tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Rogers Corp (ROG)
NYSE:ROG

Rogers (ROG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
238 Followers

Top Page

ROG

Rogers

(NYSE:ROG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$121.00
▲(12.57% Upside)
The score reflects strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook (margin/EBITDA and EPS improvement guidance) supported by balance-sheet strength and cash generation. Offsetting these positives are weakened recent earnings (including a 2025 net loss) and limited valuation support due to a negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Rogers' low and improving leverage plus a large equity base provide durable financial flexibility. That cushion supports capital expenditures, selective M&A, and share repurchases while absorbing cyclical revenue volatility, enabling multi‑year strategic investments without relying on external funding.
Recovering cash generation
Consistent operating cash flow and a marked free cash flow recovery in 2025 ($71M annual FCF, higher year-end cash) underpin the company's ability to fund $30–$40M of capex, sustain buybacks and support restructuring. Reliable cash generation strengthens long‑term solvency and reinvestment capacity.
Sizable margin & cost savings
Material, realized cost savings and a clear plan for additional annualized reductions are driving sustainable margin expansion. Combined with Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin improvement, these structural efficiency gains should convert to durable higher operating leverage as revenue recovers, improving long‑term profitability.
Negative Factors
Choppy revenue and 2025 net loss
Multi‑year revenue softness and a 2025 net loss indicate underlying demand and margin pressure that reduce earnings predictability. Even with gross margin resilience, compressed operating profits mean improvement depends on consistent revenue recovery and execution of cost programs to restore durable profitability.
Exposure to weak EV/HEV and EMS demand
Significant exposure to automotive EV/HEV end markets creates structural top‑line vulnerability if regional EV adoption lags. EMS revenue declines tied to weak EV demand can persist across quarters, lengthening recovery times and making revenue growth reliant on uneven auto market cycles and geographic demand shifts.
Ceramic ramp delays & restructuring costs
Slower-than-expected ramp and notable restructuring charges create near- to medium‑term headwinds: underutilization and one‑time costs compress margins, delay scale benefits, and raise execution risk. These dynamics can offset planned savings and postpone revenue gains from new capacity and product ramps.

Rogers (ROG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rogers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRogers Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and sells engineered materials and components worldwide. It operates through Advanced Electronics Solutions (AES), Elastomeric Material Solutions (EMS), and Other segments. The AES segment offers circuit materials, ceramic substrate materials, busbars, and cooling solutions for applications in electric and hybrid electric vehicles (EV/HEV), wireless infrastructure, automotive, telematics and thermal solutions, aerospace and defense, mass transit, clean energy, connected devices, and wired infrastructure markets. This segment sells its products under the curamik, ROLINX, RO4000, RO3000, RT/duroid, CLTE Series, TMM, AD Series, DiClad, CuClad Series, Kappa, COOLSPAN, TC Series, 92ML, IsoClad, MAGTREX, XTremeSpeed RO1200, IM Series, 2929 Bondply, 3001 Bondply Film, and SpeedWave names. The EMS segment provides engineered material solutions, including polyurethane and silicone materials used in cushioning, gasketing, sealing, and vibration management applications; customized silicones used in flex heater and semiconductor thermal applications; and polytetrafluoroethylene and ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene materials used in wire and cable protection, electrical insulation, conduction and shielding, hose and belt protection, vibration management, cushioning, gasketing and sealing, and venting applications. This segment sells its products under the PORON, BISCO, DeWAL, ARLON, eSORBA, Griswold, XRD, Silicone Engineering, and R/bak names. The Other segment provides elastomer components; and elastomer floats for level sensing in fuel tanks, motors, and storage tanks for applications in the general industrial and automotive markets under the ENDUR and NITROPHYL names. Rogers Corporation was founded in 1832 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyRogers generates revenue primarily through its Wireless segment, which includes the sale of mobile voice and data services, device sales, and accessories. The company also earns significant income from its Cable segment, which encompasses residential services such as internet, television, and home phone services. Additionally, the Media segment contributes to revenue through advertising sales, subscriptions, and content licensing from various television and radio stations. Partnerships with content providers and technology companies further enhance its offerings, enabling Rogers to attract and retain customers. Furthermore, the company's Business Solutions segment provides telecommunications and managed services to enterprise clients, contributing another stream of income. Overall, Rogers' diverse revenue model allows it to capitalize on multiple market opportunities within the telecommunications and media landscape.

