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Nobia AB (SE:NOBI)
:NOBI

Nobia AB (NOBI) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:NOBI

Nobia AB

(NOBI)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
kr4.00
▼(-7.83% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (shrinking revenue, deeply negative profitability, and rising leverage). Technicals add further pressure with price below key moving averages, though oversold readings provide a modest offset. Valuation is difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield data provided.
Positive Factors
Diversified European market position
Nobia's multi-brand European footprint and mix of direct-to-consumer, retail and wholesale channels provide durable revenue diversification. This structural distribution reduces single-market exposure, supports scale in procurement and design, and helps absorb regional demand swings over months.
Stable gross margins
Relatively steady mid-to-high 30% gross margins indicate underlying product economics and pricing power in kitchen furnishings. Persisting gross profitability provides a foundation for recovery of operating results if fixed costs are realigned and volume declines stabilize over the medium term.
Positive recent operating and free cash flow
Modestly positive trailing operating and free cash flow show the business can generate cash despite reported losses, giving management runway to execute restructuring or deleveraging. Sustained cash generation is critical for funding operations and reducing reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Shrinking revenue trend
Near-double-digit revenue decline signals weakening demand or market share loss; persistent top-line contraction undermines fixed-cost absorption and scale advantages. Continued shrinkage would pressure margins, cash generation and the ability to invest in product and distribution over the coming months.
Deeply negative profitability
A large trailing net loss and negative returns indicate core earnings failure to cover costs. Prolonged losses erode equity, limit reinvestment, and raise restructuring risk. Restoring sustainable EBIT will be required to rebuild balance-sheet strength and investor confidence over time.
Rising leverage and weakened equity
Leverage roughly doubling to ~2.4x increases interest and covenant risk and reduces financial flexibility. With equity eroding from losses, higher debt amplifies downside in a cyclical sector, constraining capital allocation and making refinancing or margin recovery more urgent and challenging.

Nobia AB (NOBI) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Nobia AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNobia AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells kitchen solutions to consumer and professional customers. The company offers cabinets, drawers, fronts, panels, bases, cabinet fixtures, worktops, sinks, mixer taps, appliances, kitchen fans, handles, and others. It sells its products under various brands, including A la Carte, Bribus, Commodore & CIE, ewe, FM, Gower, HTH, INTUO, Invita, Magnet, Marbodal, Norema, Petra, Rixonway Kitchens, Sigdal, and uno form brands. The company sells its products through approximately 225 own stores; and a network of 168 franchise stores and 1,400 retail stores, including furniture stores, builders' merchants, DIY stores, and independent kitchen specialists. It also provides installation services for kitchen products. In addition, the company exports its products. It serves in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, and internationally. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyNobia generates revenue primarily through the sale of kitchen and bathroom products, which includes a variety of cabinets, worktops, sinks, and kitchen appliances. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model as well as partnerships with retailers and builders, which expands its distribution channels. Key revenue streams include retail sales from their branded stores and online platforms, alongside wholesale sales to professional contractors and builders. Additionally, Nobia benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers that enhance its product offerings and competitive positioning in the market.

Nobia AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals dominate: revenue has been shrinking and profitability has turned deeply negative (large TTM net loss), which is also eroding equity and lifting leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.4x in TTM). Cash flow is a partial offset with modestly positive TTM free cash flow, but the gap versus reported losses and prior volatility keeps financial risk elevated.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Profitability has deteriorated meaningfully. Revenue has been shrinking in recent years, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) down sharply versus the prior period and margins turning deeply negative (EBIT and net margin). While gross margin has remained relatively steady in the mid-to-high 30% range, operating losses and a very large TTM net loss indicate weak cost absorption and/or elevated restructuring/other charges. The main positive is that gross profitability has not collapsed, but the earnings profile is currently very pressured.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage has increased and equity has eroded. Total debt remains high and the debt-to-equity position has worsened from around ~1.1–1.3x in 2023–2024 to ~2.4x in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), reflecting a weaker capital base. Returns on equity are negative across the last several periods, and the steeply negative TTM figure aligns with the large loss. A key strength is that the company still maintains positive equity, but the trajectory suggests higher balance-sheet risk until profitability stabilizes.
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed but showing some resilience in the most recent period. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive and free cash flow is modestly positive, a notable improvement versus 2023–2024 when free cash flow was negative. However, cash flow quality remains a concern: operating cash flow is small relative to the scale of reported losses in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and free cash flow has been volatile year-to-year. The positive is improved near-term cash flow, but sustainability is not yet proven.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.99B10.54B13.37B14.93B13.72B12.74B
Gross Profit3.71B3.84B4.64B5.36B5.28B4.44B
EBITDA-1.27B-49.00M723.00M926.00M1.81B1.28B
Net Income-2.99B-1.34B-347.00M-2.00M706.00M253.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.88B12.30B13.62B12.77B10.63B10.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00270.00M412.00M340.00M422.00M635.00M
Total Debt4.94B4.97B5.45B3.94B2.21B2.47B
Total Liabilities7.80B7.97B9.29B8.06B5.71B6.05B
Stockholders Equity2.07B4.32B4.33B4.71B4.92B4.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow93.00M-677.00M-827.00M-765.00M648.00M1.76B
Operating Cash Flow651.00M210.00M890.00M919.00M1.54B2.07B
Investing Cash Flow-318.00M727.00M-1.68B-1.72B-868.00M-253.00M
Financing Cash Flow-473.00M-1.04B868.00M658.00M-932.00M-1.42B

