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Regions Financial Corp. (RF)
:RF

Regions Financial (RF) AI Stock Analysis

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RF

Regions Financial

(NYSE:RF)

71Outperform
Regions Financial's overall stock score is 71, reflecting a balance of solid financial health and strategic positioning in the banking sector. The company shows strengths in capital management and revenue growth but faces challenges with margin pressures and cash flow contraction. Technical analysis signals bearish trends, though the stock may be oversold, offering potential for recovery. The valuation is reasonable with a high dividend yield, appealing to income investors. Despite positive earnings highlights, concerns about asset quality and loan growth remain, requiring strategic attention.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
RF reported core EPS of $0.57 vs. estimate of $0.51 and consensus of $0.53, with the beat owing to higher than expected fee income and net interest income.
Net Interest Income
Net interest income guidance for FY24 was raised to ~$4.8 billion, and fee income guidance was raised to $2.45 - $2.50 billion.
Share Buybacks
RF repurchased $101M of shares during 3Q and plans for more buybacks, which is expected to double starting in 1Q25.
Negative Factors
Deposit Growth
Deposit growth was lower than expected, driven by a decline in noninterest bearing deposits.
Loan Growth
Expect loan growth to remain muted with +1% in '25; C&I is what drives the model (~50% of loans) and robust loan growth is needed to drive up EPS.
Return on Equity
The target price for Regions Financial Corp. has been lowered to $28 from $30 due to a more conservative return on tangible common equity outlook.

Regions Financial (RF) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Regions Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegions Financial Corporation, a financial holding company, provides banking and bank-related services to individual and corporate customers. It operates through three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. The Corporate Bank segment offers commercial banking services, such as commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, and investor real estate lending; equipment lease financing; deposit products; and securities underwriting and placement, loan syndication and placement, foreign exchange, derivatives, merger and acquisition, and other advisory services. It serves corporate, middle market, and commercial real estate developers and investors. The Consumer Bank segment provides consumer banking products and services related to residential first mortgages, home equity lines and loans, consumer credit cards, and other consumer loans, as well as deposits. The Wealth Management segment offers credit related products, and retirement and savings solutions; and trust and investment management, asset management, and estate planning services to individuals, businesses, governmental institutions, and non-profit entities. The company also provides investment and insurance products; low-income housing tax credit corporate fund syndication services; and other specialty financing services. As of March 01, 2022, it operated through a network of 1,300 banking offices and 2,000 automated teller machines across the South, Midwest, and Texas. Regions Financial Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegions Financial Corporation generates revenue through a variety of banking and financial services. The primary revenue streams include interest income from loans and leases, such as commercial and residential mortgages, consumer loans, and credit lines. Additionally, the company earns non-interest income through service charges and fees on deposit accounts, wealth management and investment services, and transaction processing. Regions Financial also benefits from its strategic partnerships and community banking presence, which help to enhance its service offerings and customer reach, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Regions Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regions Financial demonstrates solid financial health with strong capital management, evidenced by a high equity ratio and no debt burden. The income statement reveals steady revenue growth despite a slight dip in net margins, while cash flow statements suggest proficient cash operations but a reduction in free cash flow, potentially impacting future growth investments. The company is well-positioned in the banking industry, albeit with some caution around margin pressures and cash flow contraction.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company demonstrated a stable gross profit margin of 100% due to its nature as a financial institution. However, net profit margin decreased to 26.6% in 2024 from 30.1% in 2023, reflecting increased costs or reduced efficiency. Revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 was a moderate 3.1%, indicating steady growth despite economic challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins were not available for 2024, which limits the analysis of operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 82.5% in 2024, indicating strong financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio is effectively 0 due to no reported debt, showcasing low leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) decreased to 10.6% in 2024 from 11.9% in 2023, which is a decent return but shows a slight decline in profitability on equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio was 0.84 in 2024, showing robust cash generation capabilities. However, free cash flow decreased from $2.15 billion in 2023 to $1.60 billion in 2024, indicating a potential reduction in cash available for expansion or investment. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.84, reflecting a solid conversion despite the decline.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.08B6.90B7.17B6.44B6.28B
Gross Profit
7.11B6.90B7.17B6.44B6.28B
EBIT
2.45B3.83B3.19B3.21B1.31B
EBITDA
2.45B2.84B3.23B3.59B1.74B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.89B2.07B2.25B2.52B1.09B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
34.16B34.91B39.16B57.89B45.11B
Total Assets
157.30B152.19B155.22B162.94B147.39B
Total Debt
6.49B2.33B2.28B2.41B3.57B
Net Debt
-4.22B-4.47B-8.94B-27.00B-14.39B
Total Liabilities
139.39B134.70B139.27B144.61B129.28B
Stockholders Equity
17.88B17.43B15.95B18.33B18.11B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.60B2.15B2.81B2.96B2.27B
Operating Cash Flow
1.60B2.31B3.10B3.03B2.32B
Investing Cash Flow
-262.00M-1.61B-12.94B-2.87B-4.85B
Financing Cash Flow
2.58B-5.13B-8.35B11.29B16.37B

Regions Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.34
Price Trends
50DMA
22.52
Negative
100DMA
23.63
Negative
200DMA
22.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
41.53
Neutral
STOCH
23.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.12, below the 50-day MA of 22.52, and below the 200-day MA of 22.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RF.

