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Thryv Holdings (THRY)
NASDAQ:THRY
US Market

Thryv Holdings (THRY) AI Stock Analysis

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THRY

Thryv Holdings

(NASDAQ:THRY)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-9.64% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/03/26
The score is anchored by improving fundamentals (return to profitability, positive cash generation, and reduced leverage) and a constructive earnings call with specific 2026 guidance and expected free-cash-flow growth. This is meaningfully offset by weak technicals (downtrend across major moving averages with negative MACD) and an unfavorable/less-informative valuation signal from a highly negative P/E with no dividend yield support.
Positive Factors
SaaS Revenue Growth & Mix Shift
A sustained 34% SaaS growth and rising share of revenue reflect a durable transition from one‑time services to recurring subscriptions. This structurally increases revenue visibility, expands high‑lifetime‑value cohorts and supports upsell and lifecycle monetization over multiple years.
High SaaS Gross Margins and ARPU Expansion
SaaS gross margins above 70% and rising ARPU indicate scalable unit economics: as subscription scale grows, incremental revenue contributes disproportionately to profit. Durable margin structure supports reinvestment in product and AI while improving long‑term free cash flow conversion.
Improving Cash Generation and Deleveraging
Positive free cash flow and a clear plan to raise FCF while reducing net debt to ~1.7x increase financial flexibility. Sustainable cash generation supports product investment, M&A integration (Keap), and liability reduction, lowering structural balance‑sheet risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp Marketing Services Contraction
An intentional halving of marketing services revenue is a material near‑term revenue shock and reduces diversification. While strategic, the ~50%+ decline compresses top‑line predictability and forces a reliance on SaaS ramping fast enough to offset lost cash flow and customer relationships.
Stagnant Retention & Small‑Customer Tail
Flat seasoned NRR at 94% and elevated churn among low‑ARPU legacy customers constrain durable revenue expansion from the installed base. The small‑customer tail increases migration friction and makes long‑term retention gains harder, raising execution risk during platform replatforming.
Revenue Volatility and Thin Net Margins Historically
Multi‑year revenue swings and historically thin net margins indicate structural volatility in demand and limited margin buffer. Even with recent profitability, inconsistent top‑line trends and narrow net margins reduce resilience to execution missteps or slower SaaS upsell progress.

