tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
TPI Composites (TPICQ)
OTHER OTC:TPICQ

TPI Composites (TPICQ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
929 Followers

Top Page

TPICQ

TPI Composites

(OTC:TPICQ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.02
▼(-25.00% Downside)
The score is primarily dragged down by severe financial stress (negative margins, negative equity, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals add only a small offset due to a short-term bounce that remains within a broader downtrend, while valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Market leadership in wind blade manufacturing
TPI's position as a leading wind blade manufacturer is a durable competitive advantage: scale, specialized engineering and industry reputation support ongoing OEM demand, create barrier to entry for smaller competitors, and align the firm with structural renewable energy growth.
Established long-term OEM contracts
Long-term contracts with major OEMs provide revenue visibility and stable demand over multiple quarters, enabling capacity planning and investment in efficiency. Such contracted flows reduce sales volatility and support predictable production utilization and supplier relationships.
Advanced manufacturing and composite capabilities
Proven composite manufacturing and production techniques create sustainable cost and quality advantages, allowing TPI to pursue offshore wind and larger blade programs. Durable technical know-how supports product differentiation and long-term OEM partnerships.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and persistent negative margins
Multi-period revenue decline and negative gross/net margins indicate structural profitability problems, suggesting pricing, cost or mix issues. Persistent losses erode reinvestment capacity, weaken competitive positioning, and increase reliance on external capital for operations and growth.
Negative equity and solvency stress
Negative shareholders' equity and a negative debt-to-equity ratio signal balance sheet distress and elevated leverage. This constrains financing options, raises refinancing risk and counterparty concerns, and can limit ability to fund capex or weather prolonged downturns in demand.
Weak operating and free cash flow generation
Substantially negative operating and free cash flows, with free cash flow collapsing nearly 200%, reduce internal funding for maintenance and expansion. Poor cash generation increases dependence on external financing, elevates liquidity risk, and can force operational cutbacks that harm long-term competitiveness.

TPI Composites (TPICQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPI Composites Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTPI Composites, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of composite wind blades for the renewable energy sector, primarily focusing on wind energy. The company operates in the broader renewable energy industry, providing innovative solutions that enhance the efficiency and performance of wind turbines. TPI designs, engineers, and produces composite wind blades for several major wind turbine manufacturers, contributing to the global shift towards sustainable energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyTPI Composites generates revenue primarily through the sale of wind blades to major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the wind energy sector. The company has established long-term contracts with key players in the industry, allowing for stable revenue streams. Additionally, TPI benefits from its manufacturing capabilities, which include advanced composite materials and production techniques, enabling cost-effective blade production. The company may also explore opportunities in the growing offshore wind market, further diversifying its revenue sources. Strategic partnerships with turbine manufacturers and involvement in joint ventures can enhance its market position and profitability.

