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Freja eID Group AB (SE:FREJA)
:FREJA
Sweden Market

Freja eID Group AB (FREJA) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:FREJA

Freja eID Group AB

(FREJA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
kr15.50
▲(4.03% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/07/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals—strong revenue growth and a shift to positive operating/free cash flow—offset by continued net losses and weak/volatile margins. Technicals are mostly neutral with only modestly constructive signals, while valuation is penalized due to losses (negative P/E) and no stated dividend support.
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue expansion signals growing adoption of Freja eID's services across customers. Durable top-line momentum supports scale economies, strengthens bargaining leverage with partners, and provides a foundation to invest in product and sales capabilities that can drive margin improvement over the medium term.
Improved Cash Generation
A switch to positive operating and free cash flow materially reduces near-term financing pressure and gives management optionality to reinvest in product, sales, or integrations. Sustained FCF would support self-funded growth and reduce dilution risk from future capital raises over the coming months.
Recurring B2B/B2G Revenue Model
A contract-driven B2B/B2G model creates recurring, sticky revenue and higher switching costs for clients—especially in public-sector identity use cases. This structural demand profile supports predictable unit economics and long-term customer retention, benefiting sustainable revenue visibility.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses indicate the business has not yet reached structural profitability; continued deficits can erode equity and force reliance on external capital. If losses persist, the company may face financing pressure that constrains investments and increases execution risk over the medium term.
Weak and Volatile Margins
Volatile or negative gross and operating margins suggest limited operating leverage and potential misalignment between pricing and direct costs. Without consistent margin improvement, revenue growth may not translate into sustainable profits, leaving margins exposed to pricing pressure or rising operating expenses.
Balance-Sheet Volatility / Past Negative Equity
Historical negative equity and balance-sheet swings point to past capital shortfalls and refinancing dependence. This volatility raises the risk that future shocks or continued losses could strain liquidity, limit strategic flexibility, or necessitate dilutive financing events in the medium term.

Freja eID Group AB (FREJA) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Freja eID Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFreja eID Group AB (publ), an IT security company, provides security solutions for banking, government, and businesses worldwide. It offers Freja eID, an eco-system for identities; Freja ID to provide secure access to management teams or other key persons; Freja Self-Service Portal, which simplifies the process of user enrolment; Freja Connect, an identity provider that connects internal authentication system to the outside world; Freja Mobile to provide elevated levels of security and user convenience for login and signing; login devices, such as one-button, keyboard, card, USB, and mobile tokens, as well as Freja Mobile, SMS and email, code cards, and Google authenticators; and Pinelope, a software to create personal identification number (PIN) mailers used to distribute passwords or PINs. The company also provides Chiave Key Management Facility, a key management solution to support the common key types used by banks and payment processors; Chiave Registration Authority that generates cryptographic keys and certificates; and Chiave POS, a system for managing personalization of POS terminals. In addition, it offers general purpose hardware security modules (HSM) that enable companies to add hardware security to critical applications, such as public key infrastructures, databases, and Web and application servers; payment HSMs to secure payments and transactions; and transparent and network encryption products. Further, it provides Verisec Platform of Digital Trust, a platform, which provides a range of tools for securing identities and data; and fulfilment and programming, distribution and logistics, ordering and warehousing, printing and packaging, return handling and warranty management, code management, and training services, as well as various courses. The company was formerly known as Verisec AB (publ) and changed its name to Freja eID Group AB (publ) in November 2020. Freja eID Group AB (publ) was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyFreja eID Group AB generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by charging fees for its digital identity services and electronic signature solutions. The company offers subscription plans for businesses that require enhanced security for their transactions and identity verification processes. Additional revenue is generated from transaction fees associated with the use of their services in online transactions and partnerships with governmental and financial institutions that require secure identification solutions. Strategic partnerships with other tech firms and integration into existing platforms also contribute to revenue growth, as they expand the reach of Freja's services and enhance their value proposition in the market.

Freja eID Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth is strong and 2025 shows positive operating and free cash flow, but profitability remains weak with persistent net losses and negative gross/operating profit. Balance sheet quality is improved versus 2024 with positive equity and moderate leverage, yet historical volatility and ongoing losses keep financial risk elevated.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Top-line momentum is strong, with revenue rising sharply over time and still up in 2025 (annual). Profitability, however, remains weak: net losses persist across all years, and 2025 (annual) shows negative gross profit and negative operating profit, even though EBITDA has turned slightly positive. Overall, growth is encouraging but the business has not yet demonstrated durable, scalable margins.
Balance Sheet
51
Neutral
Leverage appears more manageable in 2025 (annual), with debt at a moderate level versus equity and equity back to positive after being negative in 2024 (annual). That said, the history shows meaningful balance-sheet volatility (including negative equity in 2024), and ongoing losses imply continued pressure on equity if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation has improved materially: 2025 (annual) shows solid positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow, a notable turnaround from deeply negative levels in prior years. The key weakness is consistency—free cash flow growth is sharply negative in 2025 versus 2024, and prior years show sizable cash burn, suggesting execution risk and potentially uneven working-capital or investment dynamics.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.09M43.91M36.29M29.42M20.64M
Gross Profit-14.31M10.64M620.00K36.56M25.22M
EBITDA1.29M-4.35M-25.52M-33.74M-42.68M
Net Income-15.31M-23.37M-31.96M-38.76M-52.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.42M60.79M62.42M59.85M93.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.90M8.43M5.44M6.22M28.30M
Total Debt12.44M33.83M19.50M17.18M13.59M
Total Liabilities47.42M63.52M48.62M38.50M34.54M
Stockholders Equity21.99M-2.73M13.80M21.35M59.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.68M-9.50M-22.90M-37.38M-51.13M
Operating Cash Flow7.09M1.95M-8.38M-25.41M-41.67M
Investing Cash Flow-12.53M-11.45M-14.00M2.15M-9.70M
Financing Cash Flow11.81M12.37M21.57M938.00K56.28M

Freja eID Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.90
Price Trends
50DMA
15.82
Positive
100DMA
16.16
Negative
200DMA
14.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
49.46
Neutral
STOCH
52.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:FREJA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.09, below the 50-day MA of 15.82, and above the 200-day MA of 14.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:FREJA.

Freja eID Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
kr637.80M38.4922.29%0.48%27.82%305.33%
50
Neutral
kr456.98M-25.6219.18%48.44%
50
Neutral
kr1.75B480.1020.43%61.67%
40
Underperform
€2.18M
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:FREJA
Freja eID Group AB
16.00
6.36
65.98%
SE:CLAV
Clavister Holding AB
4.71
0.96
25.47%
SE:CYB1
Cyber Security 1 AB
SE:ADVE
Advenica AB
14.50
1.35
10.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026