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Ryman (RHP)
NYSE:RHP

Ryman (RHP) AI Stock Analysis

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Ryman

(NYSE:RHP)

65Neutral
Ryman's overall score reflects its solid revenue growth and strong balance sheet, crucial factors for stability in the REIT sector. However, declining profit margins, cash flow concerns, and a bearish technical outlook present risks. The company's reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield offer some offsetting positives, while the earnings call guidance highlights both strategic growth initiatives and anticipated challenges due to construction impacts.
Positive Factors
Future Growth
RHP is well-positioned post 2025 with growth pace projected at 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.
Monetization Opportunity
The ultimate monetization of Opryland Entertainment Group is expected to be a positive catalyst that unlocks value.
Revenue Growth
Group revenue pace increased to 3% at quarter-end from 2% at the previous quarter-end, including ADR up by 4%.
Negative Factors
Competitive Challenges
The opening of Gaylord Pacific may pose a long-term headwind with a rotation of groups between Gaylord properties.
Leisure Segment Performance
Fourth quarter was light on weaker leisure with ICE! spend disappointing.
Renovation Disruption
Renovation disruption is anticipated to be a headwind in 2025, with multiple ongoing projects reflected in modest group pace of 2%.

Ryman (RHP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ryman Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (NYSE: RHP) is a leading lodging and hospitality real estate investment trust that specializes in upscale convention center resorts and country music entertainment experiences. The Company's core holdings* include a network of five of the top 10 largest non-gaming convention center hotels in the United States based on total indoor meeting space. These convention center resorts operate under the Gaylord Hotels brand and are managed by Marriott International. The Company also owns two adjacent ancillary hotels and a small number of attractions managed by Marriott International for a combined total of 10,110 rooms and more than 2.7 million square feet of total indoor and outdoor meeting space in top convention and leisure destinations across the country. The Company's Entertainment segment includes a growing collection of iconic and emerging country music brands, including the Grand Ole Opry; Ryman Auditorium, WSM 650 AM; Ole Red and Circle, a country lifestyle media network the Company owns in a joint-venture with Gray Television. The Company operates its Entertainment segment as part of a taxable REIT subsidiary. * The Company is the sole owner of Gaylord Opryland Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center; and Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center. It is the majority owner and managing member of the joint venture that owns the Gaylord Rockies Resort & Convention Center.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyman Healthcare makes money primarily through the development and management of retirement villages and aged care facilities. The company generates revenue from the sale of occupancy rights to its retirement units and ongoing service fees charged to residents for various levels of care and amenities. Additional income streams include deferred management fees, which are a percentage of the resale value of the units when they are vacated and resold, and fees for care services provided to residents in assisted living and care facilities. The company also benefits from property value appreciation and development profits from building new villages. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers and real estate developers further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Ryman Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryman demonstrates strong revenue growth and a debt-free balance sheet, enhancing financial stability. However, declining profit margins and the absence of cash flow in 2024 highlight operational efficiency and cash management challenges.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Ryman's revenue has shown consistent growth over the years, notably recovering from a challenging 2020. The gross profit margin is robust at 70.26% in 2024, showcasing strong cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased from 14.42% in 2023 to 13.16% in 2024, indicating a need for improved operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also slightly decreased, suggesting potential pressure on earnings before interest and taxes.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with zero total debt in 2024, indicating excellent financial health and low leverage risk. The equity ratio has improved to 10.52%, demonstrating increased shareholder equity relative to total assets. However, the stockholders' equity has decreased compared to prior years, which could limit future investment capacity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Ryman's cash flow statement indicates challenges, with no reported operating or free cash flow in 2024, which may impact liquidity and operational flexibility. The company previously demonstrated a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, but the absence of cash flow figures in 2024 suggests potential cash management issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.34B2.16B1.81B939.37M524.48M
Gross Profit
1.64B666.22M579.75M200.70M-26.67M
EBIT
490.83M453.68M327.15M-61.87M-303.83M
EBITDA
755.05M664.91M524.15M155.86M-102.87M
Net Income Common Stockholders
271.64M311.22M128.99M-194.80M-460.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
477.69M591.83M334.19M140.69M56.70M
Total Assets
5.22B5.19B4.04B3.58B3.56B
Total Debt
3.51B3.51B2.99B3.05B2.77B
Net Debt
3.04B2.91B2.65B2.91B2.71B
Total Liabilities
4.28B4.27B3.63B3.60B3.24B
Stockholders Equity
548.98M569.15M95.90M-22.39M205.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
168.60M350.28M330.41M89.25M9.82M
Operating Cash Flow
576.51M557.06M419.93M111.25M-161.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-410.40M-1.01B-189.31M-289.74M-172.65M
Financing Cash Flow
-290.32M711.87M50.71M261.73M-6.47M

Ryman Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price87.25
Price Trends
50DMA
96.17
Negative
100DMA
101.81
Negative
200DMA
101.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.80
Positive
RSI
42.26
Neutral
STOCH
24.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RHP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 87.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.04, below the 50-day MA of 96.17, and below the 200-day MA of 101.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RHP.

