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Immunovia AB (SE:IMMNOV)
:IMMNOV

Immunovia AB (IMMNOV) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:IMMNOV

Immunovia AB

(IMMNOV)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
kr0.16
▼(-31.74% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (tiny and declining revenue, large ongoing losses, and continued cash burn). Technicals are mixed with modest near-term strength but a broader downtrend versus longer-term moving averages. The earnings call adds a moderate positive offset due to reimbursement, regulatory, and commercialization progress, but near-term revenue and funding/coverage uncertainty remain high; valuation is also constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend.
Positive Factors
Commercial Launch & Initial Adoption
Having a commercially launched diagnostic with multiple centers regularly using it and >100 tests run establishes real-world operational capability and initial clinician adoption. This durable foundation supports scaling, data accrual, and stronger provider relationships critical for long-term uptake.
Medicare Reimbursement Pricing Established
An established Medicare price and billing code materially reduces per-test payment uncertainty and provides a concrete reference for payer negotiations. Over time this improves revenue predictability per test, supports pricing realization once coverage is obtained, and strengthens commercialization economics.
Robust Clinical Evidence & Visibility
Multiple peer-reviewed publications and podium presentations create a durable scientific moat, underpin clinical utility claims, and aid payer and clinician acceptance. Sustained evidence generation supports reimbursement cases, guideline inclusion, and longer-term competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
Minimal and Declining Revenue Base
A very small, shrinking revenue base indicates the business has not yet converted early adoption into scalable sales. Persistently low revenue relative to operating costs impedes path to break-even, increases reliance on external funding, and limits the firm's ability to invest in commercial expansion.
Negative Cash Flow & Limited Runway
Sustained negative cash generation forces dependence on external financing to fund commercialization and studies. With runway only to Q3 2026 without more capital, execution risk rises: funding shortfalls could delay market roll-out, registry completion, or hiring needed to reach meaningful revenue.
Payer Coverage & Collections Uncertainty
While a Medicare price exists, lack of formal coverage decisions and uncertain collection timelines mean per-test revenue and cash realization are unproven. This structural dependency on payer decisions extends commercialization timing and raises the risk that realized economics fall short of modeled expectations.

Immunovia AB (IMMNOV) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Immunovia AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImmunovia AB (publ), a diagnostic company, develops and commercializes blood tests in Sweden and internationally. The company's product includes IMMray PanCan-d, a blood-based test for the early detection of pancreatic cancer. It also develops research projects for lung cancer. Immunovia AB (publ) was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyImmunovia’s business model is centered on generating revenue from diagnostic testing and related commercialization activities. Primary revenue is expected to come from selling its blood-based diagnostic test(s) to healthcare providers, clinics, and laboratories (or via arrangements where tests are ordered by clinicians and processed through designated labs), with revenue recognized per test performed or per kit/service delivered depending on the commercialization setup. Additional potential revenue streams can include collaborations with laboratory partners for test processing, distribution arrangements in target markets, and service income tied to clinical studies or evaluation programs (e.g., providing testing services for research/validation efforts). If applicable, the company may also generate non-recurring income from grants or other operating income, but specific amounts, counterparties, or the current significance of these items are null.

