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Corby Spirit&Wine A (TSE:CSW.A)
TSX:CSW.A
Canadian Market

Corby Spirit&Wine A (CSW.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CSW.A

Corby Spirit&Wine A

(TSX:CSW.A)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
C$16.50
▲(14.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong sales growth and healthy profitability/returns, with manageable leverage), tempered by margin compression and a declining TTM free-cash-flow trend. Technicals are supportive with the stock above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is helped by a moderate P/E and high dividend yield. The earnings call was broadly constructive, but highlighted margin and normalization risks that keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Profitability & Margins
Sustained high gross and operating margins indicate durable pricing power and efficient production/portfolio mix. Combined with healthy net margin, this supports persistent cash generation capacity and reinvestment potential, helping fund brands and dividends through business cycles.
RTD Category Leadership
Corby's outsized RTD exposure aligns with a structural shift to ready-to-drink beverages. Leading RTD share, dedicated route-to-market and innovation pipeline create a durable growth vector and competitive moat if the company sustains distribution and brand momentum.
Improving Leverage & Cash Generation
Meaningful deleveraging and strong operating cash flow improve financial flexibility. A lower leverage profile plus consistent cash allows continued investment behind growth, dividend increases and buffers against demand normalization or short-term shocks.
Negative Factors
Margin Compression Risk
Revenue growth outpacing operating earnings reflects mix-driven margin compression and less favorable channel/product mix. If RTD continues to be a larger share and sales investments remain elevated, structural margin dilution could persist, limiting scalability of profits.
Declining Free Cash Flow Trend
A weakening FCF trend and historically inconsistent cash conversion reduce the company's margin for additional capex, M&A or higher shareholder payouts. If growth normalizes, lower FCF could constrain reinvestment and raise funding pressure for strategic initiatives.
Concentration & Normalization Risk
High concentration in RTD creates reliance on one segment and channel dynamics; normalization, returning competitor SKUs or category shifts would materially slow growth and stress margins. Structural exposure raises execution and volatility risk for medium-term earnings.

Corby Spirit&Wine A (CSW.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Corby Spirit&Wine A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorby Spirit and Wine Limited manufactures, markets, and imports spirits and wines primarily in Canada. It offers its products under the J.P. Wiser's Canadian Whisky, Lot No.40, Pike Creek and Gooderham, Worts Canadian whiskies, Lamb's rum, Polar Ice vodka, McGuinness liqueurs, Ungava Gin, Cabot Trail, Chic Choc, The Foreign Affair Winery, Absolut vodka, Chivas Regal, Aberlour, The Glenlivet and Ballantine's Scotch whiskies, Jameson Irish whiskey, Beefeater gin, Malibu rum, Kahlúa liqueur, Mumm Champagne, and Jacob's Creek, Stoneleigh, Campo Viejo, and Wyndham Estate brands. The company also exports its products to the United States, Europe, and other international markets. The company was formerly known as Corby Distilleries Limited and changed its name to Corby Spirit and Wine Limited in November 2013. Corby Spirit and Wine Limited was founded in 1924 and is based in Toronto, Canada. Corby Spirit and Wine Limited is a subsidiary of Hiram Walker & Sons Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorby Spirit & Wine generates revenue primarily through the sale of alcoholic beverages, which includes both proprietary brands and products from its international partners. The company benefits from a multi-faceted revenue model that includes direct sales to retailers and wholesalers, as well as online sales through e-commerce platforms. Key revenue streams include the sales of its flagship brands, as well as premium offerings that command higher price points. Additionally, Corby engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with global spirits companies to expand its product portfolio and enhance market reach. Seasonal promotions, marketing campaigns, and brand activations also contribute to driving sales and increasing brand visibility, ultimately impacting the company's earnings positively.

