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Ryman (RHP)
NYSE:RHP

Ryman (RHP) AI Stock Analysis

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RHP

Ryman

(NYSE:RHP)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
â–²(8.11% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is driven primarily by solid operating performance and constructive forward commentary (strong bookings/liquidity), tempered by meaningful balance-sheet leverage and a clearly weak technical setup. Valuation is helped by the strong dividend yield, while recent refinancing and expanded credit capacity modestly support the outlook.
Positive Factors
Forward Group Bookings
Substantial forward group bookings and on-the-books group revenue provide durable revenue visibility for a convention-focused REIT. Multi-day group demand boosts ADR and ancillary spend (banquets, AV, F&B), supporting steadier cash flow and insulating results from purely transient leisure volatility.
Entertainment Segment Diversification
Rapid Entertainment growth adds a structurally different revenue stream with high-margin, ticketed programming and venue economics. This diversification reduces correlation to hotel cycles, increases non-room revenue capture, and enhances recurring cash generation from events and attractions over multiple years.
Improved Liquidity & Extended Maturities
Lengthening the revolver maturity and issuing 2034 notes to retire 2027 paper materially lowers near-term refinancing pressure and raises available liquidity (pro forma ~ $1.3–1.4B). This structural improvement supports multi-year capex, dividend policy, and reduces rollover risk in tightening markets.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The company’s capital structure remains debt-heavy and pro forma net leverage is elevated (~4.3x per guidance), which amplifies sensitivity to interest rates and cyclical downturns. High leverage constrains flexibility, increases covenant and refinancing risk, and limits ability to pursue opportunistic investments without more liquidity.
Margin Volatility & Weaker FCF Conversion
Sharp margin swings in 2025 and declining free cash flow in 2024–2025 indicate operating profitability isn’t consistently translating into cash. Persistent margin volatility and softer FCF reduce internal funding for capex and debt service, raising reliance on external financing and pressuring long-term coverage metrics.
High CapEx and Renovation Disruption
Large, multi-year renovation programs and $350–$450M capex plans are structurally necessary but have caused recurring EBITDA disruption (~$23M in 2025) and will continue to pressure margins and free cash flow. Sustained disruption can depress near-term property economics and complicate debt servicing and dividend maintenance.

Ryman (RHP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryman Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (NYSE: RHP) is a leading lodging and hospitality real estate investment trust that specializes in upscale convention center resorts and country music entertainment experiences. The Company's core holdings* include a network of five of the top 10 largest non-gaming convention center hotels in the United States based on total indoor meeting space. These convention center resorts operate under the Gaylord Hotels brand and are managed by Marriott International. The Company also owns two adjacent ancillary hotels and a small number of attractions managed by Marriott International for a combined total of 10,110 rooms and more than 2.7 million square feet of total indoor and outdoor meeting space in top convention and leisure destinations across the country. The Company's Entertainment segment includes a growing collection of iconic and emerging country music brands, including the Grand Ole Opry; Ryman Auditorium, WSM 650 AM; Ole Red and Circle, a country lifestyle media network the Company owns in a joint-venture with Gray Television. The Company operates its Entertainment segment as part of a taxable REIT subsidiary. * The Company is the sole owner of Gaylord Opryland Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center; Gaylord Texan Resort & Convention Center; and Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center. It is the majority owner and managing member of the joint venture that owns the Gaylord Rockies Resort & Convention Center.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyman makes money primarily through real estate and hotel-related cash flows generated by its owned hospitality and entertainment assets. 1) Hotel and resort real estate economics (core earnings driver) - Room revenue exposure: The hotels in Ryman’s portfolio generate lodging revenue from transient leisure travelers and, importantly, large group/convention bookings. While the exact contractual structure varies by property, Ryman’s economics are tied to the operating performance of these assets (e.g., occupancy and average daily rate) through rent and/or other property-level cash flow arrangements. - On-property spend (non-room): Large convention-oriented resorts typically generate significant ancillary revenue streams such as food and beverage, banquet/catering, meeting room and event services, resort fees (if applicable), parking, and other guest services. These operating results support the property-level cash generation that ultimately drives Ryman’s returns as an owner. - Group/convention focus as a demand engine: Ryman’s properties are purpose-built for large meetings and conventions, which can provide forward-booked demand and multi-day stays. This can support higher overall on-property spending per occupied room through banquet and event activity relative to typical transient-focused hotels. 2) Entertainment and experiential hospitality - Venue/attraction-related income: Through ownership interests in entertainment venues and related assets, Ryman can earn income from live events and attractions (e.g., ticketed events and venue-related revenues), as well as ancillary spending tied to those experiences (e.g., food and beverage, merchandise, and premium offerings), where applicable. 3) Strategic operating relationships - Third-party operation of hotels: Ryman’s large resort hotels are operated by an external hotel operator under brand/management arrangements. This allows Ryman to focus on ownership, asset management, capital allocation, and real estate investment while relying on an experienced operator for day-to-day hotel operations, sales, and booking execution. 4) REIT capital structure and asset recycling - As a REIT, Ryman may also enhance shareholder returns through real estate acquisitions, redevelopment/capital improvements that support rate and group demand, and selective dispositions. Earnings are therefore influenced by portfolio mix, capital expenditure programs, and the broader lodging cycle in addition to property-level operating performance. null