Thryv Holdings (THRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Thryv Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThryv Holdings, Inc. provides digital marketing solutions and cloud-based tools to the small-to-medium sized businesses (SMBs). It operates through three segments: SaaS (Software as a Service), Marketing Services, and Thryv International. The company provides Thryv, an SMB end-to-end customer experience platform; Hub by Thryv, a solution for franchisors to offer real time oversight and day-to-day management of multiple locations; Thryv Leads, an integrated local marketing and lead generation solution, as well as related services; and ThryvPay, a payment solution that allows users to get paid through credit card and ACH. It also offers print and digital solutions, including the company's print yellow pages; internet yellow pages, such as yellowpages.com, superpages.com, dexknows.com, and extended search solutions; search engine marketing solutions; and other digital media solutions, including online display and social advertising, online presence and video, and search engine optimization tools. The company was formerly known as Dex Media Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Thryv Holdings, Inc. in July 2019. Thryv Holdings, Inc. is based in DFW Airport, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyThryv Holdings generates revenue through a subscription-based model, offering its software solutions to SMBs on a recurring basis. Key revenue streams include monthly or annual subscription fees for access to its integrated platform, which encompasses CRM, marketing services, and operational management tools. Additional revenue comes from transactional fees related to payment processing services and optional add-on services for enhanced marketing capabilities. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various service providers and platforms that expand its service offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Thryv Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call presented a predominantly positive narrative: strong full-year SaaS growth (34% YoY), improving SaaS margins, rising ARPU (+15% YoY), expanding high-value customer cohort (+18% YoY) and encouraging multi-product adoption. Management framed the significant decline in legacy marketing services and short-term moderation of growth as an intentional, strategic transition toward a higher-quality, AI-enabled unified SaaS platform (Thryv Platform), supported by the Keap acquisition and clear guidance for 2026. The main negatives are an intentional but sizable near-term drop in marketing services billings/revenue, flat blended NRR (94%), and migration-related churn/noise from a legacy small-customer tail. Given that the positives (strong SaaS growth, margin expansion, quality customer expansion, FCF improvement, debt reduction and strategic AI/product initiatives) materially outweigh the intentional headwinds, the overall sentiment is Positive.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year SaaS Growth
SaaS revenue grew 34.2% year-over-year to $461.0M for the full year 2025, demonstrating continued momentum in the company's transition to a SaaS business.
Q4 SaaS Performance and Profitability
Q4 SaaS revenue increased 14.1% to $119.0M. SaaS adjusted EBITDA was $20.0M in Q4, yielding a Q4 SaaS adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.8%. Full-year SaaS adjusted EBITDA was $73.8M with a 16.0% margin.
Improving SaaS Gross Margins
SaaS adjusted gross margin was 70.4% in Q4 and 72.7% for the full year, up ~70 basis points year-over-year for the full year, indicating operational leverage as SaaS scale grows.
Marketing Center Rapid Growth
Marketing Center is the fastest-growing product and a top revenue driver — described as growing 'north of 50%' year-over-year and more than doubling in revenue in 2025; it represents a majority portion of SaaS revenue and a core component of the new Thryv Platform strategy.
Quality Customer Expansion and ARPU Improvement
Customers spending $400+/month (quality cohort) grew by 3,000 customers or +18% year-over-year in Q4 and now account for 69% of revenue (vs. 60% prior year). SaaS ARPU reached $373, a 15% year-over-year increase.
Multi-Product Adoption Increasing
Clients with two or more SaaS products increased to 19,000 (23% of base) from 15,000 (16% of base) a year ago; clients with two or more centers rose to 15% from 12%.
Strategic Keap Acquisition and AI Acceleration
Keap contributed $16.2M in Q4 and was highlighted as accelerating product roadmap and providing conversion/lifecycle capabilities; company is embedding AI across the platform and expects the unified Thryv Platform to launch later in 2026.
Cash Flow, Leverage, and Balance Sheet Progress
Free cash flow was $31.1M in 2025, with management forecasting $40M–$50M in 2026. Net debt was reduced by $15M to $251M, bringing leverage to 1.7x.
Intentional Transition Plan and Clear Guidance
Management provided explicit 2026 guidance (Q1 SaaS $114M–$115M; FY SaaS $461M–$471M; FY SaaS adj. EBITDA $70M–$75M) and reiterated a deliberate, conservative approach during platform transition to prioritize quality of growth.
Negative Updates
Sharp Decline in Marketing Services Billings
Marketing services billings were $60.9M in Q4, down 34% year-over-year. Management expects the decline to persist as they intentionally transition away from legacy marketing services and plan to exit marketing services by 2028.
Marketing Services Revenue Contraction (Near-Term)
Marketing services revenue was $324M for full-year 2025 and is guided materially lower to $150M–$160M for full-year 2026, reflecting an intentional but sizable near-term revenue shift away from legacy services.
Blended Retention/NRR Remains Stagnant
Seasoned Net Revenue Retention (NRR) stayed flat at 94% for the quarter, indicating limited improvement in blended retention despite growth in higher-value cohorts.
Legacy Small-Customer Tail Creates Noise and Churn
A legacy base of small customers (many spending < $200/month) continues to create noise in aggregate customer counts and retention metrics; management acknowledges higher churn among these micro-business customers and expects some to churn as part of the transition.
Near-Term Moderation of Growth and Conservative Guidance
Management signaled that near-term SaaS growth rates will moderate as the upgrade pool is largely behind them, and provided conservative quarterly and annual SaaS guidance while replatforming and shifting GTM motions.
Some Cannibalization and Migration Friction
Management noted modest cannibalization where the new Market-Sell-Grow platform is displacing some Business Center customers and that there was a 'hump' of churn following prior large migrations; additional migration work remains to be completed.
Company Guidance
For 2026 Thryv guided Q1 SaaS revenue of $114–$115M and full-year SaaS revenue of $461–$471M, Q1 SaaS adjusted EBITDA of $12–$13M and full-year SaaS adjusted EBITDA of $70–$75M, full-year marketing services revenue of $150–$160M with marketing services adjusted EBITDA of $30–$35M, and free cash flow expected to grow to $40–$50M (versus $31.1M in 2025); management reiterated a conservative near-term view with re‑acceleration later in the year and a plan to exit marketing services by 2028 (cash flows through 2030). Key operating baselines cited: Q4 SaaS revenue $119M (+14.1% YoY), full‑year SaaS $461M (+34.2% YoY), Keap contributed $16.2M in Q4, SaaS adjusted gross margin 70.4% (Q4) / 72.7% (FY), SaaS adjusted EBITDA $20M (Q4) / $73.8M (FY) with margins 16.8% (Q4) / 16.0% (FY), 100,000 SaaS subscribers, ARPU $373 (+15% YoY), seasoned NRR 94%, quality customers ($400+/mo) +3,000 (18% YoY) now >20% of the client base and representing 69% of revenue (vs. 60% prior year), Marketing Center ~2/3 of SaaS revenue, multi‑product clients 19,000 (23% of base), Q4 marketing services revenue $72.6M (billings $60.9M, down 34% YoY), net debt $251M (down $15M) and leverage ~1.7x.

