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TPI Composites (TPICQ)
OTHER OTC:TPICQ

TPI Composites (TPICQ) AI Stock Analysis

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TPICQ

TPI Composites

(OTC:TPICQ)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$0.01
▼(-45.00% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by severe financial weakness (negative margins, negative cash flow, and negative equity). Technicals add only modest support due to mixed momentum and the price remaining below key moving averages. Valuation does not offset the risk because the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Market position in wind blade manufacturing
TPI's status as a leading composite wind blade manufacturer gives it durable customer access to major OEMs and exposure to secular renewable energy demand. This market position supports long-term order potential, engineering knowledge accumulation, and relevance as turbine supply chains consolidate.
Long-term OEM contracts and partnerships
Existing long-term contracts and partnerships with turbine OEMs provide structural revenue visibility and customer stickiness. These relationships reduce sales volatility, support capacity planning, and create a platform for joint product development that can sustain volumes and rebuild margins over time.
Manufacturing capabilities and scale
Advanced composite manufacturing and production techniques, combined with sizeable operations, create a durable operational moat. Scale and process know-how enable potential unit cost advantages, quicker ramp of new lines, and ability to target growth in emerging segments like offshore blades.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A persistent ~11% TTM revenue decline signals structural demand or execution issues that reduce scale economics. Lower volumes hinder fixed-cost absorption in capital-intensive blade manufacturing, limiting margin recovery, lowering reinvestment capacity, and weakening bargaining leverage with suppliers and OEMs.
Deeply negative margins
Sustained negative gross and net margins point to structural cost, pricing, or mix problems in core blade production. Negative unit economics erode cash generation, deter reinvestment, and mean management must secure structural fixes (pricing, cost cuts, product mix) to restore profitability over multiple quarters.
Weak cash flow and stressed balance sheet
Material negative OCF and a nearly 198% fall in FCF growth create ongoing liquidity pressure. Combined with negative equity and high leverage elsewhere, this raises refinancing and solvency risk, constrains capex and backlog fulfillment, and limits ability to invest for long-term competitiveness.

TPI Composites (TPICQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPI Composites Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTPI Composites, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of composite wind blades for the renewable energy sector, primarily focusing on wind energy. The company operates in the broader renewable energy industry, providing innovative solutions that enhance the efficiency and performance of wind turbines. TPI designs, engineers, and produces composite wind blades for several major wind turbine manufacturers, contributing to the global shift towards sustainable energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyTPI Composites generates revenue primarily through the sale of wind blades to major original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the wind energy sector. The company has established long-term contracts with key players in the industry, allowing for stable revenue streams. Additionally, TPI benefits from its manufacturing capabilities, which include advanced composite materials and production techniques, enabling cost-effective blade production. The company may also explore opportunities in the growing offshore wind market, further diversifying its revenue sources. Strategic partnerships with turbine manufacturers and involvement in joint ventures can enhance its market position and profitability.

TPI Composites Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
TPI Composites reported strong revenue growth and operational achievements with a focus on sustainability. However, the company faces significant challenges, including an adjusted EBITDA loss, uncertainties in Türkiye, NASDAQ compliance issues, and policy-related risks in the U.S. While there are positive aspects, the lowlights indicate significant challenges that need to be addressed.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Q1 revenue increased by 14% year-over-year, reaching $336.2 million, driven by strong demand in the U.S. market and successful transition of production lines.
Operational Achievements
Positive cash flows of $4.6 million from operating activities and the completion of line start-ups and transitions from 2024.
Sustainability Progress
Publication of 2024 sustainability report with a 17% reduction in overall market-based Scope 1 and 2 CO2 emissions and a commitment to carbon neutrality by 2030.
Strong U.S. Demand
Customer demand continues to be strong for TPI Composites' Mexico operations capacity for 2025, with plans to open production lines in Iowa.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin loss improved to 3.1% compared to 7.8% in the same period in 2024.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $10.3 million, including a $12.7 million warranty charge and $8.4 million of start-up and transition costs.
Challenges in Türkiye
Restructuring plan in Türkiye due to lower forecasted demand amid Chinese competition and hyperinflation, impacting 20% of the workforce.
NASDAQ Compliance Issue
Company received a notification letter from NASDAQ for not being in compliance with the minimum bid price requirement, with a deadline to regain compliance by October 29, 2025.
Tariff and Policy Uncertainties
Uncertainty around tariffs, permitting, and potential changes to the IRA in the U.S. impacting business operations.
Safety Incident Impact
Production suspension in April due to a safety stand-down affecting EBITDA margins.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, TPI Composites reported a 14% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $336.2 million, with cash flows from operating activities at $4.6 million, and ending the quarter with $172 million in cash. Despite facing a $10.3 million adjusted EBITDA loss, which included significant warranty, start-up, and transition costs, TPI experienced robust demand in the U.S. market, particularly from their Mexico operations. The company is navigating challenges such as intense competition in Türkiye and fluctuating tariffs, which affect their global operations. Looking ahead, TPI forecasts sales between $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion for 2025, driven by increased blade shipments from Mexico and the reopening of their Iowa facility, albeit with a revised adjusted EBITDA margin outlook of 0% to 2% due to unforeseen warranty charges and safety-related production suspensions.

