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Snowflake (SNOW)
NYSE:SNOW

Snowflake (SNOW) AI Stock Analysis

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SNSnowflake
(NYSE:SNOW)
69Neutral
Snowflake's overall stock score reflects its strong growth potential and innovative capabilities, offset by profitability challenges and valuation concerns. The company is benefiting from robust revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, its high operating expenses and strategic investments weigh on profitability, and its negative P/E ratio impacts valuation. Positive sentiment from the earnings call and continued product innovation support a favorable outlook, though high stock-based compensation remains a challenge.
Positive Factors
Partnerships
Snowflake announced a strengthened partnership with Microsoft, providing access to the latest OpenAI models.
Product Revenue
Product revenue growth of 28% significantly exceeded the Street's forecast.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
CFO Mike Scarpelli announced his retirement sooner than expected.

Snowflake (SNOW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Snowflake Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSnowflake Inc. is a cloud-based data-warehousing company founded in 2012 and headquartered in Bozeman, Montana. It operates within the technology sector, focusing on data storage, processing, and analytics services. Snowflake's core product is its data cloud platform, which allows organizations to store and analyze data using a single, integrated solution. This platform supports a variety of data workloads, including data engineering, data lakes, data science, and data application development.
How the Company Makes MoneySnowflake makes money primarily through a consumption-based revenue model. Customers are charged based on the amount of data stored and the computing resources used on its platform. This model includes charges for data storage, data transfer, and computing resources consumed during data processing and analysis. Snowflake also generates revenue from its data marketplace, where customers can purchase third-party data sets. Key partnerships with major cloud service providers like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud enhance Snowflake's service offerings and expand its customer reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Snowflake Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Snowflake demonstrates strong revenue growth and sound cash flow management, but faces profitability challenges due to high operating expenses and strategic investments. The balance sheet is healthy with moderate leverage, yet high liabilities compared to equity necessitate careful management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Snowflake shows robust revenue growth with a 29.23% increase from last year, indicating strong demand and market presence. However, the company is currently operating at a loss with a negative EBIT margin of -40.14% and a net profit margin of -35.46% in TTM, reflecting high operating expenses and significant strategic investments to drive growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with an equity ratio of 34.13%. Snowflake has a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.87, suggesting moderate leverage. However, high liabilities compared to equity may pose financial risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Snowflake's cash flow is strong with operating cash flow exceeding net income, indicating efficient cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, and free cash flow increased by 20% year-over-year, suggesting robust liquidity and potential for reinvestment.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.63B2.81B
Gross Profit
2.41B1.91B
EBIT
-1.46B-1.09B
EBITDA
-1.41B-974.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.29B-836.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.16B3.85B
Total Assets
8.20B8.22B
Total Debt
2.60B287.98M
Net Debt
446.70M-1.47B
Total Liabilities
5.27B3.03B
Stockholders Equity
2.93B5.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
900.09M750.16M
Operating Cash Flow
959.76M848.12M
Investing Cash Flow
190.65M832.26M
Financing Cash Flow
-226.52M-854.10M

Snowflake Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price177.31
Price Trends
50DMA
173.52
Positive
100DMA
157.29
Positive
200DMA
142.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.84
Positive
RSI
50.23
Neutral
STOCH
49.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNOW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 177.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 180.77, above the 50-day MA of 173.52, and above the 200-day MA of 142.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNOW.

Snowflake Risk Analysis

Snowflake disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Snowflake reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Snowflake Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ZSZS
80
Outperform
$29.74B-3.24%30.77%79.05%
77
Outperform
$96.10B721.64-0.69%31.35%
69
Neutral
$57.31B-31.43%29.21%-51.47%
69
Neutral
$18.56B2,026.310.46%15.33%
NENET
67
Neutral
$48.63B-8.71%28.76%58.13%
66
Neutral
$39.58B224.137.75%26.12%274.50%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNOW
Snowflake
177.31
10.31
6.17%
OKTA
Okta
116.31
7.41
6.80%
ZS
Zscaler
196.45
-5.97
-2.95%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
365.44
35.87
10.88%
NET
Cloudflare
143.75
46.26
47.45%
DDOG
Datadog
115.09
-9.50
-7.63%

Snowflake Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: 6.69% | Next Earnings Date: May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, high net revenue retention, significant product innovation, and expanded AI capabilities. However, there were challenges, including large customers exceeding contract capacity and needing to purchase on-demand, slower projected growth for Q1 due to leap year effects, and high stock-based compensation. Overall, the sentiment is positive given the strong growth and innovation, although tempered by some challenges.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Product revenue for Q4 was $943 million, up 28% year-over-year, with remaining performance obligations totaling $6.9 billion, growing 33% year-over-year.
High Net Revenue Retention
Net revenue retention was a healthy 126%, indicating strong customer satisfaction and continued usage.
New Product Introductions
Snowflake introduced over 400 product capabilities to market, more than double the previous year, showing strong product innovation.
Positive Cash Flow and Margins
Q4 non-GAAP operating margin increased to 9%, and non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow margin was 43%.
Expansion of AI Capabilities
Introduced Cortex AI and expanded partnerships with Microsoft to incorporate OpenAI's models, making Snowflake the only platform hosting both Anthropic's and OpenAI's models.
Lowlights
Large Customers Exceeding Contract Capacity
Several large customers ran out of capacity before their contract end date, choosing to purchase as they consume rather than renewing.
Q1 Revenue Growth Projections
Q1 product revenue is expected to grow only 21% to 22% year-over-year, partially due to the impact of leap year.
Stock-Based Compensation
Stock-based compensation as a percentage of revenue is expected to decrease from 41% to 37% in FY '26, which remains relatively high.
Company Guidance
During Snowflake's Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the first quarter and full year of fiscal 2026. Product revenue for Q1 is expected to be between $955 million and $960 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 21% to 22%. For the full fiscal year 2026, Snowflake anticipates product revenue of approximately $4.28 billion, representing a 24% year-over-year increase. The company also expects a non-GAAP operating margin of 5% in Q1, with FY '26 non-GAAP operating margin expanding to 8% and non-GAAP adjusted free-cash flow margin at 25%. Additionally, Snowflake forecasts its stock-based compensation as a percentage of revenue to decrease to approximately 37% from 41%, indicating an ongoing effort to improve efficiency and leverage AI for operational gains.

Snowflake Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Snowflake CFO Michael Scarpelli Announces Retirement
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 25, 2025, Snowflake Inc. announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Michael P. Scarpelli, intends to retire. The company is actively searching for his successor. Scarpelli will remain in his role until a successor is appointed and will then transition to an advisory role to ensure a smooth transition. A consulting agreement has been established for Scarpelli to serve as an independent contractor for 12 months post-departure, with his equity awards continuing to vest during this period.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.