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Reservoir Media (RSVR)
NASDAQ:RSVR

Reservoir Media (RSVR) AI Stock Analysis

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RSVR

Reservoir Media

(NASDAQ:RSVR)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▼(-1.06% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by middling financial quality (volatile profitability, negative annual free cash flow, and rising leverage) and only neutral technicals. A high P/E with no dividend support pressures the valuation component, partially offset by a positive earnings-call signal with raised FY2026 guidance and improving operating cash flow.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth and Scale
Consistent top-line growth and segment strength indicate an expanding recurring-revenue base from royalties. Organic growth plus acquisitive growth increases catalog scale, improving negotiating leverage with platforms and licensing partners and supporting durable royalty cash flows over multiple years.
Improved Cash Generation & Liquidity
Rising operating cash flow and substantial liquidity (cash plus revolver) provide durable funding for catalog investments and working capital. Positive OCF supports recurring royalty operations and cushions near-term refinancing needs, enabling strategic M&A without immediate equity dilution.
Active Catalog M&A & Global Expansion
Ongoing strategic acquisitions, partnerships and emerging-market expansion diversify revenue streams and lengthen royalty tails. Building culturally valuable catalogs and JVs increases long-term licensing opportunities, sync placements, and geographic exposure that sustain recurring income beyond short cycles.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt/Leverage
Acquisition-driven borrowings have materially increased leverage, raising interest and amortization charges. Higher net debt reduces financial flexibility, heightens refinancing and rate sensitivity, and can constrain future M&A or capital allocation if cash flows weaken or rates rise over the medium term.
Persistently Negative Annual Free Cash Flow
Despite positive operating cash flow, annual free cash flow has been consistently negative due to heavy reinvestment and acquisition outlays. This structural FCF gap implies reliance on external financing for growth and limits capacity for dividends or buybacks until acquisition spending normalizes.
Regulatory/Royalty Rate Uncertainty
Reservoir's revenue depends on royalty rates set via regulatory and industry processes. Unfavorable CRB outcomes or prolonged uncertainty could structurally reduce or delay royalty income across catalogs, weakening long-term revenue visibility and return on recent catalog investments.

Reservoir Media (RSVR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Reservoir Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionReservoir Media, Inc. operates as a music publishing company. It operates in two segments, Music Publishing and Recorded Music. The Music Publishing segment acquires interests in music catalogs, as well as signs songwriters. The Recorded Music segment engages in the acquisition of sound recording catalogs; discovery and development of recording artists; and marketing, distribution, sale, and licensing of the music catalogs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Reservoir Media, Inc. is a subsidiary of Reservoir Holdings, Inc.
How the Company Makes MoneyReservoir Media generates revenue primarily through the licensing of its music catalog for use in television, film, advertising, and other media platforms. The company earns money from performance royalties when its songs are played on radio and streaming services, as well as mechanical royalties from physical and digital sales. Additionally, Reservoir Media engages in strategic partnerships with artists and labels, allowing for collaborative projects that enhance its catalog and revenue potential. The management of music rights and the provision of related services, such as synchronization licensing, further contribute to its diverse revenue streams.

Reservoir Media Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Reservoir Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and strategic picture: revenue, OIBDA and adjusted EBITDA grew year-over-year, management raised full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, and the company is actively expanding and diversifying its catalog via notable acquisitions and partnerships (including momentum from Grammy wins). Key near-term negatives include a meaningful decline in net income and EPS, higher amortization and interest relating to increased acquisition-driven borrowing, and regulatory/seasonal visibility risks. Overall the positives around top-line growth, margin expansion, stronger cash generation, raised guidance, and accretive catalog investments outweigh the lowlights tied to financing costs and one-time/non-cash items.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth and Scale
Q3 revenue of $45.6 million, up 5% year-over-year on an organic basis and up 8% including acquisitions.
Strong Segment Performance
Music Publishing revenue increased 12% year-over-year to $30.1 million; Recorded Music revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $12.9 million, driven by digital/streaming growth and recent catalog acquisitions.
Profitability and Operating Leverage
OIBDA rose 11% year-over-year to $18.1 million and adjusted EBITDA increased 11% to $19.2 million, reflecting revenue growth and operating leverage.
Improved Cash Generation and Liquidity
Cash flows from operating activities increased by $5.1 million year-over-year to $38.2 million. Total liquidity of $114.8 million comprised of $20.6 million cash and $94.2 million available on the revolver.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
Full-year revenue guidance increased from $167–170 million to $170–173 million (midpoint implying ~8% growth vs FY25). Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased from $70–72 million to $71.5–73.5 million (midpoint signaling >10% growth).
Active, Strategic M&A and Talent Deals
Announced notable acquisitions and partnerships including Miles Davis catalog (centennial initiatives), Bertie Higgins rights, deals with Gladys Knight and T.I., and new signings (Say She She, Allison Veltz Cruz, Britten Newbill), supporting long-term catalog value.
Emerging Markets and Cultural Catalog Expansion
Continued investment in high-growth markets (PopIndia/Divine extension, JV with Abood Music for Jamaican catalogs). Management highlighted favorable acquisition multiples and streaming growth in emerging markets that outpace U.S. and Europe.
Awards and Cultural Momentum
Roster contributed to 10 Grammy wins across multiple genres, enhancing catalog visibility and potential downstream earnings.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income and EPS
Net income fell to approximately $2.2 million in Q3 from $5.3 million a year ago. EPS declined to $0.03 from $0.08, driven by a loss on fair value of swaps (vs prior-year gain), higher interest expense and other income changes.
Increased Debt and Net Leverage
Total debt ended the quarter at $452.3 million (net debt $431.7 million) compared with net debt of $366.7 million as of March 31, 2025, reflecting borrowings to support M&A activity.
Rising Interest Expense
Interest expense for the quarter was $6.6 million, up $0.8 million year-over-year due to increased borrowings to fund acquisitions (partially offset by lower rates).
Higher Costs and Amortization
Total costs rose 8% year-over-year: administrative expenses +3%, cost of revenue +7%, and amortization & depreciation +16%, which weigh on near-term earnings despite revenue growth.
Seasonality and Comparable-Year Items
Management noted Q4 comps may be affected by royalty recoveries/audit-related items in the prior year; implied Q4 revenues appear seasonally down versus Q3, introducing some near-term visibility risk.
Regulatory/Rate Uncertainty
Ongoing copyright rate-setting uncertainty (CRB process) represents a potential headwind to future royalty rates and revenue, even as streaming price increases present tailwinds.
Company Guidance
Reservoir raised its full‑year FY2026 revenue guidance from $167–$170M to $170–$173M and its adjusted EBITDA guidance from $70–$72M to $71.5–$73.5M (midpoints imply ~8% revenue growth and >10% adjusted EBITDA growth vs. FY2025), citing Q3 performance of $45.6M revenue (organic +5% YoY; +8% including acquisitions), Music Publishing $30.1M (+12% YoY), Recorded Music $12.9M (+8% YoY), OIBDA $18.1M (+11% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $19.2M (+11% YoY), operating cash flow of $38.2M (up $5.1M YoY), total liquidity $114.8M (cash $20.6M; $94.2M revolver), total debt $452.3M (net debt $431.7M), interest expense $6.6M, net income ~$2.2M (EPS $0.03) and a weighted average diluted share count of 66M, and said it is well positioned to achieve the raised guidance in Q4.