Rogers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational and financial progress: mid-single-digit revenue growth, sizable margin expansion (500 bps), near-term EPS improvement, strong free cash flow, balance-sheet strength ($197M cash), and material cost savings realized. Management acknowledged remaining challenges — notably EMS and EV/HEV revenue weakness, portable electronics end-of-life impact, slower-than-expected ramp at the ceramic China facility, and near-term restructuring charges and higher tax rate — but presented clear initiatives (design wins, new market focus on data centers, continued cost programs) to drive multiyear growth. On balance, the positives (profitability gains, cash generation, cost savings, constructive guidance) outweigh the negatives (demand pockets and execution timing risks), supporting a constructive outlook while recognizing execution and market risks in 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Near High End of Guidance
Q4 sales of $202 million approached the high end of guidance and improved 5% versus Q4 2024, with the midpoint of Q1 2026 guidance implying a similar ~5% year-over-year sales increase.
Strong Margin and Profitability Improvement
Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $34.4 million (17.1% margin), up from $23.3 million in Q4 2024 — a +$11.1 million increase (≈+47.6%) and a 500 basis-point margin improvement year-over-year.
Adjusted EPS Nearly Doubled Year‑over‑Year
Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.89, nearly double the prior-year period; Q1 2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint is $0.65 versus $0.27 in Q1 2025.
Segment Growth Drivers — AES, ADAS, Industrial, Aerospace & Defense
AES Q4 revenues rose 14.6% year-over-year. ADAS sales increased and grew at a double-digit rate for the full year. Industrial sales (largest segment at 27% of revenue) increased at a high single-digit rate in Q4. Aerospace & defense represented 16% of revenue and grew at a high single-digit rate for the full year.
Cash Generation, Net Cash Position and Share Repurchases
Generated $71 million of free cash flow for the year; cash at Q4 end was $197 million (an increase of $29.2 million from Q3); cash provided by operations in Q4 was $46.9 million. Repurchased $52 million of stock in 2025 (including $14.3 million in Q4).
Material Cost and Operating Expense Savings Realized
Realized $25 million of cost and operating expense improvements in 2025, representing an 8% reduction in full-year operating expenses versus prior year; company expects an additional ~$20 million of annualized savings to be complete by end of 2026 (company also cited a $32 million full-year benefit for announced initiatives when fully realized).
Improved Q1 2026 Profitability Outlook
Q1 2026 guidance projects gross margin 30.5%–32.5% (midpoint +160 bps YoY), adjusted EBITDA $27M–$35M (midpoint 15.5% margin, +530 bps YoY) and adjusted EPS $0.45–$0.85 (midpoint $0.65 vs $0.27 in Q1 2025).
Strategic Focus on New Markets and Design Wins
Management is prioritizing top-line growth via design wins, targeting data centers (thermal management and signal integrity), pursuing M&A selectively, and accelerating new product introductions to capture new and adjacent markets.
Negative Updates
EMS and EV/HEV Sales Declines
EMS revenues declined 6.7% in Q4 2024 vs 2025, largely due to lower EV/HEV sales concentrated in regions with weak EV demand; total EV/HEV sales and EMS full-year revenue ended well below the prior year.
Portable Electronics Weakness and Product End‑of‑Life
Portable electronics sales were lower in Q4 and for the full year, primarily because an AES product reached end-of-life, reducing revenue in that end market.
Ceramic China Ramp Slower Than Expected and Underutilization Costs
Start of production at the ceramic China facility produced $1.7 million of underutilization costs in Q4 and management acknowledged the ramp is slower than anticipated, delaying expected volume pickup across 2026.
Restructuring Charges and Near‑term Costs
Ceramic Germany restructuring carries total estimated charges of $12 million–$20 million; $5.4 million was incurred in 2025 with remaining costs expected from Q1–Q3 2026, although the program is projected to yield $13 million of annual run-rate savings when realized (benefits expected in H2 2026).
Higher Effective Non‑GAAP Tax Rate
Full-year non-GAAP tax rate is projected at ~32%, higher than historically due to loss jurisdictions where tax benefits cannot be realized, which will reduce net benefit from operating improvements.
Near‑term Uncertainty in Auto (EV) and Portable Electronics Demand
Management flagged continuing uncertainty in the automotive EV segment and softer portable electronics in early 2026 (Q1/Q2), which tempers the pace of top-line recovery despite the structural improvements.
Company Guidance
Rogers guided Q1 2026 revenue of $193–$208 million (midpoint +5% YoY), gross margin of 30.5%–32.5% (midpoint +160 bps YoY), adjusted operating expenses down >5% YoY (but slightly above Q4 levels as some compensation resets), adjusted EBITDA of $27–$35 million (midpoint 15.5% margin, +530 bps vs Q1 2025) and adjusted EPS of $0.45–$0.85 (midpoint $0.65 vs $0.27 in Q1 2025), excluding ceramic Germany restructuring charges; the company noted $5.4 million of restructuring charges already incurred (total estimate $12–$20 million, implying ~$6.6–$14.6 million remaining to be incurred Q1–Q3 2026) that are expected to deliver ~$13 million of annual run‑rate savings, a non‑GAAP full‑year tax rate of ~32%, 2026 capital expenditures of $30–$40 million (comparable to 2025’s $30 million), and a plan for full‑year adjusted EBITDA growth versus 2025 while share buybacks (about $52 million of repurchase authorization remaining) will be balanced against M&A and other capital priorities.

