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Railcare Group AB (SE:RAIL)
:RAIL
Sweden Market

Railcare Group AB (RAIL) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:RAIL

Railcare Group AB

(RAIL)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
kr28.00
▼(-3.28% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back mainly by rising leverage and margin compression despite strong revenue growth and improving free cash flow. Technical signals are mixed-to-soft, while valuation is moderately supportive due to a reasonable P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Railcare's multi-year top-line expansion, capped by a large step-up in 2025, signals expanding market share and stronger project flow. For 2–6 months this underpins backlog visibility and bargaining power on framework contracts, supporting stable volumes and scale economics.
Negative Factors
Rapidly Rising Leverage
A sharp rise in nominal debt and debt-to-equity to ~3.0x materially raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Over the medium term this constrains capital allocation, increases earnings volatility sensitivity, and can limit bidding on new contracts requiring balance-sheet strength.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Railcare's multi-year top-line expansion, capped by a large step-up in 2025, signals expanding market share and stronger project flow. For 2–6 months this underpins backlog visibility and bargaining power on framework contracts, supporting stable volumes and scale economics.
Read all positive factors

Railcare Group AB (RAIL) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Railcare Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Railcare Group AB (publ) provides railway maintenance services primarily in the Nordic region and the United Kingdom. The company offers maintenance services for railway re-ballasting beneath tracks and switches; special transport services, includ...
How the Company Makes Money
Railcare makes money by selling contracted services and project-based work primarily to customers that need rail infrastructure maintained, renewed, or supported with specialized rail equipment and operations. Key revenue streams include: (1) Infr...

Railcare Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and improving, consistently positive free cash flow support the score, but sharp margin compression and a material rise in leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.0x in 2025) meaningfully increase financial risk.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue667.57M635.30M564.22M497.04M437.94M
Gross Profit63.33M71.10M154.81M126.87M114.25M
EBITDA200.75M168.43M112.01M93.56M107.51M
Net Income39.81M30.39M43.62M36.78M40.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.16B1.04B643.02M592.87M557.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments66.30M61.69M39.43M31.98M38.56M
Total Debt943.36M591.82M208.07M218.06M217.72M
Total Liabilities846.25M757.30M368.90M348.78M336.81M
Stockholders Equity310.83M286.47M274.12M244.09M221.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow125.40M85.44M41.91M14.12M57.06M
Operating Cash Flow166.93M151.72M102.28M67.40M100.24M
Investing Cash Flow-46.95M-87.48M-60.72M-53.16M-38.88M
Financing Cash Flow-115.30M-42.10M-34.26M-21.21M-47.90M

Railcare Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.95
Price Trends
50DMA
29.54
Negative
100DMA
29.10
Negative
200DMA
27.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
39.36
Neutral
STOCH
49.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:RAIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.05, below the 50-day MA of 29.54, and above the 200-day MA of 27.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:RAIL.

Railcare Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
kr2.24B20.288.53%-0.37%-39.70%
55
Neutral
kr663.41M17.422.45%4.27%-3.28%
50
Neutral
kr666.82M28.322.34%4.24%29.69%
48
Neutral
kr1.31B58.960.72%-6.38%
42
Neutral
kr221.63M-2.890.35%10.36%-100.68%
42
Neutral
kr388.62M-0.77-73.61%-0.02%-50.72%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:RAIL
Railcare Group AB
27.50
1.32
5.04%
SE:TRANS
Transtema Group AB
5.16
-8.76
-62.93%
SE:GREEN
Green Landscaping Group AB
39.75
-25.65
-39.22%
SE:ELTEL
Eltel AB
8.36
0.86
11.47%
SE:NORB.B
Nordisk Bergteknik AB Class B
11.65
0.55
4.95%
SE:WBGR.B
Wastbygg Gruppen AB Class B
1.91
-2.86
-60.02%

Railcare Group AB Corporate Events

Railcare CEO to Present 2025 Year-End Results Amid Strong Rail Market Tailwinds
Feb 12, 2026
Railcare Group AB, a Scandinavian and UK-focused railway specialist offering maintenance services, locomotive workshop operations, special transport and machine sales, is positioning itself within a rail sector supported by growing traffic volumes...
Railcare Posts Stable 2025, Exits UK as Swedish Rail Contracts Deepen
Feb 12, 2026
Railcare Group AB, a specialist in rail infrastructure maintenance, focuses on drainage measures, culvert relining and clearance locomotive services for rail networks, chiefly in Sweden. Using UV-cured glass-fibre-reinforced liners to renovate cul...
Railcare to Wind Down UK Operations Amid Declining Contract Volumes
Feb 11, 2026
Railcare Group AB, a specialist in railway maintenance and related services, focuses on delivering sustainable and efficient rail solutions in Scandinavia and the UK using proprietary machinery and workshops. The company aims to support long-term ...
Railcare Wins SEK 45 Million Extension for Swedish Standby Locomotive Contract
Jan 20, 2026
Railcare Group AB has secured a one-year extension, worth SEK 45 million, to its existing four-year contract with the Swedish Transport Administration for standby locomotives at four key locations in northern Sweden, prolonging the agreement until...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026