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HMS Networks AB (SE:HMS)
:HMS

HMS Networks AB (HMS) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:HMS

HMS Networks AB

(HMS)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
kr445.00
▲(10.92% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and improving free cash flow) and a constructive earnings call showing margin outperformance and cash generation, partially offset by demanding valuation (P/E ~47) and a mixed technical picture with the stock still below key longer-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
High gross and operating margins
Sustained high gross margin (~63%) and robust EBIT margin indicate differentiated, high‑value connectivity products and pricing power. Durable margin structure supports reinvestment, R&D and margin resilience versus peers, reducing reliance on volume recovery for profitability.
Strong cash generation and conversion
Consistent FCF growth and an 82% cash conversion ratio underpin self‑funding capacity for capex, capacity upgrades and acquisitions. This strengthens liquidity and lowers refinancing risk, enabling strategic investments without immediate dependence on external capital.
Acquisitions and division-level strength
Targeted M&A (Molex, Red Lion, PEAK) and strong INT/IDS division results expand addressable market, lift gross margins and enable cross‑sell. Acquisitions add recurring revenue and scale, improving long‑term growth optionality and product breadth across industrial connectivity.
Negative Factors
Currency headwinds
A ~10% FX hit to orders and a ~SEK‑15m EBIT drag show exchange rates materially affect reported demand and margins. With hedges rolling off, FX volatility can persistently depress revenue visibility and reported profitability over the next several quarters.
Planned OpEx and investment ramp in 2026
Management’s deliberate OpEx ramp and ERP/capacity investments will increase fixed costs before volume benefits materialize. This creates a multi‑quarter margin headwind and higher cash burn risk until productivity and revenue synergies from those investments are realized.
North America project volatility and order lumpiness
Dependence on large, project‑driven orders in North America produces lumpiness and low near‑term visibility. Timing shifts of a few projects can swing quarterly results materially, complicating planning and making short‑term revenue and margin forecasts less reliable.

HMS Networks AB (HMS) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

HMS Networks AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHMS Networks AB (publ) provides industrial communication and industrial Internet of Things solutions under the Anybus, Ewon, IXXAT, and Intesis brands worldwide. The company offers Anybus Embedded that offers multi-network connectivity with a single development project; Anybus Gateways, a gateway for connecting devices, machines, systems, or networks; Anybus Wireless that allows to connect machines and devices over Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, cellular networks, and industrial Ethernet; and Anybus Edge, which bridges edge intelligence and versatile cloud connectivity to industrial equipment. It also provides Ewon Cosy+, an industrial VPN device for secure remote access; Ewon Flexy, an industrial device and IIoT gateways for flexible remote access and data services; Ewon Flexy Extension Cards, which allow to keep up with the evolution of communication technologies while protecting investment in the device; and Ewon Talk2M, an industrial cloud that enables its customers to access their assets. In addition, the company offers Intesis protocol translators, air conditioner interfaces, AC Cloud control, and ST cloud control solutions; and automotive, embedded control, energy, and safety solutions under the Ixxat brand. It also offers its solutions to device manufactures, machine builders, system integrators, and end users. HMS Networks AB (publ) was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Halmstad, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyHMS Networks generates revenue primarily through the sale of its communication products and solutions, including gateways, routers, and protocol converters that enable seamless connectivity in industrial environments. Key revenue streams include direct sales to end-users, distribution through partners, and recurring revenue from services such as software licenses and technical support. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with major players in the industrial automation sector, enhancing its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, HMS invests in research and development to continuously innovate and adapt its product portfolio, which contributes to its long-term revenue growth.

