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Shyft Group, Inc. (SHYF)
NASDAQ:SHYF

Shyft Group (SHYF) AI Stock Analysis

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Shyft Group

(NASDAQ:SHYF)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲( 7.03% Upside)
Shyft Group's overall stock score is primarily driven by its moderate financial health and technical momentum, tempered by a very high P/E ratio indicating overvaluation. The upcoming merger adds potential for growth, supported by positive earnings call sentiment. However, the current valuation remains a significant concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings
SHYF reported earnings with adjusted EPS above consensus due to better cost optimization efforts.
Market Expansion
The merger allows SHYF to enter new markets beyond last mile delivery, expanding into commercial truck upfitting, snow and ice, street sweeping, paving, and agricultural solutions.
Merger and Acquisition
The merger will create a globally diversified specialty vehicles player, enhancing market presence and providing cost and revenue synergies.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
FVS segment revenue and EBITDA declined both sequentially and year-over-year, impacting margins.
Merger Execution Risks
The execution risks are viewed as elevated going forward in this multi-continent merger of equals.
Peer Comparison
The resulting combined company will still only have approximately 10.5% EBITDA margins, below many peers.

Shyft Group (SHYF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shyft Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Shyft Group, Inc. manufactures and assembles specialty vehicles for the commercial vehicle and recreational vehicle industries in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Fleet Vehicles and Services, and Specialty Vehicles. The Fleet Vehicles and Services segment manufactures and sells commercial vehicles used in the e-commerce/last mile/parcel delivery, beverage and grocery delivery, laundry and linen, mobile retail, and trades and construction industries. This segment markets its commercial vehicles, including walk-in vans, cutaway vans, and truck bodies under the Aeromaster, Velocity, Trademaster, and Utilivan brands; and vocation-specific equipment upfit services under the Utilimaster Upfit Services and Strobes-R-Us brands. It also installs specialty interior and exterior up-fit equipment for walk-in vans, truck bodies, cargo vans, and light duty pick-up trucks; and provides aftermarket support, including parts sales and field services, as well as parts and accessories. The Specialty Vehicles segment engineers and manufactures luxury class A diesel motor home chassis; and manufactures and assembles truck bodies under the Royal Truck Body and DuraMag brands. It also provides final assembly services for Isuzu N-gas and F-series chassis under the Builtmore Contract Manufacturing brand; and designs and installs custom lighting and upfit solutions for a range of specialty industries. In addition, this segment provides truck accessories under the Magnum brand; and a range of parts and accessories, and maintenance and repair services for its motorhome and specialty chassis. The Shyft Group, Inc. sells its products to commercial users, original equipment manufacturers, dealers, individuals, municipalities, and other government entities. The company was formerly known as Spartan Motors, Inc. and changed its name to The Shyft Group, Inc. in June 2020. The Shyft Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Novi, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShyft Group makes money primarily through the sale of its commercial vehicles and chassis to businesses and organizations across diverse sectors. The company's revenue model is centered around manufacturing and selling vehicles designed for last mile delivery, service, and utility applications. Key revenue streams include direct sales to delivery fleet operators, government entities, and utility companies. Additionally, Shyft Group benefits from strategic partnerships with major logistics and delivery companies, enhancing its market reach and sales potential. The company’s focus on innovation and customization allows it to command a premium in the market, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Shyft Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shyft Group exhibits moderate financial health with stable revenue and profitability indicators. The balance sheet reflects a balanced leverage position and stable equity levels. Cash flow metrics show strong cash generation, although growth rates are moderate. Overall, the company maintains a steady financial position with potential for improvement in profitability and growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The gross profit margin for TTM is 20.61%, indicating moderate profitability. Net profit margin improved to 0.06% TTM from a negative margin in the previous year, suggesting a return to profitability. Revenue growth is relatively slow, with a minor increase of 0.85% from the previous annual report, reflecting a stabilizing revenue base. EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 1.18% and 3.24% TTM, respectively, indicating limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.33, showing a balanced leverage position. ROE is low at 0.18% TTM, reflecting minimal returns on equity. The equity ratio is 42.57% TTM, indicating a moderate level of equity financing relative to assets, suggesting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate is positive, showing a slight increase from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 67.34 TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 37.81 TTM, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
792.89M786.18M872.20M1.03B991.79M675.97M
Gross Profit
163.43M157.19M150.36M180.43M199.26M146.28M
EBIT
9.33M4.11M6.75M47.51M84.05M35.26M
EBITDA
31.34M26.56M24.18M61.53M96.28M63.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
438.00K-2.79M6.50M36.56M68.92M32.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.17M15.78M9.96M11.55M37.16M21.00M
Total Assets
581.08M568.75M530.05M580.48M447.87M359.05M
Total Debt
192.07M175.32M132.37M131.14M55.18M74.31M
Net Debt
175.90M159.54M122.41M119.59M18.02M53.32M
Total Liabilities
333.76M320.43M277.88M311.79M181.01M158.89M
Stockholders Equity
247.33M248.32M252.17M268.59M266.75M200.33M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
16.57M16.39M35.51M-39.41M51.01M49.80M
Operating Cash Flow
29.49M30.06M56.24M-18.84M74.01M64.33M
Investing Cash Flow
-60.52M-61.20M-21.11M-20.42M-22.08M14.92M
Financing Cash Flow
33.94M36.96M-36.72M13.65M-35.77M-77.60M

Shyft Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.81
Price Trends
50DMA
8.71
Positive
100DMA
9.89
Negative
200DMA
11.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
59.57
Neutral
STOCH
51.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHYF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.27, above the 50-day MA of 8.71, and below the 200-day MA of 11.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHYF.

