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Tilray (TLRY)
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Tilray (TLRY) AI Stock Analysis

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TLRY

Tilray

(NASDAQ:TLRY)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$0.98
▼(-24.11% Downside)
Tilray's overall stock score is low, primarily due to its poor financial performance and weak technical indicators. The company's significant losses and liquidity issues overshadow the positive aspects of its earnings call. Valuation metrics further contribute to the low score, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth, particularly in the Cannabis segment, indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
International Expansion
Tilray's focus on international expansion, especially in Germany, positions it to capture new markets and diversify revenue streams, enhancing its global footprint.
Debt Reduction
Effective debt management and strong cash reserves improve financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flows indicate challenges in cash generation, which could hinder operational capabilities and investment in growth opportunities.
Declining Gross Margins
Decreasing gross margins may pressure profitability, suggesting inefficiencies in cost management or pricing strategies that need addressing for sustainable growth.
Permitting Issues
Regulatory challenges in key markets like Portugal can obstruct international operations and growth plans, potentially limiting market expansion and revenue.

Tilray (TLRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tilray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTilray, Inc. is a global leader in the cannabis industry, focused on the cultivation, production, and distribution of medical and recreational cannabis products. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Nanaimo, British Columbia, Tilray operates across multiple sectors including pharmaceutical, consumer packaged goods, and hemp-based wellness products. The company offers a diverse range of products, including dried flower, oils, capsules, edibles, and beverages, catering to both adult-use and medical cannabis markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyTilray generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products in both the medical and recreational markets. Key revenue streams include direct-to-consumer sales through its own distribution channels and partnerships with licensed retailers. The company also engages in wholesale distribution to other cannabis companies and dispensaries. Additionally, Tilray has been expanding its presence in the global market by entering into strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as collaborations with major alcohol brands and pharmaceutical companies, which provide further avenues for revenue generation. The company's investments in research and development of innovative products and its focus on international expansion are also significant contributors to its earnings.

Tilray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced perspective with significant achievements in revenue growth and international expansion countered by challenges in the Beverage segment and permitting delays in Portugal.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Revenue
Tilray achieved a record net revenue of $210 million for Q1 fiscal year 2026, representing a 5% increase year-over-year.
Strengthened Balance Sheet
Reduced outstanding debt by $7.7 million and maintained a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.07x, with cash and cash equivalents totaling $265 million.
Growth in Cannabis Segment
Cannabis revenue grew 5% year-over-year to $65 million, with Canadian Adult-Use and International Cannabis business delivering 12% and 10% growth respectively.
Expansion in International Markets
International cannabis revenue grew 10% to $13.4 million, with strategic growth plans to triple the medical cannabis distribution footprint in Germany.
Beverage Business Turnaround
Project 420 resulted in $25 million in annual savings, with notable growth in brands like Shock Top, which saw a 49% increase in dollar sales in the Southeast.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Beverage Segment
Beverage revenue remained flat due to SKU rationalization and lower gross margins, with a decrease in gross margin to 38% from 41% last year.
Permitting Issues in Portugal
Delays in obtaining permits in Portugal affected the ability to ship cannabis to other countries, impacting international growth.
Lower Gross Margins
Overall gross margin declined to 27% from 30% due to lower margins in the Cannabis and Beverage segments.
Company Guidance
During the conference call for Tilray Brands' first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company reported a net income of $1.5 million with earnings per share of $0. They achieved a 5% increase in total revenue, reaching a record $210 million, driven by significant growth in their Canadian Adult-Use and International Cannabis business, which grew by 12% and 10%, respectively. The company also reduced its outstanding debt by $7.7 million, resulting in a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.07x, and maintained strong cash reserves with $265 million in cash and cash equivalents. Although the Beverage segment revenue remained flat, Tilray made strategic decisions to optimize their craft beer SKU portfolio, while the Wellness and Distribution segments saw growth of 3% and 9%, respectively. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, anticipating adjusted EBITDA between $62 million and $72 million.

