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Mapletree Logistics Trust (SG:M44U)
SGX:M44U
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Mapletree Logistics (M44U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:M44U

Mapletree Logistics

(SGX:M44U)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
S$1.00
▼(-18.70% Downside)
Mapletree Logistics' overall stock score is primarily influenced by its solid financial health and attractive dividend yield. However, challenges such as declining net profit margins, high P/E ratio, and negative earnings call sentiment due to higher borrowing costs and China-related issues weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest a neutral short-term outlook.
Positive Factors
E-commerce and Domestic Demand
Unique Asian E-commerce exposure with a focus on domestic demand.
Interest Costs
84% of its debt is hedged into fixed rates and 74% of distributable income is hedged into S$ for the next 12 months, providing stability in interest costs.
Investor Confidence
CEO Jean Kam acquired shares in the REIT in a day of weakness in a vote of confidence.
Negative Factors
China Rental Reversion
Rental reversion in China remained negative at -7.5% and is expected to remain negative for the foreseeable future.
Portfolio Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy dipped slightly due to the inclusion of the newly completed Mapletree Joo Koon Logistics Hub, which had a low take-up rate.
Revenue Decline
Mapletree Logistics Trust reported a 2.4% year-over-year drop in revenue due to income vacuum from divested properties, lower China contributions, and weaker forex.

Mapletree Logistics (M44U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

Mapletree Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMapletree Logistics Trust (M44U) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on investing in logistics real estate across the Asia-Pacific region. The company operates a diversified portfolio of high-quality logistics assets, including warehouses and distribution centers, strategically located in key logistics hubs to serve a range of sectors such as e-commerce, retail, and manufacturing. Mapletree Logistics Trust is committed to delivering sustainable returns through active asset management and value-enhancing initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyMapletree Logistics Trust generates revenue primarily through leasing its logistics properties to tenants. The company earns rental income from a diverse tenant base, which includes multinational corporations and local enterprises involved in industries such as e-commerce, consumer goods, and third-party logistics. The trust seeks to maximize occupancy rates and rental yields through proactive leasing strategies and maintaining strong tenant relationships. Additionally, Mapletree Logistics Trust may engage in strategic acquisitions and asset enhancement initiatives to expand and upgrade its portfolio, further boosting rental income and capital growth. The trust's performance is also supported by its partnerships with various stakeholders, including real estate developers and financial institutions, which can provide opportunities for growth and expansion.

Mapletree Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted stable portfolio occupancy and some ESG achievements. However, significant challenges remain, particularly with the China market's performance and DPU decline.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Portfolio Occupancy and Rental Reversion
Overall portfolio occupancy remained stable with a slight improvement in rental reversion to 5.1% in 4Q, excluding China, which was at 6.9%.
Pre-commitment at 5A Joo Koon
The 5A Joo Koon project is due for completion next month with a pre-committed occupancy of 46%.
ESG Progress
The company has increased its solar capacity to about 71-megawatt peak and neutralized Scope 2 carbon emissions in China and Hong Kong.
Negative Updates
Distribution Per Unit (DPU) Decline
Overall DPU declined by 11.6% year-on-year, affected by lower contributions from China, higher borrowing costs, and FX impacts.
China Market Challenges
China experienced a net fair value loss of SGD 62 million due to lower rental and occupancy rates, with increased cap rates in northern China.
Increased Aggregate Leverage
Aggregate leverage increased to 40.7% from 40.3% last quarter, mainly due to valuation losses and FX translation.
Company Guidance
In MLT's fourth-quarter and full-year results briefing for the fiscal year ending March 2025, the company reported a decrease in key financial metrics due to various challenges. The distribution per unit (DPU) for the fourth quarter was SGD 0.01955, marking an 11.6% decline compared to the same quarter last year. This decline was attributed to lower contributions from China, higher borrowing costs, and foreign exchange impacts. Gross revenue dropped by 0.8%, while net property income (NPI) fell by 1.6%. The aggregate leverage increased to 40.7% from 40.3% last quarter, influenced by valuation losses and currency translation effects. The company maintained a fixed-rate hedge on 81% of its debt, with a debt maturity of 3.8 years, and hedged 75% of its income into Singapore dollars for the next 12 months. Despite these financial pressures, MLT completed divestments in Malaysia and announced further divestments in Singapore and Malaysia for the upcoming fiscal year. Additionally, the company reported an improvement in rental reversion to 5.1%, with occupancy rates remaining stable across most markets. The company also highlighted its ESG progress, including an increase in solar capacity to 71 megawatts and achieving carbon neutrality for Scope 2 emissions in China and Hong Kong.

