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Tokio Marine Holdings Inc (TKOMY)
OTHER OTC:TKOMY
US Market

Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) AI Stock Analysis

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TKOMY

Tokio Marine Holdings

(OTC:TKOMY)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(26.72% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:11/05/25
Tokio Marine Holdings' strong financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths, contributing positively to the overall score. However, the current bearish technical indicators suggest potential short-term challenges, impacting the overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Extremely low leverage gives Tokio Marine durable financial resilience: it supports regulatory capital requirements, allows disciplined underwriting after large loss events, and preserves capacity for acquisitions or reinvestment without stressing cash flows or ratings over the next several months.
Strong Cash Generation
Robust free cash flow growth and efficient cash conversion provide lasting financial flexibility: they fund claims, dividends, and strategic investments, reduce refinancing risk, and enable capital allocation choices that sustain underwriting capacity and shareholder returns through cycles.
Improving Profitability
High and improving operating and net margins, alongside recent top-line growth, indicate durable underwriting discipline and cost control. These margin levels support strong ROE and provide buffer to absorb claim volatility while enabling reinvestment in distribution and risk management.
Negative Factors
Asset Utilization
Suboptimal asset utilization suggests some capital is not earning maximal returns. Over months, this can limit ROE expansion and reduce funds available for growth initiatives unless investment allocation or portfolio efficiency is improved to better convert assets into underwriting or investment income.
Revenue Concentration
Heavy reliance on insurance premiums concentrates revenue on underwriting and investment income. Structural exposure to underwriting cycles, pricing pressure, and catastrophic losses can persistently pressure earnings variability unless diversified product or fee-based streams are meaningfully expanded.
Modest EPS Growth
Low recent EPS growth signals limited near-term earnings momentum from core operations. Over a multi-month horizon this may constrain internal capital for strategic initiatives and make operational improvements or new growth avenues necessary to lift sustainable per-share earnings growth.

Tokio Marine Holdings (TKOMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tokio Marine Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokio Marine Holdings, Inc. engages in non-life and life insurance, and financial and general businesses worldwide. It operates through four segments: Domestic Non-Life Insurance, Domestic Life Insurance, International Insurance, and Financial and Other. The company offers fire and allied lines, hull and cargo, health, personal accident, automobile, and other insurance products, as well as asset management services. It also provides investment advisory, investment trust, staffing, facility management, and nursing care services. The company was formerly known as Millea Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. in 2008. Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokio Marine generates revenue primarily through its insurance premiums, which are collected from policyholders for various insurance products. The company earns significant income from premium collections in its property and casualty insurance segments. In addition to premiums, Tokio Marine also generates revenue through investment income from the premiums it collects, which are invested in various financial instruments. Furthermore, Tokio Marine's life insurance segment contributes to its revenue through premium payments for life policies and annuities. The company has established partnerships and alliances with other financial institutions and businesses, enhancing its distribution channels and expanding its market reach. Moreover, Tokio Marine benefits from its diverse geographical footprint, allowing it to tap into different markets and mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations in specific regions.

Tokio Marine Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in fiscal 2024 with significant growth in adjusted net income and shareholder returns. However, challenges including decreased life insurance premiums, inflation impacts, and CRE loan issues were noted. The overall outlook for fiscal 2025 remains positive with projected income growth and continued equity sales.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Fiscal 2024 Performance
Adjusted net income excluding one-off effects was JPY679.0 billion, showing a 14% year-over-year growth driven by major international businesses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
Increased Shareholder Return
Dividend per share (DPS) for fiscal year 2024 increased by JPY10 to JPY172, resulting in a 40% growth, with further DPS growth projected at 22% in fiscal 2025.
Significant Equity Sales
Sales of business-related equities amounted to JPY922 billion, exceeding the February forecast by JPY10 billion and achieving 1.5x the initial forecast.
Positive Forecast for Fiscal 2025
Projected adjusted net income for fiscal 2025 is JPY700 billion, with an expected growth rate of 7% when excluding FX factors.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Life Insurance Premiums
Life insurance premiums decreased by 44% from the February announcement due to block reinsurance by Anshin Life in March.
Inflation Impact on Costs
Increased unit repair costs in Japan and social inflation in North America led to higher provisioning and deviations from initial assumptions.
CRE Loan Challenges
The expected capital loss on CRE loans was revised to minus $440 million due to higher interest rates and decreased demand for office spaces.
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tokio Marine's FY 2024 results and FY 2025 forecast, several key financial metrics and guidance points were discussed. The FY 2024 adjusted net income, excluding one-off effects, reached JPY679 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, bolstered by the strong performance of international businesses and currency exchange rate impacts. The sales of business-related equities amounted to JPY922 billion, surpassing the initial forecast by JPY10 billion, contributing to an overall adjusted net income, including these gains, of JPY1.215 trillion. For FY 2025, the company projects JPY700 billion in adjusted net income, excluding equity sales gains, indicating a 3% growth over the previous year. The projected dividend per share (DPS) for FY 2024 was revised to JPY172, representing a 40% increase, and is expected to grow by 22% to JPY210 in FY 2025. The company also plans to repurchase JPY220 billion of its own shares in FY 2025. The projected sales of business-related equities for FY 2025 remain at JPY600 billion, consistent with the previous year, and the adjusted net income, including these sales, is expected to reach JPY1.1 trillion. The management emphasized the importance of consistent profit growth and shareholder returns, alongside disciplined capital management and strategic investment opportunities.