Immunovia AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed meaningful commercial, scientific and reimbursement progress: a successful product launch, strong clinical publications and podium presence, an awarded Medicare pricing of USD 897, state approvals in 48 states, targeted hiring of account managers, and a completed rights issue that improved cash position. However, near-term revenue remains limited, full payer coverage is not yet granted, cash runway extends only to Q3 2026 without additional capital, and realized per-test pricing and collections are still uncertain. The company emphasized disciplined spending, planned clinical utility data collection (including a 400-patient registry) and a mid-2026 Medicare submission with rolling data updates to mitigate coverage risk.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Commercial Launch of PancreaSure
PancreaSure commercially launched in September 2025 with initial adoption at high-risk surveillance centers; 6 centers regularly using the test at year-end and 4 new centers added in Q4. UC Health >100 tests performed; strong order activity reported at Northwestern Medicine and HonorHealth.
Attractive Medicare Pricing Secured
Secured a Medicare reimbursement rate of USD 897 and an appropriate billing code, positioning the company for substantial per-test reimbursement once coverage decisions are granted.
Strong Scientific and Clinical Dissemination
Five clinical studies published in scientific journals, PancreaSure data selected for podium presentations at five meetings, and the CLARITI study named best of DDW, demonstrating robust scientific validation and visibility.
Progress on Regulatory State Approvals
Laboratory/service approvals in 48 of 50 U.S. states (96%); California approval received in January 2026 and New York approval pending (inspection completed with 4 minor findings already addressed).
Funding and Improved Cost Discipline
Completed a rights issue of SEK 100 million (88% subscribed by existing shareholders) delivering a net cash injection of SEK 69.8 million; earlier fundraising referenced of over SEK 140 million to support launch and studies. Achieved reduced operating losses and lower cash burn via R&D cost reductions and cost discipline.
Operational and Commercial Team Build-Out
Hired 3 strategic account managers with industry experience (Exact Sciences, Quest, Myriad) to expand outreach, accelerate pipeline conversion, integrate the test into center protocols, and deepen relationships across surveillance center teams.
Clinical and Reimbursement Strategy Underway
Three clinical validation studies completed (two published with AFFIRM pending publication), two clinical utility studies underway, and a planned registry targeting ~400 patients in 2026; plan to submit for Medicare coverage mid-2026 with rolling data updates.
Financial Efficiency Improvements
Q4 operating loss narrowed to SEK 16.4 million from SEK 30.1 million year-over-year (approximate reduction of 45.5%), and cash burn in Q4 was SEK 6.6 million/month, below prior guidance of SEK 8–10 million/month (17.5%–34% lower).
Negative Updates
Limited Current Revenue from PancreaSure
Q4 revenue was SEK 354,000 (mainly royalty revenue) versus SEK 455,000 in the prior-year period — a decline of ~22.2% year-over-year. Management expects meaningful PancreaSure-driven revenue primarily in 2027.
Coverage Not Yet Secured
While billing code and Medicare rate are in place, payer coverage (the critical third step) has not been granted. Full Medicare coverage timing remains uncertain and depends on the review of submitted clinical utility data.
Cash Runway and Need for Additional Capital
Cash position at end-December was SEK 77.5 million with net proceeds of SEK 69.8 million from the rights issue; company states runway through Q3 2026 and anticipates additional capital will be needed to reach 2027, increasing financing risk.
Revenue Recognition and Collection Lag
Orders exist from centers but conversion to recognized revenue and collections are delayed. Billing to insurers only recently commenced, and realized average selling price per test is currently unknown.
Constrained Commercial Footprint to Date
Early commercial activity was executed by existing management with a small direct sales footprint; broader commercialization and volume ramp depend on the newly hired account managers and potential commercialization partner agreements, which remain in negotiation.
Uncertainty Around Timing of Medicare Coverage and Payments
Management expects some Medicare Advantage reimbursement and insurer payments in 2026 but full Medicare coverage at the secured USD 897 rate depends on Medicare's review timeline and priority assignment, creating timing risk for revenue realization.
Company Guidance
Management guided that PancreaSure’s targeted advocacy phase (launched Sept 2025) will continue through Q2 2026 with a Medicare coverage submission planned mid‑2026 and meaningful revenue expected in 2027; they’ve hired 3 strategic account managers, received California approval in January, expect New York approval shortly, note approvals in 48 states with all 50 expected by mid‑2026, and have begun billing insurers. Key metrics cited: 5 clinical studies published (CLARITI honored), SEK 140m+ raised for launch, Q4 revenue SEK 354k (vs SEK 455k prior year), Q4 operating loss SEK 16.4m (vs SEK 30.1m), Q4 cash burn SEK 6.6m/month (guidance to return to SEK 8–10m/month), cash SEK 77.5m at Dec‑31 after a SEK 100m rights issue (SEK 69.8m net proceeds) giving runway through Q3 2026, a registry target of ~400 patients in 2026, commercial traction of 4 new centers in Q4 with a pipeline of 6 centers regularly using, 6 in early use, 8 registered and 9 late‑stage prospects (UC Health >100 tests), and a Medicare price established at USD 897 per test.

