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Shyft Group, Inc. (SHYF)
NASDAQ:SHYF

Shyft Group (SHYF) AI Stock Analysis

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Shyft Group

(NASDAQ:SHYF)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(3.67%Upside)
Shyft Group's stock shows moderate potential with a strong technical outlook and optimistic earnings guidance. However, valuation concerns due to an extremely high P/E ratio and legal challenges related to the merger with Aebi Schmidt present risks. Financial performance is stable but shows room for growth, contributing to a balanced overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
SHYF reported earnings with adjusted EPS above consensus due to better cost optimization efforts.
Market Position
The risk-reward has turned more favorable with the stock down ~30% since the downgrade.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the first quarter exceeded consensus, aided by business upfit opportunities.
Negative Factors
Segment Performance
FVS segment revenue and EBITDA declined both sequentially and year-over-year, impacting margins.
Stock Performance
The stock has experienced a ~30% decline since the downgrade.

Shyft Group (SHYF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Shyft Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Shyft Group, Inc. manufactures and assembles specialty vehicles for the commercial vehicle and recreational vehicle industries in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Fleet Vehicles and Services, and Specialty Vehicles. The Fleet Vehicles and Services segment manufactures and sells commercial vehicles used in the e-commerce/last mile/parcel delivery, beverage and grocery delivery, laundry and linen, mobile retail, and trades and construction industries. This segment markets its commercial vehicles, including walk-in vans, cutaway vans, and truck bodies under the Aeromaster, Velocity, Trademaster, and Utilivan brands; and vocation-specific equipment upfit services under the Utilimaster Upfit Services and Strobes-R-Us brands. It also installs specialty interior and exterior up-fit equipment for walk-in vans, truck bodies, cargo vans, and light duty pick-up trucks; and provides aftermarket support, including parts sales and field services, as well as parts and accessories. The Specialty Vehicles segment engineers and manufactures luxury class A diesel motor home chassis; and manufactures and assembles truck bodies under the Royal Truck Body and DuraMag brands. It also provides final assembly services for Isuzu N-gas and F-series chassis under the Builtmore Contract Manufacturing brand; and designs and installs custom lighting and upfit solutions for a range of specialty industries. In addition, this segment provides truck accessories under the Magnum brand; and a range of parts and accessories, and maintenance and repair services for its motorhome and specialty chassis. The Shyft Group, Inc. sells its products to commercial users, original equipment manufacturers, dealers, individuals, municipalities, and other government entities. The company was formerly known as Spartan Motors, Inc. and changed its name to The Shyft Group, Inc. in June 2020. The Shyft Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Novi, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyShyft Group makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling a broad array of specialty vehicles and chassis to commercial customers. The company's revenue streams primarily consist of sales from its custom vehicle solutions and aftermarket parts and services. Shyft Group's key revenue drivers include its broad customer base across last-mile delivery services, utility, and service industries. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and contracts with major delivery and logistics companies, enhancing its market position and providing steady revenue inflows. Shyft Group's focus on innovation and customization allows it to capture niche markets, thereby contributing significantly to its earnings.

Shyft Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 72.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The Shyft Group showed strong financial performance and strategic progress, particularly with the launch of Blue Arc and margin expansion in Fleet Vehicles and Services. However, challenges remain with sales declines in certain segments and macroeconomic uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Performance
The company delivered meaningful adjusted EBITDA growth with margins of 6%, which doubled year-over-year.
Successful Launch of Blue Arc
Completed a majority of the first contract for FedEx, with trucks actively deployed and positive feedback received.
Fleet Vehicles and Services Margin Expansion
Expanded margins by 290 basis points year-over-year through improved operational efficiency.
Strong Specialty Vehicles Segment
The segment continued to perform well with high teens margin and robust order intake for service trucks.
Innovative Product Launches
Unveiled new purpose-built vehicles, including the Utilimaster Trademaster Service Body and the Marketplace Dry Freight Truck, designed for enhanced productivity and efficiency.
Solid Balance Sheet
Maintained a net leverage ratio of less than 2x, providing flexibility for strategic investments.
Positive Customer Engagement
Record engagement at NTEA Work Truck Show with strong customer feedback and unveiling of new product innovations.
Negative Updates
Decline in Fleet Vehicles and Services Sales
Sales for the Fleet Vehicles and Services segment were down 11% compared to the previous year due to continued softness in parcel end markets.
Challenges with Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Macroeconomic uncertainty and tariffs continue to challenge the business, with ongoing monitoring and price adjustments necessary.
Specialty Vehicles Sales Decline
First quarter sales for Specialty Vehicles were down 9% from the previous year, primarily due to a decrease in motorhome sales.
Company Guidance
During The Shyft Group's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA margins doubled year-over-year to 6%, and sales for the quarter reached $204.6 million, up 3% from the previous year. The Blue Arc division contributed significantly with $26.3 million in sales from a major contract with FedEx. Despite a GAAP net loss of $1.4 million, adjusted net income was $2.4 million, with adjusted EPS increasing to $0.07 per share. The company maintained a solid balance sheet with a net leverage ratio below 2x, and it reaffirmed its 2025 sales outlook of $870 million to $970 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $62 million and $72 million. Shyft also indicated that 70% of its full-year adjusted EBITDA is anticipated in the second half of the year, and it expects free cash flow of $25 million to $30 million. Additionally, discussions highlighted the anticipated merger with Aebi Schmidt, aimed at forming a leading global force in the specialty vehicles sector.

