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Splash Beverage Group (SBEV)
XASE:SBEV
US Market

Splash Beverage Group (SBEV) AI Stock Analysis

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SBEV

Splash Beverage Group

(NYSE MKT:SBEV)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.66
▼(-10.27% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/28/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue contraction, negative gross profit, large losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals also remain unfavorable with the stock below longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. Valuation is constrained by losses and no dividend, while the recent positive distribution/branding event offers some upside but is not large enough to offset the core financial and trend risks.
Positive Factors
On‑premise brand validation
Securing Senor Frog’s as a house tequila gives Chispo on‑premise exposure to hundreds of thousands of guests annually, accelerating brand trial and awareness in experiential venues. This national hospitality placement plus production ties to ZB Distillery supports scalable supply and long‑term brand building.
Improved equity position
A return to positive equity reduces short‑term insolvency risk and provides a financial cushion against volatility. This improvement can enhance access to capital on more favorable terms, lengthen runway for strategic initiatives, and reduce the immediate likelihood of distress driven dilutive financings.
Capital structure move to limit dilution
Replacing equity issuance with a promissory note shifts near‑term investor compensation from shares to debt, limiting immediate dilution and preserving shareholder stakes. Over the medium term this helps maintain ownership incentives and supports confidence in executing long‑term brand and distribution strategies.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction and negative gross margin
A near‑half revenue decline combined with negative gross profit signals structural issues in pricing, cost of goods, or demand for core products. Sustained negative gross margins erode any operating leverage, make profitability contingent on major strategic or operational fixes, and heighten risk of partner attrition or lost shelf space.
Persistent negative cash generation
Ongoing operating and free cash flow deficits force reliance on external financing, constraining investments in marketing, distribution, and product development. Continued cash burn increases refinancing and dilution risk, limits strategic flexibility, and raises the probability of high‑cost funding that impairs long‑term competitiveness.
Management turnover and costly short‑term financing
Executive departures alongside frequent, expensive financing signal governance and funding stress that can disrupt execution. Leadership turnover slows strategic initiatives and acquisition integrations, while high‑cost notes increase cash obligations, squeeze margins, and elevate the risk that future capital raises are dilutive or punitive.

Splash Beverage Group (SBEV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Splash Beverage Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSplash Beverage Group, Inc. engages in the manufacturing, distribution, marketing, and sale of various beverages in the United States. Its products include flavored tequilas under the SALT Naturally Flavored Tequila name; hydration and recovery isotonic sport drink under the TapouT Performance name; wine under the Copa di Vino name; and Pulpoloco Sangria. The company also sells beverages and groceries online through qplash.com. Splash Beverage Group, Inc. is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneySplash Beverage Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverage products to retailers, distributors, and directly to consumers. Key revenue streams include wholesale distribution of their branded drinks, retail sales through partnerships with grocery stores, convenience stores, and bars, as well as e-commerce sales through their website and third-party platforms. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with distributors that enhance its market reach and visibility. Additionally, collaborations with marketing firms help to boost brand awareness and consumer engagement, driving further sales. Seasonal promotions and product launches also contribute to increased revenue during peak periods.

