tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR)
:SPIR
Advertisement

Spire Global (SPIR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
483 Followers

Top Page

SPIR

Spire Global

(NYSE:SPIR)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(4.06%Upside)
Spire Global's stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by high leverage and negative cash flows. Although the earnings call provided some optimism with strategic achievements and potential revenue growth, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution. Recent corporate events offer a mixed outlook with both positive developments and uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Business Expansion
Spire Global's selection by the US Space Force for a contract could allow the company to grow its business with this customer.
Financial Performance
Spire Global's revenue growth in the second half of the year is expected to accelerate due to recent satellite launches.
Strategic Developments
The reallocation of budget dollars by the government towards commercial data buys is seen as a major tailwind for Spire's Weather business and government contracts.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow
The company experienced a free cash flow burn of approximately $45 million during the year, despite a 16% improvement year-over-year.
Operational Costs
Spire Global's operating expenses increased significantly due to legal and accounting fees, impacting financial performance.

Spire Global (SPIR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Spire Global Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSpire Global, Inc. develops a hardware and intelligent analytics platform that tracks the oceans, skies, and weather. It serves maritime, weather, aviation, space services, earth intelligence, and federal industries. Spire Global, Inc. has a strategic partnership with TAC Index Limited. Spire Global, Inc. was formerly known as Nanosatisfi, Inc. and changed its name to Spire Global, Inc. in July 2014. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in San Francisco, California with additional offices in Boulder, Colorado; Washington, D.C.; Glasgow, United Kingdom; Luxembourg; and Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneySpire Global generates revenue through a subscription-based model, offering access to its comprehensive datasets and analytics services. The company's key revenue streams include selling data and analytics solutions to a diverse client base, including commercial enterprises, government agencies, and non-profit organizations. Additionally, Spire forms strategic partnerships and alliances to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. These partnerships often involve integrating Spire’s data into third-party platforms or collaborating on joint ventures, further contributing to its revenue. The company's unique value proposition lies in its ability to provide highly accurate, real-time data from its satellite network, which is critical for clients in making informed operational and strategic decisions.

Spire Global Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased Spire's strategic achievements, such as significant contract awards and strong government partnerships, as well as a strengthened financial position following a key business sale. However, these positives were counterbalanced by a decline in revenue and increased operating losses, alongside workforce reductions and potential challenges in NOAA funding. Despite the challenges, the company's strategic direction and financial stability suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Contract Award
Spire secured a $72 million CAD contract from the Canadian Space Agency for a dedicated satellite constellation for wildfire monitoring.
Strong Government Partnerships
The U.S. Administration's executive order has opened new opportunities, alongside increased defense spending of 13% for fiscal year 2026.
Successful Maritime Business Sale
Finalization of the maritime business sale, eliminating debt and strengthening the balance sheet by over $100 million.
Satellite Launches and Revenue Growth
Approximately 20 satellites were launched in Q1, with half supporting space services customers, indicating revenue growth in the second half of 2025.
Cash Position and Financial Stability
Company ended April with $136 million in cash and zero debt, with expectations to achieve positive operating cash flow in the second half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue
Q1 2025 revenue was $23.9 million, down from $34.8 million in Q1 2024, partly due to a $9.6 million revenue from a single obligation in 2024.
Increased Operating Loss
Non-GAAP operating loss increased to $11.5 million in Q1 2025 from $7.1 million in Q1 2024.
Challenges in NOAA Funding
Potential impacts from NOAA organizational changes and funding cuts, although expectations are for continued commercial data procurements.
Workforce Reductions
Spire reduced headcount to approximately 380 employees from 450 at the end of 2024, and announced office closures in San Francisco and Singapore.
Company Guidance
During the call, Spire Global's leadership provided detailed guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a first-quarter GAAP revenue of $23.9 million, representing a 10% sequential growth from Q4 2024, despite a year-over-year decrease from $34.8 million in Q1 2024. The non-GAAP operating loss stood at $11.5 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of negative $7.9 million. Expecting revenue for the full year to range between $85 million and $95 million, Spire anticipates a significant growth in the second half, driven by new satellite deployments. The company also projected achieving breakeven to positive operating cash flow in the latter part of the year, aiming to end 2025 with over $100 million in cash and equivalents. Looking ahead, Spire maintains a 20% revenue growth target for 2026, with plans to continue enhancing operational efficiencies and expanding its market presence.