Corby Spirit&Wine A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call conveyed a positive message: record first-half revenue, rapid RTD expansion, consistent market share gains across spirits and wine, strong cash generation, reduced net leverage and increased shareholder returns. The primary negatives were margin pressure from an RTD‑skewed mix, higher operating expenses to fund growth, some commission declines and category-specific production issues. Management outlined clear strategic actions (ABG majority stake, dedicated RTD route‑to‑market, innovation pipeline) and expects continued outperformance while acknowledging potential normalization in H2 and competitive risks if U.S. products return to shelves.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record H1 Revenue and Strong Quarterly Results
Corby delivered the highest first-half revenue in company history: H1 revenue of $142.3M, up 12% reported and 13% organic year-over-year. Q2 revenue was $66.9M, up 9% reported and 10% organic versus prior year.
RTD Rapid Expansion and Contribution to Growth
RTD now represents roughly one-third of Corby's revenue and contributed ~72% (around 3/4) of total net sales growth in the fiscal half. RTD delivered ~28% value growth over the last 12 months and 27.7% growth over the most recent 3-month period, outperforming the market by 6.5–16.5 points across reported intervals.
Market Share Gains Across Portfolio (Spirits & Wine)
Corby outperformed the Canadian spirits market in the rolling 3 months ending Dec 31, delivering 2.5% value growth while the market declined 4.4% (outperformance of 6.9 points). R12 spirits growth was 1.9% (6.2 points ahead of the market). Wine showed strong performance: 3-month growth 11.9% and R12 growth 13.7% (15.8 points ahead of market).
Solid Profitability and EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings from operations were $13.8M in Q2, up 6% year-over-year. Q2 adjusted EPS was $0.32 (up 8%) and reported EPS was $0.31 (up 12%). H1 adjusted EPS was $0.71 (up 8%) and reported EPS $0.67 (up 11%).
Strong Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Improvement
Cash from operating activities: $31.4M in Q2 and $37M in H1 (increase of $1.5M YoY). Net debt reduced to $72M (a $13M improvement vs FY'25) and net debt to adjusted EBITDA improved to 1.1x (down from 1.4x in Q1).
Shareholder Returns and Capital Actions
Board declared quarterly dividend of $0.24/share (up $0.01, +4%). Total H1 dividends were $0.47/share (up 4% YoY). Rolling 12‑month dividend payout ratio ~57% and dividend yield ~6.5% at end of H1. One‑year TSR was 25% as of Dec 31, 2025.
Export and Channel Expansion Momentum
Export revenues: Q2 export revenue $4.8M (up 25% YoY); H1 export $9.7M (up 38% YoY), driven by strong shipments of J.P. Wiser's and Pike Creek and recovery in U.K./U.S. markets. ABG brands grew +28% in H1 (+19% in Q2) and ownership in ABG increased to 95% to accelerate RTD expansion and channel penetration.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure from RTD Mix and Channel Shifts
Earnings growth lagged revenue growth: adjusted operating earnings grew 6% while revenue grew 12% in H1. Management attributed the compression to an RTD-skewed portfolio mix and less favorable spirits and channel mix effects that put pressure on margins.
Rising Operating Expenses to Support Growth
Total operating expenses increased 13% year-over-year as Corby invested behind RTD expansion and strategic brand initiatives, weighing on operating leverage versus revenue growth.
Decline in Commission (Represented Wine) Revenue
Commission revenue (represented wines) declined 8% in Q2 to $7.8M and was down 1% in H1 to $16M, reflecting a tough comparison to the prior-year period when route-to-market changes temporarily boosted shipments.
Production Challenges in Blended Scotch Category
Management flagged production challenges in the blended scotch category that negatively impacted performance and market share in that segment, though they expressed optimism about regaining share.
Dependence on RTD Growth and Risk of Normalization
A large portion of near-term growth is driven by RTD (≈1/3 of revenue and ~72% of H1 growth). Management warned H2 could see normalization after a strong H1 and noted potential competitive headwinds if U.S.-origin products are permitted back on shelves.
BC Strike and Order Phasing Effects
Results were aided by favorable LCBO order phasing and lapping of prior LCBO labor strike; management expects LCBO ordering patterns to normalize in H2, which could moderate comparables. British Columbia strike was noted as an impact though shipments remained strong.
Company Guidance
Management guided that, while they expect some normalization in H2 after a very strong H1, Corby still expects to deliver strong full‑year revenue growth driven by continued RTD expansion and spirits share gains; RTD today represents roughly one‑third of revenue, contributed ~72% of net‑sales growth, and has delivered ~27.7–28.1% value growth (outperforming the category by 6.5–16.5 points), ABG brands grew ~19% in Q2 and ~28% in H1, and the company outperformed the market in the rolling 3 months (Corby +2.5% vs. Canadian spirits market -4.4%) and on a R12 basis (spirits +1.9%, wine +13.7%). Financial priorities remain protecting margins and driving profitable growth while investing behind brands and returning capital: H1 revenue was $142.3M (+12% reported, +13% organic), Q2 revenue $66.9M (+9% reported, +10% organic), adjusted EBIT was $13.8M in Q2 (+6%), adjusted EPS was $0.71 (H1) and $0.32 (Q2), cash from operations was $37.0M (H1) and $31.4M (Q2), net debt fell to $72M with net debt/adjusted EBITDA at 1.1x (from 1.4x), and the Board maintained a quarterly dividend of $0.24/share (up $0.01, +4%; H1 dividends $0.47, 57% payout ratio, 6.5% yield).