Reservoir Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and generally solid gross/EBITDA profitability, but profitability has been volatile, leverage is trending higher, and annual free cash flow has been persistently negative despite positive operating cash flow. Some TTM inconsistencies also reduce confidence in the income-statement signal quality.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Annual results show solid top-line momentum over several years (revenue rising from 2021 through 2025), with generally healthy gross profitability and strong EBITDA margins in the annual periods. However, profitability has been volatile: net margin fell sharply in 2024 before recovering in 2025, and leverage to operating profit is inconsistent (EBIT margins swing notably). The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) figures look internally inconsistent (gross profit above revenue and an unusually low EBIT margin), which reduces confidence in the quality/consistency of the income statement signals.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet is moderately leveraged, with debt-to-equity generally around ~0.8–1.1 in the annual periods and moving higher in the latest readings (including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) above 1). Returns on equity are positive but low overall, improving in 2025 versus 2024 but still not strong, suggesting the capital base is not being monetized efficiently. Asset and equity levels have grown, but rising leverage is a key risk to monitor.
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
Operating cash flow is consistently positive across the annual periods and increased in 2025, which is a clear strength. That said, free cash flow is negative in every annual year shown (with particularly large outflows in 2022 and 2025), indicating heavy reinvestment, working-capital pressure, or other cash uses that are not translating into near-term cash generation. While TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows positive free cash flow and near 1x free cash flow to net income, the annual trend remains weak and volatile, limiting the score.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue169.62M158.71M144.86M122.29M107.84M80.25M
Gross Profit109.23M101.28M89.38M74.30M63.65M47.39M
EBITDA64.72M58.05M47.25M45.24M47.27M34.50M
Net Income6.57M7.75M644.94K2.54M13.08M9.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets941.91M865.13M783.53M754.08M684.27M461.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.59M21.39M18.13M14.90M17.81M9.21M
Total Debt459.45M393.86M337.51M318.56M269.86M212.53M
Total Liabilities567.10M498.93M429.05M404.42M336.82M267.49M
Stockholders Equity373.61M364.88M352.99M348.36M346.39M193.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-74.08M-51.28M-14.16M-41.03M-181.88M-103.89M
Operating Cash Flow50.40M45.28M36.19M31.20M12.48M14.71M
Investing Cash Flow-124.81M-96.72M-50.55M-72.23M-196.82M-118.61M
Financing Cash Flow77.21M54.52M17.56M38.46M196.53M47.22M

Reservoir Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.58
Price Trends
50DMA
7.50
Positive
100DMA
7.49
Positive
200DMA
7.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
51.46
Neutral
STOCH
21.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RSVR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.55, above the 50-day MA of 7.50, and below the 200-day MA of 7.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RSVR.

Reservoir Media Risk Analysis

Reservoir Media disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reservoir Media reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reservoir Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
59
Neutral
$14.33B47.4247.75%2.47%4.37%-16.22%
56
Neutral
$81.89M-17.53-5.63%12.98%27.93%
52
Neutral
$491.35M76.572.64%11.17%
50
Neutral
$20.61M-3.25-55.09%3.86%81.68%
49
Neutral
$2.39B-9.4297.19%-21.46%
41
Neutral
$23.57M-0.2488.72%-85.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RSVR
Reservoir Media
7.58
-0.18
-2.32%
GAIA
Gaia
3.40
-1.18
-25.76%
DLPN
Dolphin Entertainment
1.77
0.71
66.98%
WMG
Warner Music Group
26.90
-6.03
-18.30%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
2.63
-4.18
-61.38%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
8.24
-0.18
-2.14%

Reservoir Media Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Reservoir Media Releases Investor Presentation on 8-K
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Reservoir Media, Inc. released an investor presentation on its website, which is also attached to its current report on Form 8-K. The presentation includes forward-looking statements about the company’s future financial condition, growth initiatives, and market opportunities, but cautions that actual results may differ due to various risks and uncertainties. The presentation also contains unaudited financial information and non-GAAP financial measures, which are intended to provide investors with additional insights into the company’s operations and performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (RSVR) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Reservoir Media stock, see the RSVR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026