HMS Networks AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial recovery: robust Q4 organic sales (+23%), record profitability with adjusted EBIT margin above targets (28% Q4; 25.5% FY), strong cash flow (SEK 877m FY) and successful acquisition integrations (Red Lion, PEAK, Molex). These positives were balanced against near-term headwinds: Q4 order intake was modest (+3% organic), North American project timing remains lumpy, notable currency headwinds (~-10% on orders and -SEK15m EBIT), and a SEK 104m one-time tax payment reduced reported EPS and cash flow. Management highlighted continued investment and OpEx ramp in 2026 and cautioned about potential margin effects as volumes normalize. Overall, the positive operational momentum, margin outperformance and strong cash generation outweigh the transitory market, FX and tax-related challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Sales Growth
Net sales in Q4 reached SEK 951 million, with organic sales growth of 23% driven by strong deliveries versus prior project backlog.
Record Profitability and Margins
Adjusted EBIT in Q4 produced a 28% margin (slightly above target). Full-year adjusted EBIT amounted to SEK 911 million with a 25.5% adjusted EBIT margin, up 37% year-over-year and above the 25% long-term target.
Improved Earnings per Share
Adjusted EPS for Q4 was SEK 4.17 and adjusted full-year EPS was SEK 13.73, a 42% increase year-over-year.
Strong Cash Generation and Working Capital Improvement
Operating cash flow was SEK 231 million in Q4 and SEK 877 million for the full year; cash conversion was 82%. Inventory was reduced by SEK 207 million during the year.
Order Intake Recovery (Full Year)
Order intake recovered organically by 10% for the full year, indicating improving demand momentum versus the prior period.
Division-Level Strength — INT
Industrial Networks & Technology (INT) showed robust performance with reported order growth of 17% (organic ~27%), organic sales up 13%, and Q4 EBIT margin around 31% (very strong cash-generative business).
Division-Level Strength — IDS and Red Lion Integration
Industrial Data Solutions (IDS) delivered SEK 481 million in Q4 sales and a high Q4 margin (~29%). Red Lion integration lifted IDS gross margins and cross-selling, contributing materially to profitability improvement.
Acquisitions and Strategic Additions
Closed acquisition of Molex Industrial Communication (paid USD 7 million) expected to add >USD 10 million in annual revenue; earlier Red Lion and PEAK acquisitions contributed ~18% acquisition-driven growth.
Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation
Net debt/EBITDA (pre-IFRS16) reduced to 2.13 (below the 2.5 target); board proposed highest-ever dividend of SEK 4.80 per share; new financing agreements in place to support 2030 strategy.
Sustainability Milestone
Science Based Targets approval achieved, committing the company to 2030 (and long-term 2050) CO2 reduction targets.
Negative Updates
Soft Order Intake in Q4 and Market Hesitancy
Order intake in Q4 was only +3% organic, with management describing the market as still soft and hesitant and expecting a broader pickup in 2026.
North America Project Volatility
North America showed a softer Q4 order intake with delays in a few larger infrastructure/project orders; management expects this to be temporary but it reduced near-term visibility.
IDS Order Intake Comparable Pressure
IDS order intake declined ~15% organic versus an unusually strong comparable quarter (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 project orders), highlighting project-driven volatility.
Currency Headwinds
Currency movements created a ~10% negative effect on order intake and an EBIT impact of approximately -SEK 15 million; FX remains a risk going into 2026 as hedges roll off.
One-Time Tax Charge and Reported EPS Impact
A SEK 104 million one-time tax payment related to a U.S. 338(h)(10) election reduced reported EPS and held back cash flow in Q4 (though management expects long-term tax benefits).
OpEx and Investment Ramp in 2026
Management expects a gradual increase in operating expenses through 2026 as strategic growth initiatives and ERP/capacity investments ramp up, meaning near-term cost pressure versus Q4's unusually low OpEx.
Potential Margin Pressure as Volumes Recover
Management warned that INT gross margins could face some pressure if large-volume customers ramp back up (different product mix) and that the Molex integration may cause modest dilution versus 2025 margins.
Backlog and Delivery Adjustments
Backlog was reduced during the year and is now largely stabilized; a small amount (tens of millions SEK) remains to be delivered, and the company has been investing to remove previous capacity constraints.
Company Guidance
Management said they expect a market pickup in 2026 (North America’s weaker Q4 seen as temporary) with book‑to‑bill at around 1 or higher, a gradual ramp-up in OpEx through 2026, and efforts to keep working capital neutral or reduce inventory further; they highlighted completed financing and a net debt / EBITDA (pre‑IFRS16) of 2.13 (target <2.5), Q1 capacity upgrades in York to finish and better delivery from Q2, and warned of FX headwinds (approx. -10% on orders and an EBIT impact ~-SEK 15m), while noting a one‑time tax payment of SEK 104m related to the 338(h)(10) election. For context they closed 2025 with Q4 organic order growth +3% and Q4 organic sales +23% (FY organic orders +10%, sales +3%), Q4 adjusted EBIT SEK 268m (28% margin) and FY adjusted EBIT SEK 911m (25.5% margin), adjusted EPS Q4 SEK 4.17 / FY SEK 13.73, gross margin ~63%, cash flow Q4 SEK 231m / FY SEK 877m with cash conversion 82%, inventory reduction SEK 207m, proposed dividend SEK 4.80/share, and the Molex Industrial Communication deal paid USD 7m with expected revenue north of USD 10m.

