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DBS Group Holdings (SG:D05)
SGX:D05
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DBS Group Holdings (D05) AI Stock Analysis

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DBS Group Holdings

(SGX:D05)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:―
DBS Group Holdings scores well due to its strong financial performance, highlighted by solid revenue growth, zero debt, and efficient cash management. The earnings call also supports a generally positive outlook despite some challenges. However, technical analysis suggests caution, and valuation metrics point to potential undervaluation, making the stock attractive for income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Capital Return
The capital return initiative includes a 24 cents annual increment, 15 cents capital return dividend per quarter, and a S$3bn share buyback.
Earnings Momentum
Fee income was the primary contributor to earnings momentum, rising 22% YoY to S$1.3bn, driven by wealth management growth.
Negative Factors
Higher Provisions and Tax
Higher provisions and the global minimum tax are expected to negatively impact PATMI in FY25.
Trade Tensions
Spillover effects from trade tension between the US and its trading partners could stall growth in 2H25F.

DBS Group Holdings (D05) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

DBS Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05) is a leading financial services group headquartered in Singapore, with a strong presence in Asia. Recognized for its innovative banking solutions, DBS offers a comprehensive range of financial services, including consumer banking, wealth management, institutional banking, treasury and markets, and brokerage services. The bank is committed to digital transformation and sustainability, positioning itself as a forward-thinking institution in the financial sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyDBS Group Holdings generates revenue through a diverse array of financial services. Key revenue streams include net interest income from lending activities, where the bank earns interest on loans and advances issued to individuals and corporations. Additionally, non-interest income is a significant contributor, derived from fees and commissions related to wealth management, investment banking, and transaction services. The bank also earns from trading in financial markets, foreign exchange operations, and managing investment portfolios. Strategic partnerships and a focus on digital banking innovations enhance DBS's ability to reach a broader customer base and increase its revenue-generating opportunities. Furthermore, DBS's regional expansion and acquisition strategies contribute to its growth by tapping into emerging markets in Asia.

DBS Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 11.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive sentiment with strong performance in dividend yield, fixed rate book management, and wealth management growth. However, there are notable challenges with increased NPLs in Hong Kong and China, and a cautious approach towards interest rate sensitivity.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Dividend Yield and TSR Growth
DBS provided a consistent 6-7% dividend yield in an appreciating currency and a total shareholder return (TSR) growth of 14% over 15 years.
Fixed Rate Book Expansion
DBS expanded its fixed rate book to $200 billion, exceeding the planned $190 billion, which indicates proactive management in response to interest rate changes.
Wealth Management Growth
Wealth Management showed a 40% growth year-on-year, with net new money of $21 billion for the year, including $6 billion in Q3.
Robust Loan Recovery
DBS successfully exited and recovered loans in Hong Kong real estate, selling properties at market clearing prices about 30% below previous valuations.
Generative AI Initiatives
DBS is actively exploring the use of generative AI for operational efficiencies and better client engagement.
Negative Updates
Hong Kong and China Loan Exposure
Increased NPLs in the Hong Kong book due to exchange rate and deteriorating real estate portfolio, with continued stress expected in the Hong Kong SME sector.
NPL Recovery Challenges
Lower recoveries this quarter, impacting the net SP (specific provision) which appeared higher due to consistent SP and reduced recoveries.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
Interest rate sensitivity expected to increase, influenced by fixed asset rollouts and CASA movements, although mitigated by proactive asset management.
Company Guidance
During the DBS Fourth Quarter Analyst Briefing for Fiscal Year 2024, held on February 10, 2025, the company provided insights into its financial guidance and projections. The net interest margin (NIM) was discussed with an expectation of resilience against rate cuts, influenced by about $55 billion of the $200 billion fixed rate book rolling off this year. The company anticipates a sensitivity increase to $6 million to $7 million in NII gains, slightly up from previous quarters. The guidance assumes a 65% pass-through from Fed rate cuts into Sing dollar rates, with a potential upside if rates exceed this assumption. The wealth management segment showed a strong net new money flow of $21 billion for the year, although it experienced a seasonal 15% drop in Q4. The company's ROE is expected to remain at the higher end of the 15% to 17% range, contingent on interest rate trends. Capital management strategies include a $3 billion share buyback, with considerations for potential M&A activities. The company underscored its cautious approach to asset quality, particularly in Hong Kong, while emphasizing strategic growth in wealth management and the potential for further capital returns.

