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Postal Realty Trust Inc (PSTL)
NYSE:PSTL

Postal Realty (PSTL) AI Stock Analysis

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PS

Postal Realty

(NYSE:PSTL)

68Neutral
Postal Realty's stock is driven by strong financial performance, highlighted by zero debt and robust revenue growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio points to potential overvaluation risk. The earnings call provided positive insights into operational efficiency and acquisition plans, supporting overall stability and growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Growth
The company has been active in acquiring properties, which suggests growth opportunities in the acquisition market.
Financial Performance
The company reported higher-than-expected FFO and AFFO, indicating strong financial performance.
Negative Factors
Federal Budget Concerns
Potential risks from federal government budget cuts are a concern for the company.
Government Policy Impact
The White House is proposing to take the USPS private, creating uncertainty.

Postal Realty (PSTL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Postal Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPostal Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed real estate investment trust that owns and manages over 1,000 properties leased to the USPS. The Company believes it is one of the largest owners and managers of properties leased to the USPS.
How the Company Makes MoneyPostal Realty Trust, Inc. generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties leased to the USPS. As a REIT, the company is required to distribute a majority of its taxable income to shareholders in the form of dividends. PSTL's earnings are influenced by its strategic acquisition of postal properties, lease agreements with USPS, and efficient property management. The company's revenue model benefits from the stability and reliability of USPS as a tenant, given its significant role in national infrastructure. Additionally, PSTL may engage in property management services for third-party owners of postal properties, contributing to its earnings.

Postal Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Postal Realty demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet characterized by zero debt in 2024. The company efficiently generates cash flow, though EBITDA margins have seen a decline, indicating a potential area for operational improvement. Overall, the financial trajectory is positive, with notable strengths in profitability and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Postal Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 19.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 87.1% and a net profit margin of 8.6% for 2024. The EBIT margin is also strong at 27.7%, indicating efficient operations. However, the EBITDA margin decreased from 52.9% in 2023 to 21.8% in 2024, which is a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Postal Realty exhibits a robust balance sheet with no total debt in 2024, significantly improving the debt-to-equity ratio to 0. The equity ratio is strong at 38.8%, and the return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 2.6% for 2024. The substantial increase in stockholders' equity indicates a solid financial position.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's free cash flow grew by 31% from 2023 to 2024, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 5.1, reflecting efficient cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 5.1 suggests there is room for improvement in converting profits into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
81.23M76.37M63.71M53.33M39.94M24.68M
Gross Profit
50.63M57.40M48.34M40.54M30.55M19.66M
EBIT
24.42M21.18M14.00M9.70M5.92M1.79M
EBITDA
44.38M40.99M33.68M27.86M19.40M10.96M
Net Income Common Stockholders
8.07M6.60M3.71M3.85M2.06M-640.88K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
639.00K1.80M2.23M1.50M5.86M2.21M
Total Assets
654.02M646.82M567.35M501.30M377.72M258.88M
Total Debt
0.00296.71M240.62M196.66M95.35M124.63M
Net Debt
306.08M294.91M238.39M195.17M89.49M122.42M
Total Liabilities
339.11M329.32M265.72M217.59M112.24M139.25M
Stockholders Equity
245.48M251.28M243.56M229.23M220.04M91.99M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
35.08M30.73M25.56M20.90M15.20M8.43M
Operating Cash Flow
37.92M33.50M28.43M24.59M17.09M9.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-81.05M-79.15M-72.61M-120.15M-106.72M-126.15M
Financing Cash Flow
42.01M45.32M45.01M90.57M93.39M106.84M

Postal Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.63
Price Trends
50DMA
13.59
Negative
100DMA
13.24
Negative
200DMA
13.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
35.92
Neutral
STOCH
27.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSTL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.06, below the 50-day MA of 13.59, and below the 200-day MA of 13.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSTL.

Postal Realty Risk Analysis

Postal Realty disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Postal Realty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Postal Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$365.07M45.012.62%7.62%23.51%167.49%
DEDEA
63
Neutral
$911.57M48.961.32%13.16%6.06%-15.10%
60
Neutral
$2.81B11.050.20%8508.34%6.12%-16.02%
EQEQC
56
Neutral
$169.73M4.102.10%-4.47%-44.64%
ONONL
51
Neutral
$110.66M-10.71%15.92%-18.92%-15.81%
OPOPI
42
Neutral
$19.43M-15.03%14.60%-11.91%-80.43%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSTL
Postal Realty
12.63
-0.35
-2.70%
OPI
Office Properties Income
0.27
-1.93
-87.73%
DEA
Easterly Government Properties
20.14
-7.58
-27.34%
EQC
Equity Commonwealth
1.58
-17.70
-91.80%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.01
-1.40
-41.06%
NLOP
Net Lease Office Properties
30.22
6.22
25.92%

Postal Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.61%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong operational performance with high occupancy rates, successful re-leasing activities, and robust acquisition activity. Financial metrics were solid, with low leverage and effective capital management. However, challenges such as the need for lump sum catch-up payments and a lack of updates on the DOGE DSA engagement were noted. The positive aspects of the call significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
High Occupancy Rate
Occupancy is at 99.8%, demonstrating strong demand and effective property management.
Re-Leasing Success and Long-Term Visibility
Agreements on new rents for 2025 and 2026 expirations, with attention on 2027, alongside inclusion of 3% annual escalators and 10-year lease terms.
Strong Acquisition Activity
Acquired $16 million in Q1, with a continued acquisition pipeline of $80 million to $90 million for the year.
Financial Performance and Guidance
AFFO guidance on track to achieve $1.20 to $1.22 per share, and strong same-store cash NOI results with forward guidance of 4% to 6% for 2025.
Effective Capital Management
Maintained low leverage with net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA at 5.2x, and 90% fixed-rate debt.
Negative Updates
Lump Sum Catch-Up Payments
A total net lump sum catch-up payment of $426,000 was received due to outstanding expired leases from 2023 and 2024.
No Updates on DOGE DSA Engagement
No material updates on DOGE DSA engagement, although there is bipartisan support for the Postal Service real estate network.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Postal Realty Trust maintained a high occupancy rate of 99.8% and provided annual AFFO guidance of $1.20 to $1.22 per share, indicating strong operational performance. The company completed acquisitions worth $16 million at a 7.6% weighted average cap rate in Q1 and added $13 million in acquisitions post-quarter end, with another $22 million under definitive contracts. They anticipate an acquisition volume of $80 million to $90 million for the year, targeting a 7.5% weighted average cap rate. Postal Realty's AFFO for Q1 was $0.32 per share, and FFO was $0.28 per share. The company's net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA remained stable at 5.2x. The Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.2425 per share, a 1% increase from Q1 2024, well-covered by AFFO.

Postal Realty Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Updates Management Agreements with Amendments
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. announced amendments to its management agreements through its subsidiary, Real Estate Asset Counseling, LLC. These amendments, effective from April 1, 2025, include a management fee structure of 4.0% per annum of each property’s gross revenue, with annual increases and provisions for termination. The agreements, approved by an independent committee excluding CEO Andrew Spodek, also include additional fees for financing services.

Spark’s Take on PSTL Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, PSTL is a Neutral.

Postal Realty’s stock is driven by strong financial performance, highlighted by zero debt and robust revenue growth. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio points to potential overvaluation risk. The earnings call provided positive insights into operational efficiency and acquisition plans, supporting overall stability and growth prospects.

To see Spark’s full report on PSTL stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.