HMS Networks AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and improving 2025 performance (gross margin ~63%, operating margin up to ~21%) with solid and rising free cash flow (FCF 815m; ~0.93x net income). Offsets include recent net margin volatility (sharp drop in 2024, partial recovery in 2025) and a leverage profile that is higher than earlier years despite improvement in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.70).
Income Statement
83
Very Positive
Profitability is strong for the industry, with 2025 gross margin ~63% and operating profitability improving meaningfully (operating margin rising from ~16% in 2024 to ~21% in 2025). Revenue growth re-accelerated in 2025 (~4% vs ~1% in 2024), but remains below the higher-growth years earlier in the period. A key weakness is earnings volatility: net margin fell sharply from ~19–20% (2022–2023) to ~10% in 2024 before partially recovering to ~12% in 2025.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet shows moderate leverage in the last two years, with debt-to-equity around ~0.90 in 2024 improving to ~0.70 in 2025, alongside steady equity levels. Returns on shareholders’ capital have also improved (ROE ~9% in 2024 to ~13% in 2025), but remain well below the very strong levels seen in 2021–2023 (~30%+). Overall, the recent step-up in leverage versus earlier years is the main constraint, even though the 2025 direction is improving.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid and improving: 2025 operating cash flow rose to 878m and free cash flow to 815m, with free cash flow growth strong (~13%) versus near-flat growth in 2024. Cash conversion is generally healthy, with free cash flow close to reported earnings (about 0.93x net income in 2025). A watch-out is that operating cash flow coverage of earnings is only modest in 2025 (~1.04x) and was below 1x in 2022–2024, indicating periods where cash conversion was less consistent.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.58B3.06B3.02B2.51B1.97B
Gross Profit2.25B1.92B1.97B1.58B1.23B
EBITDA1.03B703.15M854.88M740.44M554.26M
Net Income435.00M309.68M570.64M507.79M354.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.60B7.50B3.01B2.73B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.00M73.93M124.03M144.17M172.17M
Total Debt2.43B3.16B267.38M298.59M84.14M
Total Liabilities3.12B3.99B1.08B1.12B1.03B
Stockholders Equity3.48B3.50B1.93B1.61B1.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow815.00M471.00M445.00M348.06M469.30M
Operating Cash Flow878.00M592.02M518.86M431.11M508.49M
Investing Cash Flow-135.00M-4.45B-135.12M-365.93M-100.04M
Financing Cash Flow-715.00M3.83B-400.23M-98.96M-320.86M

HMS Networks AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price401.20
Price Trends
50DMA
430.57
Negative
100DMA
449.91
Negative
200DMA
436.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.24
Negative
RSI
45.21
Neutral
STOCH
44.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:HMS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 401.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 398.59, below the 50-day MA of 430.57, and below the 200-day MA of 436.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -8.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:HMS.

HMS Networks AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
kr4.81B37.353.38%0.01%-71.63%
67
Neutral
kr20.12B46.2812.77%13.97%20.46%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
kr3.43B22.549.68%1.11%-1.85%-16.44%
57
Neutral
kr12.03B56.7421.88%0.87%5.69%4.82%
53
Neutral
kr257.28M-37.78-5.81%-9.79%-144.24%
43
Neutral
kr725.28M125.430.87%-15.56%-92.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:HMS
HMS Networks AB
401.20
-112.80
-21.95%
SE:EPEN
Beijer Electronics Group AB
106.60
-13.97
-11.59%
SE:HTRO
Hexatronic Group AB
23.47
-11.63
-33.13%
SE:MAVEN
Maven Wireless Sweden AB
4.90
-7.00
-58.82%
SE:IVSO
INVISIO AB
260.50
-78.88
-23.24%
SE:NETI.B
Net Insight AB Class B
2.17
-4.73
-68.55%

