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RedHill Biopharma (RDHL)
NASDAQ:RDHL

RedHill Biopharma (RDHL) AI Stock Analysis

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RDHL

RedHill Biopharma

(NASDAQ:RDHL)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(25.00% Upside)
Score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses, negative equity, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals provide a partial offset with improving short-term trend and momentum, but longer-term trend and MACD remain unsupportive. Valuation impact is neutral due to missing P/E and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
RHB-102 development via FDA 505(b)(2) for GLP-1 GI side effects
Pursuing RHB-102 under 505(b)(2) targets GI side effects of GLP-1/GIP therapies, a structural market need. A successful approval could reduce GLP-1 discontinuation, broaden commercial partners, and provide faster, lower‑risk regulatory path and sustainable revenue streams over the medium term.
Opaganib shows in vivo efficacy as oncology add-on
Demonstrated preclinical ability to resensitize venetoclax‑resistant CLL positions opaganib as a durable oncology add‑on opportunity. Coupled with existing safety data and ongoing phase 2 work, this expands the pipeline's commercial and partnership appeal across resistance-driven oncology niches.
Talicia joint venture with Cumberland boosts commercialization resources
The Talicia JV shifts commercialization risk and brings partner capital and U.S. co‑commercialization capabilities. This structural change can improve market execution, revenue share predictability and regulatory/listing compliance while allowing RedHill to reallocate resources to other pipeline priorities.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and prior high leverage
Persistent negative equity and historically high leverage constrain financial flexibility, raise refinancing and covenant risk, and limit capacity to invest in launches or trials. Such structural balance‑sheet weakness increases vulnerability to adverse outcomes and raises long‑term financing costs.
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow mean RedHill must repeatedly access external capital to fund operations and trials. This structural cash deficit constrains organic growth, forces dilution or debt reliance, and limits the company's ability to self‑fund commercialization or larger clinical programs.
Reliance on dilutive financing facilities
Dependence on standby equity facilities and ATM offerings signals a structural funding gap. While providing liquidity, these mechanisms are dilutive and can recur, reducing existing shareholders' stakes and potentially undermining long‑term capital stability if operating cash generation doesn't improve.

RedHill Biopharma (RDHL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

RedHill Biopharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRedHill Biopharma Ltd. is a specialty biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of innovative therapies for gastrointestinal diseases and cancer. The company operates primarily in the biopharmaceutical sector, with a strong emphasis on creating oral drug formulations that address unmet medical needs. RedHill's core products include therapies targeting conditions such as peptic ulcers, inflammatory bowel disease, and other gastrointestinal disorders, as well as oncology treatments.
How the Company Makes MoneyRedHill Biopharma generates revenue through a combination of product sales, licensing agreements, and partnerships. The company's key revenue streams come from the commercialization of its proprietary drug products, which are sold to healthcare providers and patients. In addition, RedHill enters into strategic partnerships and licensing agreements with other pharmaceutical companies to develop and market its therapies, often receiving upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales. These collaborations not only provide immediate financial support but also enhance the company's market reach and product pipeline. Furthermore, RedHill may benefit from government grants and funding for clinical trials that support its research and development efforts.

RedHill Biopharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
RedHill Biopharma is facing significant financial challenges, with negative net profit margins, high leverage, and persistent negative cash flows. Despite minor improvements in some metrics, the company remains in a precarious financial position.
Income Statement
RedHill Biopharma's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins over the periods analyzed. Although there is a slight improvement in gross profit margin in the TTM, the company continues to face significant losses. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with a recent positive trend in TTM but overall declining from previous years.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a concerning financial structure with negative stockholders' equity and high leverage ratios in previous years. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM, but the company still faces significant financial instability. Return on equity is negative, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates persistent negative operating and free cash flows, though there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth in the TTM. The company's ability to cover net income with operating cash flow is weak, reflecting ongoing liquidity challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.55M8.04M6.53M61.80M85.76M64.36M
Gross Profit6.16M4.85M3.07M28.46M36.35M27.47M
EBITDA-7.91M-7.59M26.27M-22.18M-63.03M-54.98M
Net Income-9.31M-8.27M23.92M-71.67M-97.74M-76.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.38M18.04M23.05M158.87M181.19M180.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.87M4.62M6.36M19.98M38.00M29.79M
Total Debt214.00K356.00K1.17M122.69M87.81M86.90M
Total Liabilities22.79M22.73M20.98M207.27M172.31M166.38M
Stockholders Equity-4.41M-4.68M2.07M-48.40M8.88M13.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.21M-9.38M-35.83M-29.38M-65.16M-102.35M
Operating Cash Flow-8.20M-9.37M-35.82M-29.18M-65.05M-48.58M
Investing Cash Flow-12.00K-9.00K3.99K8.30M-8.14M-35.65M
Financing Cash Flow3.78M8.42M21.38M11.45M73.46M84.37M

