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UOB (SG:U11)
SGX:U11

UOB (U11) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:U11

UOB

(SGX:U11)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
S$40.00
â–²(11.64% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/02/26
The score is anchored by solid financial performance (scale and improved leverage) and supportive valuation (high dividend yield and moderate P/E). These strengths are tempered by weak technical momentum and notable cash-flow volatility, which increase near-term risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue Scale Expansion
UOB’s material revenue expansion into 2023–2025 reflects a durable customer franchise and market reach. Sustained higher revenue provides recurring cash inflows to invest in digital channels, broaden product distribution, and build reserve buffers, supporting stable core earnings and cross-sell over the medium term.
Stronger Capital and Leverage
A sizable capital base and meaningful leverage improvement in 2025 materially reduce solvency and regulatory risk. Stronger equity cushions increase capacity for prudent lending growth, regulatory compliance and shock absorption, enhancing the bank’s ability to pursue strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.
Diversified Business Model
UOB’s diversified footprint across retail, wholesale, commercial banking and wealth management spreads revenue sources and client exposures. Multiple interest, fee and treasury channels reduce cyclicality, support margins and enable cross-selling, strengthening structural resilience across Asian markets.
Negative Factors
Cash-Flow Volatility
The large negative operating and free cash flow swing in 2024 and ongoing free cash flow volatility weaken predictability of capital allocation. Inconsistent cash conversion complicates dividend planning, loan growth funding and provisioning, reducing confidence in sustainable cash returns over the medium term.
Margin and Earnings Pressure
Despite scale, margin compression and a decline in 2025 earnings versus 2024 signal pressure on profitability. Continued margin erosion—from funding cost increases, competitive pricing, or higher credit costs—could impair ROE and limit reinvestment or buffer-building over the next several quarters.
Notable Absolute Debt Load
Although leverage improved, the bank’s absolute debt load remains sizable, raising sensitivity to funding stress and interest-rate moves. High nominal debt can constrain capital flexibility for M&A or higher loan-loss provisioning and increases the importance of maintaining stable deposit funding over time.

UOB (U11) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

UOB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Overseas Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services. It operates through three segments: Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets. The company offers loan products, including overdraft, cash credit, short term, and long-term loans. It also provides buyers credit, structured trade finance, SGD bonds, loan syndication, and M&A services. In addition, the company offers forex, documentary collection, credit, bank guarantee, export and import finance services. Further, the company provides inward and outward remittances, FX spot and forward, current account, and time deposit services. Additionally, the company offers letter of credit advising and negotiation/discounting services; and import and export services comprising of inward and outward bill collection services, and documents against acceptance and payment. Furthermore, the company provides private, commercial, corporate, and investment banking services. It also offers corporate finance, treasury, future broking, asset management, venture capital management, insurance, and stockbroking services; engages in capital market, credit card, and private residential home loan businesses; and loans to small and medium enterprises. The company operates approximately 500 branches and offices in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, China, and internationally. United Overseas Bank Limited was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.
How the Company Makes MoneyUOB generates revenue primarily through interest income from loans and investments, fees from various banking services, and commissions from financial products. Key revenue streams include the interest spread from personal and corporate loans, fees from credit and debit card transactions, and service charges for account maintenance and other banking services. Additionally, UOB earns income from wealth management services and investment banking activities. The bank also engages in strategic partnerships with fintech companies and other financial institutions to enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

UOB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 08, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong overall performance by UOB, highlighted by record-high net profits, robust loan and fee growth, and successful integration of Citi's acquisition. Despite facing specific operational challenges in Thailand and increased credit costs, the bank's resilient asset quality and strong capital position suggest a positive outlook.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-High Net Profit
UOB achieved a record-high net profit of SGD 1.6 billion, up 16% year-on-year, driven by broad-based growth across all business segments and key markets in ASEAN.
Strong Loan and Fee Growth
The bank saw a 2% growth in loans (SGD 5 billion from last quarter) and set a new high in fee income at SGD 630 million, supported by trade and wealth demand.
Resilient Asset Quality
NPL ratio remained stable at 1.5% with strong provisioning and a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, reflecting a robust capital and funding position.
Successful Integration of Citi Acquisition
Synergies from the Citi acquisition have started to show positive results, particularly in CASA penetration across 4 markets.
High Customer Treasury Income
Customer treasury income rose to an all-time high of SGD 270 million due to increased hedging demands and higher business flows.
Negative Updates
Higher Specific Allowance in Thailand
The higher specific allowance this quarter was mainly due to operational merger issues in Thailand, which are expected to normalize in the next 2 quarters.
Operational Challenges in Thailand
Integration challenges in the Thai Citi portfolio led to a temporary increase in delinquencies, impacting credit costs.
Increased Credit Costs
Net credit cost rose to 36 basis points this quarter, with total credit cost at 34 basis points, partly due to prudent collateral markdowns on corporate NPLs in the U.S. and Hong Kong.
Company Guidance
During the UOB's Q3 2024 earnings call, the bank provided guidance on several key metrics. They forecast high single-digit loan growth and a double-digit increase in fees, particularly from cards, wealth, and trade-related activities. Total income is expected to rise, with a cost-to-income ratio projected between 41% to 42%. The bank also anticipates maintaining total credit costs within 25 to 30 basis points. With a strong capital position, as evidenced by a CET1 ratio of 15.5%, UOB is considering capital management strategies, including potential share buybacks or higher dividends, to optimize the use of their excess capital.

