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Reservoir Media (RSVR)
NASDAQ:RSVR
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Reservoir Media (RSVR) AI Stock Analysis

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RSVR

Reservoir Media

(NASDAQ:RSVR)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-1.22% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
RSVR’s score is primarily held back by mixed financial quality—uneven profitability, elevated leverage/interest burden, and historically negative free cash flow despite improving operations. Technicals are neutral to slightly weak in the near term (below 20/50-day averages with muted momentum), while valuation is a clear headwind given the very high P/E and no dividend support. The earnings call adds some offsetting strength via reiterated FY27 guidance and improving EBITDA metrics, but also underscores cost, debt, and cash-flow timing risks.
Positive Factors
Multi‑year revenue growth & improving gross margin
Sustained top-line growth and a rising gross margin (~64% in 2025) indicate durable unit economics from recurring royalty streams. As catalogs scale, fixed-costs dilute and royalty yields improve, supporting persistent revenue generation independent of short-term release cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated and rising leverage
High and increasing leverage raises interest burden and limits financial flexibility. Heavy debt used to fund acquisitions amplifies refinancing and covenant risk, constraining the balance sheet's ability to absorb shocks or pursue accretive deals without adding further leverage or diluting shareholders.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Multi‑year revenue growth & improving gross margin
Sustained top-line growth and a rising gross margin (~64% in 2025) indicate durable unit economics from recurring royalty streams. As catalogs scale, fixed-costs dilute and royalty yields improve, supporting persistent revenue generation independent of short-term release cycles.
Read all positive factors

Reservoir Media Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Allocates total revenue across the company’s lines of business (e.g., recorded music, publishing, licensing), showing where growth is coming from, how concentrated revenue is, and which areas could drive future upside or pose concentration risk.
Chart InsightsMusic Publishing is the engine—consistent, steadily rising across quarters, reflecting organic growth plus M&A; Recorded Music has picked up meaningful momentum recently, aligning with management’s 21% growth callout and streaming gains, suggesting recurring digital revenue lift. 'Other' is lumpy, likely one-off catalog and licensing receipts (spikes around year-ends), so treat as non-recurring. Guidance raise and high-profile acquisitions (Miles Davis) support upside, but rising operating and interest costs could compress free cash flow and margins unless monetization scales further.
Data provided by:The Fly

Reservoir Media (RSVR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Reservoir Media Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Reservoir Media, Inc. is a company dedicated to managing music rights, structured into two core divisions: Music Publishing and Recorded Music. The Music Publishing segment focuses on acquiring ownership interests in existing musical catalogs and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Reservoir primarily makes money by owning or controlling music copyrights and collecting royalties and fees when those works are used. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Music publishing income: revenue generated from the ownership/control...

Reservoir Media Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a generally positive operational and strategic picture: strong top-line growth (12% total, 6% organic), outsized Recorded Music growth (35%), improvements in OIBDA and adjusted EBITDA, active catalog expansion and reiterated guidance. However, the quarter also showed rising costs (cost of revenue +12%, admin +16%, amortization +13%), higher interest expense and growing net debt, a small operating cash outflow, and some lumpy revenue components (sync). On balance, the business shows momentum driven by acquisitions and partnerships but with near-term financial headwinds tied to integration, financing and timing of cash flows.
Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Total revenue for Q1 was $41.5 million, up 12% year-over-year including acquisitions and up 6% organically, driven by acquisitions, roster success, price increases across streaming services and international subscriber growth.
Negative Updates
Rising Operating Costs
Total cost of revenue increased 12% year-over-year; administration expenses rose 16% and amortization & depreciation increased 13%, reflecting integration and amortization from recent catalog acquisitions.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Top-line Growth
Total revenue for Q1 was $41.5 million, up 12% year-over-year including acquisitions and up 6% organically, driven by acquisitions, roster success, price increases across streaming services and international subscriber growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Reservoir reiterated its fiscal 2027 guidance, maintaining revenue of $186–191 million (midpoint ≈ +7% vs. FY26) and adjusted EBITDA of $75–79 million (midpoint ≈ +5% vs. FY26); management said it remains confident it can deliver on those targets after Q1 results of $41.5 million revenue (12% YoY incl. acquisitions; 6% organic), OIBDA $13.7 million (+7% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $15.7 million (+13% YoY) and breakeven diluted EPS (weighted average diluted shares ≈66 million), and noted available liquidity of $98.9 million (cash $13.7M; $85.2M revolver), total debt $462.2 million (net debt $448.5M) while continuing to review the forecast and update guidance as appropriate.

Reservoir Media Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are constructive (multi-year revenue growth and improving gross margin to ~64% in 2025), but profitability is uneven with margin volatility and EBITDA margin pressure in 2026. The balance sheet adds risk with elevated and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.78–1.23) and low ROE (~2% in 2025–2026). Cash flow quality is mixed: operating cash flow is positive and improving, but free cash flow was negative for several years and only turned positive in 2026, leaving consistency unproven.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
49
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.70M175.66M158.71M144.86M122.29M107.84M
Gross Profit113.49M113.67M101.28M89.38M74.30M63.65M
EBITDA69.13M68.39M58.05M47.25M45.24M47.27M
Net Income8.31M8.30M7.75M644.94K2.54M13.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets949.68M949.68M865.13M783.53M754.08M684.27M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.93M25.93M21.39M18.13M14.90M17.81M
Total Debt463.15M463.15M393.86M337.51M318.56M269.86M
Total Liabilities571.11M571.11M498.93M429.05M404.42M336.82M
Stockholders Equity377.72M377.72M364.88M352.99M348.36M346.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.10M49.66M-51.28M-14.16M-41.03M-181.88M
Operating Cash Flow51.28M50.14M45.28M36.19M31.20M12.48M
Investing Cash Flow-104.32M-104.61M-96.72M-50.55M-72.23M-196.82M
Financing Cash Flow63.06M64.49M54.52M17.56M38.46M196.53M

Reservoir Media Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.63
Price Trends
50DMA
10.28
Negative
100DMA
10.08
Positive
200DMA
8.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
44.40
Neutral
STOCH
31.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RSVR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.37, above the 50-day MA of 10.28, and above the 200-day MA of 8.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RSVR.

Reservoir Media Risk Analysis

Reservoir Media disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reservoir Media reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reservoir Media Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$13.54B29.8667.11%2.86%12.55%-0.50%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
58
Neutral
$46.83M-9.59-5.46%7.48%15.04%
53
Neutral
$673.94M78.772.23%10.69%6.48%
48
Neutral
$3.95B-18.7016.27%-17.64%-54.79%
44
Neutral
$30.75M-0.26-205.22%27.16%-18.55%
40
Underperform
$13.28M-3.57-41.42%17.92%86.34%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RSVR
Reservoir Media
10.06
2.53
33.60%
GAIA
Gaia
1.91
-2.31
-54.74%
DLPN
Dolphin Entertainment
1.16
0.00
0.00%
WMG
Warner Music Group
25.80
-3.53
-12.02%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
3.41
-0.15
-4.21%
LION
Lionsgate Studios
13.02
7.25
125.65%

Reservoir Media Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Reservoir Media Releases Updated Investor Presentation and Outlook
Neutral
Jun 17, 2026
On June 17, 2026, Reservoir Media, Inc. posted a new investor presentation on its website and furnished it to the market via a current report, outlining financial data and management’s views on the business using non-GAAP measures such as EB...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Reservoir Media Announces Board Changes and New Director Nominee
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
On June 5, 2026, Reservoir Media announced that director Stephen M. Cook will retire from the Board at the end of his current term and will not stand for re-election as a Class II director at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The company em...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026