Regions Financial Risk Analysis

Regions Financial disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regions Financial reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regions Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$18.57B10.429.93%4.88%10.13%-1.25%
RFRF
71
Outperform
$16.91B9.6710.72%5.30%2.70%-8.16%
67
Neutral
$22.76B10.8711.92%4.29%11.21%-2.26%
CFCFG
65
Neutral
$15.23B11.526.21%4.82%1.99%-2.45%
64
Neutral
$12.70B9.089.19%4.89%16.29%-8.64%
MTMTB
63
Neutral
$25.90B10.779.23%3.42%6.07%-7.10%
KEKEY
54
Neutral
$14.80B1,663.64-0.99%6.07%-11.11%-133.79%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RF
Regions Financial
18.34
-0.51
-2.71%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
33.42
-0.11
-0.33%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
12.49
-0.52
-4.00%
KEY
KeyCorp
13.23
-0.89
-6.30%
MTB
M&T Bank
156.58
25.71
19.65%
CFG
Citizens Financial
34.40
1.94
5.98%

Regions Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 17, 2025 | % Change Since: -24.40% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook for Regions Financial, highlighted by record revenue in several business segments and strong earnings metrics. However, concerns remain around loan growth, noninterest income performance, and asset quality, which may impact future growth. The company is proactively addressing these issues with strategic investments and expense management.
Highlights
Record Revenue in Key Business Segments
Regions Financial reported record revenue in capital markets, wealth management, and treasury management services for the year 2024.
Strong Earnings and Return Metrics
The company reported full year earnings of $1.8 billion with an earnings per share of $1.93 and a return on average tangible common equity of 18%.
Deposit Growth and Market Share
Regions grew deposits by $12.5 billion since 2019, maintaining top 5 market share in 70% of core markets and achieving 30% branch small business deposit growth.
Positive Net Interest Income and Margin
Net interest income grew 1% in the fourth quarter, and the net interest margin increased by 1 basis point to 3.55%.
Capital Management and Shareholder Returns
Regions executed $58 million in share repurchases and paid $226 million in common dividends during the quarter.
Lowlights
Decline in Average Loans
Average and ending loans declined modestly on a sequential quarter and full year basis due to excess liquidity and low utilization rates.
Noninterest Income Decline
Adjusted noninterest income declined 5% from the previous quarter due to lower mortgage servicing rights and episodic capital markets activities.
Asset Quality Concerns
Annualized net charge-offs increased to 49 basis points, with expectations of elevated net charge-offs in the first half of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Regions Financial Corporation's Q4 2024 earnings call, the executives provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. The company reported full-year earnings of $1.8 billion, translating to earnings per share of $1.93 and achieving a top quartile return on average tangible common equity of 18%. They highlighted a projected loan growth of approximately 1% for 2025, with C&I lending expected to pick up notably. The company also anticipates average deposits to remain stable, offset by declines in commercial deposits due to excess liquidity. Net interest income is forecasted to increase by 2% to 5% in 2025, underpinned by a 35% deposit beta and strategic hedging. Noninterest income is expected to grow between 2% and 4%, driven by investments in capital markets and wealth management. The guidance included managing Common Equity Tier 1 to a range of 9.25% to 9.75%, considering potential regulatory changes. Additionally, Regions plans to expand its workforce by adding approximately 140 bankers over the next couple of years, focusing on priority growth markets to drive revenue and efficiency. Asset quality remained stable with the allowance for credit losses ratio at 1.79%, and full-year net charge-offs projected toward the higher end of the 40 to 50 basis points range.

Regions Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Regions Financial to Present at RBC Conference 2025
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

Regions Financial Corporation announced that its executives will present the company’s operations and performance to institutional investors at various meetings in February and March 2025. These presentations, including at the RBC Global Financial Institutions Conference, will highlight Regions’ strategic priorities, such as diversified revenue streams and disciplined expense management. The company aims to maintain its strong market position by focusing on credit risk management, capital, and liquidity management, and by investing in high-growth markets. This initiative is part of Regions’ ongoing efforts to sustain long-term performance and enhance stakeholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Regions Financial Reports Strong Earnings for 2024
Positive
Jan 17, 2025

Regions Financial Corp. announced its earnings for the quarter and year ending December 31, 2024, reporting a net income of $1.8 billion for the full year and $508 million for the fourth quarter. Despite incurring strategic securities repositioning and severance charges, the company achieved record revenue in several business sectors. The results highlight Regions’ strategic execution and commitment to growth, supported by strong market conditions and a dedicated team of associates.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.