Immunovia AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are very weak: revenue is very small and declined (~13% in 2025), profitability is deeply negative (2025 net loss ~145.9M), and operating/free cash flow remain materially negative (~-78.4M in 2025). Low debt (<1.0M) reduces leverage risk, and cash burn improved versus prior years, but the shrinking equity/asset base and ongoing funding needs keep the score near the low end.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Revenue remains very small and has recently declined (2025 annual revenue down ~13% vs. 2024). Profitability is deeply negative across the period, with large operating losses and net losses (2025 net loss ~145.9M) that are outsized relative to the revenue base. While losses narrowed materially versus 2023’s exceptionally large loss, the overall trajectory still shows a business that has not yet demonstrated a scalable, profitable operating model.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage is low (total debt under 1.0M in 2025), which reduces near-term balance sheet risk. However, the equity base has contracted sharply over time (stockholders’ equity down to ~64.7M in 2025 from much higher levels historically), reflecting sustained losses and likely capital consumption. Assets have also fallen meaningfully versus prior years, indicating reduced financial flexibility despite low debt.
Cash Flow
12
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both materially below zero each year (2025 operating and free cash flow ~-78.4M). Although cash burn improved versus 2024 (less negative) and is far better than 2022–2023 levels, the company still funds operations through external financing rather than internally generated cash, which elevates dilution/financing risk if conditions tighten.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue685.00K931.00K1.57M1.15M844.00K
Gross Profit-79.50M931.00K-5.11M-3.07M15.81M
EBITDA-77.18M-61.27M-166.56M-141.58M-135.47M
Net Income-145.91M-76.54M-309.44M-145.03M-157.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets88.21M33.04M98.68M300.59M493.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments77.46M25.32M76.79M106.04M287.41M
Total Debt857.00K680.00K4.29M37.57M33.26M
Total Liabilities23.48M21.39M31.69M56.79M59.91M
Stockholders Equity64.73M11.65M66.99M243.80M433.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-78.40M-96.75M-148.12M-177.21M-176.83M
Operating Cash Flow-78.40M-96.75M-147.06M-175.58M-152.65M
Investing Cash Flow-5.69M0.003.20M-1.62M-23.83M
Financing Cash Flow136.82M44.81M114.74M-5.11M-5.27M

Immunovia AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.23
Price Trends
50DMA
0.19
Negative
100DMA
0.24
Negative
200DMA
0.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.57
Neutral
STOCH
6.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:IMMNOV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.18, above the 50-day MA of 0.19, and below the 200-day MA of 0.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:IMMNOV.

Immunovia AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
kr108.84M-0.54-853.71%24.21%70.92%
45
Neutral
kr108.87M-1.66-1291.15%28.54%
43
Neutral
kr32.47M-1.03-457.91%-19.35%
42
Neutral
kr58.01M-0.23-181.36%-67.76%95.76%
42
Neutral
kr199.24M-3.17-530.21%17.42%
38
Underperform
kr105.83M-0.1352.38%74.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:IMMNOV
Immunovia AB
0.16
-0.12
-43.31%
SE:ATORX
Alligator Bioscience AB
0.20
-1.32
-86.93%
SE:PROGEN
Prostatype Genomics AB
0.98
-1.62
-62.32%
SE:MODTX
Modus Therapeutics Holding AB
0.27
-0.21
-43.55%
SE:ACTI
Active Biotech AB
0.04
-0.02
-36.92%
SE:KLAR
Klaria Pharma Holding AB
0.81
-0.50
-38.40%

Immunovia AB Corporate Events

Immunovia Cuts Losses and Raises Capital as PancreaSure Gains U.S. Traction
Feb 24, 2026

Immunovia reported full-year 2025 results showing modest net sales of 685 KSEK, a reduced operating loss of 80.4 MSEK, and improved cash burn, helped by lower clinical and commercial costs. The company strengthened its balance sheet through a fully subscribed rights issue raising about 100 MSEK, boosting its equity ratio to 73 percent and ending the year with 77.5 MSEK in cash.

Commercial momentum for the PancreaSure test increased as four additional high-risk surveillance centers, including major U.S. academic institutions, began using the assay in the fourth quarter. Scientific and regulatory validation advanced with publication of key clinical and analytical studies, accreditation of Immunovia’s North Carolina lab by the College of American Pathologists, a finalized Medicare payment rate of $897, and new approval to sell PancreaSure in California, extending access to 47 U.S. states.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia Sets Webcast for Q4 2025 Results in Pancreatic Cancer Push
Feb 23, 2026

Immunovia AB, listed on Nasdaq Stockholm under the ticker IMMNOV, specializes in pancreatic cancer diagnostics and works with healthcare providers, experts and patient advocacy groups to make its early detection tests available to individuals at elevated risk. The company views the United States as its largest market opportunity for annual surveillance testing among high‑risk populations.

