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Tucows Inc (TCX)
NASDAQ:TCX

Tucows (TCX) AI Stock Analysis

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TC

Tucows

(NASDAQ:TCX)

37Underperform
Tucows' stock faces considerable challenges, primarily driven by weak financial performance, with declining revenues and negative margins. Technical analysis indicates downward momentum, while valuation metrics highlight poor attractiveness. The earnings call provided some optimism with revenue growth, but restructuring costs weigh heavily. Corporate events show strategic intent, but overall, the stock remains a risky prospect with a low score.

Tucows (TCX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tucows Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTucows Inc. provides network access, domain name registration, email, mobile telephony, and other Internet services in Canada, the United States, and Europe. It operates through three segments: Fiber Internet Services, Mobile Services, and Domain Services. The Fiber Internet Services segment provides fixed high-speed Internet access services to individuals and small businesses primarily through the Ting website, and other billing solutions to small internet service providers. The Mobile Services segment offers mobile phones and retail telephony services; and professional services, including implementation, training, consulting, and software development and modification services, as well as operates Mobile Services Enabler platform that provides network access, provisioning, and billing services. The Domain Services segment provides wholesale and retail domain name registration services; portfolio services; and value-added services, such as hosted email, Internet security services, Internet hosting, WHOIS privacy, publishing tools, and other value-added services for end-users under the OpenSRS, eNom, Ascio, and Hover brands. The company was formerly known as Infonautics, Inc. and changed its name to Tucows Inc. in August 2001. Tucows Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTucows Inc. generates revenue through several key streams. The primary revenue source is its domain services business, which includes both wholesale and retail domain registration services. Through OpenSRS, Tucows provides domain registration and management services to resellers, generating income from domain registrations, renewals, and associated services. Hover, its retail arm, directly caters to consumers needing domain registration and management services. Another significant revenue stream is from Ting, the company's MVNO, which provides mobile phone services with a focus on flexible, pay-as-you-go billing models. Tucows earns revenue from subscriptions, data usage, and other mobile-related services. The company may also benefit from strategic partnerships that enhance service offerings and expand its customer base, though specific partnerships are not detailed here.

Tucows Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tucows is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues and negative profitability margins. The balance sheet is strained with negative equity, and cash flow is weak with consistent negative free cash flow. These factors indicate financial instability and necessitate strategic adjustments.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Tucows has faced declining revenue growth with a revenue decrease from 2023 to 2024. Gross Profit Margin is under pressure, and Net Profit Margin is negative due to substantial net losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, indicating operational challenges. While the software industry typically sees strong growth and profitability, Tucows' financials suggest it is struggling to maintain competitive margins and growth.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a negative equity position, with Stockholders' Equity in deficit at the end of 2024. The Debt-to-Equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but the high level of total debt relative to assets suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating more liabilities than assets. Tucows faces considerable financial risk and stability issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow, reflecting high capital expenditures and insufficient operating cash flow. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative, exacerbating concerns about cash generation from core operations. Despite some financing activities, such as inflow from financing, the overall cash flow health is weak, posing liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
362.27M339.34M321.14M304.34M311.20M
Gross Profit
83.03M108.86M78.25M78.29M85.48M
EBIT
-65.01M-63.65M-31.38M-8.19M6.92M
EBITDA
-1.82M-12.19M26.25M211.34M33.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-109.86M-96.20M-27.57M3.36M5.78M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
56.90M92.69M23.50M9.11M8.31M
Total Assets
758.80M798.43M664.75M539.60M451.90M
Total Debt
318.69M568.29M256.01M205.75M132.67M
Net Debt
261.79M475.60M232.51M196.65M124.36M
Total Liabilities
854.10M788.55M568.09M424.50M347.20M
Stockholders Equity
-95.30M9.88M96.66M115.09M104.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-76.20M-97.35M-117.62M-44.31M-8.43M
Operating Cash Flow
-19.75M-4.77M19.88M29.64M36.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-56.49M-92.58M-137.49M-101.98M-53.28M
Financing Cash Flow
44.50M178.84M132.01M73.14M5.12M

Tucows Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.00
Price Trends
50DMA
17.44
Negative
100DMA
17.05
Negative
200DMA
18.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
40.55
Neutral
STOCH
29.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.48, below the 50-day MA of 17.44, and below the 200-day MA of 18.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCX.

