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UOB (SG:U11)
SGX:U11

UOB (U11) AI Stock Analysis

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UOB

(SGX:U11)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:―
UOB's strong financial performance, particularly in income growth and balance sheet stability, is offset by significant cash flow issues that pose risks to liquidity. Technical indicators suggest a lack of momentum, which is concerning. However, the stock's attractive valuation with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield supports its investment appeal.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
A SGD3bn package to return capital over 3 years, including a SGD0.50 special dividend and a SGD2bn share buyback, demonstrates active capital management.
Revenue Growth
Fee income surged by 20%, driven by record loan fees and a recovery in wealth management and credit card fees.
Strategic Acquisitions
UOB's acquisition of Citigroup's consumer businesses in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam allows it to accelerate, scale up, and deepen its ASEAN franchise, with management expressing confidence in higher structural ROE by FY26F.
Negative Factors
Earnings Risks
Higher-than-expected non-performing loans, high inflationary pressure, and recessionary risks could unwind expectations of credit cost and NPL declines, thus posing risks to earnings.
Guidance Suspension
The company has suspended its FY25 guidance amid macroeconomic uncertainties, creating ambiguity in future performance expectations.
Interest Rate Pressure
Potential steeper rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve could exacerbate margin pressure, impacting earnings negatively.

UOB (U11) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

UOB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Overseas Bank Limited (UOB) is a leading bank in Asia, headquartered in Singapore. It operates through a network of branches and offices across Southeast Asia, Greater China, and beyond. UOB provides a comprehensive range of financial services including personal and corporate banking, investment banking, wealth management, insurance, and asset management. The bank serves both individual and corporate clients, offering products such as loans, credit cards, and investment solutions tailored to meet diverse financial needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyUOB generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and advances, which is the largest contributor to its earnings. The bank also earns from fees and commissions related to its various financial services, including wealth management, investment banking, and transaction services. Additionally, UOB makes money through trading and investment income, leveraging its financial expertise and market presence. The bank benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing to its profitability. Moreover, UOB's strong regional presence in growing Asian markets provides opportunities for growth and expansion, which are crucial for sustaining its revenue streams.

UOB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -3.70%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance by UOB, highlighted by record-high net profits, robust loan and fee growth, and successful integration of Citi's acquisition. Despite facing specific operational challenges in Thailand and increased credit costs, the bank's resilient asset quality and strong capital position suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Net Profit
UOB achieved a record-high net profit of SGD 1.6 billion, up 16% year-on-year, driven by broad-based growth across all business segments and key markets in ASEAN.
Strong Loan and Fee Growth
The bank saw a 2% growth in loans (SGD 5 billion from last quarter) and set a new high in fee income at SGD 630 million, supported by trade and wealth demand.
Resilient Asset Quality
NPL ratio remained stable at 1.5% with strong provisioning and a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, reflecting a robust capital and funding position.
Successful Integration of Citi Acquisition
Synergies from the Citi acquisition have started to show positive results, particularly in CASA penetration across 4 markets.
High Customer Treasury Income
Customer treasury income rose to an all-time high of SGD 270 million due to increased hedging demands and higher business flows.
Negative Updates
Higher Specific Allowance in Thailand
The higher specific allowance this quarter was mainly due to operational merger issues in Thailand, which are expected to normalize in the next 2 quarters.
Operational Challenges in Thailand
Integration challenges in the Thai Citi portfolio led to a temporary increase in delinquencies, impacting credit costs.
Increased Credit Costs
Net credit cost rose to 36 basis points this quarter, with total credit cost at 34 basis points, partly due to prudent collateral markdowns on corporate NPLs in the U.S. and Hong Kong.
Company Guidance
During the UOB's Q3 2024 earnings call, the bank provided guidance on several key metrics. They forecast high single-digit loan growth and a double-digit increase in fees, particularly from cards, wealth, and trade-related activities. Total income is expected to rise, with a cost-to-income ratio projected between 41% to 42%. The bank also anticipates maintaining total credit costs within 25 to 30 basis points. With a strong capital position, as evidenced by a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, UOB is considering capital management strategies, including potential share buybacks or higher dividends, to optimize the use of their excess capital.

