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Prairie Operating Co
(NASDAQ:PROP)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$0.54
▼(-32.63% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/19/26
Overall score reflects a company with improving scale and operating cash flow plus a notably stronger balance sheet, but held back by current profitability/free-cash-flow weakness. Technicals are a significant drag given the persistent downtrend, while valuation signals are not supportive due to negative earnings and no dividend. The earnings call was constructive operationally, but liquidity and capital-structure risks keep the outlook cautious.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Rapid revenue expansion indicates meaningful scaling of the production platform and stronger market reach. Sustained growth can improve fixed-cost absorption and create operating leverage if Prairie maintains production execution and commodity exposure.
Negative Factors
Unstable Profitability
The swing from profit to a substantial TTM loss shows that revenue growth has not yet translated into dependable earnings. Persistent operating or non-operating costs could limit internal funding capacity and weaken the durability of reported growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Rapid revenue expansion indicates meaningful scaling of the production platform and stronger market reach. Sustained growth can improve fixed-cost absorption and create operating leverage if Prairie maintains production execution and commodity exposure.
Read all positive factors
Prairie Operating Co (PROP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$59.65M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)2.19M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.59
Revenue Growth282.70%
EPS Growth79.35%
CountryUS
Employees59
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.68
Shares Outstanding112,798,010
10 Day Avg. Volume1,284,349
30 Day Avg. Volume2,193,179
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)0.59
Price to Sales (P/S)0.32
P/FCF Ratio-1.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$2.25Price Target Upside181.25% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.52
Revenue Forecast (FY)$351.23M
Prairie Operating Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Prairie Operating Co., headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, is focused on developing energy resources to meet growing global demand while simultaneously prioritizing environmental protection. The organization adopted its current name, Prairie...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Prairie Operating Co Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 17, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted clear operational progress (well delivery below AFE, drilling efficiency, new 3-mile lateral success and hole-size savings), strong revenue growth (Q2 revenue +45% YoY, H1 revenue +125% YoY) and an extended hedging program that improves cashflow visibility. At the same time, meaningful near-term challenges remain: negative realized gas pricing, limited revolver availability ($39 million), capex outpacing operating cash in Q2, and ongoing uncertainty around fully resolving the Series F preferred which has been extended multiple times. Management adjusted guidance conservatively to preserve liquidity and signaled a modest production decline exiting the year. Overall, positive operational and top-line momentum is tempered by liquidity and capital-structure risks, producing a balanced view.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $98.9 million in Q2 2026, up approximately 45% year-over-year; first half 2026 revenue of $182.3 million, up ~125% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Negative Natural Gas Realizations
Average realized natural gas price was negative $1.30/Mcf in Q2 due to weaker CIG pricing, reducing gas revenue and impacting quarter results.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue of $98.9 million in Q2 2026, up approximately 45% year-over-year; first half 2026 revenue of $182.3 million, up ~125% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Prairie revised its full‑year 2026 guidance to average daily production of 23,000–25,000 BOE/d, capital expenditures of $185–195 million and adjusted EBITDA of $180–190 million, citing a desire to preserve and increase liquidity while pacing development around first‑half results, TIL timing and Colorado seasonal restrictions; supporting metrics discussed included H2 oil swaps covering ~2.7 million barrels at a weighted average $63.09/bbl and gas swaps covering ~7.6 million MMBtu at $4.08/MMBtu, a June 30 reserve‑based credit facility borrowing base of $475 million with $436 million drawn and $39 million available, August month‑to‑date production of ~27,000 BOE/d versus Q2 average production of 21,866 BOE/d (~2.0 million BOE in Q2, ~72% liquids/50% oil), Q2 revenue of $98.9 million (oil revenue $93.5 million), Q2 adjusted EBITDA $34 million, Q1–H1 revenue $182.3 million and adjusted EBITDA $71.1 million, YTD capex $132.6 million (Q2 capex ~$98.5 million), per‑BOE costs LOE $6.85, T&P $1.22, ad valorem & production taxes $4.01 and G&A $6.01, drilling/operational metrics (Q2: 12 wells drilled—2 Codell/10 Niobrara—avg measured depth ~19,100 ft, ROP 390 ft/hr, spud‑to‑rig‑release 6.65 days; YTD: 27 wells, avg depth ~18,700 ft, ROP 377 ft/hr, spud‑to‑rig 6.2 days), and continued balance‑sheet actions including a partial Series F preferred refinancing and reduction in anniversary warrant coverage (from 1.25:1 to 0.65:1) with the anniversary warrant date extended to Aug 31, 2026.Prairie Operating Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 343.01M | 241.65M | 7.94M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 369.80K |
