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Sndl Inc. (SNDL)
:SNDL

SNDL (SNDL) AI Stock Analysis

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SNDL

SNDL

(NASDAQ:SNDL)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-15.25% Downside)
SNDL's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, but significant profitability challenges and mixed technical indicators weigh heavily. The earnings call provided some positive insights, but noncash adjustments and sector-specific headwinds remain concerns.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow
Improved cash flow indicates enhanced operational efficiency and financial health, enabling strategic investments and growth initiatives.
Robust Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with ample cash reserves and no debt provides financial stability and flexibility for future expansion and acquisitions.
Market Expansion
Growth in international sales reflects successful market expansion efforts, potentially increasing revenue streams and market share.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent operating losses highlight ongoing profitability challenges, which may hinder long-term financial performance and shareholder returns.
Inventory Adjustments
Inventory adjustments affecting margins suggest inefficiencies in inventory management, potentially impacting cost control and profitability.
Liquor Retail Revenue Decline
Declining revenue in the Liquor Retail segment indicates market challenges that could limit overall revenue growth and diversification efforts.

SNDL (SNDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SNDL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSNDL Inc. is a Canadian cannabis company that operates primarily in the cultivation, production, and distribution of cannabis and cannabis-related products. The company is engaged in the production of adult-use cannabis, offering a variety of products such as dried flower, pre-rolls, and cannabis oils. SNDL operates through retail and wholesale channels and is committed to providing high-quality cannabis products to consumers across Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySNDL generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products, including both wholesale to other retailers and direct-to-consumer sales through its own retail stores. The company benefits from a diversified portfolio of product offerings, which helps to appeal to a broad customer base. Additionally, SNDL has engaged in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance its market presence and expand its product lines. The company also explores opportunities in ancillary services and products related to the cannabis industry, which can provide additional revenue streams.

SNDL Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong cash flow performance, sustained growth in the Cannabis segment, and a robust balance sheet. However, the call also noted challenges with noncash adjustments leading to an operating loss and market headwinds affecting Liquor Retail.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Free Cash Flow
SNDL reported record quarterly free cash flow and positive cumulative free cash flow for the first 9 months of the year, totaling $7.7 million year-to-date.
Sustained Revenue Growth in Cannabis Segment
Double-digit revenue growth was sustained in the combined Cannabis segment, reflecting operational improvements.
Strong Balance Sheet
SNDL maintained a strong balance sheet with no debt and over $240 million in unrestricted cash.
Cannabis Retail Performance
Cannabis Retail delivered outstanding results with 4.8% year-over-year growth and a new record for net revenue at $85 million.
International Sales Growth
International sales in the Cannabis Operations segment reached $4.2 million in the quarter, driven by strong demand and reliable supply.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss Due to Noncash Items
The quarter's P&L reflected an operating loss of $11 million due to $11.9 million in unfavorable noncash items.
Inventory Adjustments Affecting Margins
Gross margin was impacted by $3.9 million in noncash inventory-related adjustments, reducing gross margin by 160 basis points.
Liquor Retail Revenue Decline
Liquor Retail faced market headwinds, resulting in a 3.6% year-over-year decline in net revenue.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SNDL reported a record quarterly free cash flow of $16.7 million and achieved positive cumulative free cash flow of $7.7 million for the first nine months of the year. The company saw a 3.1% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching $244 million, driven by the Cannabis segment despite market headwinds in Liquor Retail. The gross profit was $64.2 million, with a 1.9% growth year-over-year, although impacted by $3.9 million in noncash inventory adjustments. These adjustments reduced the gross margin by 160 basis points. Operating income was affected by $11.9 million in noncash adjustments, including a $6.8 million increase in share-based compensation liability due to a 121% share price increase, resulting in an operating loss of $11 million. Adjusted operating income showed a 42.7% improvement from the prior year. The company maintained a strong balance sheet with over $240 million in unrestricted cash and no debt, supporting strategic acquisitions and new store openings.