Spire Global Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Spire Global faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high operational losses, and negative cash flow. Despite some operational efficiency, high leverage and a negative equity ratio highlight financial instability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Spire Global's revenue growth has been consistent, with a TTM revenue of $99.5 million compared to $110.5 million in the previous annual period, reflecting a decline. However, net losses have expanded significantly, evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -98.4% for the TTM. Gross profit margin stood at 39.6% in the TTM, indicating some operational efficiency but overshadowed by high operating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are deeply negative, suggesting significant operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet exhibits high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 19.65 as of TTM, indicating substantial reliance on debt financing. Stockholders' equity is low at $5.56 million, resulting in a weak equity ratio of 2.66%. Return on equity is negative due to substantial net losses, underlining financial instability and high risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flow, with a TTM free cash flow of -$46.45 million. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. However, there has been a slight improvement in cash flow from financing activities, providing some liquidity buffer.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.45M105.70M80.27M43.38M28.49M
Gross Profit39.89M63.27M39.94M24.66M18.20M
EBITDA-55.73M-23.69M-54.45M-17.00M-19.92M
Net Income-102.82M-63.96M-89.41M-19.31M-32.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets193.57M239.26M256.51M290.19M44.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.21M40.86M70.28M109.26M15.57M
Total Debt111.41M130.70M111.62M51.12M75.28M
Total Liabilities205.26M176.29M146.39M101.33M93.16M
Stockholders Equity-11.69M37.78M110.12M188.86M-48.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-45.03M-53.66M-66.73M-73.56M-25.19M
Operating Cash Flow-18.45M-23.62M-47.82M-57.97M-14.77M
Investing Cash Flow-14.23M-17.65M-41.83M-120.85M-10.41M
Financing Cash Flow19.00M23.91M26.37M270.53M16.62M

Spire Global Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.61
Price Trends
50DMA
11.09
Negative
100DMA
10.19
Negative
200DMA
11.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
36.40
Neutral
STOCH
5.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SPIR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.28, below the 50-day MA of 11.09, and below the 200-day MA of 11.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SPIR.

Spire Global Risk Analysis

Spire Global disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spire Global reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Spire Global Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.33B35.617.84%46.49%-25.62%
69
Neutral
$1.57B50.5817.09%3.25%56.17%
64
Neutral
$10.61B16.567.00%2.15%2.87%-30.79%
56
Neutral
$2.86B549.40-13.59%37.97%-499.29%
54
Neutral
$521.02M13.436.47%-4.32%-22.48%
53
Neutral
$329.87M7.73-2.09%65.22%-133.47%
43
Neutral
$313.13M-337.63%-11.82%-2.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SPIR
Spire Global
9.61
-1.15
-10.69%
ACTG
Acacia Research
3.43
-1.24
-26.55%
CBZ
CBIZ
61.75
-7.56
-10.91%
KODK
Kodak
6.45
1.60
32.99%
FA
First Advantage
16.47
0.05
0.30%
LZ
LegalZoom
8.67
2.77
46.95%

Spire Global Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Spire Global Delays Financial Statement Filing Post-Sale
Negative
Jul 21, 2025

Spire Global has announced a delay in filing its quarterly financial statements for the periods ending June 30, 2025, due to additional accounting activities required following the sale of its maritime business to Kpler Holding SA. This delay may impact the company’s operations and stakeholder expectations, as the company is also searching for a new independent registered public accounting firm, which adds to the uncertainty surrounding its financial reporting.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPIR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spire Global stock, see the SPIR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Spire Global Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Spire Global, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected Peter Platzer, Stephen Messer, and Joan Amble as Class I directors to serve until the 2028 annual meeting. Additionally, the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s strategic direction and financial oversight in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPIR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spire Global stock, see the SPIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Spire Global Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Spire Global announced its first quarter 2025 results, reporting a revenue of $23.9 million and a 5% improvement in cash flow used in operations year-over-year. The company retired all its debt by the end of April 2025 and expects to maintain over $100 million in cash and equivalents by the year’s end. Spire secured its largest contract to date with the Canadian government to monitor wildfires and expanded its Canadian facility to support this project. Additionally, Spire achieved a significant milestone by establishing a two-way optical link between satellites, enhancing data transmission capabilities. The company also launched advanced AI weather models and secured a contract with Concirrus for aviation data, further solidifying its position in the space-based data industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SPIR) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Spire Global stock, see the SPIR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025