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Prothena (PRTA)
NASDAQ:PRTA
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Prothena (PRTA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRTA

Prothena

(NASDAQ:PRTA)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(0.12% Upside)
Prothena's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial struggles, with declining revenue and profitability issues. Positive technical indicators and promising drug development news provide some optimism, but valuation concerns and operational challenges from workforce reductions weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Drug Development
The company plans to share the much-awaited data from the PRX012 MAD study, which if encouraging can be a catalyst for either a strategic partnership or an acquisition given the strong Alzheimer’s disease focused pipeline.
Strategic Partnerships
MAD data showing robust plaque reduction while maintaining lower ARIA rate can be encouraging for strategic partnership.
Therapeutic Potential
The company’s decision to evaluate 200 mg and 400 mg doses using a once-monthly regimen underscores confidence in PRX012’s potential and reflects a patient-friendly dosing model, particularly well-suited for subcutaneous administration in Alzheimer’s patients.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trial Failure
Birtamimab did not show survival benefit in severe ALA.
Cost Reductions
The company said it will now work on reducing operating expenses that will include and won’t be limited to a substantial workforce reduction.
Financial Stability
There are concerns about further cash burn in a difficult capital markets environment, impacting the company's financial stability.

Prothena (PRTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prothena Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProthena Corporation plc is a biotechnology company focused on discovering and developing novel therapeutics for the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases and cancer. The company leverages its expertise in protein misfolding and aggregation to create innovative therapies, primarily in the areas of amyloid-related diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's disease, along with other protein misfolding disorders. Prothena's pipeline includes several clinical-stage programs, highlighting its commitment to addressing unmet medical needs with its proprietary technology platform.
How the Company Makes MoneyProthena generates revenue through a combination of collaborations, licensing agreements, and potential milestone payments from its partnerships with pharmaceutical companies. The company enters into strategic alliances with larger biopharmaceutical firms that provide upfront payments and ongoing funding to support the development of its drug candidates. Additionally, Prothena may receive royalties on product sales if its partnered therapies reach the market. The company also has the potential for milestone payments as its candidates progress through various stages of clinical development, thereby contributing significantly to its earnings.

Prothena Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which parts of the company are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsProthena's revenue from the Collaboration segment has experienced significant volatility, with notable spikes in mid-2021 and mid-2024. This suggests strategic partnerships or milestone payments driving revenue surges. Meanwhile, the License and Intellectual Property segment remains inconsistent, with occasional large contributions, likely from one-time licensing deals. The absence of recent earnings commentary leaves the sustainability of these revenue streams uncertain, highlighting potential risks for investors relying on consistent growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Prothena Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a balanced outlook for Prothena. While there are significant opportunities for growth through its robust portfolio and strategic partnerships, challenges remain, particularly with the dependency on future clinical trial successes and the narrow miss in prasinezumab's statistical significance.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Portfolio and Strategic Partnerships
Prothena has a robust portfolio with four wholly-owned and four partnered programs across various stages of clinical development, allowing strategic collaborations to advance treatments while maintaining financial benefits.
Birtamimab's Commercial Potential
Birtamimab represents a significant multi-billion dollar global commercial opportunity as the first potential treatment for AL amyloidosis with demonstrated early survival benefit.
Partnerships with Major Pharmaceutical Companies
Collaborations with companies like Roche, Novo Nordisk, and Bristol Myers Squibb enhance the development of prasinezumab, coramitug, and BMS-986446, advancing them as potential transformative treatments.
Strong Financial Position
Prothena ended 2024 with $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, maintaining a simple capital structure with zero debt.
Negative Updates
Prasinezumab Narrowly Misses Statistical Significance
In the Phase 2b PADOVA study for early Parkinson's disease, prasinezumab showed potential but narrowly missed statistical significance with a p-value of 0.0657.
High Dependency on Future Clinical Success
Financial guidance for 2025 is heavily reliant on the success of upcoming clinical trials, with a projected net loss between $197 million and $205 million.
Company Guidance
During the Prothena Biosciences Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Prothena expects full-year 2025 net cash used in operating and investing activities to range between $168 million and $175 million, anticipating a year-end cash balance of approximately $301 million. The projected net loss for 2025 is estimated to be between $197 million and $205 million, inclusive of an estimated $41 million in non-cash share-based compensation expense. As of December 31, 2024, Prothena reported $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, and as of February 20, 2025, the company had approximately 53.8 million ordinary shares outstanding. The company emphasized that it maintains a simple capital structure with zero debt.