RedHill Biopharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.20
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Positive
100DMA
1.40
Negative
200DMA
1.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
58.81
Neutral
STOCH
78.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RDHL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.17, and below the 200-day MA of 1.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RDHL.

RedHill Biopharma Risk Analysis

RedHill Biopharma disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. RedHill Biopharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

RedHill Biopharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$2.38M2.66%-27.81%
50
Neutral
$6.43M-1.72-76.14%25.02%55.11%
47
Neutral
$6.82M
43
Neutral
$3.33M
42
Neutral
$6.80M-1.31-42.47%-26.92%69.90%
32
Underperform
$2.89M-0.08-9999.00%79.31%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RDHL
RedHill Biopharma
1.34
-4.23
-75.94%
CPHI
China Pharma Holdings
1.36
-0.65
-32.59%
SNOA
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals
3.78
1.20
46.51%
PRFX
PainReform
0.85
-1.99
-70.11%
UPC
Universe Pharmaceuticals
4.22
-16.58
-79.71%
SHPH
Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc.
1.80
-20.70
-92.00%

RedHill Biopharma Corporate Events

RedHill Biopharma Advances RHB-102 in GI Indications and GLP-1 Therapy Support
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, RedHill Biopharma announced further development progress for its proprietary once-daily extended-release ondansetron formulation RHB-102 (Bekinda) across multiple gastrointestinal indications, including a planned Phase 2 proof-of-concept study targeting gastrointestinal side effects associated with GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist therapies used for diabetes and weight loss. Supported by positive U.S. Phase 3 data in gastroenteritis/gastritis, Phase 2 data in IBS-D, a favorable pharmacokinetic study in oncology support, and decades of ondansetron use, RedHill is pursuing U.S. FDA approval of RHB-102 under the 505(b)(2) pathway for oncology support (with potential expansion to post-operative nausea and vomiting) and positioning the drug as a once-daily oral option that could reduce GI-driven discontinuation of GLP-1 treatments, potentially enhancing its partnership appeal and strengthening the company’s presence in the fast-growing GI and metabolic therapy support markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Files Pro Forma Financials After Talicia Joint Venture Deal With Cumberland
Dec 31, 2025

