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Nobia AB (SE:NOBI)
:NOBI

Nobia AB (NOBI) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:NOBI

Nobia AB

(NOBI)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
kr2.50
▼(-42.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, sustained losses, and persistent negative free cash flow alongside reduced equity cushion). Technicals add further pressure with a broadly bearish trend and negative MACD. Valuation provides little support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Vertical integration & multi‑channel sales
Nobia’s vertical integration and multi-route sales (showrooms, direct retail and professional channels) gives the company structural control over production, procurement and margin capture. That durable setup supports margin resilience, supply flexibility and cost control over quarters.
Positive operating cash flow history
Operating cash flow remaining positive across years indicates a core business that still generates cash from operations despite reported losses. This persistent operational cash generation provides management time and financial buffer to implement restructuring or operational fixes without immediate insolvency risk.
Brand & showroom footprint across Europe
A diversified portfolio of kitchen brands and an established showroom/store network across multiple European markets create durable customer access and channel diversification. This structural presence supports customer acquisition, repeat business and scale advantages in sourcing and distribution over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue decline & sustained losses
Material revenue declines followed by sustained losses indicate loss of scale and weakening demand or pricing power. Over multiple quarters this erodes fixed-cost absorption, undermines margins and makes it harder to restore profitability without structural changes to pricing, cost base or product mix.
Persistent negative free cash flow
Ongoing negative free cash flow signals that investments and other outlays exceed cash generated from operations after capex, creating a structural funding gap. Over 2–6 months this raises refinancing and liquidity risk and constrains the company's ability to invest in growth or execute a meaningful turnaround without external capital.
Weakened balance-sheet & high leverage
A sharply reduced equity cushion combined with elevated debt materially weakens financial flexibility. This higher leverage increases refinancing risk and limits capacity to absorb further adverse results or fund strategic initiatives, heightening the structural risk profile over the medium term.

Nobia AB (NOBI) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Nobia AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNobia AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells kitchen solutions to consumer and professional customers. The company offers cabinets, drawers, fronts, panels, bases, cabinet fixtures, worktops, sinks, mixer taps, appliances, kitchen fans, handles, and others. It sells its products under various brands, including A la Carte, Bribus, Commodore & CIE, ewe, FM, Gower, HTH, INTUO, Invita, Magnet, Marbodal, Norema, Petra, Rixonway Kitchens, Sigdal, and uno form brands. The company sells its products through approximately 225 own stores; and a network of 168 franchise stores and 1,400 retail stores, including furniture stores, builders' merchants, DIY stores, and independent kitchen specialists. It also provides installation services for kitchen products. In addition, the company exports its products. It serves in Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland, the United Kingdom, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, and internationally. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyNobia generates revenue primarily through the sale of kitchen and bathroom products, which includes a variety of cabinets, worktops, sinks, and kitchen appliances. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model as well as partnerships with retailers and builders, which expands its distribution channels. Key revenue streams include retail sales from their branded stores and online platforms, alongside wholesale sales to professional contractors and builders. Additionally, Nobia benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers that enhance its product offerings and competitive positioning in the market.

Nobia AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is very weak: revenue fell materially in 2024 and collapsed further in 2025, profitability shifted to sustained losses (2023–2025), and free cash flow has been negative since 2022 with a particularly weak 2024–2025. Balance-sheet flexibility also deteriorated as equity dropped sharply by 2025 while debt remains high.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Performance has deteriorated sharply. Annual revenue fell materially in 2024 and then collapsed further in 2025, and profitability swung from modestly positive in 2020–2021 to sustained losses thereafter. While gross profit remained sizable, operating results were negative in 2023–2025 and net losses expanded significantly in 2024–2025, indicating weak cost absorption and/or heavy charges. The key strength is a history of profitable years earlier in the period, but the recent trajectory is decisively negative with poor margins and declining scale.
Balance Sheet
27
Negative
Leverage has become a more visible risk. Total debt remains high and, after relatively healthier capitalization in 2020–2022, equity dropped sharply by 2025, leaving a much thinner buffer against continued losses. Total assets also stepped down meaningfully in 2025, consistent with balance-sheet contraction. The main positives are that the company previously carried more robust equity (2021–2024) and debt levels were not always excessive, but the latest year shows reduced financial flexibility and higher balance-sheet stress.
Cash Flow
24
Negative
Cash generation is mixed and weakening. Operating cash flow stayed positive each year, but it has fallen markedly from strong levels in 2020–2023 to much lower levels in 2024–2025. Free cash flow turned negative in 2022 and remained negative through 2025, with a particularly weak 2024–2025 profile, implying ongoing cash burn after investment and/or restructuring cash costs. A key strength is continued positive operating cash flow, but persistent negative free cash flow raises funding risk if conditions do not improve.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.62B10.54B13.37B14.93B13.72B
Gross Profit1.90B3.84B4.64B5.36B5.28B
EBITDA479.00M-49.00M723.00M926.00M1.81B
Net Income-2.97B-1.34B-347.00M-2.00M706.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.04B12.30B13.62B12.77B10.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.00M270.00M412.00M340.00M422.00M
Total Debt5.79B4.97B5.45B3.94B2.21B
Total Liabilities8.09B7.97B9.29B8.06B5.71B
Stockholders Equity947.00M4.32B4.33B4.71B4.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-345.00M-677.00M-827.00M-765.00M648.00M
Operating Cash Flow154.00M210.00M890.00M919.00M1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-420.00M727.00M-1.68B-1.72B-868.00M
Financing Cash Flow8.00M-1.04B868.00M658.00M-932.00M

