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Prothena (PRTA)
NASDAQ:PRTA

Prothena (PRTA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRTA

Prothena

(NASDAQ:PRTA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(1.65% Upside)
Prothena's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flows. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the valuation remains a significant concern due to ongoing losses. The recent corporate event provides a positive outlook for financial flexibility, but strategic improvements are necessary for long-term growth.
Positive Factors
Innovative Drug Delivery
The development of CYTOPE, enabling cytosolic delivery of macromolecules, represents a significant advancement in targeting previously undruggable intracellular disease targets, potentially enhancing Prothena's competitive edge in neurodegenerative disease therapies.
Capital Reduction Approval
The approval of a capital reduction proposal is a positive development, potentially enhancing Prothena's financial flexibility and shareholder value by creating distributable reserves, which can be used for strategic investments or debt reduction.
Strategic Alliances
Prothena's strategic alliances with larger pharmaceutical firms enhance its financial resources and distribution network access, supporting long-term revenue generation and market reach, crucial for a clinical-stage biotech company.
Negative Factors
Negative Profitability
Persistent negative profitability metrics indicate ongoing financial challenges, limiting Prothena's ability to reinvest in R&D and potentially affecting long-term growth and sustainability unless addressed.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows constrain Prothena's operational and growth capabilities, necessitating improved cash generation strategies to ensure financial stability and fund future development projects.
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue growth reflects challenges in achieving development milestones or product commercialization, potentially impacting Prothena's ability to sustain operations and invest in new initiatives.

Prothena (PRTA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Prothena Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProthena Corporation plc, a late-stage clinical company, focuses on discovery and development of novel therapies for life-threatening diseases in the United States. The company is involved in developing Birtamimab, an investigational humanized antibody that is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of AL amyloidosis; Prasinezumab, a humanized monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase IIb clinical trial for the treatment of Parkinson's disease; PRX004 that completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of Transthyretin amyloidosis; and PRX005, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease. Its discovery and preclinical programs include PRX012 for the treatment of Alzheimer's disease; and dual Aß-Tau vaccine for the treatment and prevention of Alzheimer's disease. Prothena Corporation plc has a license, development, and commercialization agreement with F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd. and Hoffmann-La Roche Inc. to develop and commercialize antibodies that target alpha-synuclein; and a collaboration agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb to develop antibodies. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyProthena generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, which often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of specific development goals, and royalties on sales of approved products. The company may also receive funding from government grants and research institutions for specific projects. Prothena's strategic alliances with larger pharmaceutical firms can significantly enhance its financial resources and provide access to broader distribution networks, thereby contributing to its overall earnings. Additionally, any successful commercialization of its therapeutic candidates can lead to substantial revenues from product sales and licensing agreements.

Prothena Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much revenue each business segment generates, highlighting which parts of the company are driving growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsProthena's revenue from the Collaboration segment has experienced significant volatility, with notable spikes in mid-2021 and mid-2024. This suggests strategic partnerships or milestone payments driving revenue surges. Meanwhile, the License and Intellectual Property segment remains inconsistent, with occasional large contributions, likely from one-time licensing deals. The absence of recent earnings commentary leaves the sustainability of these revenue streams uncertain, highlighting potential risks for investors relying on consistent growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Prothena Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 20, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a balanced outlook for Prothena. While there are significant opportunities for growth through its robust portfolio and strategic partnerships, challenges remain, particularly with the dependency on future clinical trial successes and the narrow miss in prasinezumab's statistical significance.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Portfolio and Strategic Partnerships
Prothena has a robust portfolio with four wholly-owned and four partnered programs across various stages of clinical development, allowing strategic collaborations to advance treatments while maintaining financial benefits.
Birtamimab's Commercial Potential
Birtamimab represents a significant multi-billion dollar global commercial opportunity as the first potential treatment for AL amyloidosis with demonstrated early survival benefit.
Partnerships with Major Pharmaceutical Companies
Collaborations with companies like Roche, Novo Nordisk, and Bristol Myers Squibb enhance the development of prasinezumab, coramitug, and BMS-986446, advancing them as potential transformative treatments.
Strong Financial Position
Prothena ended 2024 with $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, maintaining a simple capital structure with zero debt.
Negative Updates
Prasinezumab Narrowly Misses Statistical Significance
In the Phase 2b PADOVA study for early Parkinson's disease, prasinezumab showed potential but narrowly missed statistical significance with a p-value of 0.0657.
High Dependency on Future Clinical Success
Financial guidance for 2025 is heavily reliant on the success of upcoming clinical trials, with a projected net loss between $197 million and $205 million.
Company Guidance
During the Prothena Biosciences Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Prothena expects full-year 2025 net cash used in operating and investing activities to range between $168 million and $175 million, anticipating a year-end cash balance of approximately $301 million. The projected net loss for 2025 is estimated to be between $197 million and $205 million, inclusive of an estimated $41 million in non-cash share-based compensation expense. As of December 31, 2024, Prothena reported $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, and as of February 20, 2025, the company had approximately 53.8 million ordinary shares outstanding. The company emphasized that it maintains a simple capital structure with zero debt.

