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Prothena (PRTA)
NASDAQ:PRTA
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Prothena (PRTA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRTA

Prothena

(NASDAQ:PRTA)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(10.09% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/29/26
The score is held back most by weak recent financial performance (heavy losses and multi-year cash burn with episodic revenue), partially offset by a low-leverage balance sheet and supportive earnings-call fundamentals (strong cash position, improved 2026 cash-use outlook, and partnered pipeline momentum). Technicals are positive but somewhat overextended, while valuation remains constrained by losses; the buyback adds a modest positive signal.
Positive Factors
Partnered Late‑Stage Pipeline
Advancement of two partner programs into Phase III represents durable validation and de‑risking: large, external partners fund and run costly late‑stage trials, preserving Prothena's capital while retaining milestone/royalty upside. This structurally raises probability of meaningful future partner payments and long‑term revenue streams if trials succeed.
Negative Factors
Sustained Cash Burn & Volatile Revenue
Multi‑year negative operating and free cash flow driven by milestone‑timing and R&D spending creates structural financing needs. Even with current cash, continued losses and episodic collaboration revenue mean the company will likely require future fundraising or milestone receipt to sustain operations, increasing dilution and execution risk over the medium term.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Partnered Late‑Stage Pipeline
Advancement of two partner programs into Phase III represents durable validation and de‑risking: large, external partners fund and run costly late‑stage trials, preserving Prothena's capital while retaining milestone/royalty upside. This structurally raises probability of meaningful future partner payments and long‑term revenue streams if trials succeed.
Read all positive factors

Prothena (PRTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prothena Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Prothena Corporation plc, a late-stage clinical company, focuses on discovery and development of novel therapies for life-threatening diseases in the United States. The company is involved in developing Birtamimab, an investigational humanized ant...
How the Company Makes Money
Prothena primarily generates revenue through collaboration and license arrangements rather than product sales (it is a clinical-stage company and, to the extent it has no commercialized products, product revenue is null). Under these partnerships,...

Prothena Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which parts of the company are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsProthena's revenue from the Collaboration segment has experienced significant volatility, with notable spikes in mid-2021 and mid-2024. This suggests strategic partnerships or milestone payments driving revenue surges. Meanwhile, the License and Intellectual Property segment remains inconsistent, with occasional large contributions, likely from one-time licensing deals. The absence of recent earnings commentary leaves the sustainability of these revenue streams uncertain, highlighting potential risks for investors relying on consistent growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Prothena Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful scientific and business progress — two partner programs advanced to Phase III, strong Phase II biomarker signals (40% reduction in a PD motor endpoint subset; 48% NT‑proBNP reduction for coramitug), introduction of a novel CYTOPE technology with encouraging preclinical TDP‑43 results, and a solid year‑end cash position ($308.4M). Material near‑term upside exists (up to $105M in 2026 milestones and ~ $3B in potential future milestones across partners). Offsetting risks include ARIA‑E safety concerns for PRX012 prompting re‑engineering, some non‑statistically significant secondary endpoints (6‑minute walk test), multi‑year timelines to Phase III primary completions (2029), continued net losses and burn, and reliance on partner decisions for key programs (PRX019). Overall, positives — pipeline advancement, strong partner validation, and a healthy cash balance — outweigh the operational and timing risks.
Positive Updates
Two Partner Programs Advanced to Phase III
Roche advanced prasinezumab into the Phase III PARAISO trial (≈900 participants; primary completion expected in 2029). Novo Nordisk advanced coramitug into the Phase III CLEOPATTRA trial (≈1,280 patients; primary completion expected in 2029).
Negative Updates
ARIA‑E and Safety Profile Concerns for PRX012
PRX012 ASCENT reported ARIA‑E rates described as 'noncompetitive' relative to FDA‑approved anti‑Aβ antibodies, prompting a strategic pivot to a PRX012‑transferrin receptor (TfR) program to try to improve the ARIA profile.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Two Partner Programs Advanced to Phase III
Roche advanced prasinezumab into the Phase III PARAISO trial (≈900 participants; primary completion expected in 2029). Novo Nordisk advanced coramitug into the Phase III CLEOPATTRA trial (≈1,280 patients; primary completion expected in 2029).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Prothena's 2026 guidance calls for full‑year net cash used in operating and investing activities of $50–55 million, an estimated net loss of $67–72 million (which includes about $24 million of noncash share‑based compensation), and an expected year‑end cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash balance of approximately $255 million at the midpoint; this guidance does not include up to $105 million of potential aggregate clinical milestone payments from partners in 2026. For context, Prothena closed 2025 with $308.4 million in cash (as of Dec 31, 2025), reported 2025 net cash used in operating and investing activities of $163.7 million (favorable to prior guidance of $170–178 million), a 2025 net loss of $244.1 million (in line with guidance of $240–248 million), had 53.8 million ordinary shares outstanding as of Feb 12, 2026, and a simple capital structure with zero debt.

Prothena Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by inconsistent, milestone-driven revenue and a sharp swing from 2021 profitability to deep losses and sustained cash burn in 2022–2025. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with very low leverage, but equity has been shrinking, increasing longer-term financing risk if burn persists.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.68M135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M
Gross Profit5.98M135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M
EBITDA-197.13M-153.67M-190.11M-130.81M73.09M
Net Income-244.09M-122.31M-147.03M-116.95M66.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets326.80M547.11M696.38M758.03M609.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments307.53M471.39M618.83M710.41M579.09M
Total Debt13.86M10.84M11.84M6.47M12.33M
Total Liabilities46.33M60.18M135.02M135.99M143.32M
Stockholders Equity280.47M486.93M561.37M622.04M466.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-163.72M-150.35M-136.72M-109.28M92.03M
Operating Cash Flow-163.58M-150.05M-133.91M-108.82M92.61M
Investing Cash Flow-138.00K-298.00K-2.77M-464.00K-575.00K
Financing Cash Flow-139.00K1.55M45.10M241.46M190.33M

Prothena Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.90
Price Trends
50DMA
9.43
Positive
100DMA
9.57
Positive
200DMA
9.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Negative
RSI
65.81
Neutral
STOCH
85.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.93, above the 50-day MA of 9.43, and above the 200-day MA of 9.11, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRTA.

Prothena Risk Analysis

Prothena disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prothena reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prothena Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$496.58M15.0830.24%83.06%
56
Neutral
$595.39M-2.11-73.00%-92.83%-99.35%
56
Neutral
$601.20M5.9574.63%350.91%
55
Neutral
$682.13M-8.29-41.94%60.24%78.37%
55
Neutral
$1.28B-39.78-23.29%83.13%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$3.14B-34.11-72.65%45.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRTA
Prothena
10.64
2.14
25.18%
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals
1.63
0.95
139.71%
XOMA
XOMA Royalty Corporation
41.38
17.06
70.15%
ZVRA
Zevra Therapeutics
10.07
2.07
25.88%
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
15.46
11.84
327.07%
ALMS
Alumis Inc.
25.18
20.59
448.58%

Prothena Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Prothena Announces $100 Million Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Prothena announced that its board had authorized a share repurchase plan allowing the company to buy back up to $100 million of its ordinary shares, with the program running through December 31, 2026 and able to be suspended ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2026