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DocuSign (DOCU)
NASDAQ:DOCU

DocuSign (DOCU) AI Stock Analysis

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DocuSign

(NASDAQ:DOCU)

77Outperform
DocuSign is positioned well with strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook. Its valuation appears reasonable, though the lack of a dividend yield might not appeal to all investors. The technical analysis presents a mixed picture, with potential overbought conditions. The overall score reflects these strengths, offset by some caution due to technical signals.
Positive Factors
Customer Growth
Customer growth solid, with DOCU adding 30,000 total customers and 4,000 enterprise and commercial customers.
Financial Performance
DOCU reported strong FQ4 results, including upside to revenue, margins and billings.
Product Development
The company remains encouraged with early IAM traction and expects additional product improvements to enhance the growth opportunity of its underlying platform.
Negative Factors
Margin Guidance
Margins mixed, guided to adjusted operating margins below consensus' 29.6% expectation.
Market Valuation
The price objective is being lowered to $98 from $112 due to multiple compression across the group, suggesting near-term upside is largely priced into the shares.
Revenue Guidance
FY26 revenue and operating margins were both guided below consensus.

DocuSign (DOCU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

DocuSign Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDocuSign, Inc. provides electronic signature software in the United States and internationally. The company provides e-signature solution that enables businesses to digitally prepare, sign, act on, and manage agreements. It also offers CLM, which automates workflows across the entire agreement process; Insights that use artificial intelligence (AI) to search and analyze agreements by legal concepts and clauses; Gen for Salesforce, which allows sales representatives to automatically generate agreements with a few clicks from within Salesforce; Negotiate for Salesforce that supports for approvals, document comparisons, and version control; Analyzer, which helps customers understand what they're signing before they sign it; and CLM+ that provide AI-driven contract lifecycle management. The company provides Guided Forms, which enable complex forms to be filled via an interactive and step-by-step process; Click that supports no-signature-required agreements for standard terms and consents; Identify, a signer-identification option for checking government-issued IDs; Standards-Based Signatures, which support signatures that involve digital certificates; Payments that enables customers to collect signatures and payment; Remote Online Notary is a solution using audio-visual and identify verification technologies to enable notarization; and Monitor using advanced analytics to track DocuSign eSignature web, mobile, and API account. It offers industry-specific cloud offerings, including Rooms for Real Estate that provides a way for brokers and agents to manage the entire real estate transaction digitally; Rooms for Mortgage, which offers digital workspace to create and close mortgages; FedRAMP, an authorized version of DocuSign eSignature for U.S. federal government agencies; and life sciences modules that support compliance with the electronic signature practices. The company sells its products through direct, partner-assisted, and Web-based sales. It serves enterprise, commercial, and small businesses. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDocuSign generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model. The company's key revenue streams include subscriptions for its eSignature services and the broader DocuSign Agreement Cloud. Customers, ranging from individual professionals to large enterprises, pay recurring fees for access to these digital transaction management solutions. DocuSign also earns revenue from professional services, which include training and support tailored to help customers implement and optimize their use of DocuSign products. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major technology companies and integrations with popular business applications contribute to its market presence and financial performance, although these are not direct revenue streams.

DocuSign Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DocuSign demonstrates impressive financial health across all major financial statements. Revenue growth and profitability improvements underline strong business performance. A stable balance sheet with low leverage and high ROE complements this growth, while robust cash flow generation further strengthens the financial foundation, positioning DocuSign well for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DocuSign showcases strong financial performance with a consistent upward trend in revenue, increasing from $973.97M in 2020 to $2.98B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin remains robust at 79.0% for TTM, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin has significantly improved to 35.9% in TTM, driven by a rise in net income to $1.07B, highlighting profitability enhancement. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect positive operational efficiency, with EBIT margin at 7.7% and EBITDA margin at 11.3% in TTM.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a favorable equity position; the equity ratio is 49.9% in TTM, indicating a balanced capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.06, suggesting minimal leverage risk. ROE has surged notably to 53.3% in TTM, demonstrating strong returns to shareholders. The steady increase in stockholders' equity to $2.00B in TTM reflects financial strength and growth potential.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow statements reveal strong free cash flow generation, with TTM free cash flow at $920.28M, a growth from $887.14M in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, showing efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.86, indicating effective conversion of net income to cash.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.98B2.76B2.52B2.11B1.45B
Gross Profit
2.36B2.19B1.98B1.64B1.09B
EBIT
199.93M31.63M-55.16M-60.47M-173.85M
EBITDA
357.30M195.59M2.76M21.44M-127.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.07B73.98M-97.45M-69.98M-243.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
963.55M1.05B1.03B802.82M773.50M
Total Assets
4.01B2.97B3.01B2.54B2.34B
Total Debt
124.43M143.05M888.29M882.23M915.75M
Net Debt
-524.20M-654.01M166.40M373.17M349.70M
Total Liabilities
2.01B1.84B2.40B2.27B2.01B
Stockholders Equity
2.00B1.13B617.29M275.50M325.74M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
920.28M887.13M429.11M445.07M214.56M
Operating Cash Flow
1.02B979.53M506.76M506.47M296.95M
Investing Cash Flow
-312.88M44.61M-191.20M-162.91M81.23M
Financing Cash Flow
-838.79M-946.04M-98.26M-394.62M-58.98M

