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Axfood AB (SE:AXFO)
:AXFO
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Axfood AB (AXFO) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:AXFO

Axfood AB

(LSE:AXFO)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
kr335.00
▲(9.69% Upside)
Axfood AB's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and strong technical indicators. While the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, the company's robust cash flow and efficient operations support its position in the grocery industry. Investors should be mindful of the stock's nearing overbought technical levels and high leverage.

Axfood AB (AXFO) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Axfood AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAxfood AB (publ) engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses in Sweden. It operates through Willys, Hemköp, Dagab, and Axfood Snabbgross segments. The company operates its retail business through Willys, Hemköp, and Eurocash chains; and the online store, Mat.se. It is also involved in the e-commerce business; and provision of private label products. In addition, it offers home delivery of meal kits under the Middagsfrid name, as well as operates Urban Deli, a combined restaurant and market hall concept; and Apohem, an online pharmacy solution. The company serves restaurants, foodservice operators, and cafés; and retailer-owned stores, mini-marts, service stations, and other convenience retailers. It operates 65 Hemköp, 219 Willys, and 26 Snabbgross group-owned stores; and 133 Hemköp and 126 Tempo franchises. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Axfood AB (publ) is a subsidiary of Axel Johnson AB.
How the Company Makes MoneyAxfood generates revenue primarily through the sale of groceries and related products across its various retail formats. Its key revenue streams include sales from supermarkets and discount stores, as well as from its wholesale operations. The company benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to offer competitive pricing while maintaining profitability. Additionally, Axfood has established partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers to ensure a steady supply of products at favorable terms, which further enhances its margins. The company's focus on e-commerce and online grocery shopping has also contributed to revenue growth, particularly in response to changing consumer behaviors.

Axfood AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Axfood AB demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flows. Profitability margins are under slight pressure, but efficient operations and strong return on equity mitigate risks. Increased leverage is a concern, but overall, the company is well-positioned in the grocery industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Axfood AB shows consistent revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.3%. Gross profit margin is stable at around 14.7%, though slightly lower than historical highs. Net profit margin has decreased to 2.4% in TTM, indicating some pressure on profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting efficient operations despite competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 2.48 in TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains strong at 33.1%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Axfood AB's cash flow is robust, with a significant free cash flow growth of 23% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio remains solid, reflecting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue86.80B84.06B81.11B73.47B57.89B53.70B
Gross Profit12.77B12.23B11.33B10.08B8.95B8.55B
EBITDA7.13B6.68B6.47B5.78B5.16B4.82B
Net Income2.12B2.19B2.36B2.36B2.15B1.91B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.14B35.43B30.02B28.62B23.73B18.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments374.00M735.00M688.00M559.00M734.00M-5.71B
Total Debt15.42B15.30B9.76B9.25B8.00B5.71B
Total Liabilities29.57B28.04B22.83B21.72B18.55B14.25B
Stockholders Equity6.22B7.05B6.88B6.61B4.95B4.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.38B3.92B3.86B3.33B2.77B3.82B
Operating Cash Flow6.05B5.46B5.81B5.93B4.59B4.85B
Investing Cash Flow-3.28B-3.18B-2.21B-2.78B-3.84B-1.08B
Financing Cash Flow-3.04B-2.23B-3.47B-3.32B-1.55B-3.04B

Axfood AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price305.40
Price Trends
50DMA
295.55
Positive
100DMA
282.38
Positive
200DMA
255.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.22
Positive
RSI
59.00
Neutral
STOCH
70.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:AXFO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 305.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 303.13, above the 50-day MA of 295.55, and above the 200-day MA of 255.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:AXFO.

Axfood AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
kr65.99B31.1134.34%2.87%5.39%-11.37%
63
Neutral
$20.52B14.79-2.72%3.09%1.95%-4.74%
$1.02B16.2211.94%3.70%
€107.26M58.450.63%2.64%
€389.63M19.616.56%
€336.56M40.891.69%
65
Neutral
kr6.24B21.97
2.51%4.70%0.33%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:AXFO
Axfood AB
305.40
36.41
13.54%
CLOEF
Cloetta AB
3.58
1.37
61.99%
DE:9KF
Midsona AB Class B
0.68
-0.08
-10.53%
DE:2DU
Duni AB
8.14
0.02
0.25%
DE:B39
Humble Group AB
0.69
-0.31
-31.00%
SE:SCST
Scandi Standard AB
95.50
10.45
12.29%

Axfood AB Corporate Events

Axfood AB Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance with Market-Leading Growth
Jul 11, 2025

Axfood AB reported a strong second quarter in 2025, with growth significantly surpassing the market average. The company’s strategic investments in automation and logistics have enhanced efficiency and competitiveness, contributing to a 23% increase in retail sales, driven primarily by Willys. The acquisition of City Gross has expanded Axfood’s presence in the hypermarket segment, with plans to achieve profitability by the second half of 2026. The company also emphasized its commitment to sustainability by opening Sweden’s largest solar park and increasing the use of renewable fuels in transportation. These developments are expected to lead to annual cost savings and further investments in enhancing competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AXFO) stock is a Buy with a SEK330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axfood AB stock, see the SE:AXFO Stock Forecast page.

Axfood AB to Present Q2 2025 Interim Report
Jun 27, 2025

Axfood AB has announced an upcoming presentation of its second quarter 2025 interim report, scheduled for 11 July. The company’s President and CEO, Simone Margulies, along with CFO Anders Lexmon, will present the report in English. This event is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AXFO) stock is a Buy with a SEK330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axfood AB stock, see the SE:AXFO Stock Forecast page.

Axfood Announces Capital Markets Day to Unveil Long-term Strategy
Jun 11, 2025

Axfood AB has announced its upcoming Capital Markets Day, scheduled for September 18, 2025, in Stockholm. The event aims to update institutional investors, analysts, and financial media on the company’s long-term strategy, featuring presentations by senior executives and a tour of the refurbished Hemköp Torsplan store. This initiative reflects Axfood’s commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:AXFO) stock is a Buy with a SEK330.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Axfood AB stock, see the SE:AXFO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025