HMS Networks AB Corporate Events

HMS Networks Delivers Record 2025 Profit and Bolsters Industrial Communications Portfolio
Jan 27, 2026

HMS Networks AB reported a strong 2025, with fourth-quarter net sales up 18% year-on-year and full-year net sales rising 17%, underpinned by solid organic growth, record deliveries and an adjusted operating margin improving to 28.2% in the quarter and 25.5% for the year. Despite a slight fourth-quarter dip in order intake and a one-off tax expense linked to the 2024 Red Lion acquisition, the company delivered record operating profit, robust cash flow, and kept net debt within its long-term leverage target, while demand improved gradually across regions, notably in Europe and North America. Strategic moves included a new organizational structure to sharpen customer focus and cross-selling, new long-term financial and strategic targets, and the agreed acquisition—now completed—of Molex’s industrial communications business, which strengthens HMS’s Industrial Network Technology offering, broadens its product portfolio and cross-selling potential, and supports its ambition for continued profitable growth through both organic development and acquisitions; the board also reinstated a dividend, proposing SEK 4.80 per share.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:HMS) stock is a Hold with a SEK419.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HMS Networks AB stock, see the SE:HMS Stock Forecast page.

HMS Networks Schedules Q4 2025 Report Release and Investor Conference Call
Jan 12, 2026

HMS Networks has announced that it will publish its fourth quarter 2025 report on 27 January 2026, followed by a same-day conference call and webcast for analysts and media hosted by President and CEO Staffan Dahlström and CFO Joakim Nideborn. The English-language presentation, including slides and a recording made available on the company’s website, underlines HMS Networks’ continued engagement with the capital markets and provides stakeholders with structured access to management’s commentary on the company’s financial performance and outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:HMS) stock is a Hold with a SEK507.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HMS Networks AB stock, see the SE:HMS Stock Forecast page.

HMS Networks Finalizes Acquisition of Molex Industrial Communications Business
Jan 2, 2026

HMS Networks AB, a leading player in Industrial ICT with a global sales footprint and strong 2024 revenues, focuses on solutions that connect and integrate industrial equipment and systems for improved communication and control. The company has completed the acquisition of Molex’s Industrial Communications Business, comprising several strategic assets within Molex’s Industrial Solutions unit, and will consolidate the acquired operations into HMS as of January 2, 2026, strengthening its portfolio and positioning in industrial communications and potentially expanding its customer reach and technology base in this segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:HMS) stock is a Hold with a SEK514.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HMS Networks AB stock, see the SE:HMS Stock Forecast page.

HMS Networks Achieves SBTi Validation for Climate Targets
Nov 20, 2025

HMS Networks AB has achieved a significant milestone by receiving validation from the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) for its climate targets, marking a crucial step in its sustainability journey. The validation underscores HMS’s commitment to reducing emissions in line with the Paris Agreement, with ambitious near-term and long-term goals to significantly cut greenhouse gas emissions across its operations and supply chain by 2030 and 2050, respectively. This move is part of HMS’s broader 2030 Strategy, which aims to integrate sustainability into all aspects of its business operations, thereby enhancing its industry positioning and meeting the growing demands of customers, partners, and investors for climate responsibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:HMS) stock is a Hold with a SEK531.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HMS Networks AB stock, see the SE:HMS Stock Forecast page.

HMS Networks Acquires Molex’s Industrial Communications Business
Nov 17, 2025

HMS Networks AB has announced the acquisition of the Industrial Communications Business from Molex, a strategic move to enhance its Industrial Network Technology division. This acquisition, valued at USD 7 million, aims to strengthen HMS’s software and hardware offerings, expand its customer base in North America, and is expected to generate annual revenues above USD 10 million, contributing positively to the company’s EBITA.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:HMS) stock is a Hold with a SEK531.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HMS Networks AB stock, see the SE:HMS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026