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Postal Realty Trust Inc (PSTL)
NYSE:PSTL

Postal Realty (PSTL) AI Stock Analysis

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PSTL

Postal Realty

(NYSE:PSTL)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(10.34% Upside)
Postal Realty's strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions are the primary drivers of its positive outlook. The attractive dividend yield and recent corporate events further support the stock's potential. However, the high P/E ratio and some technical indicators suggest caution. Overall, the stock presents a balanced risk-reward profile with a positive growth trajectory.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Balance Sheet Health
A debt-free balance sheet provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, supporting sustainable growth and resilience against economic downturns.
Strategic Acquisitions
Increased acquisition activity enhances asset base and revenue potential, indicating strategic expansion and long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
EBITDA Margin Decline
A declining EBITDA margin suggests potential operational inefficiencies, which could impact profitability if not addressed.
Increased Expenses
Higher expenses can pressure margins and reduce profitability, potentially affecting cash flow and financial performance.
Non-Recurring Payments
Reliance on non-recurring payments can create volatility in earnings, impacting predictability and investor confidence.

Postal Realty (PSTL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Postal Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPostal Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed real estate investment trust that owns and manages over 1,000 properties leased to the USPS. The Company believes it is one of the largest owners and managers of properties leased to the USPS.
How the Company Makes MoneyPostal Realty generates revenue primarily through leasing its acquired postal properties to tenants, which include the USPS and other commercial clients. The company operates on a net lease structure, where tenants are responsible for property expenses such as maintenance, taxes, and insurance, allowing Postal Realty to benefit from a steady stream of rental income while minimizing operational costs. Key revenue streams include base rental income from long-term leases and potential increases in rent through contractual escalations. Additionally, the company may benefit from property appreciation and the acquisition of new facilities, which can contribute to higher overall earnings. Strategic partnerships with government entities and commercial operators also play a significant role in securing long-term leases, enhancing the stability of revenue generation.

Postal Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Postal Realty Trust delivered strong third-quarter results with significant growth in AFFO and successful leasing and acquisition strategies. The addition of a new CFO is expected to enhance capital markets and strategic initiatives. However, non-recurring catch-up payments and increased fourth-quarter expenses are expected to impact short-term financials.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Third Quarter Results
Reported AFFO of $0.33 per share, reflecting a 10% growth compared to last year. Increased 2025 AFFO guidance by $0.06, representing annual growth of 13% at the midpoint.
Successful Leasing Strategy
Implemented a programmatic leasing framework with the Postal Service, leading to improved predictability of long-term revenue growth. Updated 2025 same-store cash NOI guidance to a range of 8.5% to 9.5%.
Acquisition Activity
Completed $42.3 million of acquisitions at a weighted average cash cap rate of 7.7% in the quarter, with closed volume through October 17 exceeding $100 million.
Leadership Addition
Steve Bakke joined as Chief Financial Officer, bringing valuable experience from Realty Income.
Dividend Increase
Approved a quarterly dividend of $0.2425 per share, representing a 1% increase from the third quarter of 2024.
Negative Updates
Catch-up Payment Impact
Third quarter benefited from a lump sum catch-up payment of $0.01 per share, which will not recur, impacting the fourth quarter AFFO.
Higher Fourth Quarter Expenses
Fourth quarter expected to have an additional $0.02 per share of R&M expense, impacting sequential AFFO growth.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Postal Realty Trust reported strong financial performance, with an Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) of $0.33 per share, marking a 10% increase from the previous year. The company enhanced its full-year AFFO guidance by $0.06, projecting an annual growth of 13% at the midpoint. Additionally, they anticipate a compound annual growth rate of 9% in per share AFFO from 2022 to 2025. The same-store cash Net Operating Income (NOI) guidance was also updated to a range of 8.5% to 9.5%, up from a previous range of 7% to 9%. Postal Realty Trust completed $42.3 million in acquisitions during the quarter at a weighted average cash cap rate of 7.7%, which contributes to a year-to-date acquisition total of over $100 million. For 2025, they expect acquisitions to meet or exceed $110 million. The company's balance sheet remained strong, with a net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.2x and a high percentage of fixed-rate debt. The quarterly dividend was increased by 1% to $0.2425 per share, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of approximately 73%.