Thryv Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has rebounded in the TTM period (positive EBIT/EBITDA/net income) and leverage has improved with materially lower debt, while operating cash flow and free cash flow remain positive. Offsetting this, revenue has been volatile over multiple years, net margins are still thin, and TTM free cash flow growth is sharply negative versus prior strong years.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a clear profitability rebound with positive EBIT, EBITDA, and net income, alongside stronger gross margin versus prior years. However, net margin remains thin, and the multi-year revenue trajectory is volatile—revenue declined sharply from 2022 to 2024 before the strong TTM growth rate, suggesting momentum but not yet a fully stable growth profile.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage has improved meaningfully: total debt fell sharply from 2020–2024 levels to a much lower figure in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity has increased, supporting a healthier capital structure. That said, debt relative to equity remains elevated per the provided ratio, and returns on equity have been inconsistent over time (negative in 2023–2024 before turning positive in TTM), indicating the balance sheet is better but not yet “low-risk.”
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation is a relative strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive, and free cash flow is a solid proportion of net income. The main weakness is that cash flow has stepped down versus the very strong 2022–2024 levels and TTM free cash flow growth is sharply negative, pointing to near-term pressure on cash conversion and/or reinvestment needs.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue785.01M824.16M916.96M1.20B1.11B
Gross Profit532.71M537.24M578.25M780.38M705.34M
EBITDA79.93M33.56M-135.56M247.77M306.16M
Net Income33.78M-74.22M-259.30M54.35M101.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets688.59M712.16M783.17M1.18B1.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.75M16.31M18.22M16.03M11.26M
Total Debt256.69M294.99M362.03M493.18M598.59M
Total Liabilities470.45M515.25M630.47M795.61M985.79M
Stockholders Equity218.14M196.92M152.70M382.27M314.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.14M56.25M114.83M119.34M143.72M
Operating Cash Flow63.53M89.78M148.23M148.57M170.57M
Investing Cash Flow-32.53M-110.42M-42.52M-52.03M-196.57M
Financing Cash Flow-38.47M19.22M-103.49M-91.10M39.09M

Thryv Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.32
Price Trends
50DMA
4.63
Negative
100DMA
6.15
Negative
200DMA
9.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Negative
RSI
43.29
Neutral
STOCH
58.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For THRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.50, below the 50-day MA of 4.63, and below the 200-day MA of 9.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for THRY.

