tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Tilray (TLRY)
:TLRY

Tilray (TLRY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
11,792 Followers

Top Page

TLRY

Tilray

(NASDAQ:TLRY)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(830.23% Upside)
Tilray's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, with significant losses and liquidity issues. While the earnings call provided some positive insights into revenue growth and strategic initiatives, the valuation remains a concern due to the negative P/E ratio. Technical analysis indicates some volatility, but no clear trend. The company's ability to address profitability and cash generation will be crucial for future improvement.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Changes
Reclassification of marijuana to a less regulated schedule could enhance market opportunities and reduce tax burdens, supporting long-term growth.
International Expansion
Growth in international markets, especially in Germany, indicates successful expansion strategies, potentially increasing global market share.
Product Innovation
Introducing new products like the Amped Live Resin line can drive consumer interest and revenue, enhancing competitive positioning in the cannabis market.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Issues
Persistent negative cash flows indicate liquidity challenges, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage operations effectively.
Profitability Concerns
Significant losses and negative profit margins suggest ongoing struggles with profitability, which could hinder long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Permitting Delays
Permitting delays in key markets like Portugal can disrupt international operations and growth plans, impacting revenue and strategic objectives.

Tilray (TLRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tilray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTilray Brands, Inc. engages in the research, cultivation, production, marketing, and distribution of medical cannabis products in Canada, the United States, Europe, Australia, New Zealand, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Cannabis Business, Distribution Business, Beverage Alcohol Business, and Wellness Business. It offers medical and adult-use cannabis products, including GMP-certified flowers, oils, vapes, edibles, and topicals; purchases and resells pharmaceutical and wellness products; and produces, markets, sells, and distributes beverage alcohol products, and hemp-based food and other wellness products. The company offers its products under the Tilray, Aphria, Broken Coast, Symbios, B!NGO, The Batch, P'tite Pof, Dubon, Good Supply, Solei, Chowie Wowie, Canaca, RIFF, SweetWater, Breckenridge Distillery, Alpine Beer Company, and Green Flash brands. It sells its products to retailers, wholesalers, patients, physicians, hospitals, pharmacies, researchers, and governments, as well as direct to consumers. The company was formerly known as Tilray, Inc. Tilray Brands, Inc. is headquartered in Leamington, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyTilray generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products in both the medical and recreational markets. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales through its own distribution channels and partnerships with licensed retailers. The company also engages in wholesale distribution to other cannabis companies and dispensaries. Additionally, Tilray has been expanding its presence in the global market by entering into strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as collaborations with major alcohol brands and pharmaceutical companies, which provide further avenues for revenue generation. The company's investments in research and development of innovative products and its focus on international expansion are also significant contributors to its earnings.

Tilray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced perspective with significant achievements in revenue growth and international expansion countered by challenges in the Beverage segment and permitting delays in Portugal.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue
Tilray achieved a record net revenue of $210 million for Q1 fiscal year 2026, representing a 5% increase year-over-year.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
Reduced outstanding debt by $7.7 million and maintained a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.07x, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $265 million.
Growth in Cannabis Segment
Cannabis revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $65 million, with Canadian Adult-Use and International Cannabis business delivering 12% and 10% growth respectively.
Expansion in International Markets
International cannabis revenue grew 10% to $13.4 million, with strategic growth plans to triple the medical cannabis distribution footprint in Germany.
Beverage Business Turnaround
Project 420 resulted in $25 million in annual savings, with notable growth in brands like Shock Top, which saw a 49% increase in dollar sales in the Southeast.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Beverage Segment
Beverage revenue remained flat due to SKU rationalization and lower gross margins, with a decrease in gross margin to 38% from 41% last year.
Permitting Issues in Portugal
Delays in obtaining permits in Portugal affected the ability to ship cannabis to other countries, impacting international growth.
Lower Gross Margins
Overall gross margin declined to 27% from 30% due to lower margins in the Cannabis and Beverage segments.
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tilray Brands' first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company reported a net income of $1.5 million with earnings per share of $0. They achieved a 5% increase in total revenue, reaching a record $210 million, driven by significant growth in their Canadian Adult-Use and International Cannabis business, which grew by 12% and 10%, respectively. The company also reduced its outstanding debt by $7.7 million, resulting in a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.07x, and maintained strong cash reserves with $265 million in cash and cash equivalents. Although the Beverage segment revenue remained flat, Tilray made strategic decisions to optimize their craft beer SKU portfolio, while the Wellness and Distribution segments saw growth of 3% and 9%, respectively. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, anticipating adjusted EBITDA between $62 million and $72 million.

