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Modelon AB
(MODEL)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
kr7.50
▼(-34.78% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/01/26
The score is mainly driven by weak financial performance—multi-year losses, negative gross profit, and sustained cash burn—partly offset by the no-debt balance sheet. Technicals are mixed with modest near-term strength but negative MACD and a longer-term downtrend versus the 200DMA. Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
No Debt / Low Leverage
A debt-free balance sheet is a durable financial strength: it lowers fixed interest obligations, reduces insolvency risk in downturns, and gives management optionality to prioritize product investment or M&A. Over 2–6 months this provides resilience while the company addresses profitability.
Negative Factors
Negative Gross Profit & Multi-year Losses
Negative gross profit across multiple years signals that core unit economics are broken: revenues do not cover direct product costs. This is a structural deficit requiring product, pricing, or cost-model changes to restore sustainable margins and long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
No Debt / Low Leverage
A debt-free balance sheet is a durable financial strength: it lowers fixed interest obligations, reduces insolvency risk in downturns, and gives management optionality to prioritize product investment or M&A. Over 2–6 months this provides resilience while the company addresses profitability.
Read all positive factors
Modelon AB (MODEL) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)
Market Cap
kr173.13M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.24
Revenue Growth-22.43%
EPS Growth50.19%
CountrySE
Employees75
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.93
Shares Outstanding18,224,707
10 Day Avg. Volume210
30 Day Avg. Volume1,002
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.13
Price to Book (P/B)5.80
Price to Sales (P/S)2.70
P/FCF Ratio-5.12
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)kr80.00M
Modelon AB Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Modelon AB (publ), an international entity with roots in Sweden, specializes in providing sophisticated software solutions for system modeling and simulation. Its premier offering is Modelon Impact, an innovative, cloud-native platform for system ...
How the Company Makes Money
Modelon makes money primarily by licensing its modeling and simulation software to customers and by providing associated services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Software license revenue, earned from selling time-based subscriptions an...
Modelon AB Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 47.90M | 71.50M | 83.61M | 79.00M | 67.58M | 68.85M |
| Gross Profit | -16.30M | -27.80M | -19.72M | -7.27M | -13.92M | -2.48M |
| EBITDA | -15.80M | -27.00M | -58.52M | -54.16M | -63.54M | -38.32M |
| Net Income | -16.70M | -32.60M | -59.45M | -55.60M | -64.83M | -28.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 68.90M | 79.10M | 120.96M | 105.21M | 160.26M | 212.65M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 39.80M | 42.10M | 62.63M | 58.99M | 111.86M | 169.40M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 43.80M | 45.80M | 74.45M | 51.31M | 50.43M | 39.55M |
| Stockholders Equity | 25.10M | 33.30M | 46.51M | 53.89M | 109.83M | 173.11M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -11.10M | -37.69M | -48.12M | -52.49M | -58.33M | -19.49M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -27.90M | -37.50M | -47.68M | -52.20M | -55.62M | -19.31M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -300.00K | -198.00K | -442.00K | -290.00K | -2.71M | -180.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 19.60M | 19.60M | 51.61M | -16.00K | -52.00K | 137.74M |
Modelon AB Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | kr203.64M | 4,367.65 | ― | 3.25% | -27.56% | -99.50% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
54 Neutral | kr554.08M | -30.13 | ― | ― | 17.00% | 21.62% | |
45 Neutral | kr173.13M | -5.34 | -223.35% | ― | -22.43% | 50.19% |
* Technology Sector Average
SE:MODEL
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.