TPI Composites Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very weak fundamentals: declining revenue (-10.92% TTM), deeply negative profitability (gross margin -3.27%, net margin -15.28%), negative operating and free cash flow with sharply deteriorating FCF growth (-197.94% TTM), and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity indicating elevated solvency risk.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
TPI Composites has been experiencing declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -10.92% in the TTM period. The company has negative margins across the board, with a gross profit margin of -3.27% and a net profit margin of -15.28%, indicating significant challenges in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
15
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -1.51. This indicates high leverage and potential solvency issues. The return on equity is positive at 51.13%, but this is due to the negative equity, which is not a sustainable situation.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -197.94% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.07, indicating weak cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.19B1.33B1.46B1.52B1.73B1.67B
Gross Profit-93.16M-53.00M-87.55M14.64M-31.58M64.10M
EBITDA-152.22M-74.67M-127.91M24.57M-59.83M-55.00K
Net Income-292.78M-240.71M-201.78M-55.55M-159.55M-19.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets380.87M692.46M804.08M962.18M1.01B956.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.50M196.52M161.66M133.55M242.16M129.86M
Total Debt484.62M742.25M624.34M216.76M243.81M398.89M
Total Liabilities646.05M1.07B926.38M911.69M756.73M755.22M
Stockholders Equity-265.18M-373.24M-122.30M50.49M250.97M201.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-44.88M-13.70M-117.11M-81.10M-62.64M-28.10M
Operating Cash Flow-27.49M12.50M-80.97M-62.27M-25.52M37.57M
Investing Cash Flow-18.71M-26.20M-23.30M-18.83M-37.12M-65.67M
Financing Cash Flow-51.30M50.96M121.99M-14.60M198.92M88.61M

TPI Composites Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.02
Negative
200DMA
0.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
46.07
Neutral
STOCH
-12.50
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPICQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.01, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and below the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -12.50 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPICQ.

TPI Composites Risk Analysis

TPI Composites disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TPI Composites reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TPI Composites Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$69.60M14.528.20%-1.47%52.65%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$13.57M0.8621.29%-1.36%
59
Neutral
$6.16M-5.648.18%-23.37%-264.09%
55
Neutral
$32.05M-159.41-0.73%19.84%95.71%
42
Neutral
$3.63M-0.50-82.18%-57.40%52.85%
39
Underperform
$614.00K>-0.01-7.25%-67.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPICQ
TPI Composites
0.01
-1.41
-99.15%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
3.19
1.46
84.39%
CVV
CVD Equipment
4.32
0.81
23.08%
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding
0.84
-1.42
-62.79%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.58
-6.69
-92.07%
JCSE
JE Cleantech Holdings Limited
1.15
-0.08
-6.66%

TPI Composites Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
TPI Composites Board Member James Hughes Resigns
Neutral
Nov 4, 2025

On November 3, 2025, James A. Hughes resigned from TPI Composites‘ board of directors. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPICQ) stock is a Sell with a $0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TPI Composites stock, see the TPICQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026