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CapitaLand Mall (SG:C38U)
SGX:C38U
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CapitaLand Mall (C38U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:C38U

CapitaLand Mall

(SGX:C38U)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
S$2.50
▲(6.38% Upside)
CapitaLand Mall's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, despite challenges in revenue growth and increased gearing. The valuation is fair with an attractive dividend yield, and technical indicators suggest stability. The most significant factors are the robust profitability and successful financing efforts, which support a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Profit Margins
CapitaLand Mall's strong profit margins indicate efficient cost management and operational effectiveness, supporting long-term profitability.
Successful Financing
Securing low-cost financing enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and growth opportunities.
Positive Retail Trends
Improving retail trends and rental reversions suggest strong tenant demand and potential for sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Increased Gearing
Higher gearing levels may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting future investment capacity.
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth could indicate challenges in market expansion and tenant acquisition, affecting long-term growth prospects.
Integrated Development Occupancy Decline
Occupancy declines in key developments may signal tenant retention challenges, potentially impacting revenue stability.

CapitaLand Mall (C38U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

CapitaLand Mall Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapitaLand Mall (C38U) is a leading retail real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Singapore. It focuses on the development and management of shopping malls across Asia, primarily in Singapore and China. The company operates a diversified portfolio of high-quality retail properties, catering to a wide range of consumers through various offerings including retail spaces, dining, and entertainment options. CapitaLand Mall aims to enhance the shopping experience through innovative retail concepts and strategic partnerships with brands and service providers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapitaLand Mall generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties. The company leases out retail spaces to various tenants, including local and international brands, which pay rent based on fixed leases or percentage rents tied to sales performance. Additionally, CapitaLand Mall benefits from service charges and management fees associated with property management and maintenance. The REIT also earns income through strategic partnerships with retailers and brands, enhancing the shopping experience and driving foot traffic to its malls. Seasonal events, promotions, and advertising within the properties further contribute to its revenue streams, making it a multifaceted income generator in the retail real estate sector.

CapitaLand Mall Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong operating and financial performance, successful financing, and positive trends in retail and international occupancy. However, it also noted challenges with increased gearing and some occupancy declines. The overall outlook remains cautiously optimistic with expectations of continued improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operating Performance Boost
Operating performance across office, retail, and AEI segments showed strong growth with a 1.5% increase in gross revenue and a 1.6% increase in NPI year-on-year.
Successful Financing
Completed $300 million in financing at a 2.25% rate, the lowest done by the REIT this year.
Positive Retail Trends
Retail sales experienced a significant rebound with a 7.8% rental reversion, slightly higher than 7.7% from the last quarter.
International Occupancy Improvements
Office occupancy improved in Germany and Australia, with Germany's occupancy increasing to 86% after leasing significant space.
Cost of Debt Reduction
Cost of debt fell from 3.3% to 3.17%, with expectations for further reductions in the coming year.
Negative Updates
Increased Gearing
Gearing increased to 39.2% due to advanced distribution related to EFR, a notable increase from previous quarters.
Integrated Development Occupancy Decline
Integrated development occupancy declined by 0.5% due to exits at Raffles City Tower and Funan.
Tampines Mall Temporary Vacancies
Upcoming temporary vacancies expected at Tampines Mall with Isetan closing, despite efforts to backfill with new tenants.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company's operating and financial performance was robust, with a 1.5% year-on-year increase in gross revenue and a 1.6% rise in net property income (NPI). The office and retail segments performed well, contributing to the overall growth. The company's gearing increased to 39.2%, primarily due to advanced distributions, while the cost of debt decreased slightly to 3.3%. Significant leasing activities in Germany and Australia improved office occupancy, although integrated development occupancy saw a slight decline. Retail sales experienced a 1% year-on-year growth, with rental reversions for retail and office segments showing improvements. The company secured $300 million in financing at a 2.25% interest rate, potentially the lowest this year, and is engaged in asset enhancement initiatives (AEI) across multiple projects.

CapitaLand Mall Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CapitaLand Mall demonstrates strong profitability with high profit margins and efficient cost management. However, challenges include a decline in revenue growth and free cash flow growth, along with a relatively low return on equity. The balance sheet is stable with balanced leverage.
Income Statement
75
Positive
CapitaLand Mall's income statement shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 58.86% and a robust EBIT margin of 81.39% for 2024. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 32.4% compared to the previous year, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation. Despite this, the company maintains solid gross and EBIT margins, reflecting efficient cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, showing a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is relatively low at 6.01%, suggesting limited profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio stands at 60.84%, indicating a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth by 4.83%, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, indicating adequate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 82.89%, reflecting efficient cash conversion from earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.58B1.59B1.56B1.44B1.31B745.21M
Gross Profit1.15B1.15B1.06B1.04B884.02M512.74M
EBITDA1.29B1.29B1.02B966.09M1.29B473.99M
Net Income968.42M933.68M862.57M723.37M1.08B349.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.57B25.51B24.74B24.67B22.74B22.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments169.92M156.36M140.70M248.40M365.13M183.62M
Total Debt8.84B8.97B9.50B9.61B8.19B8.73B
Total Liabilities9.81B9.79B10.34B10.39B9.05B9.35B
Stockholders Equity15.57B15.52B14.20B14.07B13.67B13.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow898.86M865.49M961.21M896.15M733.69M323.99M
Operating Cash Flow1.08B1.04B1.08B1.02B827.53M379.68M
Investing Cash Flow-546.83M-520.57M-38.88M-926.02M256.40M-922.41M
Financing Cash Flow-387.45M-507.98M-1.15B-214.25M-902.42M524.15M