The company will publish its fourth‑quarter 2025 results on 24 February 2026 and hold an English‑language webcast teleconference the same day, led by CEO Jeff Borcherding. Analysts, investors and media will be able to hear updates on the company’s fourth‑quarter developments and participate in a Q&A session, offering stakeholders fresh insight into Immunovia’s operational progress and commercial trajectory in pancreatic cancer diagnostics.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia to Outline PancreaSure Commercial Strategy at Aktiespararna Life Science Event
Jan 23, 2026

Immunovia AB will present its commercial strategy and launch plans for its PancreaSure pancreatic cancer blood test at the Aktiespararna Digital Temakväll Life Science investor event on 26 January 2026. During the live-streamed presentation, President and CEO Jeff Borcherding will outline the company’s strategic roadmap, priorities for commercialization, and provide further details on recent developments, including newly obtained regulatory approval in California to offer PancreaSure commercially, underscoring Immunovia’s push to expand its presence in the critical U.S. diagnostics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.22 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia Drops Reverse Share Split Plan After Shareholder Pushback
Jan 20, 2026

Immunovia AB has withdrawn its proposal for a reverse share split and canceled the Extraordinary General Meeting scheduled for 22 January 2026 after discussions with major shareholders indicated the measure was unlikely to gain the required two‑thirds majority. The board’s decision suggests limited shareholder support for the capital structure change, potentially signaling investor caution over the company’s strategic direction and leaving its current share structure unchanged for the time being.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia Wins California Approval for PancreaSure, Advancing US Pancreatic Cancer Test Rollout
Jan 19, 2026

Immunovia AB, a Nasdaq Stockholm–listed pancreatic cancer diagnostics specialist, has secured California state regulatory approval for its PancreaSure blood-based test, clearing the way for commercial sales in one of the most important US regional markets. By meeting both federal CLIA standards and California’s stricter laboratory regulations, the company can now legally accept, analyze, and report test results for California healthcare providers, enabling leading academic medical centers and high‑risk surveillance programs to integrate PancreaSure into their protocols. The approval marks a key step in Immunovia’s three‑phase commercial rollout strategy, strengthens its foothold in the US early-detection market, and is expected to accelerate adoption of PancreaSure among clinics that manage individuals at elevated risk of pancreatic cancer, potentially supporting earlier diagnosis and improved patient outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia Names 2026 Nomination Committee to Support U.S.-Focused Commercial Push
Jan 15, 2026

Immunovia AB has appointed its 2026 Nomination Committee, in line with its governance rules, comprising representatives of its largest shareholders and the chairman of the board, together holding 2.88 percent of the company’s shares and votes as of 30 September 2025. The committee will prepare proposals for the 2026 Annual General Meeting on board composition, remuneration and auditor selection, with a stated focus on securing board members whose skills and experience support Immunovia’s transition into a commercial-stage company with a strategic emphasis on the U.S. market, underscoring the importance of governance alignment with its growth and commercialization ambitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:IMMNOV) stock is a Hold with a SEK0.23 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Immunovia AB stock, see the SE:IMMNOV Stock Forecast page.

Immunovia’s PancreaSure Validation Study Published, Bolstering Early Pancreatic Cancer Test
Dec 22, 2025

Immunovia has announced that its analytical validation study of PancreaSure, a blood-based test for early detection of pancreatic cancer, has been published in the peer-reviewed medical journal Diagnostics. The study demonstrated strong precision, sensitivity, stability and robustness across more than 23 performance attributes under Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute guidelines, reinforcing confidence in PancreaSure’s reliability for early-stage pancreatic cancer detection and strengthening Immunovia’s scientific and commercial positioning in the high-risk screening market. The work has already received industry recognition via a 2025 Distinguished Abstract Award at the ADLM Annual Meeting, which further underpins the test’s credibility with clinicians and laboratories and may support broader adoption as stakeholders seek more effective tools for early pancreatic cancer surveillance.

Immunovia Proposes 1:100 Reverse Share Split Ahead of 2026 Meeting
Dec 17, 2025

Immunovia AB has proposed a reverse share split, consolidating 100 existing shares into one, to optimize the number of shares for the company. This initiative, subject to approval during an Extraordinary General Meeting in January 2026, aims to improve operational alignment and shareholder value by simplifying share ownership and adjusting the share’s quota value. Stakeholders won’t need to take action as the process will be executed automatically. The reverse split seeks to bolster Immunovia’s market positioning amidst its focus on early cancer detection.

Immunovia AB Announces EGM for Reverse Share Split and Articles Amendment
Dec 17, 2025

Immunovia AB has announced an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) scheduled for January 22, 2026, with key resolutions including a proposed reverse share split in a 1:100 ratio and amendments to the Articles of Association to facilitate this change. The reverse share split aims to optimize the number of company shares, which could have significant implications for shareholder value and operational efficiency.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026