On October 17, 2025, RedHill Biopharma completed a strategic transaction with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals involving Talicia®, its proprietary drug, by selling a 30% equity stake in newly formed Talicia Holdings Inc. (THI), which holds global rights to Talicia and manages its worldwide commercialization. Cumberland agreed to invest $4 million in two tranches in exchange for joint control of THI, leaving RedHill with a 70% stake but shared decision-making authority, leading RedHill to deconsolidate THI and treat its retained interest as an equity-method joint venture under IFRS; the company has now filed unaudited pro forma condensed consolidated financial information to illustrate how this loss of control, classification of Talicia operations as discontinued, and shift to joint venture accounting would have affected its historical results, signaling a structurally different financial profile for RedHill’s future reporting and Talicia-related earnings and risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Secures Up to $25 Million Standby Equity Facility with YA II PN
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, RedHill Biopharma entered into a Standby Equity Purchase Agreement with YA II PN, Ltd., giving the company, over a 36‑month period from that date, the discretionary right to sell up to $25 million of its ADSs to the investor, subject to trading‑volume, pricing and ownership caps, including a 9.99% beneficial ownership limit. As part of the initial funding step under this structure, RedHill on the same date issued 386,593 ADSs and a pre‑funded warrant for 590,446 ADSs for gross proceeds of $1 million, agreed to pay a 2% commitment fee partly in ADSs (including 122,130 ADSs already issued), and committed to registering all related ADS resales with the SEC, a move that provides a flexible but potentially dilutive equity financing mechanism to support the company’s capital needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma’s Opaganib Shows Promise in Combating CLL Resistance
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, RedHill Biopharma announced positive in vivo results for opaganib, showing its potential to reduce Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL) cells by 50% when combined with venetoclax, a key CLL therapy. This development highlights opaganib’s potential as an add-on therapy to overcome venetoclax resistance, which is a significant therapeutic challenge in CLL treatment. The findings are part of ongoing research, including a Phase 2 study of opaganib with darolutamide in advanced prostate cancer, and may enhance RedHill’s position in the oncology market.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Regains Nasdaq Compliance
Dec 1, 2025

RedHill Biopharma announced on December 1, 2025, that it successfully regained compliance with Nasdaq’s stockholders’ equity requirement as of November 26, 2025. This achievement supports RedHill’s strategic initiatives for 2025, including its partnership with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals and a focus on operational efficiency, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Expands Offering of American Depositary Shares
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, RedHill Biopharma Ltd. announced an increase in the maximum aggregate offering amount of its American Depositary Shares under an At The Market Offering Agreement with H.C. Wainwright & Co., LLC. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its ongoing operations and growth initiatives in the competitive biopharmaceutical industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Secures $10.5 Million Judgment Win
Nov 4, 2025

RedHill Biopharma announced that the New York Supreme Court’s judgment in favor of the company against Kukbo Co. Ltd is now final and enforceable, with no further appeals possible. The court awarded RedHill over $10.5 million, including $8.6 million in the main judgment and $1.9 million for legal fees and expenses, with interest continuing to accrue. Additionally, RedHill secured a Korean court attachment to prevent Kukbo from disposing of assets before judgment enforcement, potentially strengthening RedHill’s financial position and market confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Sell with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Appeals Nasdaq Delisting Notice After Equity Boost
Oct 22, 2025

On October 16, 2025, RedHill Biopharma received a Nasdaq Staff Determination notification for not meeting the minimum stockholders’ equity requirements for continued listing. Following a transaction with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, RedHill believes it now meets the equity requirement and plans to appeal the determination. The company remains listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market pending a hearing, but there is no guarantee of a favorable outcome or extension.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Amends Purchase Agreement with Alumni Capital
Oct 21, 2025

On October 20, 2025, RedHill Biopharma amended its Any Market Purchase Agreement with Alumni Capital LP, increasing the ownership limit for Forward Purchase Notices from 4.99% to 9.99%. This amendment allows RedHill greater flexibility in capital raising through the sale of American Depositary Shares, potentially impacting its financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Secures $4 Million Investment and U.S. Partnership for Talicia
Oct 20, 2025

On October 17, 2025, RedHill Biopharma announced a strategic partnership with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, involving a $4 million investment for a 30% stake in Talicia Holdings, a subsidiary managing the global rights to Talicia®. This partnership includes a five-year co-commercialization agreement in the U.S., with both companies sharing net revenues and operational responsibilities. The collaboration aims to boost Talicia’s market presence and financial performance, reinforcing RedHill’s financial position and compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

RedHill Biopharma Secures $1.8 Million Middle East Deal for Talicia
Oct 6, 2025

On October 6, 2025, RedHill Biopharma announced a new licensing agreement for Talicia in the Middle East, potentially worth $1.8 million plus sales royalties. This deal includes $500,000 in guaranteed payments and aims to expand Talicia’s market presence in regions with high H. pylori prevalence, enhancing RedHill’s market positioning and addressing significant medical needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (RDHL) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on RedHill Biopharma stock, see the RDHL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026