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Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) AI Stock Analysis

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TCEHY

Tencent Holdings

(OTC:TCEHY)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(13.89% Upside)
Tencent Holdings' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic investments in AI and cloud services indicate a promising future, although the high valuation and mixed technical indicators suggest caution. The absence of notable corporate events further emphasizes the importance of financial and strategic factors in the overall assessment.

Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tencent Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTencent Holdings Limited is a Chinese multinational conglomerate holding company with subsidiaries in various internet-related services and products, entertainment, AI, and technology. Founded in 1998, Tencent is best known for its messaging platform WeChat and its online gaming division, which is one of the largest in the world. The company operates across multiple sectors, including social networks, online gaming, digital content, fintech, and cloud services, making it a key player in the Chinese and global digital economy.
How the Company Makes MoneyTencent generates revenue through several key avenues. The largest portion of its income comes from online gaming, where it owns popular titles and has stakes in various game developers, both domestically and internationally. Additionally, Tencent earns significant revenue from social networks, primarily through advertising on platforms like WeChat and QQ. Its digital content services, including music and video streaming, contribute to its earnings through subscriptions and advertising. The fintech and business services segment, which encompasses mobile payment solutions like WeChat Pay and cloud computing services, also plays a crucial role in revenue generation. Strategic partnerships with global companies and investments in emerging tech startups further bolster its financial performance, allowing Tencent to diversify its income sources and tap into new markets.

Tencent Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Video Subscribers
Total Video Subscribers
Indicates the number of users subscribed to Tencent's video services, reflecting the platform's reach and potential for ad and subscription revenue.
Chart InsightsTencent's total video subscribers have experienced fluctuations, peaking in 2021 before a gradual decline. The recent earnings call highlights strong financial performance and strategic AI investments, yet subscriber growth remains stagnant. Despite successful video accounts marketing, the subscriber base has not expanded significantly, possibly due to increased competition and market saturation. Tencent's focus on AI and cloud services suggests a shift in strategic priorities, potentially impacting future subscriber dynamics.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Tencent Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Tencent's strong financial performance, driven by significant growth in gaming and marketing services revenue, as well as successful AI integration. Despite some challenges in other losses and long-form video subscriptions, the overall results indicate a positive trend.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Double-Digit Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was RMB 185 billion, up 15% year-on-year. Gross profit was RMB 105 billion, up 22% year-on-year. Non-IFRS operating profit was RMB 69 billion, up 18% year-on-year.
Gaming Success
Domestic games revenue grew by 17% year-on-year. International games revenue increased by 35% year-on-year. Delta Force became a top 5 game by DAU in China.
AI and Marketing Services Growth
Marketing services revenue grew 20% year-on-year to RMB 36 billion, benefiting from AI-powered adtech upgrades.
Cloud Recognition and Growth
Gartner recognized Tencent Cloud as a top communication platform as a service solution globally for the third consecutive year.
Increased Subscriber Base
Music subscription revenue increased 17% year-on-year, with overall subscribers growing 6% year-on-year to 124 million.
Negative Updates
Other Losses and Increased Finance Costs
Other loss was RMB 3.6 billion compared to a gain of RMB 1.5 billion the previous year, mainly due to lower subsidies and tax rebates, and increased finance costs by 27% year-on-year.
Challenges with Long-form Video
Long-form video subscription revenue decreased 2% year-on-year, with video subscribers declining 3% year-on-year to 114 million.
Company Guidance
During Tencent Holdings Limited's 2025 Second Quarter Results Announcement Webinar, the company reported a robust financial performance, with total revenue reaching RMB 185 billion, a 15% increase year-on-year. Gross profit rose by 22% to RMB 105 billion, and non-IFRS operating profit grew by 18% to RMB 69 billion. Notably, the non-IFRS net profit attributable to equity holders increased by 10% to RMB 63 billion. Tencent's key services, including gaming, social networks, and marketing services, showed significant growth. Communication platforms like Weixin and WeChat saw their monthly active users grow to 1.4 billion. The company's gaming segment experienced a 17% rise in domestic games revenue, while international games revenue surged by 35% year-on-year. Tencent also highlighted the increasing role of AI in their operations, contributing to advancements in advertising and gaming content. The company is strategically investing in AI capabilities, which is evident from the 149% year-on-year increase in operating CapEx, reaching RMB 17.9 billion. The firm's commitment to leveraging AI for enhancing user experience and operational efficiency was a key theme throughout the call.

