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Premier Inc (PINC)
:PINC

Premier (PINC) AI Stock Analysis

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Premier

(NASDAQ:PINC)

63Neutral
Premier, Inc. demonstrates a mixed outlook. While the balance sheet and cash flow are strong, indicating financial resilience, the income statement reveals profitability challenges. Technical indicators are bearish, with the stock trading below key moving averages. Valuation is mixed due to a negative P/E ratio but a high dividend yield. Recent earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic efforts to stabilize and grow, suggesting potential for future improvement despite current hurdles.
Positive Factors
Fee Stabilization
Fee share headwinds appear to be stabilizing, a positive for Supply Chain.
Share Repurchase Program
The shares continue to be supported by a $1 billion repurchase authorization (nearly $600M completed to date).
Supply Chain Services
Supply Chain Services performance came in better than consensus expectations in the midst of the ongoing recontracting efforts.
Negative Factors
Consulting Services Demand
Quarterly performance was negatively impacted by lower demand in consulting services as well as unfavorable product mix.
Performance Services Challenges
Performance Services results were an area of weakness in the quarter, with lower guidance also showing the challenges in the business currently.
Revenue Fee Share Rates
PINC continues to face headwinds from rising revenue fee share rates and that trend should continue into FY26 where the company expects the blended rate to increase to the high-60% range from the low-60% range.

Premier (PINC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Premier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremier, Inc. (PINC) is a leading healthcare improvement company that unites an alliance of approximately 4,400 U.S. hospitals and health systems and more than 225,000 other providers and organizations. The company operates in the healthcare sector and offers a comprehensive suite of services, including supply chain services, healthcare informatics, and performance improvement consulting. Premier aims to transform healthcare by providing data-driven solutions and technologies to improve efficiency and outcomes in the healthcare industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremier, Inc. generates revenue through a diversified business model that includes multiple revenue streams. The company earns money primarily through its supply chain services, where it leverages group purchasing organization (GPO) contracts to negotiate lower prices for medical supplies and pharmaceuticals for its members. Additionally, Premier provides performance services that include informatics, consulting, and software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions to help healthcare organizations improve quality, efficiency, and safety. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and suppliers, enhancing its market reach and creating value-added services that contribute to its earnings.

Premier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, Premier shows a mixed financial performance. While the income statement indicates recent profitability issues with negative net profit margins, the balance sheet remains strong with low leverage and good equity ratios. The cash flow statement is a bright spot, with strong cash generation capabilities. Continued focus on revenue stabilization and cost management could enhance future financial performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company has shown a declining revenue trend over the past years, with a significant drop in TTM revenue compared to prior years. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, but the net profit margin has turned negative in the TTM, indicating recent profitability challenges. However, the company previously maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, showing potential for operational improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position with a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The company has reduced total debt significantly over the past few years, which enhances financial stability. The equity ratio is healthy, reflecting a solid asset base funded by equity. However, the reduction in stockholders' equity in the TTM could be a concern if it continues.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The company has consistently generated positive operating cash flow, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, especially in the TTM. Free cash flow remains robust, although the growth rate has fluctuated. The ability to maintain strong cash flows amidst declining revenues is a positive sign of financial resilience.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.18B1.35B1.34B1.43B1.72B1.30B
Gross Profit
785.70M840.74M896.29M885.04M837.33M866.80M
EBIT
-32.49M127.97M242.09M260.07M256.92M373.62M
EBITDA
83.50M256.97M398.26M467.15M383.67M547.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-4.75M119.54M175.03M265.87M287.52M291.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
233.86M125.15M89.79M86.14M129.14M99.30M
Total Assets
1.10B3.40B3.37B3.36B3.52B2.95B
Total Debt
40.19M113.70M440.33M487.29M521.67M137.19M
Net Debt
-117.87M-11.45M350.54M401.14M392.53M37.89M
Total Liabilities
4.58B1.44B1.04B1.11B1.29B2.81B
Stockholders Equity
-3.48B1.96B2.33B2.25B2.23B139.26M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
368.50M215.37M362.24M356.79M318.53M255.13M
Operating Cash Flow
440.50M296.56M444.54M444.23M407.40M349.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-59.27M-68.47M-273.62M-139.44M-174.57M-222.32M
Financing Cash Flow
-666.39M-192.72M-167.27M-347.79M-203.00M-168.95M

Premier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.44
Price Trends
50DMA
19.04
Positive
100DMA
20.36
Negative
200DMA
19.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
61.50
Neutral
STOCH
91.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PINC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.84, above the 50-day MA of 19.04, and below the 200-day MA of 19.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PINC.