Rogers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are mixed: a strong, low-leverage balance sheet (78) and generally positive but uneven cash generation (67) are offset by weakened earnings power and choppy revenue, including a net loss in 2025 (income statement 45). Overall financial stability is solid, but profitability consistency is the key weakness.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Revenue has been choppy over the last several years (down in 2023–2025 after prior growth), and profitability has deteriorated meaningfully. Gross margin has held in a reasonable band (~32–37%), but operating profitability has compressed from earlier highs, culminating in a net loss in 2025 (annual) despite still-positive operating earnings. Overall, the business shows margin resilience at the gross level, but weaker cost control and a clear downshift in bottom-line performance drive a below-average score.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is a key strength: leverage is low with debt-to-equity consistently modest and improving sharply since 2022, and equity remains large relative to total assets. While returns on equity were solid earlier (2021–2022) and positive in 2023–2024, the 2025 loss pushed returns negative, highlighting earnings volatility rather than balance-sheet stress. Net-net, the company appears well-capitalized with ample financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
67
Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy, with operating cash flow positive every year and free cash flow recovering strongly into 2025 (annual), when free cash flow matched operating cash flow and surged versus the prior year. That said, cash conversion has not been consistently strong: free cash flow was weak in 2022 and only moderate in 2023–2024, and operating cash flow did not fully cover accounting earnings in several periods (while 2025 produced positive cash flow alongside a net loss). Overall, cash flow is supportive but somewhat uneven through the cycle.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue793.90M810.80M830.10M908.40M971.20M932.90M
Gross Profit247.40M256.80M277.10M307.10M321.00M349.10M
EBITDA87.10M105.00M98.30M127.50M113.10M169.90M
Net Income-66.90M-61.80M26.10M56.60M116.60M108.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.43B1.48B1.52B1.65B1.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments167.80M197.00M159.80M131.70M235.90M232.30M
Total Debt23.00M39.70M24.60M50.00M228.50M190.41M
Total Liabilities243.30M234.20M229.50M258.20M473.70M479.67M
Stockholders Equity1.20B1.20B1.25B1.26B1.17B1.12B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow47.20M101.20M71.00M74.40M12.70M53.30M
Operating Cash Flow88.00M101.20M127.10M131.40M129.50M124.40M
Investing Cash Flow-16.10M-14.80M-45.60M-47.90M-113.10M-238.60M
Financing Cash Flow-51.50M-53.90M-50.10M-190.30M-10.10M159.00M

Rogers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price107.49
Price Trends
50DMA
97.99
Positive
100DMA
90.73
Positive
200DMA
81.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.32
Negative
RSI
58.41
Neutral
STOCH
61.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 107.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.00, above the 50-day MA of 97.99, and above the 200-day MA of 81.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROG.

Rogers Risk Analysis

Rogers disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rogers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rogers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.58B24.7910.98%0.36%3.70%1.68%
71
Outperform
$6.95B83.7318.50%11.55%1745.46%
68
Neutral
$1.93B-33.22-5.34%-4.87%-235.48%
64
Neutral
$2.05B84.313.37%1.44%-2.93%-40.33%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$1.01B82,936.514.85%10.76%
56
Neutral
$306.64M-4.84-8.87%5.93%-9.51%29.57%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ROG
Rogers
107.49
21.52
25.03%
BHE
Benchmark Electronics
58.38
18.59
46.72%
CTS
CTS
53.75
8.85
19.71%
MEI
Methode Electronics
8.76
-1.23
-12.33%
VICR
Vicor
170.01
109.66
181.71%
PENG
Penguin Solutions
19.12
-1.76
-8.43%

Rogers Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Rogers Reports Improved Q4 2025 Profitability and Cash Flow
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2025, Rogers Corporation reported 2025 net sales of $810.8 million, down modestly from 2024, with a gross margin of 31.7% and a net loss of $61.8 million, or a loss of $3.40 per share, while generating adjusted EBITDA of $115.0 million and essentially flat free cash flow of $71.1 million year on year. Despite the annual loss, full‑year adjusted earnings per share of $2.39 trailed 2024 only slightly, underscoring the impact of non‑recurring items and restructuring on reported results.

For the fourth quarter of 2025, Rogers posted net sales of $201.5 million, up 4.8% from a year earlier, driven by stronger industrial, advanced driver‑assistance systems and renewable energy demand, alongside favorable currency effects, and it lifted GAAP earnings per diluted share to $0.26 from a loss a year ago, with adjusted earnings nearly doubling to $0.89. Management highlighted that cost‑improvement initiatives and lower operating expenses materially boosted profitability and cash generation, as operating cash flow rose to $46.9 million, ending cash increased to $197.0 million after share repurchases of $14.3 million, and the company exited 2025 with a streamlined operating structure and stronger balance sheet that support its competitive position in advanced materials.

The most recent analyst rating on (ROG) stock is a Hold with a $102.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rogers stock, see the ROG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026