UOB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue scale with material expansion into 2023–2025 supports fundamentals, and leverage improved meaningfully in 2025 (lower debt-to-equity). Offsetting this, profitability and returns cooled in 2025 versus 2023–2024, and cash-flow quality is a key risk due to the large 2024 negative swing and volatile free cash flow.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue scale is strong and has expanded materially over time, with a sharp step-up into 2023–2025 and especially strong growth in 2025. Profitability remains solid (healthy net profit margins across years), but margins have compressed from earlier peaks and 2025 earnings declined versus 2024, indicating more recent pressure on operating performance after a very strong 2024.
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Capital base is sizable with equity steadily growing, and leverage has improved meaningfully in 2025 (debt-to-equity down from 2023–2024 levels), which is a positive de-risking signal. Returns on equity are consistently positive and generally solid for the period, but they have cooled in 2025 versus 2023–2024 and overall leverage remains notable given the absolute debt load.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed: operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive in most years and 2025 free cash flow covers a meaningful portion of net income. However, 2024 shows a large negative operating and free cash flow swing, and free cash flow growth is highly volatile (sharp decline in 2025), reducing confidence in consistency and predictability of cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.10B27.87B26.50B16.10B9.13B
Gross Profit12.74B13.36B13.01B10.97B9.13B
EBITDA6.41B21.38B20.02B10.84B7.22B
Net Income4.68B6.04B5.71B4.57B4.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets572.06B537.66B523.52B504.26B459.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.25B76.01B87.44B78.67B69.88B
Total Debt44.99B64.13B71.66B68.16B52.17B
Total Liabilities520.57B487.71B477.05B463.43B418.84B
Stockholders Equity51.25B49.73B46.23B43.37B42.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.39B-15.72B5.60B5.36B4.11B
Operating Cash Flow5.66B-14.85B6.47B6.06B4.66B
Investing Cash Flow-21.44B-771.00M-645.00M-3.71B-440.00M
Financing Cash Flow29.64B1.13B19.27B34.30B32.63B

UOB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.83
Price Trends
50DMA
37.07
Negative
100DMA
35.75
Positive
200DMA
35.35
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
35.87
Neutral
STOCH
15.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:U11, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.10, below the 50-day MA of 37.07, and above the 200-day MA of 35.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SG:U11.

UOB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
S$157.99B14.6317.10%5.06%2.67%6.32%
72
Outperform
S$3.19B10.2610.50%4.63%7.87%-4.03%
71
Outperform
S$93.93B12.1212.87%4.71%0.69%-0.06%
71
Outperform
S$1.13B18.754.02%4.87%-10.51%-15.79%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$60.06B12.7012.80%6.49%-0.76%4.96%
64
Neutral
S$974.53M-271.068.61%3.76%-9.47%131.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:U11
UOB
35.83
0.04
0.10%
SG:D05
DBS Group Holdings
55.00
12.00
27.91%
SG:O39
OCBC
20.90
4.72
29.17%
SG:U10
UOB-Kay Hian Holdings Limited
3.10
1.44
86.52%
SG:S41
Hong Leong Finance Limited
2.52
0.13
5.44%
SG:YF8
Yangzijiang Financial Holding Ltd.
0.27
>-0.01
-2.88%

UOB Corporate Events

UOB Highlights Resilient Earnings and Stable ASEAN Franchise
Feb 27, 2026

UOB Group reported resilient earnings and stable franchise growth across ASEAN, underscoring the strength of its regional banking operations despite broader market, financial and political risks. The group emphasised that the information provided is general in nature, not tailored investment advice, and reminded investors to consider their own objectives and seek independent financial guidance, highlighting the inherent risks in securities and financial product transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:U11) stock is a Hold with a S$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UOB stock, see the SG:U11 Stock Forecast page.

UOB underscores resilient ASEAN growth while cautioning investors on risks
Feb 27, 2026

UOB Group has presented material highlighting its resilient earnings and stable franchise growth across ASEAN, positioning itself as a steady player in the regional banking sector. The release frames the information as general background rather than investment advice, emphasising that all financial transactions carry market, political and currency risks and that investors should seek independent guidance before making decisions.

The bank distances itself from liability for the use of the presentation’s contents and underscores that the information is not comprehensive, signalling a cautious approach to disclosure and investor expectations. By stressing that the material cannot be copied or disseminated, UOB also seeks to maintain control over the distribution of its financial communications while reinforcing the need for tailored advice given differing investor profiles and risk tolerances.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:U11) stock is a Hold with a S$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UOB stock, see the SG:U11 Stock Forecast page.

UOB Explores Market Interest for One Raffles Place Stake
Feb 20, 2026

United Overseas Bank has confirmed that it is working with OUB Centre Limited to gauge market interest for iconic commercial property One Raffles Place in Singapore, following media reports suggesting a potential multi-billion-dollar sale. OUB Centre Limited owns the asset, with UOB holding 18.46% of the beneficial interest in trust and a further 8.15% indirect stake via its shareholding in OUB Centre.

The bank cautioned that there is no certainty any binding agreement or transaction will result from this exploratory exercise and said it will decide on next steps based on the outcome and the best interests of shareholders. UOB pledged to make further disclosures through SGXNET in line with Singapore Exchange rules and urged shareholders and potential investors to exercise caution when dealing in its shares and to seek professional advice where necessary.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:U11) stock is a Hold with a S$41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UOB stock, see the SG:U11 Stock Forecast page.

UOB Prices GBP750 Million Covered Bonds to Bolster Financial Strategy
Dec 2, 2025

United Overseas Bank Limited has announced the pricing of GBP750,000,000 in Floating Rate Covered Bonds due in June 2029 under its US$15 billion Global Covered Bond Programme. This issuance, managed by UOB alongside Bank of Montreal and RBC Europe Limited, reflects the bank’s strategy to strengthen its funding base and enhance its financial offerings, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:U11) stock is a Hold with a S$36.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UOB stock, see the SG:U11 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 02, 2026