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CapitaLand Mall (SG:C38U)
SGX:C38U

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (C38U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG:C38U

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust

(SGX:C38U)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
S$2.50
▲(8.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/08/26
The score is driven by sound underlying financial performance (stable growth, strong profitability, positive free cash flow) and supportive technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). An attractive ~5% dividend helps, but a moderate P/E and noted risks from the earnings call—especially interest-rate sensitivity, higher 2025 debt, and development/execution uncertainties—cap the upside.
Positive Factors
High portfolio occupancy & WALE
Sustained high occupancy, multi-year WALE and positive rent reversions underpin predictable recurring rental cash flows and lower vacancy risk. This durable leasing profile supports steady distributable income, gives time to execute AEIs and reduces short-term earnings volatility.
Negative Factors
Rising total debt
Higher reported total debt in 2025 shrinks financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk. Increased leverage magnifies exposure to funding shocks, limits capacity to self‑fund large projects like Hougang, and can force reliance on external capital under stressed market conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High portfolio occupancy & WALE
Sustained high occupancy, multi-year WALE and positive rent reversions underpin predictable recurring rental cash flows and lower vacancy risk. This durable leasing profile supports steady distributable income, gives time to execute AEIs and reduces short-term earnings volatility.
Read all positive factors

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (C38U) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) is the first and largest real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (SGX-ST) with a market capitalisation of S$14.0 billion as at 31 December 2020. It d...
How the Company Makes Money
CapitaLand Mall generates revenue primarily through rental income from its retail properties. The company leases out retail spaces to various tenants, including local and international brands, which pay rent based on fixed leases or percentage ren...

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive performance picture: NPI, distributable income and DPU all grew, portfolio value and occupancy levels are strong, cost of debt has fallen and management has secured strategic transactions (Bukit Panjang divestment, Hougang development win) while advancing multiple AEIs. Headwinds remain — modest like‑for‑like revenue, a quarter‑specific dip in office occupancy, development execution risks, retail tenant churn, interest‑rate uncertainty and unresolved items like the ION tax matter — but management articulated mitigants (strong balance sheet, lower average debt cost, progressive AEI contribution and divestment proceeds) and a measured outlook. Overall, positives materially outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Net Property Income (NPI) Growth
Full-year NPI rose 3.1% year‑on‑year to $1,189.7 million; second-half NPI accelerated, up 6.8% y/y to ~ $610 million, driven by strong asset performance and the step‑up acquisition of CapitaSpring.
Negative Updates
Modest Like‑for‑Like Revenue Growth
Like‑for‑like revenue growth was modest at ~1.4% y/y, which contrasts with stronger rent reversion figures and raises questions about underlying organic momentum excluding large portfolio changes (e.g., ION).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Net Property Income (NPI) Growth
Full-year NPI rose 3.1% year‑on‑year to $1,189.7 million; second-half NPI accelerated, up 6.8% y/y to ~ $610 million, driven by strong asset performance and the step‑up acquisition of CapitaSpring.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management gave cautious but constructive 2026 guidance: they expect average cost of debt around 3.0–3.1% (group average cost of debt was 3.2% at end‑2025, down from 3.6% a year earlier), mid‑single‑digit rent reversions (management said mid‑singles for retail and office), continued organic growth from positive rental reversions plus AEI contributions (Gallileo to fully contribute in 2026; AEIs at Tampines, Lot One, Raffles City and a Capital Tower uplift running through 2026–27), and full‑year contribution from CapitaSpring (acquired Aug 2025) and interest‑cost tailwinds as floating rates ease; FY25 metrics referenced as context were NPI $1,189.7m (+3.1% YoY; H2 $610m, +6.8% YoY), distributable income +14.4% (H2 +16.4%), DPU $0.1158 (+6.4% YoY; H2 $0.0596, +9.4% YoY), aggregate leverage 38.6% (pro forma 37.6% after Bukit Panjang $428m divestment), portfolio value $27.4bn (+5.2%), occupancy 96.9%, WALE 3.0 years, rent reversion 6.6%, tenant sales/ft2 +14.9% YoY (ex‑ION +1.2% YoY; H2 ex‑ION +1.9%), shopper traffic +20.5% YoY (ex‑ION +4.6%), and they flagged a new Hougang development (~$1.1bn, ≈$3,600/psf, yield on cost >5%, 4–5 year build) as accretive while keeping balance‑sheet headroom.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are solid overall: steady revenue growth and strong profitability with consistently positive free cash flow. Offsets include softer margins in 2025, operating cash flow coverage below net income, and higher debt in 2025 that reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.64B1.59B1.56B1.44B1.31B
Gross Profit1.10B1.15B1.06B1.04B884.02M
EBITDA1.07B1.29B1.02B966.09M1.29B
Net Income937.29M933.68M862.57M723.37M1.08B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.43B25.51B24.74B24.67B22.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments149.49M156.36M140.70M248.40M365.13M
Total Debt10.01B8.97B9.50B9.61B8.19B
Total Liabilities10.94B9.79B10.34B10.39B9.05B
Stockholders Equity16.29B15.52B14.20B14.07B13.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow867.64M865.49M961.21M896.15M733.69M
Operating Cash Flow868.22M1.04B1.08B1.02B827.53M
Investing Cash Flow-742.21M-520.57M-38.88M-926.02M256.40M
Financing Cash Flow-132.88M-507.98M-1.15B-214.25M-902.42M

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.38
Negative
100DMA
2.34
Negative
200DMA
2.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
36.32
Neutral
STOCH
12.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:C38U, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, below the 50-day MA of 2.38, and above the 200-day MA of 2.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:C38U.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
S$17.54B18.935.88%5.26%0.17%8.05%
70
Outperform
S$3.44B11.135.06%6.46%1.47%-7.50%
68
Neutral
S$6.92B21.597.29%5.50%-6.34%49.60%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
S$4.44B22.234.49%5.29%10.82%-5.02%
62
Neutral
S$4.40B-0.08%4.55%0.01%-110.22%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:C38U
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust
2.30
0.30
15.17%
SG:HMN
Ascott Residence
0.90
0.08
9.82%
SG:J69U
Frasers Centrepoint
2.18
0.12
5.88%
SG:N2IU
Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust
1.31
0.13
11.21%
SG:T82U
Suntec Real Estate Investment
1.49
0.37
33.39%

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Corporate Events

CICT Wins S$1.5 Billion Hougang Central Mixed-Use Site to Boost Singapore Portfolio
Jan 14, 2026
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has secured, via a consortium structure, the tender for a new 99-year mixed-use commercial and residential site at Hougang Central from Singapore’s Housing and Development Board for approximately S$1.5 ...
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Leads $1.5 Billion Bid for Hougang Central Site
Dec 16, 2025
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, as part of a consortium, has submitted the highest bid of approximately $1.5 billion for a mixed-use commercial and residential site at Hougang Central, Singapore. The development will integrate with local t...
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Issues Units for Management Fee
Nov 17, 2025
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Management Limited has announced the issuance of 2,955,400 units in CICT to Premier Healthcare Services International Pte Ltd as part of the management fee payment. This issuance represents 50% of the base co...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026