Shyft Group Risk Analysis

Shyft Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shyft Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
The completion of the Merger is subject to certain closing conditions, including regulatory and stockholder approvals as well as other uncertainties, and there can be no assurances as to whether and when they may be completed. Q4, 2024
2.
Failure to complete the Merger could negatively impact our business, results of operations, financial condition and the price of our common stock. Q4, 2024
3.
Combining the Company and Aebi Schmidt may be more difficult, costly or time consuming than expected and the combined company may fail to realize the anticipated benefits of the Merger. Q4, 2024

Shyft Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MTMTW
73
Outperform
$366.13M8.207.21%-2.75%65.38%
64
Neutral
$4.39B11.815.20%249.39%3.96%-12.36%
63
Neutral
$343.45M760.470.18%2.04%-4.08%
61
Neutral
$469.82M51.701.07%1.70%-2.02%-80.76%
$197.59M12.19
TWTWI
61
Neutral
$446.57M-2.65%5.64%-124.05%
WNWNC
48
Neutral
$362.60M-15.01%3.69%-25.44%-135.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHYF
Shyft Group
9.81
-2.53
-20.50%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
16.42
-27.24
-62.39%
GENC
Gencor
13.48
-5.89
-30.41%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
10.33
-1.83
-15.05%
TWI
Titan International
7.01
-1.25
-15.13%
WNC
Wabash National
8.66
-12.97
-59.96%

Shyft Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The Shyft Group showed strong financial performance and strategic progress, particularly with the launch of Blue Arc and margin expansion in Fleet Vehicles and Services. However, challenges remain with sales declines in certain segments and macroeconomic uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Performance
The company delivered meaningful adjusted EBITDA growth with margins of 6%, which doubled year-over-year.
Successful Launch of Blue Arc
Completed a majority of the first contract for FedEx, with trucks actively deployed and positive feedback received.
Fleet Vehicles and Services Margin Expansion
Expanded margins by 290 basis points year-over-year through improved operational efficiency.
Strong Specialty Vehicles Segment
The segment continued to perform well with high teens margin and robust order intake for service trucks.
Innovative Product Launches
Unveiled new purpose-built vehicles, including the Utilimaster Trademaster Service Body and the Marketplace Dry Freight Truck, designed for enhanced productivity and efficiency.
Solid Balance Sheet
Maintained a net leverage ratio of less than 2x, providing flexibility for strategic investments.
Positive Customer Engagement
Record engagement at NTEA Work Truck Show with strong customer feedback and unveiling of new product innovations.
Negative Updates
Decline in Fleet Vehicles and Services Sales
Sales for the Fleet Vehicles and Services segment were down 11% compared to the previous year due to continued softness in parcel end markets.
Challenges with Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic uncertainty and tariffs continue to challenge the business, with ongoing monitoring and price adjustments necessary.
Specialty Vehicles Sales Decline
First quarter sales for Specialty Vehicles were down 9% from the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in motorhome sales.
Company Guidance
During The Shyft Group's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA margins doubled year-over-year to 6%, and sales for the quarter reached $204.6 million, up 3% from the previous year. The Blue Arc division contributed significantly with $26.3 million in sales from a major contract with FedEx. Despite a GAAP net loss of $1.4 million, adjusted net income was $2.4 million, with adjusted EPS increasing to $0.07 per share. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with a net leverage ratio below 2x, and it reaffirmed its 2025 sales outlook of $870 million to $970 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $62 million and $72 million. Shyft also indicated that 70% of its full-year adjusted EBITDA is anticipated in the second half of the year, and it expects free cash flow of $25 million to $30 million. Additionally, discussions highlighted the anticipated merger with Aebi Schmidt, aimed at forming a leading global force in the specialty vehicles sector.

Shyft Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Shyft Group Shareholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 14, 2025

The Shyft Group, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders on May 14, 2025, where four proposals were voted upon. The company operates in the manufacturing industry, focusing on specialty vehicles and chassis. At the meeting, proposals regarding the election of board members, the appointment of an accounting firm, and amendments to the stock incentive plan were approved, while the proposal on executive compensation was rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHYF) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shyft Group stock, see the SHYF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Shyft Group Announces Merger with Aebi Schmidt
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On December 16, 2024, The Shyft Group, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Aebi Schmidt Holding AG, which will result in Shyft becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Aebi Schmidt. As a result of this merger, Joshua Sherbin, Shyft’s Chief Legal, Administrative and Compliance Officer, has announced his intention to resign for ‘good reason’ if the merger is completed, which may impact the company’s executive structure.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Shyft Group Announces Merger with Aebi Schmidt
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

On April 4, 2025, The Shyft Group announced that Aebi Schmidt Group filed a registration statement on Form S-4 with the SEC for their proposed merger. The merger, expected to close in mid-2025, aims to create a combined company named Aebi Schmidt Group, which will be listed on Nasdaq under the symbol ‘AEBI’. This move is anticipated to enhance operational capabilities, drive growth, and create long-term shareholder value, with projected combined revenues of $1.9 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $148 million for 2024.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.