Splash Beverage Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2024
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in gross margins and distribution expansion, along with substantial capital raising efforts and promising acquisition opportunities. However, persistent liquidity challenges and legal issues with ABG TapouT, coupled with a notable net loss, underscore ongoing financial hurdles.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margins
Q3 2024 gross margins increased to 30%, up from 23% in Q2 2024 and 11% in Q1 2024, driven by strategic sourcing and lower wine costs.
Expansion of Distribution Network
Notable distribution expansion in the Pacific Northwest, Northeast, and Southwest regions, including full state coverage in Washington and Texas.
Significant Capital Raise
Raised approximately $8 million since August 2024 to support working capital and strategic acquisitions.
Retail Partnership Expansion
Circle K authorized Copa di Vino for all franchise stores, covering over 800 locations in the U.S.
Potential Strategic Acquisitions
Pending acquisition in the energy drink market with expected revenue contribution of $30 million.
Negative Updates
Liquidity Challenges
Ongoing liquidity issues impacting inventory and sales, with net sales of $381,000 in Q3 2024, down from over $1 million in Q2 2024.
ABG TapouT Lawsuit
Legal struggle with ABG TapouT due to discontinuation of TapouT product line.
Net Loss and EBITDA
Q3 2024 net loss was $4.6 million, an improvement from prior quarters, but still a significant loss. EBITDA was a loss of $1.7 million.
Delays in Funding Inflows
Delays in liquidity inflows affecting operations and timing of acquisitions.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Splash Beverage Group, CEO Robert Nistico provided comprehensive guidance on the company's financial and strategic outlook. Key highlights included a significant improvement in gross margins, which rose to 30% from 23% in Q2 and 11% in Q1, driven by strategic sourcing programs and a reduction in SG&A expenses by $500,000 from the previous quarter. Despite liquidity challenges, the company managed to raise approximately $8 million since August 2024 to support working capital and potential acquisitions. CFO Julius Ivancsits reported Q3 net sales of $381,000, a slight decline from Q2, attributed to inventory limitations. However, the gross margin saw an increase of $244,000 from Q2, reaching $981,000 in Q3, supported by the restart of the Qplash resale business, which boasts a gross margin of 59%. Operating expenses decreased by $1 million, contributing to an improved EBITDA loss of $1.7 million, a $2 million improvement from Q3 2023. The company's liquidity remained tight, with a cash balance of $457,000 at the end of Q3. Looking forward, Splash anticipates positive cash flow and EBITDA by Q3 2025, bolstered by distribution expansions and strategic acquisitions, including an energy drink company with projected growth of over 30%.

Splash Beverage Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is very weak: revenue is down ~49% TTM, gross profit turned negative, losses are large across EBITDA/EBIT/net income, and operating cash flow/free cash flow remain negative—indicating an unsustainable cost structure and continued cash burn despite improved reported equity versus prior years.
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Operating performance is very weak. Revenue has contracted sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (down ~49% versus the prior period), and profitability deteriorated materially, with gross profit turning negative (implying the company is selling below cost before overhead). Losses remain large at every level (EBITDA, EBIT, and net income), and the net loss is outsized relative to sales, pointing to an unsustainable cost structure and significant execution risk.
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Leverage looks moderate in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (debt is just under equity), and equity is positive in the latest period, which is a constructive shift versus prior years when equity was negative. However, the balance sheet has shown volatility (including periods of negative equity), and ongoing large losses raise the risk that equity could erode again or that additional financing may be required.
Cash Flow
10
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak and remains negative. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow and free cash flow are both negative, and free cash flow declined meaningfully versus the prior period. While cash burn is smaller than the net loss in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (free cash flow is much less negative than net income), the company is still consuming cash rather than funding itself internally.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.02M4.16M18.85M18.09M11.32M2.30M
Gross Profit-1.73M355.45K5.57M5.92M2.58M363.59K
EBITDA-25.00M-15.84M-14.76M-20.45M-28.67M-17.47M
Net Income-31.07M-23.76M-21.00M-21.84M-29.05M-28.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.49M2.76M9.90M17.30M16.39M9.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments265.67K15.35K379.98K4.43M4.18M380.00K
Total Debt6.28M12.55M9.35M4.37M5.04M4.42M
Total Liabilities15.71M21.39M15.50M7.98M7.51M9.33M
Stockholders Equity6.78M-18.63M-5.61M9.32M8.87M-102.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.78M-8.01M-10.20M-14.20M-15.13M-23.20M
Operating Cash Flow-1.78M-8.00M-10.19M-14.09M-15.13M-23.10M
Investing Cash Flow7.97K-3.23K-14.11K-102.70K0.00-780.25K
Financing Cash Flow1.30M7.54M6.15M14.45M18.93M22.49M

Splash Beverage Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.73
Price Trends
50DMA
0.74
Negative
100DMA
1.17
Negative
200DMA
1.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Negative
RSI
41.36
Neutral
STOCH
39.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBEV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, below the 50-day MA of 0.74, and below the 200-day MA of 1.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SBEV.