Ryman Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, notable growth in the Entertainment segment, record holiday/ICE! performance, robust liquidity and a successful acquisition strategy, while noting measured, conservative guidance for 2026 driven by macro uncertainty, near-term seasonality and ongoing construction disruption. Overall, management portrayed confidence in long-term growth and substantial portfolio-driven upside, balanced against identifiable near-term risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Beating Guidance and Strong Financial Execution
Full year results came in above midpoints of guidance ranges; Entertainment segment and AFFO/AFFO per share finished above the high end of guidance. Fourth quarter outperformed expectations driven by holiday programming and downtown Nashville volumes.
Entertainment Segment Growth
Entertainment revenue grew nearly 12% year-over-year in Q4 and adjusted EBITDAre grew nearly 13%. Opry programming and Ryman strength produced record monthly revenue and adjusted EBITDAre for Opry 100 in October.
Holiday Programming & ICE! Performance
ICE! ticket sales increased more than 14% to a record 1.5 million tickets in the quarter; JW Hill Country ICE! achieved highest guest satisfaction for holiday attractions in the portfolio.
Hotels Showing Record and Share Gains
Same-store hospitality delivered highest total revenue and highest Q4 adjusted EBITDAre for the portfolio. Gaylord Palms and Gaylord Rockies delivered record top- and bottom-line performance in 2025; trailing 12-month same-store RevPAR index vs. Marriott comp set at all-time highs (Q4 RevPAR index 143%; full year 127%).
Strong Group Booking Momentum
Booked more than 1.2 million gross group room nights for all future years in Q4; same-store group rooms revenue on the books for 2026 up ~6% and for 2027 up ~5%; December 2025 bookings showed ADR on the books up >10% vs. December 2024.
Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Investment
Acquired JW Marriott Desert Ridge (adds a top-10 meetings market and rotational capability); multiyear refresh at Gaylord Opryland ~40% complete on carpeting and nearly halfway through 100,000 sq ft meeting space expansion; Foundry Fieldhouse opening in April; Category 10 and amphitheater expansion underway (CCNB win, Vegas and Orlando Category 10s).
Strong Liquidity and Improved Credit Profile
Unrestricted cash of $471 million and undrawn revolver; total available liquidity nearly $1.3 billion (pro forma ~ $1.4 billion after revolver upsized to $850M). Fitch upgraded corporate family rating to BB from BB-, lowering term loan margin by 25 bps.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Return
Declared Q1 dividend of $1.20 per share payable April 15, 2026; company intends to continue paying 100% of REIT taxable income through dividends. 2026 CapEx plan of $350M–$450M focused on hospitality investments.
Operational Wins and Sales Execution
Same-store banquet and AV revenues up nearly 5% in Q4 despite lower corporate volumes; banquet & AV contribution per group room night (proxy for catering spend) increased >10% year-over-year. Sales manufactured ~22,000 multiyear room nights via rotational JW relationships.
Negative Updates
Conservative 2026 Guidance and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Management issued a cautious initial 2026 guide with same-store RevPAR midpoint growth of 2.5% and flattish leisure assumptions, citing political and macroeconomic uncertainty and potential attrition/cancellations that could pull results below group pace.
Near-Term Seasonal and Q1 Weakness
Expectations for Q1 2026 include roughly flat RevPAR and total RevPAR for same-store hospitality with an adjusted EBITDAre margin decline of ~100 basis points; Entertainment Q1 adjusted EBITDAre expected to decline by several million due to seasonality and 2025 timing effects.
Construction Disruption and Prior Year Impact
2025 experienced approximately $23 million of EBITDA disruption from projects; ongoing 2026 renovations (Opryland, Gaylord Texan, Hill Country JW rooms) are expected to cause some incremental disruption, assumed to be similar to 2025 levels.
Leverage Level
Pro forma net leverage (total consolidated net debt / adjusted EBITDAre, including full-year Desert Ridge contribution) was 4.3x at quarter end, a leverage level that could limit flexibility and will require monitoring as CapEx and dividends continue.
Weather and One-Time Headwinds
Recent winter storm was a modest drag on January results; quarter-to-quarter cadence in Entertainment and hospitality remains sensitive to weather and calendar/timing effects (noted shift in seasonality for 2026).
Tariff-Related and Macro Booking Volatility
Earlier 2025 booking softness tied to tariff concerns created hesitancy in the sales funnel (leads down earlier in Q4), though December rebounded; management highlights risk that similar macro shocks could resurface and impact forward demand.
Company Guidance
Management's 2026 guidance at the midpoint assumes same-store hospitality RevPAR growth of 2.5% (same-store total RevPAR +2.5%), same-store hospitality adjusted EBITDAre consistent with ~2.5% operating expense growth or roughly 10 bps of margin expansion, and a JW Marriott Desert Ridge first full-year adjusted EBITDAre contribution (meeting-space conversion opens April 2026); the Entertainment midpoint implies nearly 10% adjusted EBITDAre growth with 2026 seasonality weighted to Q2. Near-term, management expects Q1 same-store RevPAR and total RevPAR to be roughly flat, hospitality adjusted EBITDAre margin to decline ~100 bps, and Entertainment Q1 adjusted EBITDAre to fall by several million dollars. Booking and pace metrics underpinning the guide include same-store group rooms revenue on the books for 2026 up ~6% (2027 up ~5%), ADR on the books pacing mid-single-digits, December 2025 bookings ADR +>10% vs prior year, more than 1.2M gross group room nights booked in Q4, and entering the year with ~50 points of occupancy on the books. Financial posture assumes $350–$450M of 2026 capex (primarily hospitality), unrestricted cash $471M, total available liquidity ~ $1.3B (pro forma ~ $1.4B after increasing the revolver to $850M), pro forma net leverage ~4.3x, a Fitch upgrade to BB (TLB margin cut from 200 bps to 175 bps), and a Q1 dividend of $1.20 payable April 15, 2026.