Prothena Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prothena shows revenue growth, but persistent losses and cash burn are significant concerns. The company maintains a strong equity position and cash reserves, yet ongoing negative profitability metrics and cash flow issues present risks. Improving profitability is essential for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Prothena's revenue has shown growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2020 to 2025. However, the company is currently operating at a loss as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income. Gross profit margin is positive, indicating some operational efficiency, but the net profit margin is negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with stockholders' equity significantly outweighing total debt, leading to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is high, indicating financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative due to persistent net losses, which is a concern for investors.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Prothena's cash flow situation is challenging with negative operating and free cash flow, suggesting cash burn. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to ongoing losses, but the company has maintained a decent cash reserve, which provides some buffer.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.34M135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M853.00K
Gross Profit9.43M135.16M-129.20M47.16M118.29M-74.03M
EBITDA-248.10M-154.56M-190.11M-131.56M71.97M-111.22M
Net Income-302.92M-122.31M-147.03M-116.95M66.97M-111.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets399.07M547.11M696.38M758.03M609.37M332.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments371.44M471.39M618.83M710.41M579.09M295.38M
Total Debt9.78M10.84M11.84M6.47M12.33M17.84M
Total Liabilities74.73M60.18M135.02M135.99M143.32M148.97M
Stockholders Equity324.33M486.93M561.37M622.04M466.04M184.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-196.69M-150.35M-136.72M-109.28M92.03M-80.56M
Operating Cash Flow-196.74M-150.05M-133.91M-108.82M92.61M-80.36M
Investing Cash Flow-184.94K-298.00K-2.77M-464.00K-575.00K-196.00K
Financing Cash Flow147.29K1.55M45.10M241.46M190.33M215.00K

Prothena Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.49
Price Trends
50DMA
7.32
Positive
100DMA
7.12
Positive
200DMA
10.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
61.63
Neutral
STOCH
49.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.31, above the 50-day MA of 7.32, and below the 200-day MA of 10.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PRTA.

Prothena Risk Analysis

Prothena disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prothena reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prothena Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
55
Neutral
$460.25M-66.85%-95.24%-493.05%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.38-43.43%2.22%22.30%-1.83%
50
Neutral
$915.71M-81.20%16.74%59.89%
48
Neutral
$658.03M-32.71%
45
Neutral
$790.27M-121.50%-10.46%
42
Neutral
$494.09M-73.44%-1.07%
40
Underperform
$353.92M-69.65%10.36%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRTA
Prothena
8.49
-11.92
-58.40%
RCKT
Rocket Pharmaceuticals
3.26
-16.47
-83.48%
KALV
KalVista Pharmaceuticals
15.96
4.09
34.46%
REPL
Replimune Group
6.04
-4.49
-42.64%
IMNM
Immunome
9.40
-5.22
-35.70%
BCAX
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
12.29
-13.12
-51.63%

Prothena Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prothena Announces Promising Phase 1 Results for PRX012
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Prothena announced results from its Phase 1 ASCENT clinical program for the investigational drug PRX012, aimed at treating early symptomatic Alzheimer’s disease. The study demonstrated that PRX012, a once-monthly, subcutaneous anti-amyloid beta antibody, showed promising results in reducing amyloid plaque but had higher ARIA-E rates compared to FDA-approved antibodies. Prothena plans to seek partnerships to further develop PRX012 and its preclinical PRX012-TfR antibody, which may offer a reduced risk of ARIA and quicker amyloid plaque reduction.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prothena’s Coramitug Advances to Phase 3 with Novo Nordisk
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Prothena announced that its partner Novo Nordisk will advance coramitug, a potential first-in-class amyloid depleter antibody, into Phase 3 development for ATTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy. This decision follows the successful completion of a Phase 2 trial and is expected to commence in 2025. Prothena stands to earn a clinical milestone payment upon meeting specific enrollment criteria in the Phase 3 trial. The advancement of coramitug marks a significant step in addressing the unmet needs of patients with ATTR amyloidosis, potentially enhancing Prothena’s industry positioning and offering substantial financial benefits through its agreement with Novo Nordisk.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prothena Secures Leadership with New Executive Agreements
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Prothena Biosciences Inc entered into employment agreements with key executives, including the Chief Strategy Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Chief Scientific Officer. These agreements outline their base salaries, bonus opportunities, and severance benefits, which align with the company’s existing severance plan. The agreements provide for enhanced severance benefits in the event of termination without cause or resignation for good reason, with further increases if such termination occurs in connection with a change in control. This move is likely to impact the company’s operations by securing leadership stability and potentially positioning the company more favorably in the industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prothena Announces Major Workforce Reduction to Cut Costs
Negative
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Prothena Corporation plc announced a significant reduction in its workforce by approximately 63% to cut operating costs and focus on its remaining wholly-owned programs and business development activities. This decision follows the company’s earlier announcement on May 23, 2025, to discontinue the development of birtamimab. The workforce reduction is expected to be completed by the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, with affected employees receiving severance packages. The company anticipates recognizing $16 to $20 million in severance and related benefits expenses. Additionally, the employment of Chief Regulatory Officer Carol D. Karp and Chief People Officer David A. Ford will terminate on August 1, 2025, as part of this reduction, triggering severance benefits and stock option adjustments.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Prothena’s Prasinezumab Advances to Phase III for Parkinson’s
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 15, 2025, Prothena Corporation announced that its partner Roche will advance prasinezumab into Phase III development for early-stage Parkinson’s disease. This decision follows data from the Phase IIb PADOVA study and ongoing open-label extensions, which suggest potential clinical benefits of prasinezumab, a first-in-class anti-alpha-synuclein antibody. The studies indicated positive trends towards reduced motor progression and provided biomarker evidence of prasinezumab’s impact on disease biology. This advancement could position prasinezumab as a potential disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson’s, addressing a significant unmet need for over 10 million affected individuals globally.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2025