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Pennant Group Inc (PNTG)
NASDAQ:PNTG

Pennant Group (PNTG) AI Stock Analysis

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Pennant Group

(NASDAQ:PNTG)

64Neutral
Pennant Group's overall score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating a stable outlook with growth potential. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio raises valuation concerns. The absence of a dividend yield might deter income-focused investors.

Pennant Group (PNTG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Pennant Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Pennant Group, Inc. engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Home Health and Hospice Services, Senior Living Services, and All Other. The Home Health and Hospice Services segment provides combination of clinical care services such as nursing, speech, occupational and physical therapy, medical social work, and home health aide services. The Senior Living Services segment deals with assisted and independent living and memory care businesses. The All Other segment includes mobile diagnostic and laboratory services. The company was founded on January 24, 2019 and is headquartered in Eagle, ID.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Pennant Group makes money through its three main service lines: home health, hospice, and senior living. Revenue in the home health and hospice sectors is generated primarily through reimbursements from Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance for services rendered. The senior living segment earns revenue from private payers, which include residents and their families, who pay for room, board, and care services. The company's growth strategy often involves acquiring and integrating new agencies and facilities, which can expand its market reach and revenue base. Additionally, Pennant Group's focus on operational efficiency and quality care helps maintain its competitive edge and profitability.

Pennant Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pennant Group demonstrates solid revenue growth and improved profitability, supported by efficient cash flow management and reduced financial leverage. However, the high liabilities and the peculiar gross profit reporting require careful monitoring. The overall financial health of the company appears stable with a positive growth trajectory.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a strong revenue growth rate of approximately 27.6% from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust business expansion. However, the gross profit margin remains flat at 100% due to the reported gross profit equaling total revenue, which may suggest a reporting issue. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved to 5.5% and 4.1% respectively, reflecting better operational efficiency. The net profit margin increased from 2.5% to 3.2%, demonstrating enhanced profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Pennant Group's debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 0.93 from 2.35, indicating improved financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) increased to 7.7%, reflecting better profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 43.2%, indicating moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet shows a positive trend in managing debts but still retains a relatively high level of liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The operating cash flow to net income ratio increased to 1.7x, suggesting strong cash generation capability relative to net income. Free cash flow improved significantly, with a growth of approximately 21.3%, showcasing enhanced cash management and operational efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.34x, indicating good cash flow coverage. The company exhibits a strong cash flow position with improved liquidity.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
695.24M544.89M473.24M439.69M390.95M
Gross Profit
93.76M67.04M58.59M45.74M54.89M
EBIT
38.12M25.17M19.67M4.70M18.92M
EBITDA
44.44M30.64M24.60M9.46M23.82M
Net Income Common Stockholders
22.56M13.38M6.64M2.15M15.74M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
24.25M6.06M2.08M5.19M43.00K
Total Assets
679.52M539.69M512.12M530.30M506.98M
Total Debt
273.09M329.63M326.57M355.24M319.00M
Net Debt
248.84M323.57M324.49M350.05M318.95M
Total Liabilities
367.56M394.18M386.46M416.05M405.80M
Stockholders Equity
293.28M140.34M121.01M110.20M96.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
30.31M24.98M-5.13M-24.53M42.95M
Operating Cash Flow
39.30M33.09M9.04M-18.22M50.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-70.68M-30.22M-24.24M-20.12M-41.62M
Financing Cash Flow
49.57M1.11M12.08M43.49M-8.95M

Pennant Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.19
Price Trends
50DMA
25.95
Negative
100DMA
28.67
Negative
200DMA
28.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.13
Positive
RSI
37.10
Neutral
STOCH
35.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PNTG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.49, below the 50-day MA of 25.95, and below the 200-day MA of 28.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PNTG.

Pennant Group Risk Analysis

Pennant Group disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pennant Group reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pennant Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HCHCA
73
Outperform
$82.76B15.01-230.22%0.81%8.67%15.32%
CHCHE
70
Outperform
$8.76B30.0127.12%0.32%7.37%11.17%
66
Neutral
$3.02B70.723.93%5.01%
64
Neutral
$798.43M32.8010.40%27.59%61.97%
61
Neutral
$1.72B22.378.78%9.06%10.68%
56
Neutral
$426.56M-26.18%-1.10%-92.56%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PNTG
Pennant Group
22.72
3.76
19.83%
ADUS
Addus Homecare
93.09
-6.01
-6.06%
AMED
Amedisys
92.12
-1.13
-1.21%
CHE
Chemed
589.24
-55.18
-8.56%
HCA
HCA Healthcare
312.87
-6.53
-2.04%
EHAB
Enhabit, Inc
8.45
-2.39
-22.05%

Pennant Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.20% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for The Pennant Group highlighted strong financial performance and growth across all segments, supported by successful acquisitions and partnerships. Despite minor challenges in hospice revenue, the company's outlook remains positive with planned expansions and robust financial health.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Performance
Pennant Group concluded a year of record-breaking performance with Q4 adjusted earnings per share of $0.24 and a full year 2024 adjusted EPS of $0.94, exceeding guidance.
Significant Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Full year consolidated revenue increased by $150.3 million or 27.6% to $695.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $12.6 million or 30.9% over the prior year.
Successful Acquisitions and Partnerships
Major acquisitions include the $80 million purchase of Signature Healthcare at Home. Partnerships with John Muir Health and Hartford Healthcare are contributing positively.
Home Health and Hospice Segment Growth
Revenue increased by 31.7% to $519.5 million with a 34.1% rise in adjusted EBITDA. Home health admissions hit a new high, increasing by 40.9%.
Senior Living Segment Improvement
Revenue grew by 16.8% to $175.8 million, with full-year adjusted EBITDA rising by 31.9%. Occupancy increased by 30 basis points to 78.8%.
Strong Financial Position
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with $245.8 million available on its credit line and $24.2 million in cash on hand.
Lowlights
Hospice Revenue Per Episode Decrease
Despite growth in hospice admissions, revenue per episode decreased by 1.6% over the prior year quarter.
Hospice Cap Expense Impact
An atypical hospice cap expense of $1.7 million in Q4 affected margins. The expense is a result of higher reimbursement rates in California not matched by hospice cap allowance increases.
Company Guidance
During the Pennant Group's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2025, projecting full-year revenue between $800 million and $865 million, and an adjusted earnings per share in the range of $1.03 to $1.11. This guidance reflects an anticipated 13.8% growth over the 2024 adjusted earnings and 46.6% growth over 2023 results. The company expects a continuous ramp-up throughout the year, particularly as they transition newly acquired operations. Additionally, they forecast adjusted EBITDA between $63.1 million and $68.2 million. The guidance is based on the momentum of their home health and hospice segments, the readiness of local leaders to drive growth, and the potential to unlock value in existing operations. The company noted that their guidance excludes unannounced acquisitions and startup operations but assumes level interest rates and inflation consistent with 2024.

Pennant Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Pennant Group Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

The Pennant Group reported its financial results for the fiscal year and fourth quarter of 2024, highlighting a significant increase in revenue and net income compared to the previous year. The company achieved a total revenue of $695.2 million for the year, marking a 27.6% increase, and a net income of $22.6 million, a 68.6% rise over the prior year. The Home Health and Hospice Services segment saw substantial growth, with a 31.7% increase in revenue for the year. The company also provided guidance for 2025, anticipating continued growth with expected total revenue between $800 million and $865 million.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.