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Atlassian Corporation Plc (TEAM)
:TEAM

Atlassian (TEAM) AI Stock Analysis

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TEAtlassian
(NASDAQ:TEAM)
66Neutral
Atlassian's overall score reflects its strong financial and operational performance, particularly in revenue and cash flow growth, despite challenges in profitability. Positive technical indicators support the stock's upward momentum, although valuation remains a concern due to the negative P/E ratio. The recent earnings call highlights strategic investments and future growth potential, adding to the positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Enterprise Growth
Better-than-expected beat and raise driven by strong enterprise momentum and stable SMB trends.
Financial Performance
TEAM delivered its 2nd consecutive solid beat-and-raise across the board, and the stock rose 20% after hours.
Negative Factors
Operating Margins
TEAM expects 2H operating margins to be slightly lower than 1H due to some expenses being pushed from 2Q and increased enterprise S&M and R&D investments.

Atlassian (TEAM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Atlassian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtlassian Corporation Plc is a leading enterprise software company based in Australia, known for developing products targeted towards software developers, project managers, and content management. The company's key products include Jira, for project and issue tracking; Confluence, for collaborative content creation; Trello, for task management; and Bitbucket, a Git solution for teams. Atlassian operates in the sector of software development and collaboration tools, providing a suite of products designed to enhance team productivity and efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtlassian primarily makes money through a subscription-based revenue model, offering its software products as cloud-based services. The company charges customers on a per-user, per-month basis for access to its suite of tools, with different pricing tiers based on features and scale. Atlassian also generates revenue from on-premises software licenses, which include maintenance and support fees. Additionally, the company earns through its marketplace, where third-party developers sell apps and integrations that complement Atlassian's products, with Atlassian taking a percentage of the sales. Strategic partnerships with other technology companies help expand its customer base and enhance its product offerings, contributing to its revenue growth.

Atlassian Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atlassian exhibits strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, despite facing profitability challenges. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage and sufficient liquidity, which supports ongoing operations. The focus on expanding revenue while managing costs is evident, though achieving profitability remains a key area for improvement.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Atlassian's TTM revenue growth is positive, increasing from $4.36 billion to $4.79 billion, indicating a healthy growth trajectory. However, the company has negative EBIT and net income, reflecting challenges in achieving profitability. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 81.7%, suggesting efficient cost management in generating revenue.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is 22.4%, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure. The negative net income impacts the return on equity, which is currently negative. However, the substantial cash reserves provide financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Atlassian demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a substantial operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash conversion from operations. The free cash flow is robust, and its growth remains stable. The company's free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable, highlighting strong cash management.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.79B4.36B
Gross Profit
3.92B3.56B
EBIT
-135.09M-117.08M
EBITDA
-39.30M57.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-346.14M-300.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.34B2.34B
Total Assets
5.21B5.21B
Total Debt
1.25B1.25B
Net Debt
-927.59M-927.59M
Total Liabilities
4.18B4.18B
Stockholders Equity
1.03B1.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.39B1.42B
Operating Cash Flow
1.43B1.45B
Investing Cash Flow
-186.12M-963.75M
Financing Cash Flow
-486.78M-408.22M

Atlassian Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price273.62
Price Trends
50DMA
275.16
Negative
100DMA
253.30
Positive
200DMA
209.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.04
Positive
RSI
40.51
Neutral
STOCH
18.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TEAM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 273.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 301.38, below the 50-day MA of 275.16, and above the 200-day MA of 209.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TEAM.

Atlassian Risk Analysis

Atlassian disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Atlassian reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Atlassian Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$2.89T31.3030.64%0.80%15.04%12.38%
79
Outperform
$67.47B129.595.82%17.04%-62.24%
78
Outperform
$193.98B35.9439.42%11.02%4.96%
CRCRM
73
Outperform
$274.98B45.1810.13%0.55%8.72%51.47%
NONOW
71
Outperform
$186.65B132.4614.83%22.44%-18.31%
66
Neutral
$71.69B-28.38%23.19%11.01%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TEAM
Atlassian
273.62
77.29
39.37%
ADBE
Adobe
446.03
-98.81
-18.14%
MSFT
Microsoft
388.61
-10.99
-2.75%
CRM
Salesforce
287.34
-9.75
-3.28%
WDAY
Workday
253.63
-13.11
-4.91%
NOW
ServiceNow
906.09
165.94
22.42%

Atlassian Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.50% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong performance in revenue growth, particularly driven by AI innovation and enterprise customer success. However, there are ongoing challenges related to SMB growth stabilization and execution risks in the enterprise segment. Despite these challenges, the positive trends in cloud and data center segments, along with strategic investments, indicate a strong future outlook.
Highlights
Record Annual Run Rate Revenue
Atlassian scaled past $5 billion in annual run rate revenue, driven by subscription revenue, which grew 30% year-over-year.
AI and Premium Editions Growth
The number of AI interactions increased more than 25x year-over-year, and sales to higher value SKUs were up over 40% year-over-year.
Enterprise Customer Success
Achieved a record number of deals greater than $1 million in annual contract value signed during the quarter.
Strong Cloud Segment Performance
Cloud gross margins are improving due to price increases, upsell to premium editions, and engineering efficiencies.
Data Center Segment Resilience
Strong large deal activity with hybrid ELAs providing significant value and flexibility to large customers.
Lowlights
Stable but Slow SMB Growth
Paid seat expansion rates in SMB were stable compared to Q1, indicating macroeconomic impacts and no immediate turnaround.
Challenging Growth Comparable for Data Center
Data Center segment growth is challenged by prior year's significant growth due to server end of support and pricing changes.
Execution Risk in Enterprise Go-to-Market
Ongoing evolution and transformation of enterprise go-to-market motion present execution risks.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Atlassian reported significant growth, achieving a $5 billion annual run rate revenue, primarily driven by a 30% year-over-year increase in subscription revenue. The company emphasized its strategic investments in AI innovation and enterprise customer service, which have facilitated a 25x year-over-year rise in AI interactions and a 40% increase in sales of premium and enterprise editions. Highlighting the momentum, Atlassian signed a record number of deals exceeding $1 million in annual contract value and continues to make strides towards its goal of $10 billion in revenue. The leadership expressed confidence in the trajectory of these investments to further penetrate the Fortune 500,000 market, while maintaining robust gross and operating margins despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Atlassian Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Atlassian Announces Changes in Board of Directors
Neutral
Dec 19, 2024

Atlassian Corporation has announced changes in its board of directors. Jay Parikh will retire as a director by the end of 2024 after more than 11 years of service, and Christian Smith, currently Senior Vice President and Chief Revenue Officer at Splunk Inc., will join the board starting January 1, 2025. Smith will contribute his over 25 years of experience to the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, receiving compensation in line with Atlassian’s non-employee directors’ arrangements, including a retainer and restricted stock units. This transition reflects Atlassian’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership and governance structures, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relationships.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.