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Tencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY)
OTHER OTC:TCEHY

Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) AI Stock Analysis

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TCEHY

Tencent Holdings

(OTC:TCEHY)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(17.57% Upside)
Tencent Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score, reflecting robust profitability and strategic growth in key segments. Technical analysis indicates mixed signals, and valuation suggests fair pricing. The absence of notable corporate events and a low dividend yield slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Tencent's strong revenue growth, particularly in gaming and fintech, indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies.
AI and Technology Advancements
Investments in AI enhance Tencent's technological capabilities, supporting long-term innovation and competitive advantage.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Apple strengthens Tencent's ecosystem, potentially increasing user engagement and monetization opportunities.
Negative Factors
R&D Expenses
High R&D expenses, while supporting innovation, may pressure margins if not managed effectively, impacting profitability.
Video Subscription Challenges
Declining video subscription revenue suggests challenges in content strategy, potentially affecting Tencent's digital content segment.
CapEx Spending Concerns
The discrepancy between CapEx accrual and cash payments could strain cash flow, affecting Tencent's financial flexibility.

Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tencent Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTencent Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides value-added services (VAS) and Online advertising services in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through VAS, Online Advertising, FinTech and Business Services, and Others segments. It offers online games and social network services; FinTech and cloud services, and online advertising services. The company is also involved in the production, investment, and distribution of films and television programs for third parties, as well as copyrights licensing, merchandise sales, and other activities. n addition, it develops software; develops and operates online games; and provides information technology, information system integration, asset management, online literature, and online music entertainment services. Tencent Holdings Limited company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyTencent generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from online gaming, social networks, digital content, fintech services, and cloud computing. The gaming segment is a significant contributor, with the company owning and distributing popular games like Honor of Kings and PUBG Mobile. Social networks, particularly through WeChat and QQ, generate income from advertising, subscription services, and in-app purchases. Tencent's fintech services, including WeChat Pay, provide transaction fees and value-added services. Moreover, the cloud computing division has seen substantial growth, offering infrastructure and services to enterprises, which adds to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with global gaming companies and investments in tech startups also bolster its earnings potential.

Tencent Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Video Subscribers
Total Video Subscribers
Indicates the number of users subscribed to Tencent's video services, reflecting the platform's reach and potential for ad and subscription revenue.
Chart InsightsTencent's total video subscribers have experienced fluctuations, peaking in 2021 before a gradual decline. The recent earnings call highlights strong financial performance and strategic AI investments, yet subscriber growth remains stagnant. Despite successful video accounts marketing, the subscriber base has not expanded significantly, possibly due to increased competition and market saturation. Tencent's focus on AI and cloud services suggests a shift in strategic priorities, potentially impacting future subscriber dynamics.
Data provided by:The Fly

Tencent Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with notable growth in revenue and profits, particularly in the games and fintech segments. AI advancements and marketing services also contributed positively. However, challenges such as decreased video subscriptions and high R&D expenses were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Total revenue reached RMB 193 billion, up 15% year-on-year. Gross profit was RMB 109 billion, up 22% year-on-year. Non-IFRS operating profit was RMB 73 billion, up 18% year-on-year.
Games Segment Growth
Domestic Games revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, with Delta Force becoming a top 3 game in China. International Games revenue increased by 43% year-on-year.
AI and Technology Advancements
Tencent upgraded its Hunyuan foundation model, enhancing capabilities in AI applications. The Hunyuan image generation model ranked first globally among text-to-image models.
Marketing Services Expansion
Marketing Services revenue increased 21% year-on-year, driven by ad spend growth and enhanced engagement across platforms like video accounts and Mini Shops.
FinTech and Business Services Growth
Segment revenue was RMB 58 billion, up 10% year-on-year. Commercial payment services and consumer loan services drove growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Long-form Video Subscriptions
Long-form video subscription revenue decreased 3% year-on-year, with a 2% decline in video subscribers due to delayed content releases.
CapEx Spending Concerns
CapEx was around RMB 13 billion, but cash payment for CapEx was RMB 20 billion, reflecting a timing gap between accrual and cash payment.
High R&D Expenses
R&D expenses rose by 28% year-on-year to RMB 22.8 billion, primarily due to higher staff costs and increased infrastructure investment for AI initiatives.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Tencent Holdings Limited reported significant financial gains, with total revenue reaching RMB 193 billion, marking a 15% year-on-year increase. The company's gross profit rose to RMB 109 billion, up 22% year-on-year, and the non-IFRS operating profit and net profit attributable to equity holders both increased by 18% year-on-year to RMB 73 billion and RMB 71 billion, respectively. Key growth areas included games, marketing services, and fintech and business services. In particular, the domestic games segment generated RMB 96 billion in revenue, up 16% year-on-year, with notable performances from games like Delta Force and VALORANT. The international games segment experienced a remarkable 43% year-on-year revenue increase, driven by factors such as upfront revenue recognition from Dying Light: The Beast and studio acquisitions. Tencent's strategic investment in AI, particularly in ad targeting and game engagement, contributed to these results, while improvements in the Hunyuan foundation model further bolstered its technological capabilities. The company also reported a non-IFRS diluted EPS rise of 19% year-on-year to RMB 7.575, despite a slight increase in R&D expenses by 28% year-on-year, reflecting investment in AI initiatives.

