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Axfood AB (SE:AXFO)
:AXFO

Axfood AB (AXFO) AI Stock Analysis

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Axfood AB

(LSE:AXFO)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
Axfood AB's overall stock score reflects its stable financial performance and strong cash generation capabilities, despite high leverage risks. Technical analysis suggests cautious optimism due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation appears high, indicating expectations of growth. Investors should be mindful of financial leverage and market momentum.

Axfood AB (AXFO) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Axfood AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxfood AB (publ) engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. It operates through Willys, Hemköp, Dagab, and Axfood Snabbgross segments. The company operates its retail business through Willys, Hemköp, and Eurocash chains; and the online store, Mat.se. It is also involved in the e-commerce business; and provision of private label products. In addition, it offers home delivery of meal kits under the Middagsfrid name, as well as operates Urban Deli, a combined restaurant and market hall concept; and Apohem, an online pharmacy solution. The company serves restaurants, foodservice operators, and cafés; and retailer-owned stores, mini-marts, service stations, and other convenience retailers. It operates 65 Hemköp, 219 Willys, and 26 Snabbgross group-owned stores; and 133 Hemköp and 126 Tempo franchises. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Axfood AB (publ) is a subsidiary of Axel Johnson AB.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxfood AB generates revenue primarily through its retail and wholesale operations. The company earns income from the sale of grocery products and related services through its chain of retail stores, including Willys and Hemköp, which cater to both budget-conscious and more premium market segments. Additionally, Axfood supplies products to independent retailers via its wholesale division, Dagab, which acts as a distribution hub. Key revenue streams include in-store sales, online sales, and distribution services. Significant partnerships with suppliers and strategic acquisitions also contribute to Axfood's earnings, enabling the company to expand its product offerings and operational footprint effectively.

Axfood AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axfood AB exhibits stable financial performance with solid revenue growth and operational efficiency. Profitability margins are decent but have room for improvement. The high debt-to-equity ratio suggests reliance on debt, posing risks. Strong cash flow ratios highlight robust cash generation despite a recent decline in free cash flow.
Income Statement
77
Positive
Axfood AB's income statement reveals a consistent growth trajectory. The TTM revenue growth rate is 0.94%, reflecting stable sales expansion. Gross profit margin stands at 14.57%, while net profit margin is 2.45%, indicating efficient cost management though there's room for improvement in profitability. EBIT margin is 3.76%, and EBITDA margin is 8.04%, both demonstrating solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.82, suggesting high leverage which could be risky if not managed properly. Return on equity is 37.03%, indicating strong profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is 15.85%, suggesting a lower proportion of the company's assets are financed by equity, pointing to potential financial vulnerability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates a free cash flow growth rate of -9.18%, showing a decline which may warrant concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.40, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.71, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities relative to net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
84.85B84.06B81.11B73.47B57.89B53.70B
Gross Profit
12.37B12.23B11.33B10.08B8.95B8.55B
EBIT
3.19B3.29B3.35B3.10B2.70B2.51B
EBITDA
6.82B6.68B6.47B5.78B5.16B4.82B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.08B2.19B2.36B2.36B2.15B1.91B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
335.00M735.00M688.00M559.00M734.00M-5.71B
Total Assets
35.48B35.43B30.02B28.62B23.73B18.81B
Total Debt
15.84B15.30B9.76B9.25B8.00B5.71B
Net Debt
15.51B14.56B9.08B8.69B7.27B11.42B
Total Liabilities
29.52B28.04B22.83B21.72B18.55B14.25B
Stockholders Equity
5.62B7.05B6.88B6.61B4.95B4.33B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.56B3.92B3.86B3.33B2.77B3.82B
Operating Cash Flow
5.00B5.46B5.81B5.93B4.59B4.85B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.23B-3.18B-2.21B-2.78B-3.84B-1.08B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.25B-2.23B-3.47B-3.32B-1.55B-3.04B

Axfood AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price273.70
Price Trends
50DMA
258.75
Positive
100DMA
243.99
Positive
200DMA
245.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.36
Positive
RSI
56.12
Neutral
STOCH
32.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AXFO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 273.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 274.68, above the 50-day MA of 258.75, and above the 200-day MA of 245.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:AXFO.

Axfood AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
kr59.88B28.7236.99%3.25%3.33%-14.82%
65
Neutral
$8.92B15.034.68%6.11%3.59%-2.49%
$1.03B17.8011.12%0.32%
DE9KF
€117.70M33.951.23%0.21%
DE2DU
€422.76M19.896.76%4.86%
DEB39
€355.35M33.892.22%
kr6.11B22.56
1.33%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AXFO
Axfood AB
273.70
10.32
3.92%
CLOEF
Cloetta AB
3.60
1.68
87.50%
DE:9KF
Midsona AB Class B
0.76
-0.01
-1.30%
DE:2DU
Duni AB
8.93
0.14
1.59%
DE:B39
Humble Group AB
0.75
-0.14
-15.73%
SE:SCST
Scandi Standard AB
93.80
19.07
25.52%

Axfood AB Corporate Events

Axfood Announces Capital Markets Day to Unveil Long-term Strategy
Jun 11, 2025

Axfood AB has announced its upcoming Capital Markets Day, scheduled for September 18, 2025, in Stockholm. The event aims to update institutional investors, analysts, and financial media on the company’s long-term strategy, featuring presentations by senior executives and a tour of the refurbished Hemköp Torsplan store. This initiative reflects Axfood’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AXFO) stock is a Buy with a SEK330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axfood AB stock, see the SE:AXFO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.