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Frasers Centrepoint Trust (SG:J69U)
SGX:J69U

Frasers Centrepoint (J69U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG

Frasers Centrepoint

(SGX:J69U)

71Outperform
Frasers Centrepoint's overall stock score is bolstered by solid financial performance and a healthy balance sheet, despite challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The stock's technical outlook is neutral, with a slight upward trend, while valuation metrics suggest moderate valuation with income appeal. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not significantly impact the score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
The proposed acquisition of Northpoint City South Wing is expected to bolster income streams, enhancing financial performance.
Lease Negotiations
Portfolio occupancy remained high at 99.5%, enhancing FCT’s bargaining power in lease negotiations.
Tenant Sales Performance
Frasers Centrepoint Trust's portfolio continues to outperform its peers, with tenant sales 15-20% above pre-COVID levels.
Negative Factors
Consumer Spending
Downside risks include a potential slowdown in consumer spending, which could affect tenant sentiment and leasing, impacting the ability to achieve positive rental reversions.
Funding Costs
Higher than expected increase in funding cost, which could impact financial performance.

Frasers Centrepoint (J69U) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Frasers Centrepoint Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFrasers Centrepoint Trust ("FCT") is a leading developer-sponsored retail real estate investment trust ("REIT") and one of the largest suburban retail mall owners in Singapore with total assets of approximately S$6.7 billion. FCT's current property portfolio comprises 11 retail malls9 and an office building located in the suburban regions of Singapore, near homes and within minutes to transportation amenities. The retail portfolio has over 2.3 million square feet of net lettable area with over 1,500 leases with a strong focus on providing for necessity spending, food & beverage and essential services. The portfolio comprises Causeway Point, Northpoint City North Wing (including Yishun 10 Retail Podium), Anchorpoint, YewTee Point, Changi City Point, Waterway Point (40%-interest), Tiong Bahru Plaza, White Sands, Hougang Mall, Century Square and Tampines 1) and an office property (Central Plaza). FCT's malls enjoy stable and recurring shopper footfall supported by commuter traffic and residential population in the catchment. FCT also holds a 31.15% stake in Hektar Real Estate Investment Trust, a retail-focused REIT in Malaysia listed on the Main Market of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad. FCT is index constituent of several benchmark indices including the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Global Real Estate Index Series (Global Developed Index), FTSE ST Real Estate investment Trust Index, MSCI Singapore Small Cap Index and the SGX iEdge S-REIT Leaders Index. Listed on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 5 July 2006, FCT is managed by Frasers Centrepoint Asset Management Ltd., a real estate management company and a wholly-owned subsidiary of Frasers Property Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyFrasers Centrepoint Limited generates revenue through multiple streams. Primarily, it earns from the sale and leasing of residential properties, which includes developing and selling homes and apartments. The company also generates income from its portfolio of commercial properties, including rental income from office buildings and retail spaces. In the hospitality sector, Frasers Centrepoint operates hotels and serviced residences, contributing to its earnings through room bookings and related services. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its development capabilities and expand its market reach. The diversity in its property portfolio and geographical presence allows Frasers Centrepoint to capture various market opportunities and mitigate risks associated with any single segment.

Frasers Centrepoint Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Frasers Centrepoint demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and a healthy balance sheet. While the revenue dip and decreased free cash flow growth pose challenges, operational efficiencies and a stable equity base provide resilience. The company's financial health is sound, but strategic adjustments may be required to address revenue and cash flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Frasers Centrepoint has shown strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 61.24% and a net profit margin of 56.10% for the latest fiscal year. Revenue has slightly decreased by 4.77% compared to the previous year, indicating a need to address market challenges. The EBIT margin of 60.63% and EBITDA margin of 78.77% further highlight robust operational efficiency. However, the revenue decline suggests potential market pressure or operational adjustments are needed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is healthy with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, suggesting moderate leverage. The return on equity is strong at 4.75%, though showing a slight decline from previous years. The equity ratio stands at 65.25%, indicating solid capitalization and lower risk of insolvency. Despite these strengths, the increase in net debt over the years warrants attention.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Frasers Centrepoint has a positive free cash flow of $179.90 million, albeit showing a decrease of 23.37% compared to last year, which could affect future investment capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 indicates efficient cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly lower at 0.91, highlighting the need for improved cash flow management.
Breakdown
Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
352.11M369.72M356.93M341.15M164.38M
Gross Profit
215.67M229.10M225.04M246.57M110.89M
EBIT
213.50M294.27M246.19M220.68M182.89M
EBITDA
262.21M294.31M246.24M220.74M182.95M
Net Income Common Stockholders
197.55M211.95M207.28M168.63M151.68M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
26.81M32.21M38.16M42.23M28.58M
Total Assets
6.38B6.38B5.94B5.90B3.88B
Total Debt
2.03B2.20B1.81B1.81B1.25B
Net Debt
2.00B2.16B1.77B1.77B1.22B
Total Liabilities
2.22B2.40B1.98B1.98B1.35B
Stockholders Equity
4.16B3.97B3.96B3.92B2.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
174.02M234.80M227.68M192.62M67.02M
Operating Cash Flow
215.67M243.13M233.58M198.44M78.13M
Investing Cash Flow
45.19M-356.93M16.03M-470.55M-163.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-266.25M107.84M-253.68M285.75M101.15M

Frasers Centrepoint Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.27
Price Trends
50DMA
2.14
Positive
100DMA
2.10
Positive
200DMA
2.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
62.87
Neutral
STOCH
72.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:J69U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.22, above the 50-day MA of 2.14, and above the 200-day MA of 2.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:J69U.