Tencent Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tencent Holdings demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability, efficient cost management, and a solid capital structure. Despite a slowdown in revenue growth, the company maintains stable cash flow generation, crucial for future investments and debt servicing.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tencent Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross profit and net profit margins over the years. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 54.67% and a net profit margin of 29.54%, indicating efficient cost management and strong revenue generation. Revenue growth has been steady, with a 3.44% increase in the TTM period. However, the growth rate has slowed compared to previous years, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining high growth levels.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37 in the TTM period, reflecting prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 20.59%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 55.36%, showcasing a solid capital structure. However, the slight increase in total debt over the years warrants monitoring to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Tencent's cash flow position is stable, with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.65 in the TTM period. Free cash flow has experienced minor fluctuations, with a slight decline in growth recently, but remains positive. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.61 indicates efficient conversion of profits into cash. Continued focus on maintaining strong cash flow generation will be crucial for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue704.16B660.26B609.01B554.55B560.12B482.06B
Gross Profit385.04B349.30B293.11B238.75B245.94B221.53B
EBITDA260.86B230.09B183.94B134.30B313.65B238.25B
Net Income208.00B194.07B115.22B188.24B224.82B159.85B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01T1.78T1.58T1.58T1.61T1.33T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments380.44B343.16B379.15B289.48B262.35B227.88B
Total Debt412.49B358.11B371.24B359.14B323.48B262.46B
Total Liabilities810.46B727.10B703.57B795.27B735.67B555.38B
Stockholders Equity1.11T973.55B808.59B721.39B806.30B703.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow187.40B162.47B174.56B95.24B113.02B127.52B
Operating Cash Flow283.33B258.52B221.96B146.09B175.19B194.12B
Investing Cash Flow-149.15B-122.19B-125.16B-104.87B-178.55B-181.96B
Financing Cash Flow-106.82B-176.49B-82.57B-59.95B21.62B13.65B

Tencent Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.78
Price Trends
50DMA
82.14
Negative
100DMA
75.72
Positive
200DMA
68.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
48.42
Neutral
STOCH
27.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCEHY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.43, below the 50-day MA of 82.14, and above the 200-day MA of 68.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCEHY.

Tencent Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$738.45B25.8921.04%0.70%11.83%39.62%
75
Outperform
$31.32B23.0414.07%0.85%10.66%84.89%
67
Neutral
$44.00B11.5710.33%-1.32%42.56%
66
Neutral
$2.58B7.3910.77%7.85%1.21%14.72%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$3.06B-2.32%4.72%-7.07%-150.40%
51
Neutral
$1.08B10.277.65%-7.33%-34.16%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCEHY
Tencent Holdings
81.52
28.80
54.63%
BIDU
Baidu
125.96
37.68
42.68%
JOYY
JOYY
59.50
27.53
86.11%
WB
Weibo
10.44
2.70
34.88%
MOMO
Hello Group
6.75
0.25
3.85%
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group
21.28
9.87
86.50%

Tencent Holdings Corporate Events

Tencent’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth and AI Integration
Sep 1, 2025

Tencent Holdings’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by significant growth in gaming and marketing services revenue. The integration of AI technologies has been a notable success, contributing to the company’s positive trajectory. Despite facing challenges in other losses and long-form video subscriptions, the overall sentiment from the call was optimistic, reflecting a strong performance and strategic advancements.

Tencent Holdings Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Aug 14, 2025

Tencent Holdings Limited, a leading Chinese technology conglomerate, operates in the internet services sector, offering a wide range of services including social networking, gaming, fintech, and cloud services. The company is renowned for its popular platforms such as WeChat and QQ, as well as its extensive gaming portfolio.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025