Tilray Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tilray's financial performance is weak, with significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. The income statement shows persistent losses and declining revenue, while the balance sheet reflects low leverage but negative returns. Cash flow analysis reveals liquidity issues, with negative cash flows and poor cash conversion.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Tilray's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data shows a gross profit margin of 28.77%, but the net profit margin is deeply negative at -278.12%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth is negative, suggesting a contraction in sales. Overall, the company is struggling with profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.15 in the TTM period, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the available data suggests financial stability in terms of debt management, albeit with profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights significant issues, with negative operating and free cash flows. The TTM data shows a free cash flow growth rate of -31.63%, indicating worsening cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting poor cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow situation is concerning, with limited liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.13B1.07B844.72M792.12M619.67M
Gross Profit311.03M330.11M304.33M197.95M147.26M148.77M
EBITDA-2.98B-2.92B-99.25M-1.72B-310.61M-297.41M
Net Income-3.01B-3.00B-333.80M-1.96B-601.05M-443.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.08B2.90B5.91B5.92B6.87B6.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments264.83M351.78M354.98M604.16M524.29M488.47M
Total Debt231.29M451.09M527.75M794.89M786.36M938.66M
Total Liabilities561.99M860.49M1.22B1.44B1.27B1.56B
Stockholders Equity1.54B2.07B4.69B4.47B5.55B4.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.70M-174.98M-81.96M-17.37M-266.39M-100.93M
Operating Cash Flow-83.01M-129.81M-42.11M10.65M-223.45M-53.99M
Investing Cash Flow28.48M-64.11M174.88M-384.04M-27.14M55.67M
Financing Cash Flow120.54M183.20M-102.45M94.50M161.60M150.09M

Tilray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.29
Price Trends
50DMA
1.37
Negative
100DMA
1.15
Negative
200DMA
0.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Positive
RSI
39.65
Neutral
STOCH
37.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TLRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, below the 50-day MA of 1.37, and above the 200-day MA of 0.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TLRY.

Tilray Risk Analysis

Tilray disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tilray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tilray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
C$1.33B26.543.34%22.20%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$448.05M-7.82%1.76%18.31%
43
Neutral
$10.63M-0.54-29.78%88.96%
42
Neutral
$6.72M-2.36-93.87%-0.74%81.49%
42
Neutral
$8.35M-30.93%-26.84%-0.16%
40
Underperform
$1.16B-85.59%2.31%-726.17%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TLRY
Tilray
1.03
-0.31
-23.13%
EVGN
Evogene
1.14
-0.47
-29.19%
TSE:CRON
Cronos Group
3.48
0.55
18.77%
SNDL
SNDL
1.74
-0.19
-9.84%
IMCC
IM Cannabis Corp
1.76
-2.23
-55.89%
HYFM
Hydrofarm Holdings Group
1.79
-6.37
-78.06%

Tilray Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tilray Stockholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Tilray Brands, Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The re-election of John Herhalt as Class I director and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm were approved. However, the proposal to amend the company’s governance structure to declassify the board and change director removal provisions did not pass, indicating mixed support for governance changes among stockholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLRY) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tilray stock, see the TLRY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tilray Releases Investor Presentation November 2025
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

Tilray Brands, Inc. has released an investor presentation on November 17, 2025, which is available on their website. The presentation is provided for informational purposes and is not intended to be filed under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (TLRY) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tilray stock, see the TLRY Stock Forecast page.

Tilray Brands Reports Record Revenue and Profitability
Oct 10, 2025

Tilray Brands, Inc. is a global lifestyle and consumer packaged goods company operating in the cannabis, beverage, and wellness industries, with a presence in Canada, the United States, Europe, Australia, and Latin America.

Tilray’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 10, 2025

The recent earnings call for Tilray showcased a balanced sentiment, highlighting significant achievements in revenue growth and international expansion, while also addressing challenges in the Beverage segment and permitting delays in Portugal. The company demonstrated resilience and strategic foresight amidst these mixed outcomes.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025