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Progress Software (PRGS)
:PRGS

Progress Software (PRGS) AI Stock Analysis

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Progress Software

(NASDAQ:PRGS)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(14.87%Upside)
Progress Software's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are offset by bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio indicating potential overvaluation. Continued operational efficiency and revenue growth are key positives, but technical challenges pose near-term risks.

Progress Software (PRGS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Progress Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProgress Software Corporation, listed as PRGS, is a global software company that specializes in providing products to develop, deploy, and manage high-impact business applications. The company operates in the software and technology sector, offering a comprehensive suite of products that include application development, data connectivity and integration, and digital experience solutions. With a focus on helping businesses drive digital transformation, Progress Software serves a diverse range of industries, including financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, and telecommunications.
How the Company Makes MoneyProgress Software generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, maintenance and support services, and cloud-based subscription services. The company's key revenue streams include licensing fees for its development tools and platforms, which enable businesses to create custom applications tailored to their specific needs. Additionally, Progress Software offers subscription-based services for its cloud solutions, providing clients with scalable and flexible options for application deployment and management. The company also earns from providing technical support and consulting services, ensuring customers maximize the value of their investments in Progress Software's products. Significant partnerships with other technology firms and system integrators further enhance its revenue potential by expanding its market reach and integrating its solutions into broader technology ecosystems.

Progress Software Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance for Progress Software with significant revenue and ARR growth, successful integration of ShareFile, and strategic acquisition of Nuclia to enhance AI capabilities. Despite a minor setback in free cash flow, the company's overall financial health and outlook remain robust.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and ARR Growth
Total revenue for the second quarter was $237 million, up 36% over last year. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 46% year-over-year to $838 million, with net retention at 100%.
Successful ShareFile Integration
ShareFile integration is ahead of schedule, with most operational synergies completed. ShareFile contributed to strong renewals and expansions, and has been integrated with Microsoft 365, enhancing productivity.
Improved Operating Margin and Earnings
Operating margin was 40%, with earnings per share exceeding guidance at $1.40. Strong cost management and solid top line performance were key drivers.
Nuclia Acquisition
Acquired Nuclia for $20 million to enhance AI capabilities. This acquisition is expected to integrate AI features across Progress's product portfolio.
Increased Full Year Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance increased by $4 million to $962-$974 million. Earnings per share guidance increased to $5.28-$5.40.
Negative Updates
Free Cash Flow Below Expectations
Free cash flow was below expectations due to timing on collections and the transition of ShareFile to Progress's billing system.
Company Guidance
During Progress Software's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a total revenue of $237 million, marking a 36% increase from the previous year. The annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 46% year-over-year, reaching $838 million, with a net retention rate of 100%. The operating margin was reported at 40%, and earnings per share exceeded expectations, highlighting effective cost management. Additionally, the company paid down $40 million on its revolving credit line, contributing to an improved balance sheet. Looking ahead, Progress Software raised its guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year, anticipating continued business strength and solid expense control.

Progress Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Progress Software displays strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, high operational efficiency, and robust cash flow generation. The financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a positive outlook. However, the reliance on debt warrants cautious monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Progress Software demonstrates a strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, as seen in the 7.07% increase from the prior year in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is robust at 80.15%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 7.03%, suggesting increased expenses or other costs affecting net income. The EBIT margin of 15.57% and EBITDA margin of 25.09% show healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, suggesting moderate leverage. The company's return on equity is 13.14%, indicating reasonable profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 17.54%, which implies a lower reliance on equity financing, hence a potential risk if debt levels rise.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operational cash flow to net income ratio of 3.73, suggesting excellent cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.62, reflecting efficient capital expenditure management. The free cash flow has slightly decreased by 0.49% year-over-year, which is manageable given the overall positive cash flow metrics.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue869.02M753.41M694.44M602.01M531.31M442.15M
Gross Profit709.90M622.93M567.86M507.52M452.86M380.04M
EBITDA260.18M124.00M213.38M214.77M178.93M149.50M
Net Income57.59M68.44M70.20M95.07M78.42M79.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.41B2.53B1.60B1.41B1.36B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.01M118.08M126.96M251.76M157.37M106.00M
Total Debt1.49B1.56B747.11M640.59M591.35M416.48M
Total Liabilities1.96B2.09B1.14B1.01B951.05M695.77M
Stockholders Equity452.70M438.79M459.71M393.99M412.49M346.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow170.53M206.29M168.35M186.07M173.88M138.33M
Operating Cash Flow176.25M211.49M173.92M192.16M178.53M144.85M
Investing Cash Flow-859.62M-857.91M-360.38M-6.09M-258.62M-218.69M
Financing Cash Flow590.52M640.82M51.19M-91.68M131.46M6.15M

Progress Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price49.62
Price Trends
50DMA
60.87
Negative
100DMA
58.43
Negative
200DMA
61.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.09
Positive
RSI
22.20
Positive
STOCH
2.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRGS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 49.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.06, below the 50-day MA of 60.87, and below the 200-day MA of 61.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.20 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRGS.

Progress Software Risk Analysis

Progress Software disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Progress Software reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Progress Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.46B58.915.02%11.65%
DVDV
76
Outperform
$2.50B49.334.83%15.30%-22.69%
74
Outperform
$2.77B51.995.74%15.33%-47.04%
68
Neutral
$2.14B37.9913.48%1.41%22.10%-20.37%
TDTDC
67
Neutral
$2.13B15.11130.19%-6.53%240.56%
56
Neutral
HK$13.96B5.37-5.75%5.38%9.34%-42.23%
RNRNG
52
Neutral
$2.42B16.58%7.78%70.43%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRGS
Progress Software
49.62
-5.33
-9.70%
FORM
Formfactor
35.97
-25.00
-41.00%
TDC
Teradata
21.43
-12.56
-36.95%
TTMI
TTM Technologies
44.11
22.95
108.46%
RNG
RingCentral
26.93
-4.42
-14.10%
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings
14.63
-5.32
-26.67%

Progress Software Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Progress Software Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Progress Software announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a 36% year-over-year increase in revenue to $237 million and a 46% increase in annualized recurring revenue to $838 million. The company also raised its full-year guidance for revenue, operating margin, earnings per share, and cash flow, reflecting strong performance across all geographies and successful integration of ShareFile. Additionally, Progress acquired Nuclia, an innovator in agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation AI solutions, to enhance its Data Platform and expand market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRGS) stock is a Buy with a $75.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Progress Software stock, see the PRGS Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Progress Software Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on May 8
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Progress Software Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders where key decisions were made, including the election of nine board members, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions are crucial for the company’s governance and operational strategy, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025