Ryman Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year recovery with materially higher revenue and solid profitability since 2022, plus consistently positive operating cash flow and positive free cash flow. Offsetting this, the balance sheet is heavily debt-weighted (high leverage), and 2025 showed margin volatility and softer free cash flow conversion versus prior years.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has expanded materially from 2020–2025, with 2025 showing solid growth versus 2024. Profitability has also improved dramatically from the 2020–2021 loss period to strong positive earnings in 2022–2025, supported by healthy operating and EBITDA profitability in recent years. The key weakness is margin volatility—2025 gross profit margin dropped sharply versus prior years even though operating profitability remained strong, suggesting either higher costs or one-time items that bear monitoring. Net profit margin also eased in 2025 versus 2023–2024.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Leverage is the main constraint: total debt is large and debt compared with equity remains very high in every recent year (still elevated in 2025). Equity has improved substantially since the very weak/negative levels in 2021–2022, but the capital structure is still debt-heavy, leaving the company more sensitive to refinancing conditions and downturns. Returns on equity have been high recently, but that is partly amplified by the relatively small equity base.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently positive and strong from 2021–2025, and free cash flow has remained positive each year, which supports debt service and reinvestment capacity. However, free cash flow declined in both 2024 and 2025 (negative growth), and free cash flow covers only a modest portion of net income in 2025, indicating earnings are not translating into free cash at the same rate as in 2022–2023. One reported data point shows operating cash flow coverage as 0.0 in 2025, which appears inconsistent with the positive operating cash flow and should be treated cautiously.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.58B2.34B2.16B1.81B939.37M
Gross Profit255.86M844.30M709.01M579.75M200.70M
EBITDA774.00M725.64M670.70M530.75M155.86M
Net Income243.43M271.64M311.22M128.99M-176.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.18B5.22B5.19B4.04B3.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments500.18M477.69M591.83M334.19M140.69M
Total Debt4.29B3.51B3.51B2.99B3.05B
Total Liabilities4.97B4.28B4.27B3.63B3.60B
Stockholders Equity750.15M548.98M569.15M95.28M-22.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.39M168.60M350.28M330.41M89.25M
Operating Cash Flow590.63M576.51M557.06M419.93M111.25M
Investing Cash Flow-1.23B-410.40M-1.01B-189.31M-289.74M
Financing Cash Flow567.29M-290.32M711.87M50.71M261.73M