Nobia AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.34
Price Trends
50DMA
2.81
Negative
100DMA
2.87
Negative
200DMA
3.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
39.88
Neutral
STOCH
9.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NOBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.61, above the 50-day MA of 2.81, and above the 200-day MA of 3.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NOBI.

Nobia AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
kr6.85B22.1223.71%2.02%6.44%0.49%
70
Outperform
kr1.61B17.4823.44%4.95%9.20%11.72%
62
Neutral
kr181.01M23.186.37%3.38%2.88%-51.00%
61
Neutral
kr3.54B18.517.24%1.40%4.04%433.33%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
46
Neutral
kr579.78M-3.45-11.15%-17.48%20.08%
42
Neutral
kr3.61B-0.91-83.34%-9.81%-200.79%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:NOBI
Nobia AB
2.38
-0.67
-21.89%
SE:BOAT
Nimbus Group AB
13.60
-3.25
-19.29%
SE:SODER
Soder Sportfiske AB
21.40
-7.87
-26.89%
SE:RVRC
RVRC Holding AB
63.85
18.28
40.12%
SE:BMAX
Byggmax Group AB
60.30
11.74
24.18%
SE:BORG
Bjorn Borg AB
64.00
13.02
25.54%

Nobia AB Corporate Events

Nobia Completes Divestment of UK Operations to Refocus on Nordic Core
Mar 2, 2026

Nobia AB has completed the divestment of its UK operations, including brands Magnet, Gower, Commodore and CIE, to funds managed by Alteri Partners LLP, sharpening its strategic focus on the Nordic markets where it holds strong positions and structurally higher margins. Under the deal, no upfront purchase price is paid, but the buyer assumes lease-related liabilities of SEK 746 million while Nobia retains a UK defined benefit pension plan valued at SEK 80 million, with the possibility of contingent consideration depending on the buyer’s future turnaround performance in the UK business.

The transaction is intended to allow Nobia to concentrate resources on its core Nordic operations and modern production facility at Nobia Park, aiming to leverage its strong regional brands to capture additional market share. For stakeholders, the shift reduces Nobia’s balance sheet exposure to UK lease liabilities while potentially preserving upside through performance-based consideration, aligning the company more closely with its higher-margin home markets and simplifying its geographic footprint.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Sell with a SEK2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Publishes Disclosure Document for SEK 1.5 Billion Fully Guaranteed Rights Issue
Feb 19, 2026

Nobia AB has published a disclosure document for its fully guaranteed rights issue of approximately SEK 1.5 billion, offering preferential subscription rights to existing shareholders to strengthen its capital base. The document has been registered with the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority and made available on the company’s website, outlining the terms prepared under the EU Prospectus Regulation.

The rights issue will follow a set timetable, with record, trading and subscription periods running from late February to mid‑March 2026, and the outcome expected to be announced around 17 March 2026. Handelsbanken and Nordea serve as financial advisors and bookrunners, while White & Case acts as legal advisor, underscoring the transaction’s significance for Nobia’s financing and future operations in the Nordic kitchen market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Sell with a SEK3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Shareholders Approve SEK 1.5 Billion Rights Issue and Capital Restructuring
Feb 18, 2026

Nobia AB’s extraordinary general meeting in Stockholm approved a previously announced rights issue of up to SEK 1.5 billion, giving existing shareholders preferential rights to subscribe for new shares at SEK 1.78 each between 24 February and 11 March 2026. To facilitate the capital raise, shareholders also backed amendments to the company’s articles of association to expand permitted share capital and share-count limits.