Shyft Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shyft Group exhibits moderate financial health with stable revenue and profitability indicators. The balance sheet reflects a balanced leverage position and stable equity levels. Cash flow metrics show strong cash generation, although growth rates are moderate. Overall, the company maintains a steady financial position with potential for improvement in profitability and growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The gross profit margin for TTM is 20.61%, indicating moderate profitability. Net profit margin improved to 0.06% TTM from a negative margin in the previous year, suggesting a return to profitability. Revenue growth is relatively slow, with a minor increase of 0.85% from the previous annual report, reflecting a stabilizing revenue base. EBIT and EBITDA margins are low at 1.18% and 3.24% TTM, respectively, indicating limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.33, showing a balanced leverage position. ROE is low at 0.18% TTM, reflecting minimal returns on equity. The equity ratio is 42.57% TTM, indicating a moderate level of equity financing relative to assets, suggesting a stable financial structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Free cash flow growth rate is positive, showing a slight increase from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 67.34 TTM, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 37.81 TTM, suggesting efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue792.89M786.18M872.20M1.03B991.79M675.97M
Gross Profit163.43M157.19M150.36M180.43M199.26M146.28M
EBITDA31.34M26.56M24.18M61.53M96.28M63.35M
Net Income438.00K-2.79M6.50M36.56M68.92M32.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets581.08M568.75M530.05M580.48M447.87M359.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.17M15.78M9.96M11.55M37.16M21.00M
Total Debt192.07M175.32M132.37M131.14M55.18M74.31M
Total Liabilities333.76M320.43M277.88M311.79M181.01M158.89M
Stockholders Equity247.33M248.32M252.17M268.59M266.75M200.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.57M16.39M35.51M-39.41M51.01M49.80M
Operating Cash Flow29.49M30.06M56.24M-18.84M74.01M64.33M
Investing Cash Flow-60.52M-61.20M-21.11M-20.42M-22.08M14.92M
Financing Cash Flow33.94M36.96M-36.72M13.65M-35.77M-77.60M

Shyft Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.54
Price Trends
50DMA
10.22
Positive
100DMA
9.89
Positive
200DMA
11.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.64
Positive
RSI
69.81
Neutral
STOCH
74.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHYF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.86, above the 50-day MA of 10.22, and above the 200-day MA of 11.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHYF.

Shyft Group Risk Analysis

Shyft Group disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shyft Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Shyft Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$439.02M972.090.18%1.59%-4.08%
68
Neutral
€2.80B17.639.89%2.89%-0.64%-28.31%
60
Neutral
$469.87M55.98-0.58%1.71%-4.98%-110.92%
$215.03M14.77
MTMTW
72
Outperform
$456.51M10.227.21%-2.75%65.38%
TWTWI
66
Neutral
$682.91M-2.65%5.64%-124.05%
WNWNC
54
Neutral
$481.09M-15.01%2.79%-25.44%-135.47%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHYF
Shyft Group
12.54
1.96
18.53%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
16.39
-15.99
-49.38%
GENC
Gencor
15.11
-3.45
-18.59%
MTW
Manitowoc Company
12.88
2.43
23.25%
TWI
Titan International
10.72
3.60
50.56%
WNC
Wabash National
11.49
-9.18
-44.41%

Shyft Group Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Shyft Group Completes Merger and Delists from Nasdaq
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, Shyft Group completed a merger, becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Holdco and indirectly of Aebi Schmidt. This merger led to significant changes in the company’s board and executive structure, including the resignation of several key executives. Concurrently, the company repaid all outstanding debts and terminated its credit agreements, leading to the delisting of its common stock from Nasdaq and the suspension of its reporting obligations with the SEC.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHYF) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shyft Group stock, see the SHYF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Shyft Group Approves Merger with Aebi Schmidt
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, The Shyft Group‘s shareholders approved a merger agreement with Aebi Schmidt Group, a global leader in infrastructure and agricultural solutions. The merger, expected to close by July 1, 2025, will result in the combined company operating under the name Aebi Schmidt Group and trading on NASDAQ as ‘AEBI’. This strategic merger aims to enhance the companies’ global presence, operational capabilities, and value delivery to customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHYF) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shyft Group stock, see the SHYF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsLegal Proceedings
Shyft Group Faces Legal Challenges Over Merger
Negative
Jun 6, 2025

On December 16, 2024, The Shyft Group entered into a Merger Agreement with Aebi Schmidt Holding AG, which involves Shyft becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of Aebi Schmidt. The merger has led to legal challenges, with two lawsuits filed by Shyft shareholders alleging incomplete disclosures in the proxy statement. Despite these challenges, Shyft plans to supplement the proxy statement to address the claims and reduce litigation risks, while maintaining that the original disclosures were compliant with applicable laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHYF) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shyft Group stock, see the SHYF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Shyft Group Shareholders Meeting Approves Key Proposals
Neutral
May 14, 2025

The Shyft Group, Inc. held its annual meeting of shareholders on May 14, 2025, where four proposals were voted upon. The company operates in the manufacturing industry, focusing on specialty vehicles and chassis. At the meeting, proposals regarding the election of board members, the appointment of an accounting firm, and amendments to the stock incentive plan were approved, while the proposal on executive compensation was rejected.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHYF) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shyft Group stock, see the SHYF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Shyft Group Announces Merger with Aebi Schmidt
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On December 16, 2024, The Shyft Group, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with Aebi Schmidt Holding AG, which will result in Shyft becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of Aebi Schmidt. As a result of this merger, Joshua Sherbin, Shyft’s Chief Legal, Administrative and Compliance Officer, has announced his intention to resign for ‘good reason’ if the merger is completed, which may impact the company’s executive structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025