M | 241.44M | 253.64M | 265.40M | 265.57M | 245.52M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 25.38M | 22.34M | -6.58M | -7.31M | 4.58M | 8.23M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 41.98M | 38.12M | 13.75M | 15.59M | 41.12M | 31.54M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -13.70M | -14.84M | -20.33M | -14.11M | -36.54M | -23.31M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -24.73M | -23.28M | 5.28M | -2.92M | -1.84M | -8.23M |
Andrew Peller A NV Technical Analysis
Positive
5.33
Price Trends
5.25
Positive
5.18
Positive
5.11
Positive
Market Momentum
0.14
Negative
74.74
Negative
87.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ADW.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.38, above the 50-day MA of 5.25, and above the 200-day MA of 5.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.74 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ADW.A.
Andrew Peller A NV Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | C$416.73M | 11.92 | 15.74% | 6.34% | 8.52% | 11.22% | |
73 Outperform | C$416.73M | 11.45 | 15.23% | 6.57% | 8.52% | 11.22% | |
67 Neutral | C$255.22M | 7.36 | 8.23% | 4.71% | -2.52% | 317.18% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
44 Neutral | C$17.45M | -4.61 | -44.11% | ― | 13.21% | 98.03% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
TSE:ADW.A
Andrew Peller A NV
5.61
1.43
34.27%
TSE:BR
Big Rock Brewery
0.78
-0.27
-25.71%
TSE:CSW.A
Corby Spirit&Wine A
14.77
0.80
5.73%
TSE:CSW.B
Corby Spirit&Wn B NV
14.17
1.55
12.31%
TSE:DWS
Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits
0.15
-0.04
-21.05%
TSE:RUM
Rocky Mountain Liquor
0.09
-0.03
-29.17%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.