Corby Spirit&Wine A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth and solid profitability (gross margin ~49%, operating ~18.5%, net ~11%) support the score, and leverage appears manageable with healthy ROE (~15%). Offsetting this, margins are compressed versus 2021–2023 and free cash flow is declining TTM (down ~21%) with less consistent cash conversion historically.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew strongly (about 205%), and profitability remains solid with healthy gross margin (~49%), operating margin (~18.5%), and net margin (~11%). That said, margins are notably below the 2021–2023 range (when gross and net margins were higher), indicating some recent mix/cost pressure despite the rebound in sales.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with TTM debt at ~0.56x equity, an improvement versus 2025 annual (~0.78x). Returns on equity are consistently healthy (TTM ~15%), supporting balance-sheet quality. The main watch-out is higher debt levels than the very low-leverage 2021–2022 period, which reduces flexibility if earnings soften.
Cash Flow
64
Positive
Cash generation is generally supportive: TTM free cash flow is strong (~$44M) and roughly tracks net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.94). However, free cash flow is shrinking (TTM down ~21%), and cash conversion is less consistent year-to-year (including a period of negative free cash flow in 2022 and weaker cash coverage of accounting profits in recent periods).
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue262.33M246.79M229.66M162.96M159.39M159.78M
Gross Profit127.26M123.00M115.77M94.11M96.04M97.71M
EBITDA63.65M63.26M57.11M44.95M47.11M53.80M
Net Income29.24M27.43M23.91M21.96M23.40M30.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets395.41M402.81M420.48M362.60M253.51M254.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.07M179.00K32.00M155.01M52.46M94.40M
Total Debt103.60M110.59M140.84M101.62M3.70M4.36M
Total Liabilities206.19M219.48M238.88M182.61M70.31M66.46M
Stockholders Equity189.23M183.33M181.60M180.00M183.21M187.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.93M42.33M28.24M30.71M-14.18M37.57M
Operating Cash Flow46.24M44.77M31.52M35.43M45.52M40.91M
Investing Cash Flow-3.17M9.16M-23.74M-107.00M-17.72M-15.44M
Financing Cash Flow-42.41M-58.40M-3.13M71.57M-27.80M-25.47M

Corby Spirit&Wine A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.43
Price Trends
50DMA
14.26
Positive
100DMA
14.00
Positive
200DMA
13.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
50.02
Neutral
STOCH
53.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CSW.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.49, above the 50-day MA of 14.26, and above the 200-day MA of 13.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CSW.A.

Corby Spirit&Wine A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$408.60M11.9215.74%6.34%8.87%10.15%
67
Neutral
C$243.72M7.368.23%4.71%-2.11%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
C$449.94M8.648.89%4.83%6.15%-36.76%
37
Underperform
$7.27M-6.90-337.27%22.03%86.06%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CSW.A
Corby Spirit&Wine A
14.36
0.30
2.10%
TSE:ADW.A
Andrew Peller A NV
5.23
0.55
11.66%
TSE:DWS
Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits
0.17
>-0.01
-3.89%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
15.90
0.29
1.84%
TSE:RUM
Rocky Mountain Liquor
0.10
0.02
25.00%
TSE:BKTS
Beckett's
0.02
0.00
0.00%

Corby Spirit&Wine A Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Corby’s Ace Beverage Group to Represent Canada Dry Mott’s RTD Brands Across Key Provinces
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Corby’s subsidiary Ace Beverage Group has signed an agreement with Canada Dry Mott’s granting it exclusive rights to represent several of CDMI’s ready-to-drink brands in Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba from March 1, 2026, to August 31, 2029. The deal covers Mott’s Clamato, Snapple, Tahiti Treat and Hires RTD beverages, expanding ABG’s portfolio in the fast-growing RTD segment.

Executives from Corby, ABG and CDMI framed the partnership as a strategic move to strengthen their position in Canada’s dynamic RTD market by combining complementary portfolios and leveraging ABG’s regional market expertise. The companies expect the collaboration to help them better respond to provincial consumer demand, regulatory and retail differences, positioning the combined RTD offering as a leading player and potentially enhancing growth prospects across key Western and Central Canadian provinces.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSW.A) stock is a Hold with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corby Spirit&Wine A stock, see the TSE:CSW.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Corby Spirit and Wine Lifts Dividend on Record H1 and Strong RTD-Led Growth
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Corby Spirit and Wine Limited reported strong fiscal 2026 second-quarter and first-half results, driven by rapid expansion of its ready-to-drink business and notable market share gains in spirits despite a declining spirits market. Revenue rose 9% in Q2 and 12% in H1, with record first-half sales, while disciplined cost control kept marketing, sales and administrative expenses largely in check, supporting higher adjusted earnings.

Domestic case goods and export sales were key growth engines, boosted by Ontario route-to-market modernization, strategic pipeline fill in export channels and provincial trade measures that favored Corby’s portfolio. Reflecting confidence in its earnings momentum and cash generation, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 4.3% to $0.24 per share, signaling a shareholder-friendly stance and underscoring the strength of its operating performance.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSW.A) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corby Spirit&Wine A stock, see the TSE:CSW.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Corby Spirit and Wine Sets Date for Q2 2026 Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

Corby Spirit and Wine Limited said it will release its second-quarter 2026 financial results after markets close on 11 February 2026, followed by a conference call for investors the next morning hosted by President and CEO Florence Tresarrieu and Vice-President and CFO Juan Alonso. The scheduled disclosure and investor call underscore the company’s ongoing engagement with the financial community and will give stakeholders an opportunity to gain insight into Corby’s recent operating performance and market dynamics across its spirits, wine and ready-to-drink portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:CSW.A) stock is a Buy with a C$15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Corby Spirit&Wine A stock, see the TSE:CSW.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026