Thryv Holdings Risk Analysis

Thryv Holdings disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Thryv Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Thryv Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$614.13M9.8353.19%57.83%293.63%
73
Outperform
$333.03M2.5046.87%11.97%3.79%50.06%
65
Neutral
$619.22M14.828.28%7.14%13.06%66.19%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$376.58M13.764.40%-13.14%17.25%
58
Neutral
$146.63M7.810.15%-10.73%
57
Neutral
$266.98M-1.36
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
THRY
Thryv Holdings
3.18
-12.54
-79.77%
ANGI
Angi
8.82
-7.28
-45.22%
SSTK
Shutterstock
17.52
-1.49
-7.86%
EVER
EverQuote
16.85
-7.60
-31.08%
JFIN
Jiayin Group
6.28
-2.61
-29.36%
TTGT
TechTarget, Inc.
3.84
-9.79
-71.83%

Thryv Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thryv Highlights Q4 2025 Results and SaaS Transition
Neutral
Feb 26, 2026

Thryv Holdings reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showing a continued shift toward SaaS, with SaaS revenue rising 14.1% year over year to $118.99 million and SaaS adjusted EBITDA reaching $20.04 million, while marketing services revenue fell 11.7% to $72.63 million. Consolidated revenue grew 2.7% to $191.62 million, but the company swung to a net loss of $9.66 million from net income of $7.88 million a year earlier, even as adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 20.3%, reflecting higher-margin SaaS growth, the integration of the October 2024 Keap acquisition, and a strategic pivot toward its AI-enabled unified growth platform.

Operational metrics underscored this transition, with quality SaaS customers generating more than $400 in monthly recurring revenue increasing their share of SaaS revenue to 69% and adjusted SaaS gross margin rising to 70.4% in the quarter. Billings data highlighted a 12% year-over-year increase in SaaS billings versus a 34% decline in marketing services billings, and Thryv issued 2026 guidance calling for total revenue of $611 million to $631 million and adjusted EBITDA of $100 million to $110 million, signaling expectations that SaaS-led growth and higher-value subscribers will continue to reshape its revenue mix despite ongoing pressure in legacy marketing services.

The most recent analyst rating on (THRY) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thryv Holdings stock, see the THRY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thryv Holdings Accelerates SaaS Growth Amid Revenue Shift
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Thryv Holdings reported that in 2025 its SaaS revenue grew 34.2% year over year to $461 million, helping lift SaaS to more than 62% of total revenue, even as consolidated revenue fell 4.7% to $785 million due to a steep 32.6% decline in Marketing Services revenue. The company posted full-year net income of $0.3 million versus a $74.2 million loss a year earlier, expanded SaaS adjusted EBITDA margin to 16.0%, and delivered strong Q4 2025 SaaS metrics, including a 15% rise in monthly ARPU and more than 50% growth in Marketing Center revenue, underscoring its shift toward an AI-enabled Thryv Platform aimed at helping small businesses market, sell and grow.

The most recent analyst rating on (THRY) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thryv Holdings stock, see the THRY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Thryv Holdings adopts executive retention bonus program
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Thryv Holdings, Inc. approved a one-time cash retention bonus program for certain critical employees, including President Grant Freeman, Chief Operations & Customer Success Officer and Executive Vice President John Wholey, and Chief Legal Officer & Human Resources head Lesley Bolger. Under the plan, each participating executive will receive a retention bonus equal to 50% of their annual base salary, paid in two installments: 60% of the bonus after August 31, 2026, and the remaining 40% after August 31, 2027, with each payment contingent on continued employment and satisfactory performance, underscoring the company’s effort to secure leadership stability over the next two years.

The most recent analyst rating on (THRY) stock is a Hold with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Thryv Holdings stock, see the THRY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026