Tilray Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tilray's financial performance is weak, with significant losses and declining revenue growth. The income statement shows a deeply negative net profit margin, and cash flow analysis reveals liquidity issues with negative cash flows. The balance sheet indicates low leverage but ongoing profitability concerns.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Tilray's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 28.77%, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -278.12%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth is negative, suggesting a contraction in sales. Overall, the company is struggling with profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the available data suggests financial stability in terms of debt management, albeit with profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant issues, with negative operating and free cash flows. The TTM data shows a free cash flow growth rate of -31.63%, indicating worsening cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting poor cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow situation is concerning, with limited liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.16B1.13B1.07B844.72M792.12M619.67M
Gross Profit332.50M330.11M304.33M197.95M147.26M148.77M
EBITDA-2.96B-2.92B-99.25M-1.72B-310.61M-297.41M
Net Income-3.01B-3.00B-333.80M-1.96B-601.05M-443.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.90B5.91B5.92B6.87B6.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments264.83M351.78M354.98M604.16M524.29M488.47M
Total Debt231.29M451.09M527.75M794.89M786.36M938.66M
Total Liabilities561.99M860.49M1.22B1.44B1.27B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.54B2.07B4.69B4.47B5.55B4.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.70M-174.98M-81.96M-17.37M-266.39M-100.93M
Operating Cash Flow-83.01M-129.81M-42.11M10.65M-223.45M-53.99M
Investing Cash Flow28.48M-64.11M174.88M-384.04M-27.14M55.67M
Financing Cash Flow120.54M183.20M-102.45M94.50M161.60M150.09M

Tilray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.29
Price Trends
50DMA
12.06
Positive
100DMA
11.90
Positive
200DMA
8.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
57.79
Neutral
STOCH
76.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.37, below the 50-day MA of 12.06, and below the 200-day MA of 8.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TLRY.

Tilray Risk Analysis

Tilray disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tilray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tilray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$1.60B31.123.34%22.20%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$533.02M-8.11-7.82%1.76%18.31%
47
Neutral
$1.62B-85.59%2.31%-726.28%
45
Neutral
$9.23M-1.93-93.87%-0.74%81.49%
44
Neutral
$10.31M-0.14-30.93%-26.84%-0.16%
43
Neutral
$8.80M-2.01-29.78%88.96%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLRY
Tilray
12.34
-0.26
-2.06%
EVGN
Evogene
0.99
-0.36
-26.67%
TSE:CRON
Cronos Group
4.08
1.29
46.24%
SNDL
SNDL
2.04
0.24
13.33%
IMCC
IM Cannabis Corp
1.52
-0.56
-26.92%
HYFM
Hydrofarm Holdings Group
2.00
-4.05
-66.94%

Tilray Corporate Events

Stock SplitBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tilray Announces Reverse Stock Split Effective December 1
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

Tilray Brands announced the implementation of a one-for-ten reverse stock split of its common stock, effective December 1, 2025, with trading on a split-adjusted basis starting December 2, 2025. This move aims to align the number of shares with companies of similar size, attract institutional shareholders, and reduce costs associated with its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, potentially saving up to $1 million annually. The reverse stock split will reduce the number of outstanding shares from approximately 1.16 billion to 116 million, with no fractional shares issued, maintaining stockholders’ proportional ownership.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tilray Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Tilray Brands, Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The re-election of John Herhalt as Class I director and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm were approved. However, the proposal to amend the company’s governance structure to declassify the board and change director removal provisions did not pass, indicating mixed support for governance changes among stockholders.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tilray Releases Investor Presentation November 2025
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

Tilray Brands, Inc. has released an investor presentation on November 17, 2025, which is available on their website. The presentation is provided for informational purposes and is not intended to be filed under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025