| Gross Profit | 186.61M | 121.18M | 4.79M | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.01K |
| EBITDA | -31.05M | 131.14M | -38.29M | -60.92M | 188.80K | -17.91M |
| Net Income | -44.67M | 32.05M | -40.91M | -79.08M | -461.52K | -17.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.01B | 944.55M | 156.55M | 45.82M | 6.79M | 13.20M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 21.00K | 20.00K | 5.19M | 13.04M | 246.36K | 2.79M |
| Total Debt | 483.77M | 370.55M | 46.53M | 136.00K | 6.54M | 5.50M |
| Total Liabilities | 782.24M | 814.38M | 103.79M | 5.65M | 13.32M | 9.00M |
| Stockholders Equity | 222.97M | 130.16M | 52.77M | 40.17M | -6.53M | 4.20M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -34.96M | -43.23M | -37.87M | -33.47M | -7.49M | -16.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 238.44M | 153.90M | -9.35M | -11.94M | -2.19M | -6.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -277.53M | -655.92M | -83.41M | -23.68M | -1.82M | -9.93M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 28.46M | 496.84M | 84.91M | 48.58M | 1.47M | 17.79M |
Prairie Operating Co Technical Analysis
Negative
0.80
Price Trends
0.74
Negative
0.97
Negative
1.38
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.04
Positive
35.29
Neutral
3.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PROP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, above the 50-day MA of 0.74, and below the 200-day MA of 1.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PROP.
Prairie Operating Co Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
57 Neutral | $26.64M | 9.32 | 7.44% | 11.00% | -41.56% | -46.62% | |
54 Neutral | $59.65M | -0.78 | -39.24% | ― | 282.70% | 79.35% | |
54 Neutral | $59.73M | 10.34 | 12.46% | 6.02% | 71.83% | 86.17% | |
48 Neutral | $126.90M | -33.88 | -5.44% | 12.53% | -3.16% | -313.41% |
* Energy Sector Average
PROP
Prairie Operating Co
0.53
-1.97
-78.88%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.53
-1.06
-23.04%
CRT
Cross Timbers Royalty
10.81
2.63
32.18%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.81
0.04
2.03%
MTR
Mesa Royalty
2.68
-2.77
-50.86%
PRT
Permrock Royalty
2.19
-1.58
-41.96%
Prairie Operating Co Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Prairie Operating Eases Covenants and Adjusts Warrant Terms
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
Prairie Operating Co. on August 14, 2026, executed a third amendment to its amended and restated credit agreement with Citibank and other lenders, retroactive to June 30, 2026, easing its required current ratio for the June, September and December...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Prairie Operating Updates Warrant Terms and Investor Protections
Neutral
Aug 10, 2026
On August 7, 2026, Prairie Operating Co. agreed with investor Hudson Bay PH XIX LLC to amend their existing securities purchase arrangements, shifting the Anniversary Warrant Issuance Date from August 7, 2026 to August 14, 2026 and updating relate...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Prairie Operating Co Appoints New Independent Board Director
Positive
Jul 22, 2026
Prairie Operating Co., a Houston-based independent energy producer listed on Nasdaq, develops and acquires oil and natural gas resources in the Denver-Julesburg Basin, concentrating on the Niobrara and Codell formations. The company pursues discip...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Prairie Operating Faces Nasdaq Bid Price Compliance Warning
Negative
Jul 9, 2026
On July 2, 2026, Prairie Operating Co. disclosed that it had received notice from Nasdaq that its common stock had closed below the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement for 30 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with Na...
Executive/Board Changes
Prairie Operating Names New CEO and CFO, Updates Pay
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 23, 2026, Prairie Operating Co. promoted Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Gregory S. Patton to chief executive officer and board member, and appointed former Citigroup natural resources banker Michael Shelly as executiv...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Prairie Operating Updates Credit Agreement and Capital Structure
Neutral
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Prairie Operating Co. amended its Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Citibank and other lenders, reaffirming a $475 million borrowing base while tightening covenants tied to distributable free cash flow and altering repor...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Prairie Operating Shareholders Back Board and Auditor Slate
Positive
Jun 5, 2026
At Prairie Operating Co.’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 3, 2026, holders of 65,706,444 shares out of 97,344,348 outstanding common shares cast votes on board elections and auditor ratification. Stockholders elected four d...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.