The meeting further resolved on a technical reduction of share capital to lower the quota value per share, followed by a bonus issue that restores capital levels without issuing new shares. Once the rights issue and these balance-sheet measures are completed, Nobia’s share capital will rise to about SEK 233.4 million, a restructuring aimed at providing financial flexibility while preserving overall equity for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Sell with a SEK3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Sets Final Terms for Fully Guaranteed Rights Issue to Fund Refinancing
Feb 11, 2026

Nobia AB has set the final terms for a fully guaranteed rights issue aimed at reinforcing its capital structure and securing long-term financing. The issue will strengthen Nobia’s ability to execute its strategy and maintain its position as a leading kitchen specialist in the Nordic region.

The rights issue will comprise up to 841,264,105 new shares at a subscription price of SEK 1.78, potentially raising about SEK 1.5 billion before costs. Major shareholders representing roughly 45 percent of capital and votes have committed to subscribe pro rata, while additional guarantees from Nordstjernan and If Skadeförsäkring ensure full coverage and support a parallel refinancing of Nobia’s existing credit facilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Sell with a SEK3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Tightens Focus on Nordics as Losses Deepen and Rights Issue Announced
Feb 5, 2026

In its 2025 year-end report, Nobia posted essentially flat fourth-quarter net sales of SEK 1,400m from continuing operations, with an organic sales increase of 3% but a swing to an operating loss of SEK 50m due to items affecting comparability tied to cost-cutting after the planned UK divestment. Adjusted operating profit improved to SEK 72m and adjusted gross margin rose to 37.3%, yet total operations recorded a net loss of SEK 1,104m and negative operating cash flow, prompting the Board to propose no dividend and to launch a fully underwritten SEK 1.5bn rights issue, extend credit facilities, and implement further cost-reduction measures as it exits the UK market and restructures around its Nordic core.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia to Present 2025 Year-End Results on 5 February
Jan 21, 2026

Nobia has announced that it will publish its year-end report for 2025 on Thursday, 5 February at 08:30 CET, providing investors and other stakeholders with an update on the company’s financial performance and operational development. On the same day at 10:00 CET, President and CEO Kristoffer Ljungfelt and interim CFO Robert Belkic will hold a webcast and telephone conference to present the results and answer questions, with presentation materials made available on the company’s investor relations website to facilitate broader access and transparency for the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Calls Extraordinary General Meeting to Reshape Capital Structure
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia AB has convened an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for 18 February 2026 in Stockholm, calling on shareholders registered with Euroclear Sweden by 10 February and duly notified by 12 February to participate, either in person or via proxy. The key agenda item is a set of proposed amendments to the articles of association and related measures enabling a reduction of the company’s share capital without redeeming shares, as well as new share issues with preferential rights for existing shareholders and a potential bonus issue, signalling an upcoming restructuring of the capital structure that could affect ownership dynamics and future financing options for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Sheds UK Unit to Refocus on Higher-Margin Nordic Kitchen Business
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia AB has agreed to divest its loss-making UK operations, including the Magnet, Gower, Commodore and CIE brands, to funds managed by Alteri Partners, in a move that sharpens its strategic focus on core Nordic markets where it enjoys stronger brands, higher structural margins and a production base centred on Nobia Park. The sale, for which no upfront purchase price is due as the buyer assumes substantial lease liabilities, will see the UK business reclassified as discontinued operations and trigger a non-cash impairment of around SEK 750m and about SEK 100m in items affecting comparability in the fourth quarter of 2025, while accompanying restructuring is expected to deliver annualised cost savings of roughly SEK 80m from the third quarter of 2026; pro forma figures highlight that the remaining Nordic-focused business has historically generated significantly higher EBIT margins, underscoring management’s aim to improve profitability and streamline operations after the transaction closes in the first half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Nobia Launches SEK 1.5 Billion Rights Issue and Reshapes Financing to Bolster Nordic Focus
Jan 14, 2026

Nobia’s board has approved a fully guaranteed rights issue of approximately SEK 1.5 billion and secured a commitment to amend and extend its SEK 3.45 billion revolving credit facilities, strengthening the group’s balance sheet and long‑term liquidity. The move, backed by major shareholders Nordstjernan, If Skadeförsäkring and AP4, is intended to provide the financial flexibility to execute Nobia’s strategy of focusing on its core Nordic markets, underpinned by its automated Jönköping factory, and follows an agreement to divest its UK operations, underscoring a strategic shift toward consolidating its position as the leading kitchen specialist in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:NOBI) stock is a Hold with a SEK5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nobia AB stock, see the SE:NOBI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026