Tokio Marine Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokio Marine Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, improved net profit margins, and robust operational efficiency. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow is healthy, indicating excellent financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tokio Marine Holdings has demonstrated a strong and consistent revenue growth trajectory over the past five years, with a notable 7.12% increase in the most recent year. The company's net profit margin has improved significantly, reaching 13.91%, indicating effective cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 19.47% and 22.61%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. While the company is excelling in profitability, continued focus on diversifying revenue streams could further enhance stability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Tokio Marine Holdings reflects a solid financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.045, indicating conservative leverage use. The equity ratio stands at 16.25%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity has been impressive at 20.79%, driven by strong net income performance. However, there is room for improvement in further optimizing asset utilization to enhance returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Tokio Marine Holdings shows a healthy cash flow position with consistent growth in free cash flow, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow growth rate of 25.42% over the past year is a positive indicator of financial flexibility. Additionally, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.27 signifies efficient cash conversion. The company should continue to focus on efficient capital allocation to maintain and enhance its cash flow stability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.26T7.58T7.08T6.31T5.75T5.32T
Gross Profit8.26T6.57T6.13T5.46T5.00T4.63T
EBITDA3.95B1.71T1.06T726.82B724.58B397.33B
Net Income1.32T1.06T695.81B374.61B420.48B161.80B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.56T31.24T30.59T27.70T27.25T25.77T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.001.07T896.90B871.99B848.82B812.01B
Total Debt225.76B227.25B224.40B222.81B219.79B230.60B
Total Liabilities25.64T26.13T25.41T24.04T23.17T22.04T
Stockholders Equity4.94T5.08T5.18T3.63T4.02T3.67T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.32T1.05T982.71B1.07T1.15T
Operating Cash Flow0.001.35T1.07T1.01T1.10T1.18T
Investing Cash Flow0.00164.62B-627.65B18.19B-665.44B-731.01B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.19T-406.20B-1.01T-504.63B-512.97B

Tokio Marine Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.51
Price Trends
50DMA
37.99
Positive
100DMA
38.25
Positive
200DMA
40.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.14
Negative
RSI
69.54
Neutral
STOCH
92.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKOMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.95, below the 50-day MA of 37.99, and below the 200-day MA of 40.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKOMY.

Tokio Marine Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$129.59B12.8214.97%1.22%6.68%-1.78%
80
Outperform
$54.80B5.5039.51%1.91%7.07%100.42%
76
Outperform
$119.20B10.572.20%18.35%32.36%
76
Outperform
$64.54B10.8820.70%1.49%6.75%30.83%
71
Outperform
$26.91B15.9119.67%1.88%11.08%22.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$79.49B11.2719.96%3.26%-1.18%-7.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TKOMY
Tokio Marine Holdings
41.81
7.57
22.11%
CB
Chubb
331.62
61.75
22.88%
ALL
Allstate
206.37
21.25
11.48%
PGR
Progressive
204.08
-51.97
-20.30%
TRV
Travelers Companies
304.93
60.67
24.84%
WRB
W. R. Berkley Corporation
71.08
10.39
17.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025