DocuSign Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.59
Price Trends
50DMA
84.89
Negative
100DMA
87.20
Negative
200DMA
73.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Negative
RSI
45.86
Neutral
STOCH
17.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DOCU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.99, below the 50-day MA of 84.89, and above the 200-day MA of 73.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DOCU.

DocuSign Risk Analysis

DocuSign disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DocuSign reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DocuSign Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BSBSY
78
Outperform
$12.78B58.2324.39%0.65%10.15%-28.62%
77
Outperform
$14.57B13.7668.18%7.78%1345.45%
ZMZM
77
Outperform
$20.77B20.8311.92%3.05%55.96%
72
Outperform
$11.22B360.923.51%33.21%
61
Neutral
$14.18B-1.62%18.52%76.16%
57
Neutral
$20.31B10.03-14.49%2.79%5.15%-23.76%
UU
53
Neutral
$7.07B-20.84%-17.10%21.82%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DOCU
DocuSign
78.59
19.34
32.64%
ZM
Zoom Video Communications
71.83
9.61
15.45%
U
Unity Software
19.99
-5.93
-22.88%
BSY
Bentley Systems
42.15
-7.42
-14.97%
GRAB
Grab
4.26
0.93
27.93%
MNDY
Monday.com
252.00
52.09
26.06%

DocuSign Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 13, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.21% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive, with significant achievements in revenue growth, IAM momentum, customer expansion, and improved profitability. However, there were some challenges with gross margin impacts due to infrastructure migration and deceleration in international growth. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the challenges.
Highlights
Revenue Growth
Q4 revenue was $776 million, up 9% year-over-year. Fiscal 2025 revenue was $3 billion, up 8% year-over-year.
IAM Momentum
IAM represented a high single-digit percentage of in-quarter deal volume for the direct channel at over 20% of direct new customer deals. It has become the fastest-growing new product in DocuSign, Inc.'s history.
Operating Efficiency and Profitability
Non-GAAP operating margin increased to 29% in Q4 and 30% for fiscal 2025. Free cash flow improved to $280 million in Q4, a 36% margin.
Customer Growth
Total customers grew 10% year-over-year to nearly 1.7 million. The number of large customers spending over $300,000 annually increased to 1,131 in Q4.
International Expansion
International revenue in Q4 represented 28% of total revenue and grew 12% year-over-year.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Impact
Non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal 2025 was slightly down year-over-year due to ongoing cloud infrastructure migration.
Deceleration in International Core Growth
International business encountered growth headwinds in fiscal 2025, despite overall growth.
Company Guidance
In the Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call for DocuSign, Inc., several key metrics were highlighted. DocuSign reported Q4 revenue of $776 million, marking a 9% year-over-year increase, and a fiscal year 2025 total revenue of $3 billion, representing an 8% increase from the previous year. The company achieved a dollar net retention rate of 101% in Q4, showing improvement from the previous fiscal year. Non-GAAP operating margins improved significantly to 29% in Q4 and 30% for the entire fiscal year. The fiscal 2026 guidance anticipates a 5% year-over-year revenue increase, with expected Q1 revenue between $745 million and $749 million. Billings for Q4 reached $923 million, up 11% year-over-year, and fiscal 2025 billings were up 7%. DocuSign also generated $920 million in free cash flow, reflecting a 31% margin and a strong cash position of $1.1 billion with no debt. The fiscal 2026 outlook forecasts billings growth between $3.300 billion and $3.354 billion, with non-GAAP gross margins expected to range from 80.5% to 81.5%. DocuSign aims to leverage the Intelligent Agreement Management (IAM) platform to drive future growth, expecting IAM to represent a low double-digit percentage of its total subscription recurring revenue by the end of fiscal 2026.

DocuSign Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
DocuSign Amends Executive Severance Agreements
Neutral
Jan 17, 2025

On January 15, 2025, DocuSign’s Board of Directors approved amendments to the Executive Severance and Change in Control Agreements for key executives, including the CFO, President, and Chief Legal Officer. These restated agreements make permanent certain enhancements for qualifying terminations outside and during a change in control period, impacting severance benefits including salary, bonus, COBRA coverage, and equity award vesting.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.