CapitaLand Mall Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.35
Price Trends
50DMA
2.32
Positive
100DMA
2.24
Positive
200DMA
2.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
47.86
Neutral
STOCH
18.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:C38U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.38, above the 50-day MA of 2.32, and above the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:C38U.

CapitaLand Mall Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$3.58B15.795.16%6.43%1.47%-7.50%
$7.75B11.237.32%5.39%-6.34%49.60%
$18.26B17.706.41%5.24%0.17%8.05%
$4.91B21.364.49%5.18%10.82%-5.02%
$3.85B-0.32%4.85%0.01%-110.22%
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:C38U
CapitaLand Mall
2.35
0.41
20.88%
SG:HMN
Ascott Residence
0.95
0.10
12.43%
SG:J69U
Frasers Centrepoint
2.31
0.24
11.70%
SG:N2IU
Mapletree Commercial
1.48
0.26
21.11%
SG:T82U
Suntec Real Estate Investment
1.34
0.22
19.86%

CapitaLand Mall Corporate Events

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Issues S$300 Million Green Notes
Sep 25, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has announced the issuance of S$300 million in 2.25% fixed rate green notes due in September 2032. These notes, issued under the U.S.$7 billion Euro-Medium Term Note Programme, are guaranteed by HSBC Institutional Trust Services and have been rated ‘A3’ by Moody’s, indicating a stable credit outlook. This move is likely to enhance CICT’s financial flexibility and sustainability profile, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:C38U) stock is a Buy with a S$2.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand Mall stock, see the SG:C38U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Allocates Private Placement Proceeds for Strategic Initiatives
Sep 19, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, a significant player in the real estate investment trust sector in Singapore, announced the allocation of proceeds from a recent private placement. The company has used S$3.2 million for financing the acquisition of a 55% interest in Glory Office Trust, S$0.6 million for asset enhancement initiatives, and S$7.5 million for transaction-related expenses. Additionally, S$0.6 million initially allocated for acquisition and transaction expenses has been redirected towards asset enhancement, indicating a strategic focus on improving asset value.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:C38U) stock is a Buy with a S$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand Mall stock, see the SG:C38U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Issues Units for Acquisition Fee
Sep 12, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has announced the issuance of 3,844,078 units as payment for the acquisition fee related to its recent purchase of a 55% interest in Glory Office Trust. This transaction, classified as an ‘interested party transaction,’ mandates that the issued units cannot be sold for a year, highlighting CICT’s strategic move to consolidate its position in the commercial real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:C38U) stock is a Buy with a S$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand Mall stock, see the SG:C38U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Allocates S$600 Million from Private Placement
Aug 15, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has announced the allocation of approximately S$600 million raised from a private placement. The funds are being used to partially finance a proposed acquisition and for debt repayment and refinancing, as well as capital expenditures and asset enhancements. This strategic use of funds is expected to strengthen CICT’s financial position and enhance its asset portfolio, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by improving operational efficiencies and expanding its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:C38U) stock is a Hold with a S$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand Mall stock, see the SG:C38U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Announces New Company Secretaries
Aug 8, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Management Limited has announced a change in its company secretaries, appointing Mr. Hon Wei Seng and Mr. Lee Wei Hsiung to replace Ms. Lee Ju Lin, Audrey, and Ms. Tee Leng Li, effective from August 8, 2025. This change in leadership roles may impact the administrative operations of the trust, although it does not affect the trust’s investment strategies or market operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SG:C38U) stock is a Hold with a S$2.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CapitaLand Mall stock, see the SG:C38U Stock Forecast page.

CapitaLand Mall Trust’s Mixed Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

CapitaLand Mall Trust’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, highlighting both achievements and challenges. The company celebrated significant milestones such as a surge in distributable income, growth in distribution per unit (DPU), and a strategic acquisition of CapitaSpring. However, challenges such as a slight decline in gross revenue and flat tenant sales were also discussed. Despite these hurdles, proactive capital management and high occupancy rates were emphasized as strong positives, while challenges in retail spending and flat tenant sales were noted as areas of concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025