Ryman Risk Analysis

Ryman disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryman reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryman Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HSHST
74
Outperform
$9.86B14.3610.53%6.30%7.02%-4.78%
72
Outperform
$2.91B13.746.50%9.01%6.52%14.45%
SHSHO
68
Neutral
$1.61B58.392.01%4.66%-8.18%-85.42%
PKPK
66
Neutral
$2.03B9.975.68%11.30%-3.67%122.68%
RHRHP
65
Neutral
$5.24B20.4448.59%5.71%8.39%-15.41%
PEPEB
64
Neutral
$1.11B-0.16%0.52%2.35%57.81%
61
Neutral
$4.31B16.14-3.60%11.88%6.17%-20.99%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RHP
Ryman
87.25
-20.24
-18.83%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
8.62
-1.83
-17.51%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
14.22
-4.87
-25.51%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
9.38
-6.01
-39.05%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
12.19
-2.52
-17.13%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.07
-5.41
-34.95%

Ryman Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.74% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong strategic investments and record group bookings, with significant growth in consolidated revenue and the entertainment segment. However, these positives were tempered by the fourth quarter's underperformance and anticipated construction disruptions impacting the 2025 outlook.
Highlights
Strategic Investments and Record Group Bookings
The company has embarked on a multiyear transformational capital program, focusing on investments in Gaylord Opryland and Gaylord Rockies to attract high-rated corporate group business. They reported record group bookings with 1.3 million same-store gross group room nights in Q4, surpassing the prior year by 5% at a record ADR of $284.
Consolidated Revenue and EBITDAre Growth
Despite some challenges, the full year of 2024 saw consolidated revenue growth of 8%, consolidated adjusted EBITDAre growth of 10%, and AFFO growth of 12%.
Performance of Entertainment Segment
The entertainment segment reported record revenue of $98 million in the fourth quarter, an increase of approximately 12% year over year. Adjusted EBITDAre increased by approximately 6%, with Old Red Las Vegas surpassing expectations.
Lowlights
Below Expectations for Q4 2024
The fourth quarter results were marginally below the guidance ranges provided in November, primarily due to factors impacting the same-store hospitality portfolio in the last two weeks of December.
Leisure Demand Shortfall
Leisure demand, particularly at Gaylord Texan and to a lesser extent Gaylord Opryland, did not materialize as expected during the peak holiday period in December. Fourth-quarter leisure room nights at the Gaylord Texan were down 19%, and at the Gaylord Opryland were down 6%.
Construction Disruptions Impacting 2025 Outlook
The 2025 outlook includes an estimated $30 million to $35 million impact on adjusted EBITDAre due to construction disruptions, primarily at Gaylord Opryland and Gaylord Texan.
Company Guidance
During the Ryman Hospitality Properties fourth quarter 2024 earnings conference call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming year, indicating expectations of a stable macro environment. For 2025, they anticipate RevPAR growth of 2.25% to 4.75% and total RevPAR growth of 1.75% to 4.25% in their hospitality segment, inclusive of the JW Hill Country. Adjusted EBITDAre is projected to be between $675 million and $715 million, with anticipated construction disruptions impacting RevPAR by 250 to 350 basis points and adjusted EBITDAre by $30 million to $35 million. The entertainment segment is expected to generate adjusted EBITDA of $110 million to $120 million, with consolidated adjusted EBITDAre forecasted to range from $749 million to $801 million. Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) for common shareholders and unitholders are projected to be $510 million to $555 million, translating to an AFFO per diluted share of $8.24 to $8.86. Additionally, they announced a first-quarter dividend of $1.15 per share, maintaining their intention to pay 100% of REIT taxable income through dividends.

Ryman Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Ryman Announces Board Member Resignation and Compensation
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. announced the resignation of Fazal F. Merchant from its Board of Directors, Audit Committee, and Risk Committee, following his acceptance of a new position with Wiz, Inc. The resignation was not due to any disagreement with the company. In recognition of his service, the Board approved the payment of his quarterly cash compensation and accelerated the vesting of his restricted stock units. Consequently, the Board reduced its size from ten to nine members.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.