DBS Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DBS Group Holdings demonstrates robust financial performance with strong revenue growth, high profitability, and excellent cash flow generation. The balance sheet is particularly strong with zero debt and impressive equity ratios.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DBS Group Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth from $19.55B in 2023 to $22.30B in 2024, representing a solid 14.5% growth rate. The company maintains robust profitability with a gross profit margin of 100% and a net profit margin of approximately 50.6% for 2024. EBIT margin is high at 59.5%, indicating efficient operations. However, the decline in EBIT from 2023 shows room for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company has a strong balance sheet with zero total debt in 2024, showcasing excellent financial health and stability. The equity ratio stands at 8.3%, reflecting a well-capitalized institution. The return on equity is impressive at 16.4%, indicating efficient use of equity capital. The significant cash position further enhances financial resilience.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with operating cash flow increasing to $15.34B in 2024. Free cash flow of $14.42B shows a robust 207.4% growth from 2023, highlighting excellent cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient capital expenditure management.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.30B19.55B16.49B14.17B14.58B
Gross Profit22.30B20.18B16.49B14.17B14.58B
EBITDA0.000.009.88B8.45B6.02B
Net Income11.29B10.06B8.19B6.80B4.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets827.33B739.30B743.37B686.07B649.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments139.06B118.88B115.01B108.34B101.48B
Total Debt64.90B44.83B47.08B53.86B45.21B
Total Liabilities760.89B677.05B686.30B628.36B595.29B
Stockholders Equity66.39B62.06B56.89B57.53B54.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.43B4.69B2.10B7.16B24.33B
Operating Cash Flow15.34B5.17B2.77B7.73B24.88B
Investing Cash Flow-58.79B727.00M-694.00M-1.60B-415.00M
Financing Cash Flow-6.60B-9.20B-3.89B-2.58B-2.37B

DBS Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.99
Price Trends
50DMA
44.79
Positive
100DMA
43.67
Positive
200DMA
42.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.59
Negative
RSI
75.38
Negative
STOCH
92.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:D05, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.41, above the 50-day MA of 44.79, and above the 200-day MA of 42.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:D05.

DBS Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SGD05
78
Outperform
$133.26B11.9217.99%6.38%13.03%12.01%
SGS68
76
Outperform
$16.91B25.7435.32%2.28%8.76%15.45%
SGC07
76
Outperform
$10.39B8.2211.58%7.10%-0.21%-22.52%
SGBN4
74
Outperform
S$14.16B15.667.90%7.42%-5.24%-77.23%
SGO39
74
Outperform
$77.88B10.3613.78%10.15%10.17%8.01%
SGU11
69
Neutral
$61.71B10.4013.43%6.32%5.68%5.92%
67
Neutral
$16.88B11.729.78%3.73%11.83%-7.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:D05
DBS Group Holdings
46.99
12.87
37.72%
SG:BN4
Keppel Corporation Limited
8.08
1.86
29.90%
SG:S68
Singapore Exchange
15.79
6.32
66.81%
SG:U11
UOB
37.00
6.42
21.00%
SG:O39
OCBC
17.33
3.25
23.06%
SG:C07
Jardine Cycle & Carriage
26.28
2.29
9.55%

DBS Group Holdings Corporate Events

DBS Group Holdings Conducts 26th Annual General Meeting
Apr 26, 2025

DBS Group Holdings Ltd held its Twenty-Sixth Annual General Meeting at Marina Bay Sands Expo and Convention Centre in Singapore. The meeting was chaired by Mr. Olivier Lim Tse Ghow, Lead Independent Director, as Mr. Peter Seah, the Chairman of the Board, participated remotely. The AGM proceeded with a quorum present, indicating the company’s commitment to maintaining governance and stakeholder engagement.

DBS Announces Key Leadership Changes Effective April 2025
Feb 12, 2025

DBS Group Holdings has announced key senior-level appointments effective from 1 April 2025, highlighting its commitment to nurturing internal talent. Derrick Goh will transition from his current role as Head of Group Audit to the new position of Group Chief Operating Officer, where he will oversee Operations and the Transformation Group. Koh Kar Siong, currently in charge of Group Corporate and SME Banking, will succeed Goh as Group Head of Audit. These strategic moves are expected to strengthen DBS’s leadership team and further its operational and transformational objectives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2025