Postal Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Postal Realty demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and a solid balance sheet characterized by zero debt in 2024. The company efficiently generates cash flow, though EBITDA margins have seen a decline, indicating a potential area for operational improvement. Overall, the financial trajectory is positive, with notable strengths in profitability and financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Postal Realty has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 19.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 87.1% and a net profit margin of 8.6% for 2024. The EBIT margin is also strong at 27.7%, indicating efficient operations. However, the EBITDA margin decreased from 52.9% in 2023 to 21.8% in 2024, which is a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Postal Realty exhibits a robust balance sheet with no total debt in 2024, significantly improving the debt-to-equity ratio to 0. The equity ratio is strong at 38.8%, and the return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 2.6% for 2024. The substantial increase in stockholders' equity indicates a solid financial position.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The company's free cash flow grew by 31% from 2023 to 2024, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is impressive at 5.1, reflecting efficient cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 5.1 suggests there is room for improvement in converting profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue91.19M76.37M63.71M53.33M39.94M24.44M
Gross Profit71.31M57.40M48.34M40.54M30.55M19.43M
EBITDA55.67M42.68M33.68M27.86M19.40M9.92M
Net Income14.01M6.60M3.71M3.85M2.06M-352.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets735.19M646.82M567.35M501.30M377.72M258.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.90M1.80M2.23M1.50M5.86M2.21M
Total Debt0.00296.71M240.62M196.66M95.35M124.63M
Total Liabilities386.71M329.32M265.72M217.59M112.24M139.25M
Stockholders Equity273.93M251.28M243.56M229.23M220.04M91.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.84M30.73M25.56M20.90M15.20M8.43M
Operating Cash Flow31.43M33.50M28.43M24.59M17.09M9.40M
Investing Cash Flow-71.96M-79.15M-72.61M-120.15M-106.72M-126.15M
Financing Cash Flow41.11M45.32M45.01M90.57M93.39M106.84M

Postal Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.86
Price Trends
50DMA
15.28
Positive
100DMA
15.20
Positive
200DMA
14.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
59.06
Neutral
STOCH
70.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSTL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.52, above the 50-day MA of 15.28, and above the 200-day MA of 14.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSTL.

Postal Realty Risk Analysis

Postal Realty disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Postal Realty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Postal Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$505.35M32.784.40%6.12%27.07%507.03%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
51
Neutral
$122.77M-0.90-18.67%7.34%-11.41%-56.73%
49
Neutral
$280.53M-2.17-17.91%5.76%-5.61%-651.25%
41
Neutral
40
Neutral
$92.36M-1.91-7.21%4.71%-14.68%-13.53%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSTL
Postal Realty
15.86
3.63
29.68%
FSP
Franklin Street Properties
0.85
-0.99
-53.80%
OPI
0.06
-0.92
-93.88%
CIO
City Office REIT
6.95
1.80
34.95%
ONL
Orion Office REIT
2.18
-1.48
-40.44%
NLOP
Net Lease Office Properties
25.58
1.06
4.32%

Postal Realty Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Acquires 25 Properties for $13.87 Million
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. completed the acquisition of a portfolio of 25 properties from the family of its CEO, Andrew Spodek, for approximately $13.87 million in cash. This transaction, approved by a special committee of independent directors, adds approximately 59,000 net leasable interior square feet to the company’s portfolio, enhancing its rental income potential.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Increases 2025 Acquisition Volume Guidance
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. announced an increase in its full-year 2025 acquisition volume guidance from $110 million to $120 million, reaffirming all other guidance. The company also entered into a definitive agreement to purchase a portfolio of 25 properties leased to the USPS for approximately $13.87 million. This acquisition, approved by a special committee of the Board of Directors, is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025 and is anticipated to increase shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Appoints New CFO Stephen Bakke
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. announced the appointment of Stephen Bakke as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective on or about November 5, 2025. Mr. Bakke, who brings extensive experience in capital markets and investor relations, will succeed Jeremy Garber, who served as interim CFO since June 18, 2025. This strategic appointment is expected to enhance the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder relationships as it continues to expand its portfolio.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Postal Realty Expands Credit Facilities to $440 Million
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Postal Realty Trust, Inc. announced the recast and expansion of its credit facilities to $440 million, effective immediately. This expansion includes a $150 million senior unsecured revolving credit facility and a $290 million term loan facility, with extended maturity dates to November 2029 and January 2030, respectively. The move is aimed at increasing the company’s liquidity and supporting its growth strategy, with the potential to increase lending commitments further. The new credit agreement also includes an interest rate swap to fix the SOFR component of the interest rate, enhancing financial stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025