Frasers Centrepoint Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$4.61B20.045.08%6.03%1.49%5.99%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:J69U
Frasers Centrepoint
2.27
0.23
11.49%
MAPGF
Mapletree Logistics
0.91
-0.05
-5.21%
SURVF
Suntec Real Estate Investment
0.87
0.10
12.99%
FRLOF
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.64
-0.12
-15.79%

Frasers Centrepoint Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.89%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong occupancy rates, successful asset enhancement initiatives, and positive rental reversions. However, concerns remain regarding high gearing levels and flat retail sales indices. Central Plaza's occupancy issues were noted but appear to be under control.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Occupancy Rates
Overall occupancy remains very healthy at 99.7%, with several malls achieving 100% occupancy.
Positive Retailer Sales and Footfall Trends
Retailer sales have increased, exceeding pre-COVID levels, and footfall is close to pre-COVID numbers.
Tampines 1 AEI Success
Tampines 1 Asset Enhancement Initiative (AEI) is on track to complete in September, achieving 100% occupancy and exceeding the target ROI of 8%.
Improved Financial Metrics
Average cost of debt has decreased from 4.3% in Q1 to 4.1% in Q3, with 57.2% of debt hedged to fixed rates.
Strong Rental Reversion
Rental reversions are on track to hit 7.5%, maintaining positive trends.
Negative Updates
High Gearing Ratio
Gearing is at 39.1%, attributed to drawdowns for CapEx and AEI at Tampines 1.
Flat Retail Sales Index
Retail Sales Index (RSI) for May is flat year-on-year, though the portfolio has seen an increase.
Central Plaza Occupancy Concerns
Concerns about occupancy dips at Central Plaza, with potential tenant downsizing or relocations.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Frasers Centrepoint, the management provided several key metrics and updates. Occupancy rates remained robust at 99.7% overall, with multiple malls achieving full occupancy. Shopper traffic showed a recovery, reaching 5% of pre-COVID levels, while tenant sales continued to surpass pre-COVID figures. The company's financial position included a gearing ratio of 39.1% and an average cost of debt of 4.1% for the quarter. The Tampines 1 AEI project was highlighted, with a projected ROI of 8% expected to be exceeded. Additionally, macroeconomic updates included a GDP growth of 0.9% in Q2, with core inflation moderating to 2.9%. Overall, the company expressed optimism in maintaining strong performance metrics and pursuing growth through both organic means and asset enhancement initiatives.

Frasers Centrepoint Corporate Events

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Issues Units for Management Fee
Apr 30, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Asset Management Ltd. announced the receipt of 686,457 units in Frasers Centrepoint Trust as part of the management fee for the first quarter of 2025. This payment in units reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with those of the trust’s stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning by increasing its unit holdings to 104,530,210 out of a total of 2,022,389,350 units issued.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Allocates S$421.3 Million from Equity Fund Raising
Apr 28, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Trust announced the utilization of approximately S$421.3 million raised through an equity fund raising initiative. The funds are earmarked for repaying existing debts and covering professional fees, with a portion allocated for future acquisitions, reflecting the company’s strategic financial management and growth ambitions.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Completes Preferential Offering to Bolster Growth
Apr 21, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Trust announced the results of its preferential offering, part of its equity fund raising initiative to raise gross proceeds of at least S$400 million. The offering involved the issuance of 98,185,673 new units to eligible unitholders on a pro-rata basis. This move is expected to strengthen the trust’s financial position and support its growth strategy, potentially impacting its market positioning and providing opportunities for stakeholders.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Launches Preferential Offering to Raise S$400 Million
Apr 8, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Trust has announced the launch of a preferential offering as part of its equity fund raising initiative, aiming to raise gross proceeds of no less than approximately S$400 million. The offering includes a discount on the issue price of the new units, which is set at S$2.050 per unit, representing a discount to the volume-weighted average price. This move is part of a broader strategy to acquire a 100% interest in North Gem Trust and its trustee-manager, which could potentially enhance the trust’s asset portfolio and financial performance.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Prices S$80 Million Green Notes for Sustainable Projects
Feb 24, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Trust has announced the pricing of S$80 million in green notes due 2032, under its S$3 billion multicurrency debt issuance programme. The proceeds will be used to finance or refinance eligible sustainable projects, enhancing the trust’s commitment to sustainability and potentially strengthening its market position in sustainable finance.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust Convenes Annual General Meeting
Feb 13, 2025

Frasers Centrepoint Trust held its Annual General Meeting on January 14, 2025, at the Intercontinental Singapore. The meeting was attended by unitholders, directors, executive officers, and representatives from HSBC and KPMG. This gathering was significant for discussing the management and future directions of Frasers Centrepoint Trust, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.