Mapletree Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mapletree Logistics demonstrates solid financial health with stable margins and effective cash management. However, declining net profit margins and revenue growth pose challenges. The balance sheet reflects a balanced leverage strategy, but improving return on equity should be a focus to enhance investor confidence.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mapletree Logistics shows a stable gross profit margin around 73%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased significantly from previous years, reflecting potential challenges in maintaining profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, suggesting a need for strategic initiatives to boost sales.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at approximately 0.80, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity has declined over the years, which may concern investors looking for strong returns. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, with a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow growth is positive, suggesting effective cash management. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue714.04M714.78M733.89M735.26M680.02M567.35M
Gross Profit521.83M520.71M543.78M538.09M504.61M435.42M
EBITDA425.00M429.02M536.63M533.21M502.93M434.72M
Net Income204.66M207.77M327.48M566.58M782.44M462.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.62B13.89B13.81B13.42B13.69B11.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments315.05M299.01M304.82M302.50M338.62M280.76M
Total Debt5.62B5.67B5.40B5.55B5.64B4.77B
Total Liabilities6.60B6.65B6.33B6.48B6.60B5.52B
Stockholders Equity6.99B6.64B7.47B6.93B7.07B5.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow542.51M536.03M573.49M467.26M390.11M352.23M
Operating Cash Flow542.51M536.03M573.49M470.63M385.83M352.41M
Investing Cash Flow-61.57M-243.69M-844.25M-235.41M-1.61B-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-463.76M-286.74M280.62M-245.99M1.28B1.05B

Mapletree Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.23
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Positive
100DMA
1.13
Positive
200DMA
1.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
69.71
Neutral
STOCH
82.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:M44U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1.17, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:M44U.

Mapletree Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
S$1.11B33.753.17%7.07%5.21%-25.46%
65
Neutral
$2.10B15.813.79%4.98%4.78%6.63%
61
Neutral
$6.21B34.082.72%6.34%-1.47%-39.12%
$1.73B-4.88%7.86%
$3.11B15.882.80%4.38%
$2.73B27.113.21%6.61%
73
Outperform
S$402.43M13.525.87%7.90%-5.80%-27.16%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:M44U
Mapletree Logistics
1.24
-0.03
-2.05%
SG:O5RU
AIMS APAC REIT
1.36
0.15
12.40%
CGIUF
ESR-REIT
2.10
0.17
8.81%
FSRPF
Frasers Property
0.75
0.16
27.12%
FRLOF
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.71
-0.07
-8.97%
SG:DHLU
Daiwa House Logistics Trust
0.58
0.04
7.41%

Mapletree Logistics Corporate Events

Mapletree Logistics Trust Issues New Units for Fee Payments
Aug 15, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust has announced the issuance of 18,781,513 new units as part of its fee payment structure for certain properties. This issuance, effective from 15 August 2025, includes units allocated for base fees, performance fees, and property and lease management fees, reflecting the trust’s ongoing strategy to manage its financial obligations and maintain its operational efficiency across its diverse property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Buy with a S$1.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Mapletree Logistics Trust Renews Property Management Contract
Jul 25, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust has renewed the appointment of Mapletree Property Management Pte. Ltd. as its property manager for another five years, from July 2025 to July 2030. This renewal, under the same terms and conditions as the existing agreements, is expected to maintain stability in the trust’s property management operations, potentially benefiting stakeholders by ensuring consistent management practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Buy with a S$1.56 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Mapletree Logistics Trust Secures New Loan Agreement with Key Conditions
Jun 30, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust Management Ltd. announced that one of its subsidiaries has entered into a loan agreement with conditions similar to existing debt facilities. These conditions require MLTM to remain as the manager of MLT and for the manager to remain a subsidiary of Mapletree Investments Pte Ltd. A breach of these conditions could affect debt facilities amounting to approximately S$5,646 million. As of the announcement date, no conditions have been breached.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Buy with a S$1.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Mapletree Logistics Trust Issues New Units for Fee Payments
May 16, 2025

Mapletree Logistics Trust has announced the issuance of 8,415,976 new units at S$1.3078 per unit as part of the payment for base, property management, and lease management fees for certain properties. This issuance, covering the period from January 1 to March 31, 2025, reflects the trust’s ongoing strategy to manage its financial obligations through equity, potentially impacting its unit holders and market positioning by enhancing its asset management capabilities across its diverse property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:M44U) stock is a Buy with a S$1.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mapletree Logistics stock, see the SG:M44U Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025