Premier Risk Analysis

Premier disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Premier reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Premier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (48)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HQHQY
69
Neutral
$7.18B76.104.66%20.03%71.43%
67
Neutral
$970.55M48.695.72%0.36%4.51%32.28%
64
Neutral
$744.43M18.998.25%2.65%3.34%
63
Neutral
$1.78B16.391.76%4.30%-10.24%-106.48%
60
Neutral
$1.59B124.631.03%-3.04%
48
Neutral
$6.86B1.11-50.22%2.47%16.71%1.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PINC
Premier
19.44
-1.02
-4.99%
HCSG
Healthcare Services
10.07
-2.13
-17.46%
HSTM
HealthStream
31.26
6.15
24.49%
OMCL
Omnicell
32.69
4.79
17.17%
HQY
Healthequity
78.80
-0.40
-0.51%

Premier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.20% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call depicted a mixed performance with positive strides in digital supply chain services and leadership but challenges in the Performance Services segment and financial metrics. Despite some financial setbacks, Premier's strategic initiatives and leadership changes suggest potential for future growth.
Highlights
Increased Adjusted EPS Guidance
Premier increased its adjusted earnings per share guidance due to better than expected performance in the Supply Chain Services segment.
Successful Transition of Digital Supply Chain Strategy
Premier announced the successful transition of its digital supply chain strategy beyond the pilot phase, marked by the signing of its first agreement with a major partner.
New Leadership in Performance Services
David Zito joined as the new President of Performance Services, bringing 40 years of healthcare consulting expertise.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Free cash flow of $74 million increased by $33 million from the prior year, driven by cash received from a derivative lawsuit settlement and a distribution from a minority investment.
Share Repurchase Program
Premier repurchased over 29 million shares of Class A common stock for $600 million as part of its $1 billion authorization.
Lowlights
Revenue Decline in Performance Services
Revenue in the Performance Services segment declined by 19% due to lower demand in consulting services and an unfavorable product mix in Applied Sciences.
Impairment Charge
Premier reported a GAAP net loss from continuing operations of $46 million, mainly due to an impairment charge to goodwill of $127 million related to its data and technology business in the Performance Services segment.
Lower Second Quarter Revenue and EBITDA
Second quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA were below expectations, driven by a decline in net administrative fees revenue in Supply Chain Services and lower revenue in consulting services.
Member Departure Impact
A member entered into a joint venture with another health system, leading to a phased termination of their agreement through fiscal 2028.
Company Guidance
During Premier's fiscal 2025 second quarter conference call, the company provided guidance reaffirming total net revenue and increasing adjusted earnings per share despite lower performance in the Performance Services segment. Key metrics included $240 million in net revenue for the quarter, a GAAP net loss of $46 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $50 million, yielding a margin of 20.8%. The adjusted EPS was $0.25, or $0.27 excluding Contigo Health. The company highlighted a successful transition in its Supply Chain Services segment, with gross administrative fees growing nearly 4% year-over-year, and a favorable blended fee share leading to improved revenue guidance for Supply Chain Services. Premier also reported a $74 million free cash flow for the first half of fiscal 2025 and completed a $200 million share repurchase. Guidance for the full fiscal year included a reaffirmed midpoint for adjusted EBITDA and an increased adjusted EPS midpoint by $0.08, reflecting favorable impacts from share repurchases.

Premier Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premier Announces $200 Million Stock Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 14, 2025, Premier, Inc. entered into agreements with JPMorgan Chase Bank to repurchase $200 million of its Class A common stock. This transaction is part of a $1 billion share repurchase plan approved by Premier’s Board in February 2024. The company funded the repurchase using its credit facility, with the final settlement expected by the first quarter of the 2026 fiscal year. This initiative signifies Premier’s strategic use of capital, potentially enhancing shareholder value and reflecting confidence in its market positioning.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premier Reports Q2 Loss, Reaffirms Revenue Guidance
Neutral
Feb 5, 2025

On February 4, 2025, Premier, Inc. announced its fiscal-year 2025 second-quarter financial results for the period ended December 31, 2024. The company reported a GAAP net loss from continuing operations of $45.8 million, influenced by a significant impairment charge. Despite this, Premier reaffirmed its midpoints for fiscal revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, and increased its adjusted earnings per share guidance. The results also highlight a $200 million share repurchase, underscoring the company’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The report reflects Premier’s ongoing strategic adjustments, including the divestiture of the S2S Global business and the continued inclusion of contributions from Contigo Health, amid challenges in its Performance Services segment.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premier’s Strategic Repurchase and Upcoming Conference
Positive
Jan 14, 2025

In January 2025, Premier, Inc. announced the completion of an additional $200 million repurchase of its Class A Common Stock, part of a $1.0 billion share repurchase authorization approved in February 2024. This marks a total of $600 million in repurchases to date, following a $400 million accelerated share repurchase program. This move underscores Premier’s strategic capital allocation aimed at creating value for stockholders. The company is also set to present at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference on January 14, 2025, where it will discuss its growth strategies and positioning in the healthcare industry.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.