Tucows Risk Analysis

Tucows disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tucows reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tucows Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$10.82B22.6910.66%4.70%-7.33%
63
Neutral
$13.09B-1.24%7.32%88.51%
RNRNG
60
Neutral
$2.08B16.58%8.99%63.84%
57
Neutral
$19.95B9.66-12.05%2.76%5.40%-24.89%
ZGZG
54
Neutral
$14.79B-2.39%14.96%29.56%
41
Neutral
$97.74M-365.12%-16.08%-72.09%
TCTCX
37
Underperform
$159.64M171.00%6.76%-12.95%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCX
Tucows
16.00
-1.80
-10.11%
AKAM
Akamai
74.05
-28.17
-27.56%
RNG
RingCentral
22.90
-7.81
-25.43%
ZG
Zillow Group Class A
60.28
17.87
42.14%
TWLO
Twilio
86.86
27.83
47.15%
VERI
Veritone
2.18
-2.39
-52.30%

Tucows Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: 5.75% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced perspective with significant revenue growth and positive financial performance, particularly in Tucows Domains and Wavelo. However, these achievements are tempered by Ting's restructuring costs and operating losses, as well as a notable net loss for the quarter.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth and Financial Performance
2024 marked the fourth consecutive year of consolidated revenue growth, with a 19% year-over-year gross profit expansion and more than doubling of annual Adjusted EBITDA to nearly $35 million. Excluding Ting, Adjusted EBITDA was $57.4 million, representing a 126% increase from $15.5 million in 2023.
Tucows Domains Revenue and Margin Growth
Tucows Domains grew revenue to $65.7 million in Q4, up 6% from the previous year, and gross margin increased by 8% to $20.3 million. Domain Services' Adjusted EBITDA was $11.6 million in Q4, up 8% year-over-year.
Wavelo's Positive Financial Metrics
Wavelo's revenue for 2024 was $39.9 million, with gross margin at $38.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $13.8 million, outperforming guidance and showing an increase from $10.6 million last year.
Ting's Subscriber and Revenue Growth
Ting reported $15.7 million in revenue for Q4, a 14% increase year-over-year, driven by a 17% increase in subscribers to 50,700. Gross Margin increased 40% to $11.0 million.
Record Debt Repayment
Tucows repaid $16.5 million on the syndicated bank loan in 2024, reducing interest expense and improving financial leverage.
Lowlights
Ting's Operating Losses and Restructuring Costs
Ting faced a $28.2 million one-time restructuring and impairment charge related to its capital efficiency plan, contributing to a net loss of $45.3 million for the quarter.
Wavelo's Quarterly Revenue Decline
Wavelo's quarterly revenue for Q4 was $9.9 million, down 1.9% from Q3, with gross margin down 6.5% from the previous quarter.
Net Loss and Adjusted EPS Decline
The company reported a net loss of $45.3 million for Q4, with an Adjusted EPS loss of $1.43 per share, primarily due to one-time charges associated with Ting.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024, Tucows demonstrated strong financial performance with a 7.1% increase in total revenue to $93.1 million and a notable 403% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $12.8 million. The company reported a consolidated revenue growth for the year and a 19% increase in gross profit. Adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to nearly $35 million, excluding Ting, with total EBITDA reaching $57.4 million. Tucows Domains saw revenue rise by 6.2% to $65.7 million, with an 8% increase in gross margin to $20.3 million, and Adjusted EBITDA up 7.8% to $11.6 million. Wavelo reported a year-over-year revenue increase to $39.9 million, with a significant Adjusted EBITDA growth of 41% to $13.8 million, exceeding guidance. Ting's revenue grew 14% to $15.7 million, with a gross margin increase of 40% to $11 million and a narrowed Adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.5 million in Q4. The company also repaid $16.5 million on its syndicated bank loan and authorized a $40 million stock buyback program for 2025. Looking ahead, Tucows anticipates a 75% growth in Adjusted EBITDA for 2025, driven by continued progress in operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives across its business segments.

Tucows Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tucows Nominates Five New Board Members
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Tucows Inc. announced the nomination of five new individuals for election to its Board of Directors at the upcoming Annual General Meeting on May 20, 2025. The new nominees bring diverse expertise in finance, technology, and entrepreneurship, aligning with Tucows’ mission to innovate and expand its digital infrastructure. This board refresh marks a strategic step in the company’s long-term growth plans, while also honoring the contributions of outgoing directors who have significantly shaped Tucows’ leadership and culture.

Spark’s Take on TCX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TCX is a Neutral.

Tucows faces financial instability with negative profitability and strained balance sheet metrics, leading to a low financial performance score. Despite some positive technical indicators and a favorable corporate event with DISH Wireless, the overall outlook is cautious due to valuation concerns and restructuring impacts. The company’s challenge lies in improving profitability and stabilizing operations to enhance investor confidence.

To see Spark’s full report on TCX stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tucows Subsidiary Renews Key Agreement with DISH Wireless
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

On January 30, 2025, Wavelo, a subsidiary of Tucows, renewed and amended its Mobile Virtual Network Enabler Master Services Agreement with DISH Wireless, extending it for an additional four-year term starting January 1, 2025. The renewal includes revised financial terms, updated service levels, and performance targets to meet DISH’s evolving needs, as well as ensuring business continuity through escrow arrangements and a parent guarantee by Tucows. This partnership renewal highlights Wavelo’s role in supporting DISH’s Boost Mobile network, which continues to deliver extensive 99% U.S. coverage and flexible service plans.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.