UOB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UOB exhibits strong profitability and growth, with a notable revenue increase and solid net profit margin. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage. However, cash flow challenges are concerning, especially the significant decline in free cash flow, raising liquidity management issues.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
UOB has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trend with a 9.77% increase from 2023 to 2024. Net profit margin is solid at 42.33% for 2024, and there is a consistent net income growth. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins are not available for 2024, which limits the assessment of operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects robust profitability and growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a stockholders' equity ratio of 9.25% in 2024, indicating a stable financial foundation. The debt-to-equity ratio is effectively zero due to the absence of total debt in 2024, minimizing financial risk. However, a decline in cash and short-term investments suggests a potential liquidity concern. Overall, the balance sheet is strong with low leverage but potential liquidity risks.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
UOB experienced a significant decrease in free cash flow from positive in 2023 to a negative free cash flow of -15.72 billion in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating issues with cash generation relative to net income. The decline in free cash flow is concerning, reflecting potential challenges in cash management and liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.28B13.01B16.54B11.92B13.07B
Gross Profit14.28B13.93B16.54B11.92B13.07B
EBITDA0.007.48B0.000.000.00
Net Income6.04B5.71B4.57B4.08B2.92B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets537.66B523.52B504.26B459.32B431.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments76.01B87.44B-49.42B-36.56B-36.80B
Total Debt0.0037.18B68.16B52.17B48.15B
Total Liabilities487.71B477.05B463.43B418.84B393.06B
Stockholders Equity49.73B46.23B40.59B40.26B38.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-15.72B9.89B5.36B4.11B5.44B
Operating Cash Flow-14.85B6.47B6.06B4.66B6.00B
Investing Cash Flow-771.00M-645.00M-17.08B-36.95B-11.31B
Financing Cash Flow1.13B-7.69B34.30B32.63B16.61B

UOB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.00
Price Trends
50DMA
34.98
Positive
100DMA
35.46
Positive
200DMA
34.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
65.24
Neutral
STOCH
92.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:U11, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.22, above the 50-day MA of 34.98, and above the 200-day MA of 34.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:U11.

UOB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SGD05
78
Outperform
$127.22B11.3817.99%5.42%13.03%12.01%
SGO39
74
Outperform
S$73.48B9.7713.78%10.76%10.17%8.01%
SGF34
71
Outperform
$18.17B11.625.84%8.25%-0.24%-23.64%
SGU96
70
Neutral
$12.15B11.9320.60%3.51%-8.88%8.31%
SGU11
69
Neutral
$60.04B10.1213.43%6.50%5.68%5.92%
67
Neutral
$16.66B11.449.71%3.91%11.61%-10.70%
SGC09
67
Neutral
$4.66B24.152.21%2.01%-33.84%-36.71%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:U11
UOB
36.00
6.61
22.51%
SG:D05
DBS Group Holdings
44.86
10.81
31.77%
SG:U96
Sembcorp Industries
6.83
2.16
46.16%
SG:O39
OCBC
16.35
2.78
20.51%
SG:F34
Wilmar International
2.91
-0.02
-0.78%
SG:C09
City Developments
5.14
>-0.01
-0.10%

UOB Corporate Events

UOB Announces New Audit Committee Chairman
May 2, 2025

United Overseas Bank Limited (UOB) announced a change in the leadership of its Audit Committee, effective 1 July 2025. Mr. Steven Phan Swee Kim will step down as Chairman but remain a member, while Mr. Ong Chong Tee, a member since September 2024, will assume the role of Chairman. This change is part of UOB’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its governance and oversight functions, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

UOB Achieves Record Earnings with Strong ASEAN Growth
Apr 8, 2025

United Overseas Bank Limited (UOB) has reported record earnings, highlighting significant franchise growth across the ASEAN region. This development underscores UOB’s robust market positioning and potential for continued expansion, which could have positive implications for stakeholders and strengthen its competitive edge in the financial industry.

UOB Prices New Senior Notes to Bolster Financial Flexibility
Mar 27, 2025

United Overseas Bank Limited has announced the pricing of its new issuance of senior notes under its US$30 billion Global Medium Term Note Programme. The issuance includes US$800 million 4.401% Senior Notes due 2028, US$900 million Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2028, and US$300 million Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2030. The notes are managed by a consortium of banks, including UOB itself, and are intended to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its strategic initiatives. This move is expected to enhance UOB’s liquidity and provide more flexibility in its financial operations, potentially impacting its competitive stance in the financial industry.

UOB Announces Grant of 2.47 Million Restricted Shares
Mar 17, 2025

UOB has announced the grant of 2,470,100 Restricted Shares under its Share Plan as of March 15, 2025. These shares, which are restricted by time until they vest, are part of UOB’s strategy to incentivize and retain key personnel, potentially impacting the company’s operational dynamics and stakeholder interests.

UOB’s Sydney Branch to Issue A$2 Billion in Senior Unsecured Notes
Feb 21, 2025

United Overseas Bank Limited’s Sydney Branch is set to issue A$2 billion in Floating Rate Senior Unsecured Notes due 2028 under its US$30 billion Global Medium Term Note Programme. This strategic move, managed by a consortium of leading banks, aims to enhance UOB’s market presence and financial flexibility, attracting investors with the notes’ strong credit ratings of Aa1 by Moody’s, and AA- by both Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2025