Nobia AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.34
Price Trends
50DMA
4.05
Negative
100DMA
4.23
Negative
200DMA
4.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
45.96
Neutral
STOCH
66.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NOBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.07, above the 50-day MA of 4.05, and above the 200-day MA of 4.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NOBI.

Nobia AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr7.16B23.4523.71%2.02%6.44%0.49%
69
Neutral
kr1.51B17.4323.44%4.95%9.20%11.72%
63
Neutral
kr175.09M31.266.37%3.38%2.88%-51.00%
61
Neutral
kr3.54B18.517.24%1.40%4.04%433.33%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
47
Neutral
kr541.42M-4.56-11.15%-17.48%20.08%
41
Neutral
kr2.62B-0.87-83.34%-9.81%-200.79%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:NOBI
Nobia AB
3.89
-0.52
-11.83%
SE:BOAT
Nimbus Group AB
12.45
-4.90
-28.24%
SE:SODER
Soder Sportfiske AB
21.40
-9.03
-29.68%
SE:RVRC
RVRC Holding AB
66.90
18.63
38.60%
SE:BMAX
Byggmax Group AB
60.10
10.95
22.28%
SE:BORG
Bjorn Borg AB
60.40
7.59
14.38%

Nobia AB Corporate Events

Nobia to Present 2025 Year-End Results on 5 February
Jan 21, 2026

Nobia has announced that it will publish its year-end report for 2025 on Thursday, 5 February at 08:30 CET, providing investors and other stakeholders with an update on the company’s financial performance and operational development. On the same day at 10:00 CET, President and CEO Kristoffer Ljungfelt and interim CFO Robert Belkic will hold a webcast and telephone conference to present the results and answer questions, with presentation materials made available on the company’s investor relations website to facilitate broader access and transparency for the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Calls Extraordinary General Meeting to Reshape Capital Structure
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia AB has convened an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for 18 February 2026 in Stockholm, calling on shareholders registered with Euroclear Sweden by 10 February and duly notified by 12 February to participate, either in person or via proxy. The key agenda item is a set of proposed amendments to the articles of association and related measures enabling a reduction of the company’s share capital without redeeming shares, as well as new share issues with preferential rights for existing shareholders and a potential bonus issue, signalling an upcoming restructuring of the capital structure that could affect ownership dynamics and future financing options for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Sheds UK Unit to Refocus on Higher-Margin Nordic Kitchen Business
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia AB has agreed to divest its loss-making UK operations, including the Magnet, Gower, Commodore and CIE brands, to funds managed by Alteri Partners, in a move that sharpens its strategic focus on core Nordic markets where it enjoys stronger brands, higher structural margins and a production base centred on Nobia Park. The sale, for which no upfront purchase price is due as the buyer assumes substantial lease liabilities, will see the UK business reclassified as discontinued operations and trigger a non-cash impairment of around SEK 750m and about SEK 100m in items affecting comparability in the fourth quarter of 2025, while accompanying restructuring is expected to deliver annualised cost savings of roughly SEK 80m from the third quarter of 2026; pro forma figures highlight that the remaining Nordic-focused business has historically generated significantly higher EBIT margins, underscoring management’s aim to improve profitability and streamline operations after the transaction closes in the first half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Launches SEK 1.5 Billion Rights Issue and Reshapes Financing to Bolster Nordic Focus
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia’s board has approved a fully guaranteed rights issue of approximately SEK 1.5 billion and secured a commitment to amend and extend its SEK 3.45 billion revolving credit facilities, strengthening the group’s balance sheet and long‑term liquidity. The move, backed by major shareholders Nordstjernan, If Skadeförsäkring and AP4, is intended to provide the financial flexibility to execute Nobia’s strategy of focusing on its core Nordic markets, underpinned by its automated Jönköping factory, and follows an agreement to divest its UK operations, underscoring a strategic shift toward consolidating its position as the leading kitchen specialist in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Announces SEK 1.9 Billion Impairment Amid UK Market Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Nobia AB has announced a SEK 1.9 billion non-cash impairment of its UK operations, primarily affecting intangible assets, due to prolonged weak market conditions and slow financial recovery. Despite these challenges, the company reported an improved adjusted operating profit for the third quarter, with net sales slightly declining. The strategic shift towards an asset-light model continues, with further reviews of the UK business underway, indicating ongoing efforts to stabilize and enhance its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026