Prothena Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prothena faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, negative profit margins, and cash flow difficulties. Despite a low debt-to-equity ratio indicating limited leverage, the company struggles with profitability and cash flow issues, which are critical for its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Prothena's income statement reveals significant challenges, with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data shows a sharp revenue decline of over 92%, and the net profit margin is deeply negative at -29.29%. The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. Despite past revenue growth, recent trends indicate financial instability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03, indicating limited leverage and potential financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the company's equity position appears relatively strong compared to its debt, which is a positive aspect.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that cash flow issues are aligned with net income losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.79M135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M853.00K
Gross Profit-17.15M135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M-74.03M
EBITDA-217.76M-153.67M-190.11M-130.81M73.09M-111.22M
Net Income-280.46M-122.31M-147.03M-116.95M66.97M-111.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets352.63M547.11M696.38M758.03M609.37M332.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments330.84M471.39M618.83M710.41M579.09M295.38M
Total Debt9.08M10.84M11.84M6.47M12.33M17.84M
Total Liabilities57.64M60.18M135.02M135.99M143.32M148.97M
Stockholders Equity294.99M486.93M561.37M622.04M466.04M184.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-188.22M-150.35M-136.72M-109.28M92.03M-80.56M
Operating Cash Flow-188.04M-150.05M-133.91M-108.82M92.61M-80.36M
Investing Cash Flow-181.00K-298.00K-2.77M-464.00K-575.00K-196.00K
Financing Cash Flow-198.00K1.55M45.10M241.46M190.33M215.00K

Prothena Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.33
Price Trends
50DMA
10.33
Negative
100DMA
9.19
Positive
200DMA
9.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
42.38
Neutral
STOCH
21.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.46, above the 50-day MA of 10.33, and above the 200-day MA of 9.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRTA.

Prothena Risk Analysis

Prothena disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prothena reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prothena Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$487.54M13.7334.81%240.47%
54
Neutral
$392.73M-21.0616.22%118.02%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$600.74M-2.14-67.63%-91.16%-112.24%
48
Neutral
$476.05M-45.92%1255.21%74.58%
43
Neutral
$574.43M-66.88%13.80%
41
Neutral
$647.49M-35.82%79.27%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRTA
Prothena
10.33
-3.48
-25.20%
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals
1.32
0.50
60.98%
XOMA
Xoma
26.54
-1.49
-5.32%
ZVRA
Zevra Therapeutics
8.39
-0.05
-0.59%
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
8.40
0.32
3.96%
ALMS
Alumis Inc.
11.61
2.88
32.99%

Prothena Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Prothena Shareholders Approve Capital Reduction Proposal
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Prothena Corporation held an extraordinary general meeting where shareholders approved a proposal to reduce the company’s capital to create distributable reserves. This decision is expected to impact the company’s financial flexibility and potentially enhance shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025