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Sow Good (SOWG)
NASDAQ:SOWG
US Market

Sow Good (SOWG) AI Stock Analysis

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SOWG

Sow Good

(NASDAQ:SOWG)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$0.77
▲(126.47% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by sharply weakened financial performance and ongoing cash burn, which outweigh an improved leverage profile. Technicals are supportive with the stock above key moving averages, but overbought momentum and high volatility raise downside risk. Guidance and corporate actions point to restructuring progress and a potential profitability path, yet near-term fundamentals and liquidity-related uncertainty remain significant.
Positive Factors
Improved Leverage
Leverage reduced to ~25% of equity provides a firmer capital structure and lower fixed financing costs, improving resilience while the company executes a turnaround. Sustained lower debt reduces bankruptcy risk and gives management time to restore operations over the next several quarters.
Structural Cost Cuts
Large, permanent lease savings and payroll efficiencies materially lower the firm’s fixed cost base and breakeven point. These structural expense reductions enhance the odds of returning to profitability by mid-2026 if revenue stabilizes, improving cash flow durability over months.
National Private-Label Distribution
A 100-store private-label deal and new SKUs create stable wholesale distribution and scale economies. Recurring retail placement can drive predictable revenue and margin recovery if execution holds, strengthening long-term go-to-market reach and product-market fit.
Negative Factors
Dramatic Revenue Collapse
A collapse in revenue eliminates scale benefits and impairs the company’s ability to absorb fixed costs, invest in inventory or marketing, and maintain supplier terms. Without durable top-line recovery, margin fixes and cash generation will remain highly uncertain over the coming quarters.
Severe Margin Damage from Inventory Charges
Huge inventory write-downs suggest persistent pricing, quality, or demand mismatch that destroys gross profit and future margin visibility. Such structural inventory impairment undermines EBITDA recovery and can recur if product assortment and sourcing issues are not fully resolved.
Persistent Cash Burn and Liquidity Strain
Repeated negative operating and free cash flow, coupled with cash falling to sub-$0.5M, forces reliance on external financing and dilutive instruments. This creates execution and dilution risk and constrains investment in growth or inventory replenishment over the next several quarters.

Sow Good (SOWG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sow Good Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSow Good Inc. provides freeze-dried snacks, smoothies, soups, and granola in the United States. The company markets its products through direct-to-consumer focused website, as well as through the business-to-business sales channel. It offers its products under the Sow Good and Sustain Us brands. The company was formerly known as Black Ridge Oil & Gas, Inc. and changed its name to Sow Good Inc. in January 2021. Sow Good Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Irving, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneySow Good generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company sells organic seeds and gardening supplies through its online platform and physical retail locations. Additionally, it earns income from its food distribution services, which include partnerships with local farmers to supply organic produce to restaurants and grocery stores. The company also conducts workshops and educational programs on sustainable agriculture, charging fees for participation. Significant partnerships with local agricultural co-operatives and eco-friendly brands enhance its product offerings and expand its customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Sow Good Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call presented significant operational improvements and strategic initiatives for future growth, including cost reductions and new product launches. However, these positive steps were overshadowed by a dramatic decline in revenue, negative gross margins, increased net losses, and decreased cash reserves. The company is in a transitional period with a focus on positioning for future profitability, but current financial metrics indicate substantial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvements
Sow Good Inc. completed lease amendments resulting in over $5 million in annualized rent savings and reduced their operational footprint by over 370,000 square feet. Additionally, payroll efficiencies lowered monthly costs by approximately $40,000.
New Product Launch and Private Label Partnership
In March 2026, Sow Good Inc. will launch two new SKUs and secured a private label partnership with a 100-store national retailer for their new caramel crunch SKU.
Commitment from Insiders
The company received $1 million in commitments from insiders, underscoring leadership's confidence in the company's strategy and long-term potential.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q3 2025 was $1.6 million compared to $36 million for the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower average selling prices and discontinued SKUs.
Negative Gross Margin
Gross loss for 2025 was $8.9 million, with a gross margin of negative 576%, largely due to $8.5 million in non-cash charges to inventory.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss in 2025 was $10.9 million or negative 90¢ per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million or negative 33¢ per diluted share for the prior year.
Decreased Cash Reserves
The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $387,300, down from $3.7 million as of December 31, 2024.
Company Guidance
In the recent conference call, Sow Good Inc. provided detailed guidance on its strategic initiatives and financial outlook, aimed at steering the company towards profitability in 2026. The company highlighted significant operational changes, including lease amendments that saved over $5 million annually and reduced facility footprints by more than 370,000 square feet. Payroll efficiencies achieved a monthly cost reduction of approximately $40,000. Despite a challenging third quarter with a revenue decline to $1.6 million and a gross loss of $8.9 million, the company is optimistic about its strategic focus on innovative SKUs and private label partnerships, such as its new caramel crunch product. Sow Good Inc. has secured $1 million in insider financial commitments to support these initiatives, with expectations of improved margins starting in mid-2026 as they optimize their cost structure and expand retail reach. The company is committed to leveraging its vertically integrated platform and innovation expertise to capture market opportunities and drive long-term growth.