Ryman Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price91.57
Price Trends
50DMA
96.77
Negative
100DMA
95.15
Negative
200DMA
95.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.95
Positive
RSI
36.50
Neutral
STOCH
19.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RHP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 91.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.52, below the 50-day MA of 96.77, and below the 200-day MA of 95.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RHP.

Ryman Risk Analysis

Ryman disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryman reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryman Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$13.12B16.0511.54%4.90%6.45%3.79%
67
Neutral
$1.94B17.626.59%5.13%0.95%-8.40%
67
Neutral
$2.78B23.795.50%8.30%0.57%-13.58%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$1.72B70.450.88%3.98%3.04%-98.77%
63
Neutral
$2.12B-2.54-8.42%13.10%-3.57%-104.55%
60
Neutral
$5.77B24.0334.28%5.01%6.98%-32.02%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RHP
Ryman
91.57
-0.58
-0.63%
DRH
Diamondrock
9.46
1.72
22.24%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
9.05
-0.48
-5.02%
HST
Host Hotels & Resorts
19.07
4.67
32.47%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
11.79
-0.68
-5.48%
PK
Park Hotels & Resorts
10.51
-0.30
-2.82%

Ryman Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryman Prices $700 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

On March 11, 2026, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. and its issuing subsidiaries priced a $700 million offering of 5.750% senior unsecured notes due 2034, fully guaranteed by certain subsidiaries and ranking pari passu with the company’s other senior unsecured debt while remaining junior to existing secured borrowings. The company plans to use the proceeds, together with cash on hand, to redeem in full its outstanding $700 million 4.750% senior notes due 2027, effectively extending its debt maturities, while the new indenture introduces customary covenants, redemption features, and change-of-control protections that will shape the firm’s financial flexibility and creditor protections going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Buy with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ryman Hospitality Expands Revolving Credit Capacity and Maturity
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Ryman Hospitality Properties refinanced and amended its revolving credit facility, increasing total capacity from $700 million to $850 million, extending the maturity from May 2027 to January 2030 with an additional one-year extension option, and keeping pricing largely unchanged on a leverage-based grid over SOFR. The company also modified financial covenants tied to the revolver, including limits on consolidated net leverage, fixed charge coverage, secured and secured recourse indebtedness, and unencumbered leverage and interest coverage ratios, moves that collectively enhance liquidity, lengthen its debt maturity profile, and support its ability to fund ongoing growth while maintaining balance-sheet discipline.

The most recent analyst rating on (RHP) stock is a Hold with a $88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryman stock, see the RHP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026