Splash Beverage Group Risk Analysis

Splash Beverage Group disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Splash Beverage Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Splash Beverage Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$2.63B18.619.07%2.53%16.59%1.72%
68
Neutral
$2.42B22.3512.31%-1.13%24.34%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
54
Neutral
$9.89B-4.38-18.35%4.08%-4.01%-339.22%
42
Neutral
$1.35M-0.03-83.63%65.38%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBEV
Splash Beverage Group
0.47
-5.57
-92.24%
SAM
Boston Beer
217.76
-26.28
-10.77%
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA
13.73
0.08
0.59%
TAP
Molson Coors
47.51
-12.27
-20.53%
YHC
LQR House
0.92
-51.58
-98.25%
IBG
Innovation Beverage Group Ltd.
3.66
-9.47
-72.11%

Splash Beverage Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Splash Beverage raises equity capital via stock issuance
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026

On October 27, 2025, November 25, 2025, and December 11, 2025, Splash Beverage Group, Inc. issued a total of 360,648 shares of common stock following the conversion of $200,000 in convertible promissory notes, transactions that were conducted as exempt offerings under U.S. securities laws. On January 27, 2026, the company further bolstered its equity capital by selling 145,029 shares of common stock for gross proceeds of $98,170 under a previously disclosed equity line of credit agreement, reflecting ongoing use of capital markets to support its financing needs and adjust its balance sheet structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Sell with a $0.87 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Splash Beverage’s Chispo Tequila Chosen as Senor Frog’s House Brand
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Splash Beverage Group announced that Senor Frog’s, part of Mexico’s Grupo Anderson’s restaurant consortium, has selected Splash’s Chispo Tequila as its house tequila at an initial group of locations in Florida, the Bahamas and Mexico, following a competitive evaluation of premium and value tequilas focused on taste, consistency and broad consumer appeal. The partnership gives Chispo its first high-profile national hospitality platform, introducing the brand to hundreds of thousands of guests annually in high-traffic, experiential venues and providing important validation of its positioning as Splash seeks to scale the tequila through on-premise exposure, leverage Grupo Anderson’s broader portfolio for potential future collaboration, and support long-term growth via its production partnership with ZB Distillery in Jalisco, Mexico.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Hold with a $0.95 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Splash Beverage Amends Equity Line With New Note
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Splash Beverage Group, Inc. amended the structure of its existing equity line of credit facility with C/M Capital Master Fund, LP by entering into a Letter Agreement that replaces previously agreed “Commitment Shares” with a promissory note. Under this arrangement, the company issued a note with an initial principal amount of $525,000, potentially increasing to $700,000 based on sales under the equity line, bearing no interest unless a default occurs and maturing on January 26, 2028, with mandatory prepayments tied to future proceeds from the facility. The move shifts some of the investor’s compensation from equity to debt, which may mitigate shareholder dilution while obligating the company to use a portion of future capital raised through the facility to service the note, affecting its capital structure and cash flow priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Sell with a $0.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Splash Beverage Group Files Certificate for Series D Shares
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 5, 2025, Splash Beverage Group, Inc. entered into agreements to terminate certain options to purchase $600,000 of its common stock, issuing 113,636 shares of common stock and 1,136 shares of Series D Convertible Preferred Stock instead. Additionally, on December 9, 2025, the company filed a Certificate of Designations for 50,000 shares of Series D, which allows conversion into common stock and voting rights, aligning with NYSE American rules and beneficial ownership limits.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Sell with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Splash Beverage Group CFO Resignation Announced
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Splash Beverage Group borrowed $500,000 from two investors, issuing promissory notes with a 15% original issue discount and a 6% interest rate. The notes mature on February 12, 2025, and include provisions for conversion into equity or debt securities. Additionally, William Devereux announced his resignation as CFO, effective November 30, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Splash Beverage Group CEO Resignation Announcement
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Splash Beverage Group announced that CEO Robert Nistico will resign effective November 14, 2025, but will remain on the Board of Directors and work on special projects. During the 2025 Annual Meeting held the same day, stockholders voted on several proposals, including the election of directors and the approval of an equity incentive plan. The meeting was adjourned to further discuss a proposal to increase authorized common stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBEV) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Splash Beverage Group stock, see the SBEV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026