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ESR-REIT (SG:9A4U)
SGX:9A4U

ESR-REIT (9A4U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:9A4U

ESR-REIT

(SGX:9A4U)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
S$2.50
â–²(5.04% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is primarily constrained by weaker fundamentals—rising leverage and a 2025 free-cash-flow drop to zero—despite improving revenue and a return to profitability. Technicals are broadly neutral, while valuation is pressured by an extremely high P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Industrial & logistics portfolio focus
A concentrated industrial/logistics portfolio aligns with structural demand from e-commerce and supply-chain reshoring. Long-leased warehouse assets typically deliver durable, contracted rental cash flows and higher occupancy stickiness, supporting predictable income over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Materially higher leverage
A near-doubling of debt-to-equity sharply reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Elevated leverage increases default and covenant risk and constrains capital deployment or acquisitions over the coming months absent deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Industrial & logistics portfolio focus
A concentrated industrial/logistics portfolio aligns with structural demand from e-commerce and supply-chain reshoring. Long-leased warehouse assets typically deliver durable, contracted rental cash flows and higher occupancy stickiness, supporting predictable income over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

ESR-REIT (9A4U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

ESR-REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ESR-REIT is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets. As a...
How the Company Makes Money
ESR-REIT makes money primarily by leasing space in its industrial and logistics properties to tenants and collecting recurring rental income. This rental income (contracted base rent and, where applicable, recoveries/charges billed to tenants) for...

ESR-REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth improved in 2025 and the company returned to a small profit, but the multi-year earnings volatility, materially higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.87), and the sharp deterioration in 2025 free cash flow (down to zero) weigh heavily on overall financial quality.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue415.84M453.89M370.50M386.35M348.57M248.99M
Gross Profit281.48M312.61M261.65M251.24M228.38M173.26M
EBITDA0.00302.85M8.56M244.89M217.87M155.65M
Net Income-86.03M31.66M-127.78M-67.45M-278.26M101.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.91B5.86B6.01B5.11B5.65B3.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.69M60.29M83.94M41.98M45.58M24.15M
Total Debt2.81B3.84B2.86B2.15B2.61B1.41B
Total Liabilities3.25B3.28B3.33B2.34B2.81B1.58B
Stockholders Equity2.59B2.06B2.62B2.77B2.75B1.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow315.09M0.00243.43M167.27M95.06M124.29M
Operating Cash Flow315.09M199.08M269.62M260.08M193.63M152.77M
Investing Cash Flow-486.99M-38.31M-436.95M360.85M-267.02M-149.34M
Financing Cash Flow182.43M-183.03M200.41M-626.33M93.14M2.62M

ESR-REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.38
Price Trends
50DMA
2.45
Negative
100DMA
2.54
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
42.13
Neutral
STOCH
63.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:9A4U, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.33, below the 50-day MA of 2.45, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:9A4U.

ESR-REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
S$3.40B17.464.77%6.04%2.01%38.17%
67
Neutral
S$11.85B16.407.40%5.43%2.35%365.31%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
S$5.57B16.126.73%6.51%-1.96%175.59%
60
Neutral
S$350.37M11.087.30%8.04%-5.80%-27.16%
54
Neutral
S$5.98B41.022.73%5.83%-1.81%-18.43%
46
Neutral
S$1.86B68.78-4.88%7.91%10.51%-40.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:9A4U
ESR-REIT
2.31
0.28
14.02%
SG:A17U
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT
2.50
0.16
6.70%
SG:M44U
Mapletree Logistics
1.17
0.09
8.03%
SG:ME8U
Mapletree Industrial
1.95
0.14
7.68%
SG:BUOU
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.90
0.11
14.74%
SG:DHLU
Daiwa House Logistics Trust
0.50
>-0.01
-0.60%

ESR-REIT Corporate Events

ESR-REIT Divests Non-Core Hotel Strata at Changi BizPark for S$101 Million
Jan 30, 2026
ESR-REIT has agreed to divest the hotel strata lot, including certain retail units, at 2 Changi Business Park Avenue 1 in Singapore for approximately S$101 million, a price in line with its independent valuation, to Coliwoo Project Ace Pte Ltd via...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026