TPI Composites Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TPI Composites reported strong revenue growth and operational achievements with a focus on sustainability. However, the company faces significant challenges, including an adjusted EBITDA loss, uncertainties in Türkiye, NASDAQ compliance issues, and policy-related risks in the U.S. While there are positive aspects, the lowlights indicate significant challenges that need to be addressed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q1 revenue increased by 14% year-over-year, reaching $336.2 million, driven by strong demand in the U.S. market and successful transition of production lines.
Operational Achievements
Positive cash flows of $4.6 million from operating activities and the completion of line start-ups and transitions from 2024.
Sustainability Progress
Publication of 2024 sustainability report with a 17% reduction in overall market-based Scope 1 and 2 CO2 emissions and a commitment to carbon neutrality by 2030.
Strong U.S. Demand
Customer demand continues to be strong for TPI Composites' Mexico operations capacity for 2025, with plans to open production lines in Iowa.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin loss improved to 3.1% compared to 7.8% in the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $10.3 million, including a $12.7 million warranty charge and $8.4 million of start-up and transition costs.
Challenges in Türkiye
Restructuring plan in Türkiye due to lower forecasted demand amid Chinese competition and hyperinflation, impacting 20% of the workforce.
NASDAQ Compliance Issue
Company received a notification letter from NASDAQ for not being in compliance with the minimum bid price requirement, with a deadline to regain compliance by October 29, 2025.
Tariff and Policy Uncertainties
Uncertainty around tariffs, permitting, and potential changes to the IRA in the U.S. impacting business operations.
Safety Incident Impact
Production suspension in April due to a safety stand-down affecting EBITDA margins.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, TPI Composites reported a 14% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $336.2 million, with cash flows from operating activities at $4.6 million, and ending the quarter with $172 million in cash. Despite facing a $10.3 million adjusted EBITDA loss, which included significant warranty, start-up, and transition costs, TPI experienced robust demand in the U.S. market, particularly from their Mexico operations. The company is navigating challenges such as intense competition in Türkiye and fluctuating tariffs, which affect their global operations. Looking ahead, TPI forecasts sales between $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion for 2025, driven by increased blade shipments from Mexico and the reopening of their Iowa facility, albeit with a revised adjusted EBITDA margin outlook of 0% to 2% due to unforeseen warranty charges and safety-related production suspensions.

TPI Composites Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TPI Composites is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and a highly leveraged balance sheet. The cash flow situation is also weak, with negative free cash flow and low cash generation relative to net income. These factors suggest a need for strategic restructuring to improve financial health.
Income Statement
TPI Composites has been experiencing declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -10.92% in the TTM period. The company has negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -3.27% and a net profit margin of -15.28%, indicating significant challenges in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -1.51. This indicates high leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 51.13%, but this is due to the negative equity, which is not a sustainable situation.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -197.94% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.07, indicating weak cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.19B1.33B1.46B1.52B1.73B1.67B
Gross Profit-93.16M-53.00M-87.55M14.64M-31.58M64.10M
EBITDA-152.22M-74.67M-127.91M24.57M-59.83M-55.00K
Net Income-292.78M-240.71M-201.78M-55.55M-159.55M-19.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets380.87M692.46M804.08M962.18M1.01B956.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.50M196.52M161.66M133.55M242.16M129.86M
Total Debt484.62M742.25M624.34M216.76M243.81M398.89M
Total Liabilities646.05M1.07B926.38M911.69M756.73M755.22M
Stockholders Equity-265.18M-373.24M-122.30M50.49M250.97M201.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.88M-13.70M-117.11M-81.10M-62.64M-28.10M
Operating Cash Flow-27.49M12.50M-80.97M-62.27M-25.52M37.57M
Investing Cash Flow-18.71M-26.20M-23.30M-18.83M-37.12M-65.67M
Financing Cash Flow-51.30M50.96M121.99M-14.60M198.92M88.61M

TPI Composites Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.03
Negative
200DMA
0.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.48
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPICQ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TPICQ.

TPI Composites Risk Analysis

TPI Composites disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TPI Composites reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TPI Composites Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$19.13M1.0521.29%-1.36%
65
Neutral
$91.30M18.218.20%-1.47%52.65%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
$32.40M-157.56-0.73%19.84%95.71%
51
Neutral
$10.31M-9.918.18%-23.37%-264.09%
41
Neutral
$3.73M-0.67-82.18%-57.40%52.85%
39
Underperform
$784.56K>-0.01-7.25%-67.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPICQ
TPI Composites
0.02
-1.45
-98.91%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
4.00
2.21
123.46%
CVV
CVD Equipment
4.27
0.41
10.62%
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding
1.03
-0.82
-44.32%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.77
-6.43
-89.29%
JCSE
JE Cleantech Holdings Limited
2.02
0.62
44.29%

TPI Composites Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
TPI Composites Board Member James Hughes Resigns
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, James A. Hughes resigned from TPI Composites‘ board of directors. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPICQ) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TPI Composites stock, see the TPICQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026