SNDL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SNDL shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, and cash flow is improving, though not yet robust enough to cover net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
SNDL's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has achieved significant revenue growth of 77.6% in the TTM, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, profitability remains a challenge with negative net profit and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin has improved slightly to 27.03%, but the negative EBITDA margin suggests that the company is still struggling to achieve operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity remains negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE indicates that the company is not generating sufficient returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement with a positive free cash flow growth rate of 15.78% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.81, indicating decent cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.83 suggests that while cash flow is improving, it is not yet robust enough to fully cover net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B920.45M909.01M712.20M56.13M60.92M
Gross Profit642.79M240.33M190.41M140.38M-9.00M-49.87M
EBITDA-73.24M-41.20M-99.15M-326.55M-223.76M-185.54M
Net Income-211.20M-94.80M-172.66M-335.11M-226.98M-233.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.32B1.35B1.47B1.56B1.43B294.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments241.31M248.89M201.64M311.76M649.03M60.38M
Total Debt155.13M152.27M167.03M169.83M33.47M1.44M
Total Liabilities218.77M215.89M243.82M231.69M98.13M25.18M
Stockholders Equity1.10B1.13B1.21B1.31B1.33B271.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow168.19M43.90M-24.58M-17.57M-159.23M-60.67M
Operating Cash Flow202.85M54.91M-16.65M-6.71M-155.44M-57.49M
Investing Cash Flow-29.30M17.76M-24.82M-230.16M-496.28M-70.88M
Financing Cash Flow-153.63M-49.36M-43.08M-41.79M1.15B142.75M

SNDL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.36
Price Trends
50DMA
2.02
Positive
100DMA
2.12
Positive
200DMA
1.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
69.82
Neutral
STOCH
74.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.73, above the 50-day MA of 2.02, and above the 200-day MA of 1.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNDL.

SNDL Risk Analysis

SNDL disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SNDL reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SNDL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
49
Neutral
C$421.88M-7.23-10.76%23.87%-19.57%
48
Neutral
$569.08M-8.78-7.82%1.76%18.31%
47
Neutral
$1.41B-0.54-85.59%2.31%-726.28%
46
Neutral
$7.27M-0.30-37.38%-22.60%53.82%
45
Neutral
$9.86M-2.39-93.87%-0.74%81.49%
40
Underperform
$10.70M-0.19-33.13%-7.80%90.17%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDL
SNDL
2.21
0.46
26.29%
TSE:ACB
Aurora Cannabis
7.44
1.02
15.89%
YCBD
cbdMD
1.20
-2.31
-65.81%
TLRY
Tilray
12.15
-0.25
-2.02%
IMCC
IM Cannabis Corp
1.88
-0.47
-20.00%
FLGC
Flora Growth
9.74
-35.50
-78.47%

SNDL Corporate Events

SNDL Inc. Renews Share Repurchase Program
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, SNDL Inc. announced the renewal of its share repurchase program, approved by the Canadian Securities Exchange. The program allows the company to repurchase up to C$100 million of its outstanding common shares, representing 10% of its public float, from November 21, 2025, to November 20, 2026. This initiative is aimed at returning value to shareholders and will be executed at prevailing market prices, with the flexibility of various purchasing methods. The previous program, which ended on November 20, 2025, saw the repurchase of over 9 million shares, indicating a continued commitment to shareholder value.

SNDL Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results with Record Free Cash Flow
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, SNDL Inc. reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a net revenue of $244.2 million, a 3.1% increase from the previous year, driven by a 13.5% growth in its cannabis business. Despite an operating loss of $11.1 million due to non-cash adjustments, the company achieved a record free cash flow of $16.7 million, reflecting strong operational improvements and strategic investments. SNDL’s robust financial position, with no debt and significant cash reserves, enables it to pursue high-return opportunities, including the acquisition of cannabis retail stores and expansion of its cultivation facilities, positioning the company for long-term success in the evolving cannabis market.

SNDL Inc. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025

SNDL Inc. has released its financial statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The report highlights a net revenue of $244.2 million for the third quarter, showing an increase from the previous year. Despite this, the company reported a net loss, reflecting ongoing challenges in managing costs and investments. The financial results underscore SNDL’s efforts to stabilize its financial position, with a focus on improving gross profit margins and reducing liabilities. The company’s financial performance is crucial for stakeholders as it navigates the competitive landscape and seeks to enhance shareholder value.

SNDL Inc. Appoints New Auditor Following Marcum’s Resignation
Oct 30, 2025

On October 16, 2025, SNDL Inc. was informed by Marcum LLP of its resignation as the company’s auditor following the acquisition of Marcum’s attestation business by CBIZ CPAs P.C. The board of directors and audit committee of SNDL approved the appointment of CBIZ as the new independent registered public accounting firm effective October 17, 2025, until the next annual general meeting.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025