Tencent Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tencent Holdings exhibits strong financial health with high profitability and efficient cost management. The company maintains a solid capital structure and prudent financial leverage, although revenue growth has slowed. Stable cash flow generation supports long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tencent Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit and net profit margins over the years. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 54.67% and a net profit margin of 29.54%, indicating efficient cost management and strong revenue generation. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 3.44% increase in the TTM period. However, the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining high growth levels.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 in the TTM period, reflecting prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 20.59%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 55.36%, showcasing a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Tencent's cash flow position is stable, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65 in the TTM period. Free cash flow has experienced minor fluctuations, with a slight decline in growth recently, but remains positive. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.61 indicates efficient conversion of profits into cash. Continued focus on maintaining strong cash flow generation will be crucial for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue704.16B660.26B609.01B554.55B560.12B482.06B
Gross Profit385.04B349.30B293.11B238.75B245.94B221.53B
EBITDA260.86B230.09B183.94B134.30B313.65B238.25B
Net Income208.00B194.07B115.22B188.24B224.82B159.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01T1.78T1.58T1.58T1.61T1.33T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments380.44B343.16B379.15B289.48B262.35B227.88B
Total Debt412.49B358.11B371.24B359.14B323.48B264.40B
Total Liabilities810.46B727.10B703.57B795.27B735.67B555.38B
Stockholders Equity1.11T973.55B808.59B721.39B806.30B703.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.40B162.47B174.56B95.24B113.02B127.52B
Operating Cash Flow283.33B258.52B221.96B146.09B175.19B194.12B
Investing Cash Flow-149.15B-122.19B-125.16B-104.87B-178.55B-181.96B
Financing Cash Flow-106.82B-176.49B-82.57B-59.95B21.62B13.65B

Tencent Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.40
Price Trends
50DMA
80.25
Negative
100DMA
79.88
Negative
200DMA
72.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Negative
RSI
42.76
Neutral
STOCH
71.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCEHY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.35, below the 50-day MA of 80.25, and above the 200-day MA of 72.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TCEHY.

Tencent Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$715.07B23.3420.51%0.74%13.39%31.03%
71
Outperform
$25.35B18.0014.47%1.01%13.86%80.97%
64
Neutral
$42.55B39.553.31%-2.70%-56.75%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$3.34B-31.33-2.29%4.25%-7.60%-160.75%
60
Neutral
$2.50B5.8212.46%8.13%-1.29%22.48%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCEHY
Tencent Holdings
77.40
23.75
44.27%
BIDU
Baidu
123.83
35.78
40.64%
JOYY
JOYY
66.04
27.33
70.60%
WB
Weibo
10.08
1.18
13.26%
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
17.58
5.83
49.62%

Tencent Holdings Corporate Events

Tencent Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 14, 2025

Tencent Holdings, a leading Chinese multinational conglomerate, operates primarily in the technology and entertainment sectors, offering services in social media, gaming, and fintech. The company has reported strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with significant growth in revenue and profit driven by its gaming, marketing services, and fintech operations. Key financial metrics showed a 15% year-on-year increase in revenue to RMB192.9 billion and a 19% rise in profit attributable to equity holders to RMB63.1 billion. The company also highlighted strategic investments in AI, which have enhanced ad targeting and game engagement, contributing to its robust performance. Looking ahead, Tencent remains focused on leveraging its AI capabilities and expanding its gaming and fintech services to sustain growth.

Tencent’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and AI Integration
Sep 1, 2025

Tencent Holdings’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by significant growth in gaming and marketing services revenue. The integration of AI technologies has been a notable success, contributing to the company’s positive trajectory. Despite facing challenges in other losses and long-form video subscriptions, the overall sentiment from the call was optimistic, reflecting a strong performance and strategic advancements.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 20, 2025