Sow Good Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sow Good shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, yet the company needs to convert revenue growth into sustainable profits and positive cash flows.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Sow Good has seen substantial revenue growth over recent years, increasing from almost negligible levels to over $31 million. However, the company is still experiencing negative EBIT and net income, indicating profitability challenges. Despite an improvement in gross profit margins, the persistently negative net income and EBIT margins reflect ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a relatively high level of debt, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.64. The equity ratio stands at 58%, indicating moderate reliance on equity financing. The Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to the net losses. Overall, the balance sheet reveals a fair but cautious financial position requiring improved profitability.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Despite negative free cash flow and operating cash flow, Sow Good shows potential for improvement with significant financing cash flows suggesting efforts to bolster liquidity. However, the negative ratios of operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income highlight cash generation issues that need to be addressed for better financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.27M31.99M16.07M428.13K88.44K0.00
Gross Profit-9.19M12.98M4.88M119.84K7.13K-3.64K
EBITDA-18.82M-114.89K-761.34K-10.55M-6.66M-4.93M
Net Income-21.86M-3.70M-3.06M-12.13M-6.87M-5.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.57M54.70M21.49M8.90M14.10M12.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments387.29K3.72M2.41M276.46K3.35M2.19M
Total Debt4.82M20.36M11.84M5.25M2.93M1.70M
Total Liabilities6.48M22.71M14.21M6.09M3.28M2.29M
Stockholders Equity19.09M31.99M7.28M2.81M10.82M10.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.43M-12.70M-7.11M-7.83M-6.62M-2.80M
Operating Cash Flow-6.94M-9.43M-4.85M-5.15M-5.55M-1.74M
Investing Cash Flow-1.46M-5.93M-2.27M-2.62M-653.05K3.28M
Financing Cash Flow1.54M16.67M9.25M4.70M7.64M262.93K

Sow Good Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.34
Price Trends
50DMA
0.57
Positive
100DMA
0.68
Positive
200DMA
0.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
70.57
Negative
STOCH
85.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOWG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.52, below the 50-day MA of 0.57, and below the 200-day MA of 0.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.57 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOWG.

Sow Good Risk Analysis

Sow Good disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sow Good reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sow Good Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$389.28M27.909.52%6.62%-7.85%
63
Neutral
$27.44M6.582.84%0.04%-65.10%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
48
Neutral
$29.34M-2.37-15.93%18.19%-35.22%
45
Neutral
$9.66M-0.42-84.22%-81.88%-672.01%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOWG
Sow Good
0.80
-1.94
-70.91%
PLAG
Planet Green Holdings
2.54
0.14
5.83%
NAII
Natural Alternatives International
4.64
0.42
9.95%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
22.64
8.39
58.88%
NCRA
Nocera
0.88
-0.12
-11.80%
WYHG
Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited Sponsored ADR
0.60
-4.44
-88.17%

Sow Good Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Sow Good Announces Leadership Shake-Up and Capital Restructuring
Negative
Jan 7, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Sow Good Inc. announced a $6.0 million private placement and a $1.5 million strategic asset sale aimed at shoring up liquidity, transitioning to a more asset-light operating model, and preserving its ability to continue as a going concern while it evaluates broader strategic alternatives. The private placement, agreed on December 31, 2025 with investor David Lazar, is structured in two $3.0 million tranches of convertible preferred stock and is intended to fund ongoing operations and address outstanding liabilities, while the asset sale to Trea Grove, LLC transfers significant freeze-dried snack and candy assets and establishes Trea Grove as exclusive distributor of certain Sow Good products through July 31, 2026, with Sow Good receiving a share of gross receipts. The company stressed that the transactions do not constitute a liquidation, as it will continue selling and distributing candy products, and it expects lower fixed operating costs and greater financial flexibility as it pursues potential partnerships, acquisitions or other corporate transactions to strengthen its balance sheet and long-term shareholder value. Concurrently, Sow Good enacted a leadership overhaul: David Lazar was appointed chief executive officer and chair of the board, former CEO Claudia Goldfarb became chief operating officer and remained on the board, David Natan joined the board and became audit committee chair, while Joe Mueller, Chris Ludeman and executive chairman Ira Goldfarb resigned, marking a significant shift in governance alongside the company’s strategic repositioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOWG) stock is a Hold with a $0.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sow Good stock, see the SOWG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Sow Good Raises Capital and Undergoes Leadership Transition
Neutral
Jan 5, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Sow Good Inc. raised $3 million in a first closing of a $6 million private placement of new Series AA and Series AAA convertible preferred stock to investor David Lazar, with a second $3 million tranche contingent on shareholder approvals by March 31, 2026 that would also enable significant board changes, a charter amendment, a reverse stock split and an enlarged equity plan. The company plans to use the proceeds to fund operations and pay liabilities, agreed to restrictive covenants during the interim period, granted Lazar participation rights in future equity offerings, and created new preferred share classes that rank senior to common stock and are convertible into common shares after required approvals. On December 30, 2025, Sow Good agreed to sell key assets of its freeze-dried snacks and candy business to related party Trea Grove, LLC for $1.5 million payable through March 31, 2026, and on December 31, 2025 it appointed Trea Grove as exclusive distributor of certain products through July 31, 2026 in return for 10% of gross receipts, reinforcing a transition to an asset-light model rather than a liquidation. Governance at Sow Good also shifted sharply on December 31, 2025: executive chairman Ira Goldfarb resigned as an officer and settled his contractual severance for $1.25 million payable at the shareholder meeting, directors Joe Mueller and Chris Ludeman resigned, David Lazar was appointed chief executive officer, and David Lazar and David Natan joined the board, while voting agreements with major shareholders committed their shares to support board-backed proposals and restricted their activist activities for two years.

The most recent analyst rating on (SOWG) stock is a Hold with a $0.33 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sow Good stock, see the SOWG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026