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Progress Software Corp. (PRGS)
NASDAQ:PRGS
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Progress Software (PRGS) AI Stock Analysis

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PRGS

Progress Software

(NASDAQ:PRGS)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$51.00
▲(14.07% Upside)
Progress Software's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, supported by strategic corporate events. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation.

Progress Software (PRGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Progress Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProgress Software Corporation (PRGS) is a global software company that specializes in application development, data connectivity, and digital experience solutions. Founded in 1981, the company operates in diverse sectors including enterprise application development, data management, and cloud-based solutions. Its core products include the Telerik suite for UI development, the Kendo UI framework, the OpenEdge platform for creating business applications, and various data integration tools designed to enhance connectivity and performance in hybrid environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyProgress Software generates revenue primarily through software licensing, subscription services, and maintenance fees. The company offers a range of products under both perpetual licenses and subscription-based models, allowing customers to choose the payment structure that best fits their needs. Key revenue streams include sales of its developer tools and platforms, which are crucial for building applications, as well as its data management solutions that facilitate seamless data integration and analytics. Additionally, Progress collaborates with various technology partners to enhance its product offerings and extend its market reach, contributing to its earnings through strategic alliances and integrations.

Progress Software Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -29.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, successful integration of ShareFile, and strong balance sheet improvements. The company's strategic moves, such as the acquisition of Nuclia and enhanced AI capabilities, demonstrate a positive outlook. However, there was a minor setback with free cash flow being below expectations due to transitional activities. Overall, the positives significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q2 2025 reached $237 million, marking a 36% increase over the previous year. This growth was strong across geographies and product lines.
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Increase
ARR grew by 46% year-over-year to $838 million, with a net retention rate of 100%.
Successful Integration of ShareFile
Integration of ShareFile is ahead of schedule, with primary operational synergies completed and the transition services agreement terminated earlier than planned.
Enhanced AI Capabilities
New AI capabilities were added to Progress Telerik and Kendo UI, improving customer development workflows and reducing business risk.
Debt Repayment and Strong Balance Sheet
Paid down $40 million on revolving credit line during Q2, contributing to a total of $70 million repaid in the first half of 2025.
Recognition and Awards
Progress was named among the 2025 Best Places to Work by the Boston Business Journal, and CEO Yogesh Gupta received the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year award in New England.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Below Expectations
Free cash flow for the quarter was below expectations due to timing issues and the transition of ShareFile onto Progress's billing platform.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Progress Software reported robust financial results, with total revenue reaching $237 million, a 36% increase from the previous year. The company's annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 46% year-over-year to $838 million, maintaining a net retention rate of 100%. The operating margin was 40%, and earnings per share exceeded guidance, reaching $1.40. Progress Software also paid down $40 million on its revolving credit line, contributing to a net debt position of $1.37 billion. The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting revenue between $962 million and $974 million and earnings per share between $5.28 and $5.40. Additionally, Progress Software completed the acquisition of Nuclia for $20 million, aiming to integrate its agentic RAG AI capabilities across its product portfolio.

Progress Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Progress Software demonstrates strong revenue growth and efficient cash flow management, though high leverage is a potential risk. The company shows strong operational performance and cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Progress Software has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with an impressive increase from $442 million in 2020 to $869 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins are robust, consistently above 80%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown some variability, reflecting fluctuations in net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, which is a potential risk factor, as the company has significantly increased its leverage over the years. Despite this, the return on equity (ROE) remains positive, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, although relatively low, suggesting that liabilities make up a significant portion of the company's financing structure.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has been consistently strong, exceeding net income, which is a positive indicator of cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, though it has seen some fluctuations. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue869.02M753.41M694.44M602.01M531.31M442.15M
Gross Profit709.90M622.93M567.86M507.52M452.86M380.04M
EBITDA260.18M124.00M213.38M214.77M178.93M149.50M
Net Income57.59M68.44M70.20M95.07M78.42M79.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.41B2.53B1.60B1.41B1.36B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.01M118.08M126.96M251.76M157.37M106.00M
Total Debt1.49B1.56B747.11M640.59M591.35M416.48M
Total Liabilities1.96B2.09B1.14B1.01B951.05M695.77M
Stockholders Equity452.70M438.79M459.71M393.99M412.49M346.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.53M206.29M168.35M186.07M173.88M138.33M
Operating Cash Flow176.25M211.49M173.92M192.16M178.53M144.85M
Investing Cash Flow-859.62M-857.91M-360.38M-6.09M-258.62M-218.69M
Financing Cash Flow590.52M640.82M51.19M-91.68M131.46M6.15M

Progress Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.71
Price Trends
50DMA
52.01
Negative
100DMA
55.99
Negative
200DMA
58.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.84
Negative
RSI
37.18
Neutral
STOCH
49.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRGS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.95, below the 50-day MA of 52.01, and below the 200-day MA of 58.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRGS.

Progress Software Risk Analysis

Progress Software disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Progress Software reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Progress Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.16B20.1817.50%6.75%97.06%
72
Outperform
$1.95B34.5513.48%1.57%22.10%-20.37%
71
Outperform
$1.73B593.71-0.13%21.92%95.91%
61
Neutral
$34.98B7.37-10.82%1.91%8.82%-8.66%
61
Neutral
$2.24B0.78-1.23%-3.75%-100.59%
60
Neutral
$2.72B16.58%6.47%90.60%
59
Neutral
$1.48B-33.99%9.93%-11.15%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRGS
Progress Software
46.70
-10.54
-18.41%
RNG
RingCentral
30.87
-2.78
-8.26%
OLO
Olo
10.23
4.81
88.75%
CXM
Sprinklr
8.72
-0.38
-4.18%
AMPL
Amplitude
11.55
2.62
29.34%
DBD
Diebold Nixdorf Inc
63.09
22.84
56.75%

Progress Software Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Progress Software Secures New Credit Facility Agreement
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Progress Software announced a new credit facility agreement, increasing its revolving credit from $900 million to $1.5 billion and extending the maturity date to July 31, 2030. This move is expected to support the company’s growth strategy and enhance its ability to pursue additional acquisitions, positioning Progress well for future expansion.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Progress Software Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Progress Software announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a 36% year-over-year increase in revenue to $237 million and a 46% increase in annualized recurring revenue to $838 million. The company also raised its full-year guidance for revenue, operating margin, earnings per share, and cash flow, reflecting strong performance across all geographies and successful integration of ShareFile. Additionally, Progress acquired Nuclia, an innovator in agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation AI solutions, to enhance its Data Platform and expand market reach.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025